Top Horses to Bet on Today – December 4

BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, December 4, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Los Alamitos

Race#8 – The G1 Starlet – 1 1/16 – 7:00 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #2 – Grace Adler / #4 – Cairo Memories / #5 – Desert Dawn

#2 Grace Adler is a daughter of Curlin coming off a two month layoff. She was a beaten favorite out in the G2 Chandelier. It was a lackluster effort, and Bob Baffert wins 30% off a beaten favorite angle. She had a sparkling work last out and Flavien Prat stays aboard. Baffert wins 34% with his babies and should give a mid flight closing effort. #4 Cairo Memories late running daughter of Cairo Prince for Bob Hess and Kent Desormeaux. The rider is 8 for 14 ITM the past week and goes turf to dirt today. She was bumped around in the BC Juvenile Fillies, and you can toss this race as it was a bumper car show. Give her a solid trip and she’ll come rolling in the lane.

 

Top Horses to Bet on Today – November 20

BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, November 20, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Del Mar

Race#8 – The G3 Native Diver – 1 1/8 miles dirt – 7:00 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #5 – Azul Coast / #6 – Eight Rings /  #7 – Ax Man

#5 Azul Coast is a son of Super Saver exiting a 49 day break from the races for Bob Baffert. Flavien Prat in the saddle for this stalker who takes a drop in class from the G1 Awesome Again. Rider and trainer are winning 53% as a team the past few months, and in the last 14 days they are 5 wins from 7 starts. Look for a well timed ride just off the pace in the patient hands of Prat  making the winning move around the far turn. Solid works, and 2 for 2 ITM at Del Mar. #6 Eight Rings hails from the Baffert barn under J.J. Hernandez. Should be a closer into the pace stalking the speed; drops in class from the G1 BC Dirt Mile. This son of Empire Maker has a bullet work off his last race and appears to fit into this field much better. #7 Ax Man also enters for Bob Baffert and exits the G3 Kona Gold showing speed. Mike Smith is the new reinsman and should break sharply and grab the lead. Smith wins 26% with route runners and may be the danger in here.

Mahoning Valley

Race #6 – The First Lady – 6f – 2:34 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #2- Amadevil / #5 – Twerk / #1 – Esplanande

#2 Amadevil comes in with a perfect record and seeks her 6th straight win. This daughter of Dominus has blistering early speed under Chelsey Keiser. She ships in from Cleveland and will be breaking quickly from the start. Look for a well timed wire to wire effort in this event. Keiser is a 6 for 6 with this filly. #5 Twerk is a closing daughter of Speightstown for Jeff Radosevich, and J.A. Bracho in the irons. She jumps back into Ohio company and has a swift late turn of foot. She’ll come calling as the speed starts to unravel during the course of the race. She is a perfect 2 for 2 over the course. #1 Esplanande has speed from the rail draw for Tim Hamm and Malcolm Franklin. She has three 2nd place efforts over the track from three attempts, and been knocking heads with Amadevil and Twerk in her past races. Player who deserves respect.

Race #7 – The Cardinal – 6f – 3:02 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #4 – Altissimo / #7 – Liberate / #5 – Diamond Dust

#4 Altissimo is seeking his 4th straight win and this Ohio millionaire is 10 for 16 ITM over the course for Richard Zielinski and Erik Barbaran who are winning 25% as team this year. Late runner who’ll come rolling as the speed starts to back up a bit. His last race closing four wide is what I’m looking for more of today. #7 Liberate has wicked speed and was the beaten chalk facing Altissimo last out. He hails from the Tim Hamm barn and was DQ’ed last out after sporting speed on a track that was playing to closers. Could turn the tables today with Malcolm Franklin in the driver’s seat. #5 Diamond Dust is a speedy sort from the Radosevich barn and caught that closing bias track last out. J.A. Bracho in the irons, and is 6 for 8 ITM over the Mahoning course. This son of Paynter will vie for the lead and if need be or just stalk closely waiting for the right move.

