What to look for new meets starting up

A new meet starting up adds an extra dimension to handicapping these races, do some research and you will be ahead of the curve. So what are a few things to look for in the first week of racing, you ask?

Let’s begin with the trainers:
-Understand the difference between the local trainers and the trainers that ship from track to track
-The locals using have had longer layoffs and may need a start or two
-The trainers that move from track to track usually have a plan and that is “Win Early”
-Find those hot trainers quickly because after a week or so, everyone else jumps on board
-Here is where you take advantage of the public that doesn’t follow or do the research early. After about a month
the trainer stats will have the shipped in trainers with a great record and the locals not so good. But remember, the
win early trainers that was their goal, locals in for the long haul.

Understanding where the horses are coming from
-It takes a bit of experience but ask around or even reply to this blog and I will help you out. What I mean by this, the level of
competition varies greatly from the A, B and C tracks in North America. Get to know them.
-For example a horse coming from Santa Anita and now racing at Fonner park, will not look good on form. But what to
look for is, did the horse show speed. The speed horses from top track are far better bets than the plotters that just
ran at the back. Big difference from a horse showing lots of early speed and finishing last than a plotter that passes one or
two late.

Last tip, know the horse
-Is the horse ready to run today, many works coming in
-Is the horse at the right distance or a prep for a race coming in.
-Right surface, now on dirt, did run on turf or poly

After you have done your above  research, made your notes, you still need to look at the race shape on the other horses in the race. A little more work, but it certainly can pay off in the end.

Good racing

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Feb. 20

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 2/20/2021

by: Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park Race #11 – The G-3 Royal Delta – 1 1/16 – 5:16 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Eres Tu / #2 – Gibberish / #1 – High Regard

#3 Eres Tu is a daughter of Malibu Moon coming off a 56 days layoff seeking her 4th straight win. She sports some bullet works and cuts back in distance for Arnaud Delacour who wins 22% with his shippers. A perfect stalker in the hands of Irad Ortiz as he wins 23% with his stalking  runners. #2 Gibberish is a speedy daughter of Lea for Saffie Joseph and Tyler Gaffalione. Been off for two months and working red hot in the mornings. She is 3 for 4 ITM at GP and should come out winging. #1 High Regard is a deep closer for Victoria Oliver and Javier Castellano. The rail is winning at 19% for the meet and exits off an impressive win at CD. Castellano wins 20% with closers and should fire fresh coming off the shelf.

 

Laurel

Race #7 – The G-3 Barbara Fritchie – 7f – 3:46 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Hello Beautiful / #3 – Don’tletsweetfoolya / #1 – Sharp Star

#8 Hello Beautiful is a speedy daughter of Golden Lad for Brittany Russell and Sheldon Russell.  They win 27% as a team and makes her 2nd start of 2021. She should be right off the lead and look to work out a perfect trip drafting behind the leaders. #3 Don’tletsweetfoolya sports plenty of early foot and is 6 for 7 ITM an Laurel. Jevian Toledo in the irons seeking his 6th straight win. She’s been off 56 days and looks to fire fresh from her past performances. #1 Sharp Star has been away for 48 days and is a strong late runner. She is 2 for 2 ITM going 7f and should relish the fast early pace today.

Race #8 – The G-3 General George – 7f – 4:19 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Laki / #2 – Funny Guy / #6 – Share the Ride

#1 Laki is a late runner for a barn that wins a strong 20% in graded stakes. He gets added distance from 6f and sports a bullet work on 2/6/21 going 46.2.  Talented runner should be a little closer than usual and drawing the rail should allow him to save ground. Horacio Karamanos has the call for Damon Dilodovico. #2 Funny Guy Is a late running son of Big Brown for John Terranova and Sheldon Russell who is winning 24% at the meet. This is his 2nd start of the year and is 4 for 5 ITM going 7f. #6 Share the Ride is a stalking son of Candy Ride making his 3rd off the layoff move. He was a beaten favorite last out and the barn comes back to score 20% on this move.

