Graded Stakes Preview – Saturday, August, 12, 2017

Graded Stakes Preview / BetPTC.com / Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #4 – G2 Adirondack Stakes – 6 1/2 f – 2:44 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #1 – Pure Silver / #2 -Stainless / #3 – Sly Roxy

#1 – Pure Silver = John Velasquez aboard for Todd Pletcher and they are winning (30%) the past two months. 2-yr-old filly by Mission Impazible and she is a perfect 2/2. Her last effort at Belmont in the Lynbrook Stakes was ultra-impressive. The rider/trainer are 13/16 the last two weeks, and Pletcher wins (27%) with his babies. #2 – Stainless = Manny Franco for Todd Pletcher and they are rolling at a (38%) clip the last 60 days as a team. This daughter of Flatter was coming late in the G3 Schuylerville was very wide at the top of the lane. Pletcher wins (25%) with his sprinters and (45%) ITM with graded stakes. #3 – Sly Roxy = Javier Castellano for Mark Casse and she was impressive in her maiden debut at Saratoga. She was the odds-on favorite and exited off a blistering work prior to her coming out party.

Race #10 – G1 Fourstardave – 1 mile on the turf – 6:28 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #3 – Time Test / #5 – Sassy Little Lila / #6 – Disco Partner

#3 – Time Test = Son of Dubawi for the Chad Brown barn, and has been away from the races for two months. This is his 3rd start of the year, and he was a beaten favorite last out settling for 2nd money. He cuts back in distance and has some nice works over the course. His pattern points to a prime effort. #5 – Sassy Little Lila = Speedy filly by Artie Schiller. Luis Saez has the call for Brad Cox and comes off a loss in the G1 Just A Game. She is 2/2 at the Spa ITM and should be showing the way from the start. #6 – Disco Partner = Tyler Gafflione for Christophe Clement. This son of Disco Rico is 2/2 ITM over the course and is shooting for 4-in-a-row moving up the class ladder.

Arlington

Race #7 – G1 Secretariat – 1 1/4 on turf – 4:50 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #3 – Permian / #4 – Oscar Performance / #6 – Taj Mahal

#3 – Permian = William Buick for Mark Johnston as they bring a 3-yr-old son of Teofilo to post. He cuts back from 1 1/2 at Saint Cloud and is 2/2 ITM going this distance. He owns two impressive efforts going 1 1/4 at Newmarket and Epsom earlier this year. Buick fits the colt like a glove and I’m looking for a stalking effort right off the speed of “Oscar” and “Sonic.” #4 – Oscar Performance = Jose Ortiz aboard for Brian Lynch and this son of Kitten’s Joy was super in the G1 Belmont Derby. Plenty of early foot and has the services of one of the best speed riders in the country. He won the Breeders’ Cup Turf Juvenile last year and has the credentials to not look back with a (20%) winning turf rider in the driver’s seat. #6 – Taj Mahal = Ryan Moore for Aiden O’Brien and gets first-time Lasix (12%), and locked horns with some Euro tough guys. He should be up close, and with the addition of medication this son of Galileo could get the money.

Race #10 – G1 Beverly D – 1 3/16 on the turf – 6:35 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #5 – Grand Jete / #1 -Dacita / #4 – Dona Bruja

#5 – Grand Jete = 3/3 since shipping over from France for the Chad Brown barn. She looks to be getting better with every race, and her late punch can get the job done. Joel Rosario in the saddle and he is looking for his 3rd win in 4 starts. Brown comes loaded this day and her dam Modern Look has 3 starters; 3 winners, and 3 turf winners to her credit. #1 – Dacita = Irad Ortiz aboard for Chad Brown and they are winning (18%) the past two months. Brown wins (27%) with rested runners and she has been away for 60 days. She loves to fire fresh off the rest. #4 – Dona Bruja = Declan Cannon for Ignacio Correas (29%) and she is a perfect 2/2 over the AP turf. This is a very good test as she is stepping up in class today.