Top Horses to Bet on Today – November 13

BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, November 13, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Woodbine

Race#7 – The G3 Maple Leaf – 1 1/4 – 3:56 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – Skygaze / #1 -Merveilleux / #5 – La Lune

#3 Skygaze 3rd off the layoff for this daughter of American Pharoah for Mark Casse and is 6 for 7 ITM and Casse is winning at 21% for the meet. She is a stalker and Patrick Husbands in the irons should have her in close range to launch a bid on the far turn. She was a beaten favorite last out and Casse wins 23% on this move looking for payback. #1 Merveilleux is a late runner from the Kevin Attard barn and drops in class from the G1 E.P Taylor. Justin Stein the reinsman and should launch a big run against company more suited to her needs. Rider and trainer wins 29% at a team. #5 La Lune makes her third off the layoff move for the Edward Vaughn barn with David Moran in the saddle. She adds Lasix today and ships in from Keeneland where she was heavily bet at the windows. She cuts back in distance and goes turf to dirt where the barn wins 22%.

Race#8 – The G2 Bessarabian- 7f – 4:26 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #4 – Lady Speightspear/ #7 – Our Secret Agent / #9 – Tuned

#4 Lady Speightspear is a perfect 3 for 3 for the Roger Attfield barn with Emma Jayne Wilson in the saddle. She goes turf to synthetic and been off two months and the rider and trainer are 3 for 3 ITM the past week. She has a blast of speed and should be forwardly placed. Rider and trainer win 27%, and I’m looking for a forward break. #7 Our Secret Agent is a late running fliiy for Mark Casse. She is 8 for 8 ITM over the course and 5 for 5 ITM at the distance. Kazushi Kimura has the call and they are teaming up to win 21% as a team. #9 – Tuned hails from the Graham Motion barn with Daisuke Fukumoto in the irons. She’s a late runner shipping back from Laurel seeking her 4th straight win. The barn wins 22% going turf to synthetic. She has run on many different ovals and doesn’t need to take her track with her. Moves up in class from her last start and should be a player down the lane.

Del Mar

Race#8 – The Desi Arnaz – 6 1/2f – 7:00 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #5 – Eda / #4 – Tonito’s / #3 – Under the Stars

#5 Eda hails from the Bob Baffert barn with Flavien Prat in the saddle. Once she dropped back to non graded stakes, she was impressive last out winning easily. Prat wins 45% for Baffert and should be right on point from the gate break. If left alone, she can put out the lights quickly. #4 Tonito’s is a fast closing daughter of Blame who will be rolling from the clouds for Doug O’Neill and Mario Gutierrez. She goes turf to dirt, and rider and trainer have been winning 25% as a team. Look for a wide closing effort when the real running begins. #3 Under the Stars is a late runner for the Baffert barn wo is adding blinkers today off a beaten favorite effort. This daughter of Pioneer of the Nile has a bullet work and the barn wins 35% with babies.

 

Top Horses to Bet on Today – Breeders’ Cup Saturday at Del Mar

BetPTC.com Analysis – November 6, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Del Mar – Breeders’ Cup

Race #5 – The BC Turf Sprint – 5f on the turf – 3:40 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #4- Lieutenant Dan / #1 – Glass Slippers / #2 – Emaraaty Ana

#4 Lieutenant Dan is a stalker who is 2 for 2 at Del Mar over the turf course  seeking his 3rd straight win. A bit of a home field advantage, and a rider switch to Giovanni Franco for Steven Miyadi. He is 3 for 3 at the distance, and gets a great post draw kicking off the All Turf Pick Four. #1 Glass Slippers was the winner of this race last year at KEE, and trainer Kevin Ryan and Tom Eaves team up again looking for the repeat. Strong late runner who gets the rail draw can be very dangerous if a red hot pace develops. #2 Emaraaty Ana hails from the Kevin Ryan yard as well and with Andrea Atenzi in the saddle. His last effort at Haydock was ultra impressive beating highly touted Starman last out. Look for a top effort as he seems to be on his game and will come rolling late in the lane.

 

Race #7 – The BC Filly and Mare Turf – 1 3/8 on the turf- 4:59 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #7 – War Like Goddess / #12 – Audarya / #6 – Love

#7 War Like Goddess is a stout closing filly for Bill Mott and Julien Leparoux. They are shooting for her for her fifth straight victory and she is 3 for 3 with ins at the distance. Her victory in the G1 Flower Bowl was impressive and always used a a great prep for this race in the past. Leparoux fits like a glove and has been in the irons every time but one.The one to beat with her strong late finish. #12 Audarya is returning as the winner of this event last year at KEE and is a late running gal looking for firm footing and will find it this weekend. Trainer J. W.  Fanshawe brings her to the gate and William Buick is in the saddle looking for a repeat from the outside post. #6 Love hails from the Aiden O’Brien yard with Ryan Moore as the pilot. She is 12 for 14 ITM lifetime and the perfect player to complete exotic wagers. She is a regally bred daughter of Galileo (IRE) and will be in the mix at the top of the lane.