 

Santa Anita

Race #7 – The G-2 Buena Vista – 1 mile on the turf – 6:30 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Red Lark / #8 – Charmaine’s Mia / #2 – Mucho Unusual

#5 Red Lark is a daughter of Epaulette (AUS) for Patrick Gallagher and Drayden Van Dyke in the irons. DVD is ITM 36% with his turf runners and should have this late running gal in good order turning for home. She’s been off 56 days and drops back down in class. #8 – Charmaine’s Mia is a daughter of The Factor for Phil D’Amato with Flavien Prat aboard. She is 1 for 1 at SA and is a patient mid pack stalker. Prat wins 28% with his stalking turf runners and the barn scores 21% 2nd time off the shelf. Factor in the bullet works and she’s a big player to be respected. #2 Mucho Unusual is a Mucho Macho Man daughter who is 9 for 9 ITM at SA. She is seeking her 3rd straight win with Abel Cedillo in the irons. She is 7 for 8 ITM at the distance and her dam Not Unusual has five starters, 5 winners, and 5 turf winners to her credit.

SAUDI CUP ON SATURDAY

The inaugural running of The Saudi Cup saw 22 Group or Grade 1 winners compete across an eight-race card for a total prize pot of over $29M.  In 2021 the prize purse was increased to $30.5M and the number of Group and Grade 1 winners entered to run this Saturday is 31. A new race on the card is the $500,000 Saudi International Handicap, introduced for horses trained in developing racing nations.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Feb. 13

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 2/13/2021

 

by: Ed Meyer

Fair Grounds Race #10 – The G-3 Mineshaft – 1 1/16 – 5:44 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Wells Bayou / #4 – Maxfield / #3 – Chess Chief

#2 Wells Bayou is a son of Lookin At Lucky for Brad Cox with John Velasquez in the irons. Speedy colt who is 2 for 2 ITM at FG and exits a beaten favorite effort in the G3 Louisiana. Switches over to John Velasquez from Florent Geroux who has the mount on Maxfield. 2nd start off the layoff and a bullet work to sharpen up for this race. #4 Maxfield is an undefeated son of Street Sense for Brendan Walsh with Florent Geroux in the saddle. A late pack stalker who should benefit from a red hot pace. He is 1 for 1 at FG with a win and been off for 56 days seeking his 5th in a row. #3 Chess Chief hails from the Dallas Stewart barn with James Graham aboard. He is 5 for 7 ITM at FG and makes his 3rd off a layoff move today.

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Race #11 – The G-3 Fair Grounds Stakes – 1 1/16 on the turf – 6:16 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Factor This / #3 – Artie’s Rumor / #4 – Danceteria

#8 Factor This is a speedy son of The Factor for Brad Cox with Shaun Bridgmohan in the saddle. He exits a beaten favorite effort at GP and is 3 for 3 ITM at FG. He’s been away for two months and shows a quick turn of foot. Cox wins 30% coming off a beaten chalk angle and sports a sharp work in preparation. #3 Artie’s Rumor hails from the Mike Maker barn with B.J. Hernandez in the irons. A solid stalker who has been knocking on the door and 5 for 7 ITM at FG. His last race looked like a perfect prep moving up the class ladder. #4 Danceteria enters for Graham Motion and John Velasquez in the irons. He’s a late runner and should benefit from 2nd time Lasix and is eligible to improve off his last race.

 

Race #12 – The G-2 Rachel Alexandra – 1 1/16 miles dirt – 6:47 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Clairiere / #8 – Travel Column / #2 – Souper Sensational

#1 Clairiere is a daughter of Curlin for Steve Asmussen with Joe Talamo in the saddle. She draws  the rail off a two month layoff and sports a sharp work. Talamo picks up the call and should lay right off the pace poised to pounce. #8 Travel Column hails from the Brad Cox barn with Florent Geroux in the saddle. A daughter of Frosted who is a strong late runner. She’s been off for 2 months and the barn has been red hot going 7 for 12 ITM over the course. She is ready for a 2021 campaign and should come gunning when they round the far turn. #2 Souper Sensational is a daughter of Curlin for Mark Casse and Declan Carroll. She is 3 for 3 ITM lifetime and makes her 2nd start of the 2021 season. Her last race showed promise coming off the Woodbine synthetic.