Race #11 – G1 Arlington Million – 1 1/4 on the turf – 7:19 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #13 – Mekhtaal / #5 – Deauville / #9 – Scottish

#13 – Mekhtaal = Frankie Dettori in the saddle and exits the Gr.1 Prince of Wales at Ascot. This has been a key race sending out 2 from 6 runners to come right back and score. His dam Aiglonne has 9 starters; 9 turf winners, and 3 stakes winners. He’s been off for 52 days and runs well off a race break. This son of Sea of Stars rates a big chance and the connections like his chances. #5 – Deauville = Ryan Moore for Aidan O’Brien. They have a son of Galileo going to the gate who has solid tactical speed. 3/3 ITM at the distance, and was outkicked down the lane in last year’s edition of the Million. He gets Lasix and should get a perfect trip under Ryan Moore. Been training well and faced some classy runners in Europe. #9 – Scottish = William Buick for Charles Applebee bringing a son of Teofilo to post. Exits the Gr.1 Prince of Wales and is 4/5 ITM going this distance. O’Brien targets US races and this gelding is making his 2nd start of the year with a 52-day rest in between efforts for Team Godolphin.

Graded Stakes Preview – August, 5, 2017

BetPTC.com / Graded Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Saratoga Race #8 – G1 Test Stakes – 7f – 5:10 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections – #10 – American Gal / #8 – Faypien / #4 – Tequilta

#10 – American Gal = 2nd start of the year from trainer Simon Callaghan (21%) with Jose Ortiz in the irons. She is 5/5 ITM and has a sharp work at Del Mar on 7/29. Add in an impressive win in the G3 Victory Starlet after stumbling at the start. #8 – Faypien = Bejarano / Baffert team up (33%) the past two months and she’s been away from the races 49 days. She has plenty of workouts to prepare and cuts back from 1 1/16 – 7f where she is a perfect 2/2. #4 – Tequilita = Luis Saez for Michael Matz and this daughter of Union Rags has been off since the Kentucky Oaks. She’s been working regular and is 1/1 ITM at the Spa.

Race #9 – G1 Whitney – 1 1/8 – 5:46 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections – #6 – Gun Runner / #5 – Keen Ice / #4 -Tu Brutus

#6 – Gun Runner = Impressive son of Candy Ride for the Asmussen barn. He ran a solid 2nd in the Dubai World Cup and came back 3 months later to score in the G1 Stephen Foster. He ran 3rd in the Travers last year and owns some bullet works over the Oklahoma training track. He is maturing into a machine and has some big plans for later down the road. #5 – Keen Ice = Jose Ortiz for Todd Pletcher (23%) the past 2 months. They bring a son of Curlin to post and made the same travels as Gun Runner and came back to win the G2 Suburban at Belmont. He’s 1/1 at the Spa and has the hot hand of Ortiz. #4 – Tu Brutus = Speedy son of Scat Daddy who will try to go flag to finish. He was a beaten favorite last out and this Chilean-bred can set some blistering fraction if left alone with Irad Ortiz.

 

Mountaineer

Race #8 – G3 West Virginia Derby – 1 1/8 – 5:21 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections – #3 – Patch / #5 – Impressive Edge / #7 – Colonelsdarktemper

#3 – Patch = 3-yr-old son of Union Rags exits the Belmont and been off for 56 days. Cuts back from a distance which may be more to his liking. They score (22%) off long layoffs and if you go back to Fair Grounds he was a close 2nd to Girvin who won the Haskell last weekend. Tyler Gafflione in the saddle and will have an honest pace to take a closing run. Rider and trainer have been winning (38%) the past two months and today they wear the Calumet silks. #5 – Impressive Edge = Robby Albarado for Dale Romans and they are 2nd off the layoff. They bring a son of Harlan’s Holiday to post and have faced some tough guys in his past. Albarado rides well for Romans (19%) and could be very dangerous today. #7 – Colonelsdarktemper = Son of Colonel John and has been knocking on the door. He owns some sparkling works including a bullet after the G2 Indiana Derby. Ever since the Pat Day Mile, he has looked better with every start.

