Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – February 15th

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis / February 15th

by: Ed Meyer

Race #9 – The G3 Mineshaft – 1 1/16 – 5:01 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Silver Dust / #6 – Hofburg / #9 – Captivating Moon

#4 Silver Dust is a son of Tapit for Bret Calhoun wining 26% with Brian Hernandez. He is 6 for 7 ITM at FG and is a perfect stalker type. This is his 2nd off the layoff where the barn wins 18%. This rider trainer team win 31% together. Look for an up close trip looking for two in a row. #6 Hofburg comes in for Bill Mott and Joel Rosario. Been off 7 months from Saratoga and has been working lights out in the morning. This son of Tapit has tons of back class and owns some sparkling works coming in today. He fires fresh off the layoff and will be closing quick in the lane. #9 Captivating Moon is a son of Malibu Moon for Chris Block and Julien Leparoux. Makes the turf to dirt switch winning 21% on this move and 1 for 1 over the course. Leparoux picks up the mount and will be rolling late to grab a piece of the pie.

Race #10 – The G3 Fair Grounds Stakes – 1 1/8 on the turf – 5:32 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Synchrony / #5 – Don’t Blame Rocket / #12 – Midnight Tea Time

#2 Synchrony comes off a 4 month layoff for Michael Stidham and Joe Bravo. He’s a deep closer with works over the track. He’s 6 for 7 ITM at the distance and fires fresh off the shelf. #5 Don’t Blame Rocket is a son of Blame for Norm Casse and Julien Leparoux. He moves up the class ladder and is 11 for 13 ITM on the sod. He loves FG going 7 for 8 ITM and looks to make it four in a row. #12 Midnight Tea Time comes in for Joe Sharp who is 4 for 4 ITM at FG. The rider switch to high percentage Joel Rosario helps moving up the class ladder.

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Race #11 – The G2 Rachel Alexandra – 1 1/16 – 6:05 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Swiss Skydiver / #6 – British Idiom / #7 – Finite

#3 Swiss Skydiver is a daughter of Daredevil for trainer Ken McPeek. She goes from a sprint to a route and wins 23% on this move as her last race looked like a solid prep. She can come rolling off the pace and B.J. Hernandez winning 15% with his distance runners. Solid works and 2nd off make her dangerous. #6 British Idiom is a daughter of Flashback who’s a perfect 3 for 3 at FG exiting a three month layoff. She will stalk the pace under Javier Castellano. Her win in the G1 B/C Juvenile Fillies was sharp and should be the major danger. #7 Finite is a Steve Asmussen trainee with Ricardo Santana in the irons. She is 1 for 1 at FG seeking her fifth straight win. She’s been game at every level and Santana fits her like a glove. Keep in your exotics as she’s 6 for 6 ITM lifetime.

Race #12 – The G2 Risen Star – 1 1/8 – 6:38 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Silver Slate / #9 – Mr. Monomoy / #11 – Scabbard

#2 Silver Slate is a lightly raced colt by Hard Spun. He’s 3 for 3 ITM lifetime and ran a game race last out in the G-3 Lecomte after bobbling and getting knocked around. A solid closer who fits the rider winning 20% with his late runners. His dam Supreme has 4 starters, and 4 winners to her credit. #9 Mr. Monomoy is a son of Palace Malice who is 2 for 2 at FG. Florent Geroux in the irons and  made a good run in the G3 Lecomte. Trainer Brad Cox is winning 22% and has been red hot 7 for 9 ITM the past weeks. #11 Scabbard comes from the barn of Eddie Kenneally with Joel Rosario in the saddle. 2nd off the layoff winning 21% off that move and was forced to steady in the G3 Lecomte. He’s a closer and should relish the added ground as a beaten chalk last out.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – February 8

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis for Tampa Bay Downs – February 8th

by: Ed Meyer

Tampa Bay Downs

Race #8 – The G-3 Lambholm South Endeavor – 1 1/16 on the turf – 3:59 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Andina Del Sur / #7 – Got Stormy / #8 – Phantom Opening

#4 Andina Del Sur is a daughter of Giant’s Causeway for Thom Albertrani. She was outkicked in the G3 Marshua’s River at Gulfstream. She’s a strong closer who is 1 for 1 at Tampa Bay Downs. Jose Ortiz wins 18% with his turf runners and must be respected when making your wagers. #7 Got Stormy comes in off a two month layoff for Mark Casse and Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle. She’s been facing the boys and exits a solid win in the G1 Matriarch. Casse and Tyler G win 18% as a team and she’ll be flying late in the lane. #8 Phantom Opening comes in for Blair Jordan who is winning 38% at the meet with Antonio Gallardo in the irons. This is her 2nd off the shelf and Gallardo wins 25% with his turf closers.