 

Race #13 – The G-2 Risen Star – 1 1/8 miles dirt – 7:18 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #11 – Mandaloun / #12 – Keepmeinmind / #4 – Carillo

#11 Mandaloun gets first time blinkers where the Brad Cox barn wins 24% on this equipment change. Florent Geroux has the call and he wins 30% with Cox. A late runner by Into Mischief should come motoring late off his bullet work over the track. The distance should be no problem with his style of running. #12 Keepmeinmind hails from Robertino Diodoro barn with David Cohen getting the call. A late running colt who scored in the G2 at CD. He has a bullet work at OP and should give a good account of himself today. #4 Carillo enters for Thom Amoss and James Graham. A late running colt who is 1 for 1 shipping in from AQU. Amoss wins 22% with his shippers and the rider trainer combo has been 7 for 14 ITM the past few weeks. Look for a string late move from Graham who wins 18% with late runners.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Feb. 6th

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Feb. 6th

By: Ed Meyer

Aqueduct

Race#8 – The G-3 Withers – 1 1/8 miles dirt -4:25 pm

BetPTC.com Selections /#3 – Capo Kane / #9 – Eagle Orb / #5 – Risk Taking

#3 Capo Kane is a son of Street Sense with Dylan Davis in the driver’s seat. He sports blistering speed and looks for his third straight win. He dropped Lasix last out and drew off impressively. After winning the Jerome he owns a bullet work moving to this level. Very dangerous on the lead. #9 Eagle Orb is a son of Orb making his 2nd start of 2021 for Rudy Rodriguez with Jorge Vargas in the saddle. This New York bred gets a rider change and they team up well together winning 22%. He’s a solid stalker and can track the pace from the catbird seat. #5 Risk Taking is a deep closer from the Chad Brown barn with Eric Cancel in the irons. He’s been away for 55 days and exits off an impressive score. The rider has been 13 for 23 ITM the past week.

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Tampa Bay

Race #8 – The G-3 – Tampa Bay – 1 1/16 on the turf – 3:30 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Eons / #10 – Fancy Liquor / #12 – Greyas Creek

#8 Eons hails from the barn of Arnaud Delacour and Samy Camacho in the saddle. This is his 2nd start of the year and was a beaten favorite last out. The barn comes back to score 23% looking for payback and this stalker looks to move forward off his last effort. #10 Fancy Liquor is an up close stalker from the Mike Maker barn with Hector Diaz in the saddle. Look for a solid break, and with the bullet works should give a solid account of himself. #12 Greyas Creek goes to post for Chad Brown with John Velasquez in the saddle. A solid closer moving up in class could help his causes as the barn has been 4 for 4 ITM the past two weeks. He comes off a 49 day break looking for his 4th straight win.

Race#10 – The G-3 – Endeavor Stakes – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:32 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Counterparty Risk / #6 – New York Girl /#8 – Irony of Reality

#5 Counterparty Risk is a daughter of Australia (GB) for Chad Brown and Johnny Velasquez in the saddle. She is 2 for 3 ITM and ships in from California where the barn wins 28% of the time. She’s a late runner and the barn has been 4 for 4 ITM the past few weeks. Look for a big effort in the lane. #6 New York Girl hails from the Bill Mott barn with Junior Alvarado getting the call. She’s a late runner who shipped over from Leopardstown (IRE) two races back, and the first time Lasix did the trick at 1st asking in the states. Rider and trainer team up to score 27% as a team. #8 Irony of Reality is a late running daughter of Animal Kingdom for Ron Potts and Huber Villa Gomez. She is 4 for 6 ITM at TBD. She can come motoring down the lane late in the race.