 

Del Mar Race #6 – G2 Sorrento – 6 1/2 f – Two-yr-old fillies – 7:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections – #6 – Diamondsandpearls / #1 – Surrender Now / #2 – Spectator

#6 – Diamondsandpearls = Mike Smith aboard for Bob Baffert (67%) the past 60 days and this daughter of Congrats had an impressive maiden win. Her works are hot and a stalking trip off the pace may be the order of the day. Smith comes alive for the big races and it is never too early to start finding yourself a 2-yr-old filly for down the road. #1 – Surrender Now = Flavien Pratt and Peter Miller come to post with a daughter of Morning Line. Her sire wins (19%) with her first-time starters and did not disappoint that day. #2 – Spectator = Daughter of Jimmy Creed wins (31%) with his firster’s and did not disappoint winning by 5 3/4 for the Phil D’Amato barn. Jamie Theriot aboard and has every possibility for a big move forward.

Race #8 – G2 Yellow Ribbon – 1 1/16 on the turf – 8:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections – #6 – Pretty Gal / #7 – Cambodia / #4 – Juno

 #6 – Pretty Gal = Mike Smith in the irons for Paulo Lobo. Smith wins (20%) with his turf runners and this daughter of Harlan’s Holiday is cutting back from 1 1/8 – 1 1/16. She drops in class from the G1 Gamely and could track from the back of the pack looking to make a sustained late rally. She is 6/10 ITM on the sod and is in the right hands today. #7 – Cambodia = Draden Van Dyke for Thom Proctor and they bring a daughter of War Front to post making her second off the layoff. She ships in from Parx and Proctor wins (21%) with a new face in the barn. She is 8/8 ITM on the green and can play the role of an up-close stalker. #4 – Juno = Gary Stevens is the pilot for Neil Drysdale and he wins (23%) on the weeds. She can dictate the pace and lose the field if left alone. She is 7/10 ITM on the greensward, and since getting Lasix three back she’s been knocking on the door.

 

BetPTC.com Horses to Watch – 8/3/17

Horses to Watch – Ed Meyer

The weekend had all eyes on the Spa and Monmouth Park, and this was a great weekend to watch and wager. Tracks were stocked with graded stakes and solid performers. Good Samaritan won the G1 Jim Dandy making his first trip over the dirt for Bill Mott. The trainer always wins one on his birthday, and this was quite the present as he is heading toward the G1 Travers in late August. – Monmouth did not disappoint with a super undercard, and Girvin nailing McCraken on the square in the G1 Haskell. – Here are some runners who may have had a troubled trip or a good excuse for not making it to the winner’s circle. Keep them on your radar screen before heading to the windows. – Best of luck from your friends at BetPTC.com!

Saratoga

7/29/17

Race #7 – Alw – 1 1/16 on the turf – #7 – Mom’s On Strike

#7 – Mom’s On Strike = Filly by First Dude and she came flying late last in the $200,000 Pebbles. They made a rider change from Rajiv Maragh to Luis Saez who is winning (16%) on the turf and making her first start in 9 months. She was dropping in class and saw every bit of the track this day getting caught 4 wide on the first turn and 5 wide on the final turn. She closed like a downbound train getting beat by a 1 3/4. She’ll get into gear and rebound greatly off this race.

Race #9 – G2 Bowling Green – 1 3/8 on the turf – #4 – Sadler’s Joy

#4 – Sadler’s Joy = Son of Kitten’s Joy was making his first start off the shelf in 49 days for Thom Albertrani. He was exiting the G1 Manhattan and looked to fit like a glove in this race. Javier Castellano was weaving in and out of traffic getting caught wide a few times. Once he shook free and started to roll he was inhaled by the top two down the lane. I’m tossing this one to “race-rust” and we’ll look for good things to come on the next outing.