Race #8 – The BC Sprint – 6f – 5:38 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #9 – Jackie’s Warrior / #9 – Dr. Schivel / #8 – Special Reserve

#9 Jackie’s Warrior seeks his 3rd straight win exiting G2 Gallant Bob at Parx, and has tactical speed which has him 2 wins at the distance. Steve Asmussen trains and Joel Rosario in the saddle. He should be in excellent position turning for home in the patient hands of Rosario. #9 Dr. Schivel is a horse for course going 3 for 3 over the course. Trained by Mark Glatt for Flavien Prat seeking his 6th straight win. Perfect stalker with a bullet work under his belt. #8 Special Reserve  2nd time off the layoff for Mike Maker and Irad Ortiz in the irons. His early speed will help his chances and Ortiz will have him in the right place looking for a gap at the top of the lane. Ortiz wins 22% with early speed runners.

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Race #9 – The BC Mile – 1 mile on the turf – 6:20 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – Space Blues / #14 – Ivar / #9 – Mother Earth

#3 Special Blues hails from the Charlie Appleby yard with William Buick in the irons. He exits a win in the G1 Prix de la Foret which has been a prep coming into this race. He is looking for three in a row, and the barn sends them ready to fire. #14 Ivar is a late runner from the Paulo Lobo barn and made a solid move in the G1 Keeneland Turf finishing 4th after getting bumped around going 5 wide. Joe Talamo in the saddle and 2nd off the layoff should have him fresh and ready to launch a late bid. #9 Mother Earth goes postward for Aiden O’Brien and Ryan Moore. She will come rolling with a big run at the top of the lane and could upset the apple cart nearing the wire.

Race #10 – The BC Distaff – 1 1/8 miles dirt – 7:00 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #2 – Royal Flag / #3 -Malathaat / #6 – Letruska

#2 Royal Flag comes in for Chad Brown and Joel Rosario. She is 5 for 5 ITM at the distance, and with all of the early speed it may set her up nicely. I’m looking for a mid pack stalking trip and poised to pounce around the far turn. Rosario wins 36% for Chad Brown. #3 Malathaat is a daughter of Curlin and only a head shy of being undefeated for Todd Pletcher and John Velasquez. She steps up to face older and Pletcher knows how to spot his runners well so she must be ready. She had a very nice win in the G1 Alabama and comes off a two month break with a bullet work to tighten down the screws. #6 Letruska is a speedy daughter of Super Saver for Fausto Gutierrez with Irad Ortiz in the irons. She seeks her 6th straight win and is making a 3rd off the layoff effort after scoring nicely in the G1 Spinster. There is plenty of speed in here and the bar wins 50% with graded stakes runners. She’ll be tough and loves the distance but I’m siding with runners who can stalk and close into solid fractions.

Race #11- The BC Turf – 1 1/2 on the turf – 7:40 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #13 – Tarnawa / #11 – Gufo / #10 – Yibir

#13 Tarnawa was last year’s winner and did it impressively for Dermot Weld and Colin Keane. She was a game 2nd in the G1 Arc, and that race has played a major prep moving forward. I’m looking for a ride where you’ll see her make a sweeping move and inhale the field down the stretch. #11 Gufo is a late runner that can really find an extra gear if the pace is solid. Comes in for Christophe Clement and Joel Rosario, and they’re winning at a 24% clip as a team. Two races back in the  G1 Sword Dancer you saw a good prep, but his last start in the G1 Turf Classic he got run down in the final strides. Rosario fits well and will have him in rolling down the lane today. #10 Yibir was ultra impressive last out in the Jockey Club Invitational under Jamie Spencer. William Buick back in the saddle today for Charlie Appleby, and I’m looking for a square price on this son of Dubawi (IRE) as they launch a strong bid down the lane.