Race#11 – The G-3 – Sam F. Davis – 1 1/16 – 5:02pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #3- Known Agenda /#8 – Nova Rags / #5 – Smiley Sobotka

#3 Known Agenda is a late running son of Curlin who ran into some trouble last out in the G2 Remsen. He hails from the Todd Pletcher barn with John Velasquez getting the call. He’s been away for two months and I’m tossing out his last eventful race getting knocked around pretty good. The distance and company fit and should be a major danger. #8 Nova Rags is a late running son of Union Rags for Bill Mott and Samy Camacho. This is his 2nd start of the year and getting Lasix last out seemed to do the trick. Camacho is ITM 51% with his late runners and should come calling when the real running begins. #5 Smiley Sobotka is a son of Brody’s Cause for Dale Romans and Daniel Centeno. He’s been off for 49 days and should break fresh. The rider is 11 for 14 ITM the past week and sports a sharp work coming into the race.

Santa Anita

Race#3 – The G-3- Las Virgenes – 1 mile – 4:03 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Moonlight d’Oro / #2 – Kalypso / #1 – Moraz

#3 Moonlight d’Oro hails from the Dick Mandella barn with Flavien Prat in the driver’s seat. She’s a perfect stalker who appears to better with every race. Prat is an excellent rider who is known for patience and a strong late punch. She’s been away for 55 days and owns a bullet work looking to kick off 2021. #2 Kalypso is a speedy daughter of Brody’s Cause for Bob Baffert and Joel Rosario.  They are winning at a 50% clip from a small sampling as a team and she has faced some tough gals early on. Rosario wins 23% of his early runners and will send once the gate breaks.  #1 Moraz is a lightly raced deep closer. She got 1st Lasix last out and broke her maiden impressively for Mike McCarthy and Umberto Ripoli. She is moving up in class and has some solid works for today.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Jan. 30

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 1/30/2021

by: Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #9 – The G-3 Forward Gal – 7f – 3:46 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Zaajel / #6 – Lady Traveler / #2 – Three Tipsy Chix

#7 Zaajel is a daughter of Street Sense who is one for one impressive in victory. Luis Saez in the saddle for Todd Pletcher and they are winning at a 26% clip as a team. Her dam Asiya has 4 starters with 4 winners to her credit. Today she steps up in class and should take a stalking position in mid flight ready to pounce. Since her maiden win, she sports some sharp works moving forward. #6 Lady Traveler hails from the Dale Romans barn coming off a two month layoff. Corey Lanerie in the saddle as they turn back in distance and ready for a spring campaign. #2 Three Tipsy Chix is a long range closer for the Ian Wilkes barn with Julien Leparoux in the irons. She has been on the shelf for two months and sports some impressive works at Palm Meadows. The distance should fit her style and look for the jock to push the button around the far turn.

Race #10 – The G-3 Sweetest Chant – 1 mile on the turf – 4:18 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Honey Pants / #1 – Queen of the Green / #4 – Con Lima

#2 Honey Pants hails from the Christophe Clement barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. This is her 2nd start of the year and was beaten favorite last out. This daughter of Cairo Prince should break right off the leaders and toss her hat in the ring down the backstretch. #1 Queen of the Green is a solid closer in the hands of Corey Lanerie. She is 3 for 3 ITM on the green and exits an impressive maiden win. Look for continued improvement. #4 Con Lima is a speedy gal for Todd Pletcher and Paco Lopez in the saddle. She is a perfect 2 for 2 at GP with wins and will be the major danger on the front end.

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Race#11 – The G-3 Holy Bull – 1 1/16 miles dirt – 4:50 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Greatest Honor / #9 – Awesome Gerry / #8 – Sitting On Go

#7 Greatest Honor is a solid closer from the Shug McGaughey barn with Jose Ortiz aboard. Making 2nd start off the layoff and just won going this distance at GP. This son of Tapit is on the improving swing and I’m looking for bigger things to come. #9 Awesome Gerry should break right off the pace for the Saffie Joseph barn with Tyler Gaffalione in the irons. Going a 2nd time route race yields a 33% with clip for the barn. The rider and trainer are winning at a 19% win clip. #8 Sitting On Go is a solid closer from the Dale Romans barn. Corey Lanerie is the pilot and has some solid back class in 2020. He’s been off for two months and looks to come back fresh and ready.