BetPTC cash is king

Race #10 – G1 Jim Dandy – 1 1/8 – #4 – Pavel

#4 – Pavel = Trainer Doug O’Neill shipped in from California off an impressive 6 1/2f mdn win. This son of Creative Cause may be a good runner to follow as he had to show the connections he has the makings but he may need a little more time. From a maiden score to a G1 across the country may have been too much to ask. Keep your eyes peeled for him next time out as I think he’ll reward his backers coming soon.

Saratoga

7/30/17

Race #8 – A.O.C – 6f on the main – #3  Duquesne Whistle

#3  Duquesne Whistle = Son of Posse from the Linda Rice barn had the services of hot rider Ricardo Santanna. He was making his third off the shelf (25%) and had a bullet work on 6/25 before his victory on 7/1/17 at Belmont. He looked like a good play at (12-1) and he lost his footing at the start and then had to be “snatched” up by the rider to keep off of another runner. Once he got moving he made a solid effort running 4th this day.

Belterra Park

7/29/17

Race #3 – Mdn Sp Wt – 1 1/16 on the turf – #6 – Grey Queen

#6 – Grey Queen = Shipping in from Indiana Grand for the Calumet Farm connections. Edgar Paucar was the rider and trainer Jose Fernandez is winning (20%) on the year. – This daughter of More Than Ready was blocked, shuffled back and still came flying very quickly to be a bridesmaid this day. – She gets her picture taken next out with a cleaner trip.

Race #4 – Starter Alw – 1 3/16 on the main – #4 – National Defense

#4 – National Defense = Solid gelding shooting for three-in-a-row. He was 6/8 ITM over the track and made a perfect stalking move under Euclyn Prentice Jr. – He made a ground saving move against the rail and tried to tip off for clear sailing. He was impeded and blocked and was forced to settle for 3rd until a DQ placed him 2nd. I spoke with the riders after he had a meeting with the stewards over this incident and the rider felt he had the best horse by far and lost much of his momentum after being forced to check up off heels. – He’ll be a tough guy next time to the races.

 

BetPTC.com Horses to Watch – 7/30/17

Horses to Watch – Ed Meyer

The prior weekend was filled with ups and downs. On the left coast Arrogate proved that even Superman has kryptonite, and Abel Tasman gave us a glimpse of old time race riding. – Bob Baffert loves to compete, and the weekend showed the highs and lows of Thoroughbred racing. The racing world was all eyes and could feel the pressure of the world on his shoulders. – Here are some runners who you need to keep on your radar screen. They may have had a bad trip or a good excuse. Be sure to follow them back the next time they hit the track. – Best of luck from your friends at BetPTC.com! 

Saratoga

7/22/17

Race #7 – AOC $62,500 – 5 1/2f on the turf – #10 – Vici

Vici = Irad Ortiz for Ben Colebrook as they brought a son of War Front to post. He made a flying move going 6f on the sod getting beat at the wire. They dropped him back to 5 1/2f on the weeds and he was 3/3 ITM going this distance. He came into the race with a bullet work at Keeneland and tipped off going four wide to get rolling. The four wide trip became 7 wide and was beaten by a head in a photo by his ultra talented brother Jose. This wasn’t the first Ortiz brother exacta, and it surely won’t be the last. But this guy will come guns blazing next out at the Spa.

Race #9 – The G3 Sanford – 6f on the main – #4 – Free Drop Billy

Free Drop Billy = Robby Albarado in the saddle for Dale Romans. This son of Union Rags was (15-1) on the morning line and was sent off (3-1). – He was an impressive winner at first asking at CD and had a blistering work over the deep Louisville track two works back in 1:00.03 1/32 for the day and distance. The public hammered him at the windows and so did Admiral Jimmy leaving the starting gate. Once he got rolling he went 4 wide chasing down the leader only to settle for the place spot. – Kentucky runners are doing well at Saratoga and you can’t keep Romans off your ticket if you want to cash it right after the race.