Race  #12 – The BC Classic – 1 1/4 – 8:40 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #4 – Essential Quality / #6 – Art Collector / #5 – Knicks Go

#4 Essential Quality hails from the Brad Cox barn and has the services of Luis Saez as they seek their 4th straight win. This son of Tapit looks the major danger and Saez has been in the saddle for all but  his maiden break at CD. His G1 Travers win was game and comes off a two month freshener with a bullet work to seal the deal. #6 Art Collector is a son of Bernardini for Bill Mott and Mike Smith in the driver’s seat. He should be forwardly placed under Smith as they seek their fourth straight win. Smith should have him close or just off depending on the tempo, and after shipping in from the Thomas Drury barn he’s been on a roll for Mott. Saez opts for Essential Quality but having Money Mike in the saddle is a plus. #5 Knicks Go tries 10 furlongs for the first time and will come out swinging for Brad Cox and Joel Rosario. He always sports good early foot and Rosario is a master at getting them to relax and carry their speed as he wins 25% with early runners.

 

 

Top Horses to Bet on Today – Breeders’ Cup Friday at Del Mar

BetPTC.com Analysis – Friday, November 5, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Del Mar – Breeders’ Cup

Race #6 – The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint – 5f turf – 5:50 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #7 – Armour / #8 – Averly Jane / #6 – Twilight Gleaming

#7 Armour is a son of No Nay Never and will come calling when the real running begins. He has a wicked late turn of foot and facing some of the best sprinters in Europe. He hails from the Richard Hannon yard, and has the services of ultra talented Ryan Moore. #8 Averly Jane will be the pacesetter and can be dangerous if left alone as she seeks her fifth straight win for Wesley Ward and Tyler Gaffalione. She exits off a win in a key prep for the race and can turn out the lights if not pressed. #6 Twilight Gleaming goes post ward Wesley Ward and can get perfect trip with stablemate Averly Jane setting strong fractions for her to close into. Strong closing rider Irad Ortiz in the irons and he wins 22% with late running turf closers.

Race #7 – The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies – 1 1/16 – 6:30 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #6 – Echo Zulu / #4 – Tarabi / #3 – Sequist

#6 Echo Zulu should be right on the front and work out a pressing trip whoever the joins the pace. Steve Asmussen is the conditioner and Joel Rosario in the saddle. 3rd off the layoff for this daughter of Gun Runner who is regally bred and a perfect 3 for 3 lifetime.  Price will be short and may be free spot in multi race wagers. #4 Tarabi is a late runner and had an eventful trip last out colliding with the gate. She goes to the track for Cherie DeVaux and Javier Castellano. She sports some sharp works after her rough trip last out.  #3 Sequist is a deep closing daughter of Nyquist for Dallas Stewart and Junior Alvarado. 3rd off the layoff for a barn who springs upsets with runners on the marquee days.

Race #8 – The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf – 1 mile on the turf – 7:10 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Pizza Blanca / #4 – Turnerloose / #14 – California Angel

#1 Pizza Blanca comes off a 47 day break from the races as Christophe Clement looks for the winner’s circle with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. She exits the G1 Natalma at Woodbine which has served as a strong prep. The barn wins 24% with babies and Ortiz wins 18% with turf closers. Plenty of pace to set her up as they turn for home. #4 Turnerloose should be the main speed as she set the fractions in the G2  Jessamine and managed to hang on for the show dough. She is a daughter of Nyquist for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux in the saddle. 3rd time off the layoff and the barn wins 34% with beaten favorites as she exits Keeneland and cuts back in distance. #14 California Angel is a daughter of California Chrome for trainer George Leonard III and retains Rafael Bejarano in the driver’s seat. This is your sentimental longshot as the backside is really rooting for this gal as she was a $5,500 purchase. But, all that aside she came rolling in the G2 Jessamine circling eight wide getting up in the shadow of the wire.

Race #9 – The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile – 1 1/16 – 7:50 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Jack Christopher / #12 – Corniche / #9 – Pinehurst

#1 Jack Christopher [SCRATCHED] exits off a win in the G1 Champagne which has served as a key prep for this race. Jose Ortiz aboard for Chad Brown and they win 29% as a team. He looks to be able to secure a ground saving position and move at the right time. They have a bullet work under his belt and ship in from Belmont where Brown wins 28% going to new surroundings. #12 Corniche goes to post for Bob Baffert and Mike Smith. The outside post will only have Smith sending and securing position while trying to save some ground. This son of Quality Road is 2 for 2 lifetime and won impressively in the G1 American Pharaoh at Santa Anita. Look for a stalking move and trying to takeover under the professional hands of Smith down the backstretch. #9 Pinehurst appears to be the rabbit for Baffert’s  Corniche, but may have more up his sleeve. He is 2 for 2 lifetime and gets added distance which should have him running easy on the lead for Bob Baffert and John Velasquez in the irons. Baffert wins 35% with babies and has a sharp work coming into the race. Johnny V wins 22% with early speed types.