Santa Anita

Race  #7 – The G-3 Robert B. Lewis – 1 1/16 miles dirt – 6:37 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Spielberg / #1 – Medina Spirit / #2 – Rombauer

#8 Spielberg hails from the Bob Baffert barn with Flavien Prat in the driver’s seat. A perfect stalker who drops back in class and owns some sharp works. Look for an up close break and Prat to push the button at the right time. #1 Medina Spirit is a speedster from the Bob Baffert barn with Abel Cedillo in the saddle. That was a very game effort in the G3 Sham and there are some nice works to move him forward on a positive note. Cedillo wins 21% teaming up with Baffert. #2 Rombauer is a long range closer for Mike McCarthy and Mike Smith in the saddle. He’s been off for 2 months and since shifting over from the turf there his promising efforts on the dirt. Smith wins 25% with route runners.

 

Take the blinkers off when figuring out the race shape.

I think most of us can agree, figuring out the race shape is one of the most important ways to handicap a race, or at least a starting point. I think many of us forget about the “What IFs.” Or just think the race can only run one way.

For example:
What if the pace is slow or What if another horse sacrifices and the pace is too fast

I think the biggest mistake is we only run the race one way. We need to run the race a few possible different ways. This is very important if you are playing sequence tickets. Obviously you need to try and key in there somewhere, but if spreading, then run the race a few ways it could go.

Here are a few things to consider:
-If your budget allows three or more horses in the race, make sure you have a few different running styles. So often I see horse players take three closers and a horse beats them going gate to wire.
-If playing multiple tickets and you key a horse because your think the horse is lone speed, maybe on the saver take a closer

Have an open mind and run the race a few different ways. Go with the one race shape that is most likely, but understand there can be some unpredictability at times. Be ready.

Good racing

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Pegasus World Cup Day

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 1/23/2021

by: Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #9 – The G2 Inside Information – 7f – 3:40 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Thissmytime / #2 – Cinnabunny / #8 – Sound Machine

#4 Thissmytime is a daughter of Carpe Diem for Kathleen O’Connell and Edgard Zayas aboard. She is 4 for 6 ITM at GP and the stalker is making her third start off the layoff. The barn wins 20% with sprinters and her last two have been impressive wins. Look for an up close break and keeping the pace honest. #2 Cinnabunny hails from the Brad Cox barn with Irad Ortiz in the irons. She’s a gamer and brings her best game every time. This stalker was a beaten chalk last out and the barn comes back to score at a 30% clip. #8 Sound Machine comes in for Saffie Joseph and this closer is 4 for 5 ITM at GP. Joseph is winning 19% for the meet, and 26% with dirt runners. Jose Ortiz has the call and will come running when they turn for home.

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Race #10 – The G3 W. L. McKnight – 1 1/2 on the turf – 4:13 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Sadler’s Joy / #4 – Temple / #6 – Sir Sahib

#5 Sadler’s Joy is a stout son of Kitten’s Joy who can come rolling late in the lane. He’s been off for two months for Thom Albertrani and Jose Ortiz in the irons. They are 4 for 6 ITM at GP and I’m looking for a late run fresh off the bench where Ortiz wins 22% with late runners. #4 Temple hails from the Mike Maker barn and been off for 49 days. He was a beaten chalk last out and the barn comes back for payback at a 22% clip. He is 9 for 9 ITM at GP and sports a solid late kick down the lane. Irad Ortiz wins at an impressive 25% win clip with turf closers. #6 Sir Sahib ships in from Woodbine off a 3 month layoff. Jose Corrales is the conditioner and Luis Saez has the call. The distance fits this late runner and looks to come back fresh and ready.