 

Saratoga

7/23/17

Race #7 – Claiming – 6f on the main – #6 – Nisha

Nisha = Irad Ortiz in the irons and was shooting for three-in-a-row. He stumbled badly at the start and recovered his action only to slam into Courtmewithcarats. After that little smash-up, he was pinched back and made a stout five wide move to be third. He’ll come back nicely and probably it will be on the Saratoga lawn.

Race #11 – Mdn Claiming – 1 mile on the turf – #11 – Prognostication

Prognostication = Jose Ortiz for Chad Brown and is a good stalker. Ortiz sensed average fractions and made a quick move and jumped into 2nd keeping an eye on the leader. He was a beaten chalk last out and was sent off the odds-on choice today as well. – He couldn’t have looked any better with the talented Ortiz aboard but got leg weary down the lane getting the show dough. Next out he’ll be a major player.

 

Belterra Park

7/23/17

Race #8 – Claiming – 6f on the main – #4 – Super Franchise

Super Franchise = Gabriel Lagunes for Webster Rosello (28%). He was dropping down from condition $10,000 to condition $7,500. – He hopped at the start and was off poorly. Lagunes had him in high gear and put together a late rally that really caught my eye as he finished a solid third.

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Graded Stakes Preview – Saturday, July 29, 2017

BetPTC.com / Graded Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #5 – G2 Amsterdam – 6 1/2f – 3:15 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3- Mo Cash  / #2 – Coal Front  / #6 – Toga Chamber 

Mo Cash = 3rd off the layoff shipping in from GP. He got beat a neck in the G3 Carry Back and they are cutting back 1/2f with one of the best speed riders in the game. This son of Adios Charlie is 5/5 ITM and Ortiz fits like a glove. Coal Front = Son of Stay Thirsty for Todd Pletcher barn. He is 2/2 and this is his acid test moving to the next level. Rider and trainer are 7/13 the last two weeks. His sire is 2/3 with his progeny and looks solid. Toga Challenger = Moves up the next class rung for Rudy Rodriguez (22%). Irad Ortiz in the saddle and they are 10/27 ITM the past week.

Race #8 – G1 Alfred G. Vanderbilt – 6f – 5:02 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Bird Song / #8 – Limousine Liberal  / #4 – A.P. Indian 

Bird Song = Exits the G1 Stephen Foster and that me a race to toss out. They are cutting back from 1 1/8 – 6f with a win at the Spa. Trainer Ian Wilkes and Julien Leparoux team up to win (40%) the last two months and his blazing work of 47.1 / 1/99 at CD may have all systems go. Limousine Liberal = 7/9 ITM going 6 panels for Ben Colebrook. They are cutting back from 7f and Ortiz compliments his running style perfectly. The bullet work at Keeneland of 47 flat should have them ready to make a good showing. A.P. Indian = Son of Indian Charlie is 7/9 ITM at the distance and 2/3 ITM at Saratoga. Been off two months and working very solid in the morning for Arnaud Delacour.

Race #9 – G2 Bowling Green – 1 3/8 on the turf – 5:48 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Sadler’s Joy  / #5 – Hunter O’Riley / #1 – Bigger Picture 

Sadler’s Joy = Been off for 49 days since the G1 Manhattan. Thom Albertrani is the conditioner and he has the services of Javier Castellano in the irons. This son of Kitten’s Joy was 6 wide and closing stoutly last out. Castellano wins (19%) with his turf runners and his dam has three starters with three turf winners to her credit. Should be mid-pack with a target on the leaders. Hunter O’Riley = Been off for 50 days for the James Toner barn. Florent Geroux in the saddle as he exits the Belmont Gold Cup going 2 miles. Cuts back and has a devasting late kick. Bigger Picture = Joe Bravo for Mike Maker making a 2nd off the shelf move (23%). He exits a win in the G1 Manhattan and Maker wins (36%) with graded stakes runners.