Race #10 – G-3 Tampa Bay Stakes – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:59 pm EDT  

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Caribou Club / #7 – Hembree / #6 – Halladay

#4 Caribou Club  comes in for Thom Proctor with Jose Ortiz in the irons. He’s been off for three months and Proctor wins 18% with his shippers. He moves up in class and should improve with high percentage rider Ortiz. He is a perfect 2 for 2 at the distance. #7 Hembree  is a son of Proud Citizen for trainer Mike Maker and Pablo Morales. He’s coming off a five month layoff as a beaten favorite. Morales wins 26% with his late runners. #6 Halladay is a son of War Front for Todd Pletcher who is winning 67% at the meet. John Velasquez in the irons and exits a solid win at GP. Look for Johnny V to have him in a perfect stalking position.

Race #11 – The G-3 Sam F. Davis – 1 1/16 – 5:29 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Independence Hall / #6 – Premier Star / #2 – Solo Valante

#4 Indepence Hall is a son of Constitution for Mike Trombetta and Jose Ortiz in the saddle. He’s a perfect 3 for 3 with a bullet work coming into the race. Look for Ortiz to have this colt stalking the leader ready to pounce. #6 Premier Star  comes in for Jorge Navarro with John Velasquez in the driver’s seat. He stretches out from 7f and owns a perfect 2 for 2. Navarro wins 31% with shippers and makes a jump up the class ladder for a red hot barn. #2 Solo Valante is a long range closer for Patrick Biancone and Luca Panici gets the nod. His works are sparkling and his return to the turf may what the doctor ordered. Look for him late in the lane.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – February 1

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis / February 1st

By: Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #8 – The G3 Sweetest Chant – 1 mile on turf – 3:34 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – She’s My Type / #7 – Moral Reasoning / #1 – Sunset Promise

#3 She’s My Type has Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle for Christophe Clement. She is 2 for 2 at GP and owns a sharp morning work coming into the races. She gets 2nd Lasix and the barn wins 18% on the medication move. She’ll come running late for Tyler G who looks to keep her record rolling. #7 Moral Reasoning is a daughter of More Than Ready for Chad Brown and Javier Castellano in the saddle. She’s a solid closer and gets added distance where Team Brown wins 32% moving to a route of ground. #1 Sunset Promise comes in for Mike Maker and Irad Ortiz. She is 3 for 4 ITM at GP and was bumped hard in her last effort managing a 4th place effort. The rider and trainer have been red hot the past couple of weeks.

 

Race #9 – The G3 Swale – 7f – 4:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Green Light Go / #2 – Untitled / #5 – Shivaree

#4 Green Light Go is a son of Hard Spun for James Jerkins and Javier Castellano. The barn comes in from Belmont running 2nd in the G1 Champagne. He cuts back in distance and drops down in class off a three month layoff. #2 Untitled comes in for Mark Casse off a 49 day layoff. He is 1 for 1 at GP and the Florida bred comes off an ultra impressive maiden win scoring by 11 lengths. He gets a rider change to Jose Ortiz who wins 19% with sprinters. #5 Shivaree comes in for Ralph Nicks winning 23% at the meet. Emisael Jaramillo in the irons seeking his 4th straight win looking for a stalking trip.

 

Race #11 – The G3 Holy Bull – 1 1/16 – 5:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Toledo / #3 – Tiz the Law / #4 – Ete Indian

#1 Toledo comes in for the always dangerous connections of Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. His last race was a solid prep encountering traffic and still managing a 2nd place finish. This is his 2nd route race and the barn scores 41% on the distance switch.  #3 Tiz the Law is a son of Constitution who is 3 for 3 lifetime for Barclay Tagg. Manny Franco in the irons and they exit the G2 Ky. Jockey Club at CD after getting bottled up in traffic. A two month layoff accompanied by a bullet work makes this New York bred attractive. #4 Ete Indian comes in for Patrick Biancone with Luca Panici in the saddle. Since moving from the turf he showed great interest in the main track. He moves up in class and owns a solid work in preparation.