 

Race #11 – The G1 Pegasus Turf – 1 3/16 miles on the turf – 4:59 pm

BetPTC.com Selections /#5 – Colonel Liam / #6 – Largent / #1 – Next Shares

#5 Colonel Liam hails from the Todd Pletcher barn with Irad Ortiz in the driver’s seat. They are winning 32% as a team. He comes running late and won last out with Ortiz in the saddle. Ortiz has been 23 for 39 ITM the past week and makes his 2nd start off a brief layoff. Each start on the sod has improved and with a sharp work all systems are looking good for today. #6 Largent is 5 for 5 ITM at GP for Todd Pletcher and Paco Lopez. He’s a mid pack stalker who looks poised to pounce on the far turn. His dam Life in Seattle has 7 starts, 5 wins, and 3 turf wins to her credit. #1 Next Shares comes from the Richard Baltas barn with Drayden Van Dyke in the irons. 3rd start off a layoff switching to Van Dyke from Jose Valdivia. Look for a late run when they square off at the top of the lane.

 

Race #12 – The G1 Pegasus World Cup – 1 1/8 miles dirt – 5:44 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 Knicks Go / #10 – Harpers First Ride / #10 – Code of Honor

#4 Knicks Go is a speedy son of Paynter for Brad Cox and Joel Rosario. He’s been away for two months and sports a bullet work in preparation. He won the BC Mile and should break alert from a good post and dictate the pace. Rosario wins with 23% of his speed style runners and he fits this star well. #10 Harpers First Ride is a late runner from the Claudio Gonzalez barn with Angel Cruz in the irons. He ships in from Laurel where he has won two straight. This son of Paynter has a good late run and should toss his hat in the ring at the top of the lane. #10 Code of Honor hails from the Shug McCaughey barn with Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle. He’s been off for 56 days and has some sharp works at Payson Park to have him ready to fire fresh. Shug wins 19% with layoff runners and was a beaten chalk in the G1 Clark. He is 2 for 3 ITM at the distance and should be a player when the real running begins.

 

 

 

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, Jan. 16

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, 1/16/2021

by: Ed Meyer

Fair Grounds Race #10 – The G-3 Louisiana – 1 1/16 – 5:23 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Wells Bayou / #6 -Title Ready / #3 – Silver Prospector

#8 Wells Bayou is a speedy son of Lookin At Lucky for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux in the saddle. He has been off for 8 months and 1 for 1 at FG. He sports a sharp work and has fired fresh off the bench. Geroux wins 24% with speed type runners.  The Cox runner is the horse to beat.  #6 Title Ready is a closing runner for Dallas Stewart with B.J. Hernandez in the irons. He’s been off for 50 days and exits the G1 Clark back in November. He is 5 for 10 ITM at the distance and should muster up a solid late effort.

 

Race #11 – The $125,000 Colonel E.R. Bradley – 1 1/16 on the turf – 5:52 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #11- Mr. Misunderstood / #10 – Sailing Solo / #9 – Peace Achieved

#11 Mr. Misunderstood hails from the Brad Cox barn teaming up with Florent Geroux. He is 4 for 6 ITM at FG and exits an effort off the synthetic at TP. A late runner for Geroux who wins 17% on the turf. His dam Jodys Delight  has 10 starters and 4 turf winners to her credit. Look for a big run as they turn for home. #10 Sailing Solo is a speedy son of Smart Strike for Louis Roussel and Mitchell Murrill in the irons. This is his 2nd start off a layoff and should improve moving forward. Murrill wins 16% with early speed. #9 Peace Achieved is a stalker for Mark Casse and Declan Carroll. He exits KyD and cuts back to a better distance. Carroll will be looking to be mid pack and poised to pounce.

 

Race #12 – The $150,000 Silver Bullet Day – 1mile and 70 yards – 6:20 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Sunpath / #1- Souper Sensational / #3 – Charlie’s Penny

#9 Sunpath is a daughter of Munnings for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux in the saddle. She exits an impressive win in allowance company and looks to take the next step up the ladder moving forward. Add in a bullet work and this stalker looks like a major player. #1 Souper Sensational is a daughter of Curlin for Mark Casse and Declan Carroll. She is a lightly raced daughter of Curlin and exiting the synthetic at Woodbine. She appears ready for the next level and owns a sharp work in preparation off a three month layoff. #3 Charlie’s Penny is a stalker from the barn of Chris Block with B.J. Hernandez getting the call. She has never ran a route and I’m looking for a quick break from the gate.