Race #10 – G2 Jim Dandy – 1 1/8 – 6:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Always Dreaming  / #2 – Cloud Computing / #4 – Pavel  

Always Dreaming = John Velasquez aboard for Todd Pletcher with a son of Bodemeister. He’s been off since the Preakness and you might want to toss that race out. He should improve greatly cutting back 1 3/16 – 1 1/8 and the Derby winner looks to kick the second half of the season in fine fashion. The rail is winning at (21%) and the works leading up show readiness to make it back to the races.  Cloud Computing = Closer for the Chad Brown barn. The good news is Javier Castellano stays aboard off the Preakness win. He’s faced some of the best 3-yr-olds of the year and hopes for some pace to set him up. Pavel = Doug O’Neill and Mario Gutierrez bringing a mdn winning son of Creative Cause. He was pretty impressive but this is a whole new level. O’Neill wouldn’t be coming this way if he didn’t think there was a chance for him to fit into the race.

 

Del Mar

Race #9 – G1 Bing Crosby – 6f – 9:10 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Drefong / #4 – Ransom the Moon / #8 – Roy H

Drefong = Son of Gio Ponti is 5/6 with lifetime wins. He’s been away from the races for 8 months and Bob Baffert knows how to bring them ready winning at a (27%) clip. He capped off 2016 going 5-in-a-row and winning the Breeders’ Cup Sprint. Mike Smith in the saddle and he and Baffert are winning (82%) the last 60 days as a team. He is 1/1 at DM and his morning works show he ready for the task. Ransom the Moon = 2017 has been very good for this son of Malibu Moon with 2 wins and a 2nd. Cuts back in distance for the Phil D’Amato barn and has a flashy work to his credit. Roy H = Paco Lopez in the saddle for Peter Miller and has been off for two months winning the G2 True North at Belmont. Blistering works and seeking for his 4th in-a-row coming off the shelf. He’ll be dangerous.

Graded Stakes Preview – Saturday, July 22, 2017

BetPTC.com / Graded Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

 

Saratoga

Race #9 – G3 Sanford – 6f on the main – 5:40 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections = #5 – Admiral Jimmy (4-1) / #7 – Direct Dial (5-2) / #1 – Psychoanalyze (7-2)

#5 – Admiral Jimmy = 2-yr-old colt by Jimmy Creed and he wins (33%) with first-time starters, and lived up to his numbers as this colt romped his first time out at Gulfstream. He’s been in New York since 6/23 and has three works over the course. Javier Castellano in the irons for Todd Pletcher and he wins (27%) with his babies. I’m looking for a repeat getting better for his backers.  #7 – Direct Dial = Speedy son of Too Much Bling and his last race was an impressive run in the $150k Tremont. He has the services of one of the best speed riders in the country with Jose Ortiz who wins (24%) with early speed runners. This Texas-bred for the Steve Asmussen barn will be right there setting the fractions and his morning works have been sparkling. #1 – Psychoanalyze = He won at first asking for Brian Lynch and his sire Overanalyze wins (28%) with his first timers. He’ll battle it out with “Dial” and has every chance to improve with Luis Saez drawing the rail post.

Race #10 – G1 Diana Stakes – 1 1/8 on the turf – 6:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections = #3 – Lady Eli (4-5) / #6 – Dickinson (9-2) / #4 – Quidana (8-1)

#3 -Lady Eli = Irad Ortiz for Chad Brown ITM at the “Spa” and comes off a 56 day break off a win in the G1 Gamely at Santa Anita. Her work two back was very sharp and she’ll look to go a perfect 3/3 at Saratoga. – There will be many racing fans watching her every move as she has overcome much in her short time. If you see anywhere near (4-5) that may be solid value. #6 – Dickinson = Paco Lopez in the saddle for Kiaran McLaughlin and she is 6/7 ITM on the turf. That was a solid run 1st off and Lopez fits her like a glove. It was a perfect stepping stone to build a summer campaign. #4 – Quidana = Graham Motion has a nice filly by Dubawi. She is 5/6 ITM on the sod and makes her 2nd start off a two-month layoff. She’s locked horns with these fillies in the past and looks to bring her “A” game off a smart morning work.