 

Santa Anita

Race #7 – The G2 San Marcos – 1 1/4 on the turf – 6:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – United / #7 – Oscar Dominguez / #2 – Cleopatra’s Strike

#4 United goes to post for Richard Mandella and Flavien Prat. He comes off a two month layoff and is 4 for 6 ITM at SA. He sports some sparkling works and should be a strong closer in the lane. #7 Oscar Dominguez is a son of Zoffany (IRE) for Ricard Baltas and Joel Rosario. He’s returning off a two month layoff adding Blinkers today. Look for Rosario to come calling late in the lane. #2 Cleopatra’s Strike is in for Phillip D’Amato and Abel Cedillo. He is 3 for 3 ITM at SA and makes his 3rd off move where the barn wins 19%. He just missed last out and looks to turn the tables.

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Race #8 – The G2 San Pasqual – 1 1/8 – 7:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Roadster / #5 – Midcourt / #3 – Restrainedvengence

#1 Roadster is a son of Quality Road for the Bob Baffert barn with Joel Rosario in the irons. He is 5 for 5 ITM at SA and exits a good effort in the G1 Malibu. Look for a late move as they turn for home. #5 Midcourt is a son of Midnight Lute with Victor Espinoza aboard. He adds Blinkers and a sharp work. Espinoza had a tough race last out and looks to seal the deal today. #3 Restrainedvengence is a speedster shipping in from Zia Park. Abel Cedillo wins 24% with early speed runners.

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Horse Racing Graded Analysis for Pegasus World Cup Day – January 25

Horse Racing Graded Analysis – January 25

by: Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #9 – The G2 Inside Information – 7f – 3:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Spiced Perfection / #2 – Wildwood’s Beauty / #5 – Blamed

#7 Spiced Perfection comes from the Peter Miller barn and has been on the shelf for 49 days. She’s been working a regular clip in the morning and ships in from AQU where they win 15% with new surroundings. She is 5/8 ITM at the distance and this closer should fare well with Javier Castellano in the irons. #2 Wildwood’s Beauty is a closing type for trainer Scott Becker and Julien Leparoux in the saddle. She was a beaten favorite last out shipping in from Tampa Bay. She is a horse for the course going 5/5 ITM over the GP strip. #5 Blamed is a daughter of Blame for trainer Bill Mott. Irad Ortiz has the call and she’s been off for 11 months. This is her 3rd start of the year and looks to make it two in a row.

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Race #11 – The G1 Pegasus World Cup Turf – 1 3/16 on the grass – 4:49 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Sadler’s Joy / #2- Arklow / #7- Admission Office

#4 Sadler’s Joy is a son of Kitten’s Joy for Thom Albertrani with top turf rider Javier Castellano. He’s a stout closer who is 3 for 4 ITM over the course. He’s been off for two months and is 18 for 26 on the sod. His dam Dynaire has 5 starters, 4 winners, and 4 turf winners to her credit, and this is her star foal to race. #2 Arklow comes to post for Brad Cox and Luis Saez in the saddle. This son of Arch has been off for two months and 12 for 19 ITM on the greensward. He was out kicked in the BC Turf and ships in from SA where the barn wins 26% on the move. He’ll come calling late in the lane. #7 Admission Office comes in for Brian Lynch with Flavien Prat aboard. A late running son of Point of Entry and makes his 2nd start over the course. Prat in the irons is a plus as he wins with 23% his turf runners.