 

Race #13 – The G-3 Lecomte – 1 1/16 – 6:49 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Arabian Princess / #1 – Midnight Bourbon / #10 – Mandaloun

#2 Arabian Princess is lightly raced for the Dallas Stewart barn and B. J. Hernandez in the irons. He’s been off 49 days and takes a drop down the class ladder. He has a solid late punch and will come calling under Hernandez who scores with 16% of his late runners. #1 Midnight Bourbon hails from the Steve Asmussen barn with Ricardo Santana aboard. He’s been off for three months and takes a plunge down the class ladder. He should be right on the pace, and with added ground may be right on the hook under Santana who wins 17% with early runners. #10 Mandaloun is a late runner who is a perfect 2 for 2 coming off a 49 day layoff. The Brad Cox trainee will come calling under Florent Geroux and they are winning at a 24% clip as a team. This is his 1st time at a route and should be a little closer than usual rounding the first turn.

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, Jan. 9

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, 1/9/2021

by: Ed Meyer

 

Santa Anita

Race #8 – The G-3 La Canada – 1 1/16 – 6:30 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Message / #3 – Fighting Mad / #2 – Hard Not to Love

#4 Message hails from the Bob Baffert barn with Flavien Prat in the irons. 2nd off the layoff yields a 27% win clip for Baffert, and teaming up with Prat wins 20%. She is 3 for 4 ITM over the course and a stalking sort who can be dangerous. Prat scores 28% with stalkers and should lay just off the pace. #3 Fighting Mad is a speedy mare for Bob Baffert with Abel Cedillo in the irons. She takes a class drop and failed as a beaten chalk last out. If left alone she can easily wire the field where Cedillo wins 19% with early type runners. #2 Hard Not to Love comes in for John Sheriffs going 9 for 9 ITM over the course. A deep closer who takes a drop in class coming off a  three month layoff.

Race #9 – The G-3 Las Cienegas – 6f on the turf – 7:00 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Oleksandra / # 5 – Superstitious / #4 – Lighthouse

#6 Oleksandra is a daughter of Animal Kingdom for Neil Drysdale and Joel Rosario. She is 3 for 4 ITM over the course and been off for two months. She drops down the class ladder against the boys in the G1 BC Turf Sprint. She’s a solid late runner with a good turn of foot down the lane. Rosario wins 18% with his closing turf runners. #5 Superstitious is an up close stalker for Richard Mandella and Flavien Prat. This daughter of Ghostzapper is 2 for 2 ITM over the course and exits a game win at DM. She gets the acid test moving up in class and brings her 4 for 4 ITM turf record to the table. #4 Lighthouse comes off a three month break for Simon Callaghan and 3 for 4 ITM at SA. Umberto Rispoli has the call and he wins 24% with his turf runners. Look for a an up close trip where Rispoli wins 20% of the time.

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Gulfstream Park

Race #10 – The G-3 Tropical Turf – 1 mile on the turf – 4:49 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Analyze It / #4 – Doctor Mounty / #3 – Ride a Comet

#6 Analyze It is a son of Point of Entry for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. He’s been away from the races for three months and Brown scores 29% off a 90 day or more layoff. A stalking sort who takes a big drop in class from the G1 Shadwell at KEE and should get a solid trip under Ortiz who wins 22% with stalkers. #4 Doctor Mounty is a late runner for Shug McCaughey and Jose Ortiz in the saddle. He’s been off 49 days and should fire fresh off the bench with a solid work under his belt. #3 Ride a Comet is a son of Candy Ride for Mark Casse and Tyler Gaffalione. The late runner has been off for 49 days and sports a couple of bullet works in preparation. He makes the synthetic to turf move and has fired fresh off the shelf in the past.