Race #10 – The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf – 1 mile on the turf – 8:30 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #2 – Albahr / #1 – Modern Games / #10 – Portfolio Company

#2 Albahr hails from the Charlie Appleby yard with Frankie Dettori in the saddle. Exits the G1 Summer at Woodbine as a key prep for this race, and Mr. Applebee wins 80% with his babies. He hopped at the start and still mowed them down in the stretch under Dettori circling the field in the Goldolphin colors. His dam Falls of Lora (IRE) has 4 starters, 4 winners, 4 turf winners to her credit. Dettori staying aboard seals the deal. Europeans have dominated this race in the past. #1 Modern Game also conditioned by Charlie Appleby with William Buick in the irons. He is 4 for 5 ITM lifetime and gets added ground today. He should be a bit closer to the pace and being on the hedge allows Buick to save plenty of ground for a well timed move. #10 Portfolio Company is a well timed stalker with Flavien Prat for Chad Brown. 3rd off the layoff and exits the G2 Pilgrim which has served as a prep in the past. Prat is winning 26% on the turf and 29% with Chad Brown. Don’t leave off your tickets.

Top Horses to Bet on Today – October 30

BetPTC.com Analysis.com – October 30, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Mahoning Valley – Best of Ohio

Rain showers Friday and light rain predicted for Saturday afternoon. 

Race#6 – The $100,000 Ohio Distaff – 1 1/8 – 2:35 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #4 – Drillit / #5 – Sally Strong / #7 – Circus Rings

#4 Drillit has been off for over two months and comes in fresh for Robert Gorham and Christian Pilares. She is 5 for 6 ITM over the course and enjoys soft courses going 6 for 6 ITM on an off track. She won this race last year closing from the clouds, and this gal is a horse for the course who should offer up a good account of herself. #5 Sally Strong is a front running style filly for trainer Mike Rone. Luis Rivera has the call and is 4 for 4 ITM over the track, and with moisture predicted should play right into her plans. #7 Circus Rings is an early style runner for Valerie Shanyfelt and is a horse for the distance 3 for 3 ITM going 9f. Hector Berrios is the reinsman who ran third in last year’s edition

Race#7 – The $100,000 Ohio Juvenile – 1 1/16 – 3:08 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #7 – Thedayofthegrey / #1- Tantrum / #9 – Stalking Moon

#7 Thedayofthegrey is a son of Twinspired for Bobby Cline with Sonny Leon in the saddle. He has three wins from four starts and the other effort was a third. He will be forwardly placed and Leon is an excellent reinsman who can get him to settle in and relax on the lead. His style should enjoy a soft going.  #1 Tantrum hails from the Winblaze LLC team for trainer Tim Hamm. This runner has solid late kick under Malcolm Franklin and has finished 2nd to Dayofthegrey in the past. Rider and trainer win 29% as a team and should enjoy the added ground to get rolling over the deep surface. Franklin wins 19% with route runners and is a patient hand in the irons. #9 Stalking Moon goes to post for Mike Maker and Alex Canchari in the saddle. He has plenty of tactical speed and makes his 3rd start off the layoff adding blinkers this effort. Just broke his maiden at Indy Grand, and back in his pp’s ran second to Dayofthegrey as the beaten favorite.

Starting Sunday, Oct 31 until Nov. 7

Race#8 – The $100,000 John Galbraith – 1 1/16 – 3:41 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Christmas / #9 – Candlelight Hours / #11 – Flatter Her Again

#1 Christmas is a two year old daughter of Constitution and a perfect 2 for 2 lifetime. Tim Hamm the conditioner with Gerardo Corrales in the saddle. She gets first time Lasix and should be right on the pace coming off a three month layoff win in the Tah Dah Stakes at Belterra. She owns a sharp work over a muddy surface and should fit into the race well with rain predicted in the forecast.  #9 Candlelight Hours ships in from an effort at Presque Isle off the synthetic. Returns to the dirt for James Jackson and the triumphant return of T.D. Houghton off a bad injury last year. He’s already notched a win and ready to keep his tally rolling. A perfect stalker who should get the garden trip under Houghton moving on the far turn. #11 Flatter hails from the Thom Amoss barn with Edgar Morales aboard. She always knocks on the door and looks to lay just off the lead and seek the perfect trip.