Race #12 – The G1 Pegasus World Cup – 1 1/8 – 5:34 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Higher Power / #10 – Mucho Gusto / #1 – True Timber

#6 Higher Power comes from the John Sadler barn with Flavien Prat in the irons. He’s been away from the races for two months and been working lights out at SA. He ran a game 3rd in the BC Classic last out and looks ready to kick off 2020 in a big way. #10 Mucho Gusto hails from the Bob Baffert barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. He has plenty of speed and rolls in off a three month break as a beaten chalk at Remington Park. He’s a gamer and Ortiz wins 23% with early speed and Baffert wins 31% shipping into new surroundings. #1 True Timber comes in a off a 49 day layoff for Kiaran McLaughlin and Jersey Joe Bravo. He was flat out rolling in the G1 Cigar and deserves a good look at being a part of your exotics.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – January 18th

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis / January 18

by: Ed Meyer

 

Aqueduct

Race #8 – The G-3 Toboggan – 7f – 3:55 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – American Anthem / #4 – Nicodemus / #3 – Arch Cat

#2 American Anthem has been away for three months and was a beaten chalk at KEE last out. This son of Bodemeister comes from the barn of Danny Gargan. He has a solid work tab and the services of Manny Franco today. Our horse racing analysis top pick.  #4 Nicodemus is a son of Candy Ride for trainer Linda Rice winning 26% at the meet. Huge class dropper today and makes his first start of the year. He’s a closer and cuts back in distance today. His bullet work shows all systems are go. #3 Arch Cat is a son of Arch for Daniel Velasquez. Ships in from Laurel and takes a hike up the class ladder. He rallied strong last out and has a new rider with Eric Cancel.

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Fair Grounds

Race #10 – The G3 Louisiana Stakes – 1 1/16 – 5:21 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1- My Boy Jack / #3 – Blended Citizen / #4 – Gun It

#1 My Boy Jack is a long range closer and been off three months. He switches from turf to dirt and has faced some tough guys in the past. The freshening and rail draw is a plus and Kent D should be motoring late in the lane. #3 Blended Citizen comes from the barn of Brad Cox who comes to post off as a beaten favorite in the $75,000 Tenacious. This son of Proud Citizen looks ready for a strong 2020 sporting a bullet work over the FG strip. #4 Gun It is 3rd off for trainer Steve Asmussen who wins 22% on this move. This son of Tapit is 3 for 4 ITM at FG and sports early speed. Santana wins 19% with his early runners.

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Race #13 – The G-3 Lecomte – 1 1/16 – 6:55 pm EDT

BetPTC.com / #4 – Scabbard / #9 – Silver Slate / #1 – Finnick the Fierce

#4 Scabbard is a son of More Than Ready for Eddie Kenneally with Corey Lanerie in the irons. Been off two months since the BC Juvenile and the rider is 9 for 14 ITM this past week. He’s a late runner who should benefit from an early pace. He had a brief layoff at Palm Meadows and may fire fresh off the rest. #9  Silver Slate comes in for Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santana. They are shipping in from CD and exits an impressive race coming off slow and missed by a nose. His dam Supreme has 4 starts, and 4 wins to her credit winning 100% with her babies. #1 Finnick the Fierce has been off 49 days for trainer Rey Hernandez. He’s been working well and draws the rail with Kentucky rider Sonny Leon. Look for him late in the lane at a big price.

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Dubai Carnival Live Blog – Thursday, Jan 16

Hong Kong Jockey Club Week In Review 01/08, 01/11

by expert Dick Powell

 

19 races

6 favorites won – 32%

12.84 average field size

$13.99 average win price

 

JOCKEYS                                            TRAINERS

4 wins Vincent Ho                                 3 wins Francis Lui

2 wins Zac Purton                                 3 wins Doug Whyte

2 wins Tony Piccone                              3 wins Jimmy Ting

2 wins Grant van Niekerek                     2 wins Michael Chang

2 wins Sylvester de Sousa                     2 wins Ricky Yiu

 

Hong Kong Jockey Club Meet In Review 9/01 – 01/11

 

332 races (one dead-heat)

98 favorites won – 29.52%

12.40 average field size

$19.444 average win price

 

JOCKEYS                                            TRAINERS

56 wins Joao Moreira                            33 wins Ricky Yiu

31 wins Zac Purton                               27 wins Francis Lui

34 wins Karis Teetan                             24 wins Danny Shum

28 wins Vincent Ho                                23 wins Doug Whyte

22 wins Grant van Niekirk                      18 wins Frankie Lor

14 wins Chad Schofield                         18 Caspar Fownes

18 Tony Cruz

 

Next Race Meets:

 

Wednesday morning          Happy Valley           01/15/20       First Post: 5:45am EST

Saturday night                   Sha Tin                   01/18/20       First Post: 11:15pm EST