Race#9 – The $100,000 Sprint – 6f – 4:14 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #9 -Altissimo / #7 -Morestride / #1 – Chief Randel

#9 Altissimo hails from the Richard Zielinski barn with Erik Barbaran in the irons. He is 9 for 15 over the course ITM and has the perfect stalking style. The barn wins 31% with non graded stakes and sports a sharp work leading into the race. If it comes up a bit soft; no problems as he is 7 for 9 ITM on off tracks. #7 Morestride goes post ward for Mike Rone and Luis Rivera. He is 3 for 3 ITM at Mahoning and has been racing outside of Ohio company. Today he returns and the barn comes back to score 38% off a beaten chalk angle their last effort. #1 Chief Randel draws the rail spot and has a win in last year’s edition of the this race. Blinkers back today and is 4 for 8 ITM over the course. He relishes softer surfaces going 4 for 5 ITM. Player in the outcome today at a solid price.

Race#10 – The $100,000 Endurance – 1 1/4 – 4:47 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #7 – Forewarned / #13 – Wicked Warrior / #9 – Mo Don’t No

#7 Forewarned is a late runner for Uriah St. Lewis and Sonny Leon. They step back into Ohio company after running in graded company outside of the Ohio circuit. He is 4 for 4 ITM at Mahoning and will enjoy the distance and softer track. Look for a good late kick turning for home as Leon wins 20% with route runners. #13 Wicked Warrior is a stalker for Team Feliciano, and returns to face Ohio company again. His only knock in the #13 post, but has the class to break sharply and move over to save precious ground. He ran 2nd last year to Forewarned  in the same predicted conditions as he prepares to turn the tables this year. #9 Mo Don’t No appears to be sitting on a big race at a square price. He’s a tactical runner who’ll be behind the leaders poised to pounce coming off a solid work for trainer Gary Johnson and Alexander Chavez. He goes from a sprint to a route, and is 8 for 8 ITM going long. This son of Uncle Mo loves the track and especially if the sky opens up. Don’t dismiss at 15-1 on the morning line.

Top Horses to Bet on Today – Saturday, October 23

BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, October 23, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Keeneland

Race#7 – Perryville Stakes – 7f – 4:12 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Soup and Sandwich / #6 – Pipeline / #4 – He’smyhoneybadger

#1 Soup and Sandwich has been been off for five months since the Kentucky Derby. He hails from the Mark Casse barn with red hot Tyler Gaffalione who is winning 28% for the meet. He draws the rail and drops down the class ladder. The rail has been the place to be all meet and Gaffalione will send right from the break as he wins 21% with early speed runners. #6 Pipeline is a stalker from the Chad Brown barn with John Velasquez in the saddle. He comes off a 49 day break from the races and moves up in class off an impressive maiden win. He graduated that day going 7f and sports some solid works coming into the race. Look for this son of Speightstown to be just off the leaders and poised to pounce around the far turn. The barn wins 28% with shippers and he comes in from Saratoga rested and ready. #4 He’smyhoneybadger is a long range closer for trainer Brad Cox who is winning 24% at the KEE meet. 3rd time off the layoff, and has some nice works to show readiness. Florent Geroux has the call.

Race#9 – The G2 Raven Run – 7f – 5:16pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #13 – Obligatory / #9 – Zainalarab / #11 – Miss Speedy

#13 Obligatory is a late running filly from the Bill Mott barn with Florent Geroux in the irons. 2nd time off the layoff exiting the G1 Cotillion at Parx and cuts back in distance with a new rider in the saddle. Look for a stalking trip from mid pack as Geroux works his way over to save ground. She won the G2 8 Belles at CD going 7 panels and should be tough turning for home. #9 Zainalarab is a daughter of War Front for Chad Brown and John Velasquez getting the nod. Brown is winning 31% for the meet and 27% off a last race win. They ship from Saratoga off a two month break and have some good works over the deep Oklahoma Training Track. She is lightly raced but three for three ITM lifetime. Look for a good late punch on the far turn angling for position in the stretch. #11 Miss Speedy sports plenty of early foot from the Mark Casse barn exiting the synthetic at Woodbine. B.J. Hernandez in the driver’s seat and look for him to send as soon as the gate opens. The distance should play into her plans, and if left alone could upset the apple cart.

Woodbine

Race#3 – The G3 Hendrie – 6 1/2 f – 1:55 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #2 -Our Secret Agent / #6 – Amalfi Coast /#4 – Toffen

#2 Our Secret Agent is a late runner cutting back in distance today. She is 7 for 7 ITM over the course for trainer Mark Casse and adds blinkers where the barn scores 18% on this equipment change. Casse wins 21% on all weather surfaces and sports a bullet work in preparation. #6 Amalfi Coast is a late runner who is 10 for 12 ITM over the course. Kevin Attard brings her to post with Justin Stein in the saddle and she is 2 for 2 ITM going the distance. #4 Toffen is a daughter of Cairo Prince for Kevin Attard winning 17% for the meet. Antonio Gallardo has the call, and I’m looking for a quick break making her 3rd off the shelf and making the turf to dirt switch. Gallardo wins 20% with speed runners.

 

Don’t wait until it’s too late to handicap the Breeders’ Cup

by Stretch

I think we all have run out of time in ‘capping races from time to time. Well, it is even easier to do that for the Breeders Cup, so why not start now!

What should do now with the Cup not until November 5-6?

Step 1: Download the Breeders’ Cup app.
– This app keeps you right up to date on info, which is good to have for the entire week

Step 2: Print off the list of contenders for all 14 races
-Easy to find: DRF, Horse Racing Nation and on the Breeders’ Cup App.

Step 3: Focus on the bigger fields first and the ones with the unknowns such as the European invaders.
-Turf, Turf Filly & Mare, Juvenile, and Juvenile Turf

What to do with those races? Watch replays, replays and more replays. The European horses are a little harder to find, so it takes time to dig up some of those races and to watch them.

Final Step: Watch those replays and make notes on the horses. You are not handicapping the race just yet; only getting to know the horses. What is their running style? Did they have trouble in the race? Check for any track bias on the day.

My suggestion is avoid picking a winner in any of the races. You can’t pick a winner yet because you don’t know exactly who will be in the race or how the race shape will set up.

Get a bunch of this research done early, so you will be ahead of all the other handi-crammers the night or day before.

Lots of money out there to be won over Breeders’ Cup weekend!  Don’t be late to the party or you will miss out on a big score.

Top Horses to Bet – Saturday, October 16

BetPTC.com Analysis – October 16, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Keeneland

Race #8 – The G1 QE II – 1 1/8 miles on the turf – 4:44 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – Shatisara / #4 – Empress Josephine / #5 – Nicest

#3 Shatisara hails from the Chad Brown with Flavien Prat aboard. She is 3 for 4 ITM on the green and has a late punch down the lane. She cuts back in distance and should be mid flight waiting on Prat to push the button. She is making her 3rd start off the layoff and shooting for three wins in a row. Chad Brown wins 27% off a last race win, and has a 22% win clip teaming up with turf master Flavien Prat. #4 Empress Josephine is a daughter of Galileo (IRE) from the Aiden O’Brien yard. Two races back she ran a solid Gr 1 race at Leopardstown and shipped over to Keeneland finishing a game 3rd with a trip over the track. O’Brien adds blinkers today, and this should keep her focused under the guidance of John Velasquez who will have her in top gear turning for home. #5 Nicest is a daughter of American Pharaoh from the Donnacha O’Brien yard. Julien Leparoux takes the call shipping in from Ireland off a three month break. They cut back in distance and should be close to the pacesetters today.

Race #9 – Allowance N1X – 1 mile – 5:16pm 

BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Malibu Star / #5 – Ducale / #4 – Winter Pool

#1 Malibu Star is a stalker from the Kelly Breen barn with John Velasquez in the saddle. This son of Giant’s Causeway is coming off a 7 month layoff and solid works to prepare. They ship in from Aqueduct and sport a couple of bullet works at Monmouth giving the signs of a runner ready to roll. Look for him on or near the lead today. #5 Ducale hails from the Brad Cox barn with Florent Geroux in the irons. He showed excellent speed at a sprint and failed as the beaten favorite at Saratoga. The barn comes back to win 34% with beaten chalk looking for payback and takes off the blinkers today. Rider and trainer are winning 22 % as a team. Let’s see if the equipment change does the trick today. #4 Winter Pool is a late runner from the Chad Brown barn with Jose Ortiz getting the nod. This son of Curlin comes off a 52 day break and exits off a win at the Spa. Solid record coming in and owns a work over the track.

Santa Anita

Race #7 – California Distaff – 6 1/2 on the turf- 7:08 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #5 – Bella Vita / #1 – Warren’s Showtime / #6 – Sedamar

#5 Bella Vita is coming off a 48 day break from the races for Simon Callaghan and Victor Espinoza in the saddle. She is 4 for 4 ITM on the SA green and comes back fresh and ready. Her past efforts have shown well coming off the shelf. #1 Warren’s Showtime is a stout closer for the Craig Lewis barn with J.J. Hernandez in the irons. Draws the rail today and comes off a two month break from the races. The barn wins 19% with non graded stakes and always brings her top game with a late run. Hernandez is the usual rider and she’ll come calling when the real running begins. #6 Sedamar hails from the Shelby Ruis barn and is 7 for 9 ITM over the SA greensward. She cuts back in distance and mile runners have done well turning back to the six and a half distance. Joe Bravo in the driver’s seat and is 48% ITM with his turf runners. Look for her stalking the pace and poised to pounce at the top of the lane.

 

Top Horses to Bet at Keeneland – October 9

BetPTC.com Analysis – Keeneland – October 9th, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Keeneland

Race #8 – The G1 First Lady – 1 mile on the turf – 4:44 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – Althiqa / #9 – Blowout / #10 – Princess Grace

#3 Althiqa is a daughter of Dark Angel (IRE) and a string late closer for the Charles Applebee yard. Jamie Spencer makes the trip and she exits two G1 wins in New York. She has been off for two months and 11 for 11 ITM on the turf. Spencer is a world class rider and makes the journey for one of the top outfits in Europe. I’m looking for her to tip off the hedge and come rolling as they make the turn for home. She is 3 for 3 ITM going a mile and should relish the lush turf course at KEE. #9 Blowout is pure speedster with Flavien Prat in the irons for Chad Brown. They win 23% as a team and been off for 56 days. She will dictate the pace and exits the G1 Four Star Dave against the boys. She is 1 for 1 ITM at KEE and Prat is an excellent reinsman who excels on the sod winning 25% with turf runners. Very dangerous if left alone to set an easy pace. #10 Princess Grace hails from the Mike Stidham barn with Kent Desormeaux in the saddle. She is a half length short of being a perfect 7 for 7 and has solid stalking late kick. She is undefeated going a mile and ships in from KyD off a win in the G3 Ladies Turf. Major danger turning for home.

Race#9 – The G1 Breeders’ Futurity – 1 1/16 miles dirt – 5:15 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #5 – Don’t Wait Up / #13 – Classic Causeway / #3 – Stellar tap

#5 Don’t Wait Up was impressive breaking his maiden at Saratoga under John Velasquez, and should play the role of a close running stalker. Johnny V is one of the most patient hands in the reins and wins 19% with his route runners. Riding the short stretch in this race should play into his plans as he excels at making a well timed move. Tony Dutrow may have a very nice runner in his barn, and this son of Upstart may be just getting started for good things to come. #13 Classic Causeway broke his maiden with more in the tank for Brian Lynch and Jose Ortiz at Saratoga. He has the look of a speedy type and should relish the added distance and the short stretch of the distance today. This son of Giant’s Causeway could be trouble if left alone to set average fractions to slow the tempo. #3 Stellar Tap is a speedy son of Tapit for the Steve Asmussen barn and go to rider Ricardo Santana. He was a beaten favorite last out after an eventful trip. Asmussen wins 25% coming back to turn the tables on the competition.

Race #10 – The G1 Keeneland Turf Mile – 1 mile on the turf – 5:46 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #7- Pixelate / #10 – Order of Australia / #6- Ivar

#7 Pixelate is a son of City Zip exiting a win at KyD for Mike Stidham last out. Tyler Gaffalione picks up the call, and is always dangerous when he goes to post. Late runner who is 7 for 7 ITM at the distance and Tyler G can finish up strong when the real running begins. Look for the Godolphin royal blue turning for home at the top of the stretch. #10 Order of Australia hails from the Aiden O’Brien yard with John Velasquez getting the call. This son of Australia (GB) is perfect over the KEE sod and should be near the front flight stalking the pace. Johnny V is a perfect rider for O’Brien and this colt has some breeding to look forward to seeing moving forward. #6 Ivar is a stalker for trainer Paulo Lobo who once saddled the Kentucky Oaks winner Farda Amiga, who also showed promise as a turf runner. Lobo wins 19% for the year and adds back blinkers where he wins 40% on the equipment change.