 

Del Mar

Race #4 – G2 Eddie Read – 1 1/8 on the turf – 6:40 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections = #6 – Ashleyluvssugar (7-5) / #5 – Up With the Birds (15-1) / #2 – Hunt (3-1)

#6 – Ashelyluvssugar = Gary Stevens aboard for Peter Eurton. Stevens (22%) with turf runners and is 4/4 ITM at Del Mar. Exits off a win in the G2 Whittingham and been on the shelf for 55 days. Eurton wins (18%) with his layoff runners and cuts back 1 1/4 to 1 1/8. He is 12/16 ITM on the sod and looks to be a perfect stalking type. #5 – Up With the Birds = Jamie Theriot in the irons for Phil D’Amato who was last year’s winning trainer at the meet. He’s been off for 55 days and is a deep closing type. He ran a game 3rd against “Ashley” last out and makes the same trip back to the races. #2 – Hunt = Flavien Pratt for Phil D’Amato and he was 2nd in the standings for leading rider last year. This son of Dark Angel gets first-time blinkers (21%) and 2nd off the layoff (21%) for a very solid conditioner.

 

Race #9 – G2 San Diego Handicap – 1 1/16 on the main – 9:10 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections = #3 – Arrogate (1-5) / #2 – El Huerfano (12-1) / #1 – Accelerate (8-1)

#3 – Arrogate = Super colt coming off a 7 win streak and been off for 3 months after a sparkling win in the Dubai World Cup. Baffert know’s he has a special runner and he is skilled with layoff runners winning (27%) when they return to the races. The world’s highest rated horse will be exciting to watch on his return. #2 – El Huerfano = Speedster with the red-hot Evin Roman in the driver’s seat. He’ll jump out quickly and may have his hands full even with his best effort. #1 – Accelerate = Son of Looking At Lucky is 2/2 at Del Mar making his 2nd trip off of the layoff. His works are hot and the rider is off to a great start.

 

 

BetPTC.com Horses to Watch – 7/19/17

Horses to Watch – Ed Meyer

All eyes were on the Hoosier State as the Indiana Derby went to post in front of a packed house at Indiana Grand. Irap returned off a three-week rest after winning the Ohio Derby, and did not disappoint his backers this day. As we prepare for the gems of summer Saratoga and Del Mar to open their doors. There are plenty of runners to keep on your radar screen. They may have had an excuse or a troubled trip last out. – Best of luck from your friends at BetPTC.com! 

7/15/17

Belmont

Race #1 – Claiming – 6f – #4 King of Anything

#4 – King of Anything = Rajiv Maragh in the saddle for Dom Giglio. He’s been off 59 days and the trainer wins (21%) with layoff runners. He had a sharp work coming in and was pinched back at the start winding up last in the field. He spun out two wide, then five, and eventually 7 wide at the top of the lane finishing a game 4th.

Race #6 – Claiming – 7f on the turf – #4 – Stormin Maclean

#4 – Stormin Maclean = Luis Saez in the irons for Brad Cox (32%). This was his 2nd start off the layoff coming in from Keeneland. The barn wins (32%) with turf runners and was getting added ground going from 6f – 7f. He was caught in very tight against the rail losing all momentum. He is more than capable getting his picture taken next out.

Race  #7 – Mdn Claiming – 1 1/16 on the turf – #4 – Kierland

#4 – Kierland = Luis Saez for Mike Maker getting first time Lasix for a (20%) win clip. His last race came off the turf and the barn scores (21%) going dirt to turf. He uncorked a strong rally splitting runners twice down the lane closing in on the leader. He was beaten in the shadow of the wire.

 

7/14/17

Belterra Park

Race #3 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 6f on the main track – #2 – Woodland Mask

#2 – Woodland Mask = Hector Rosario Jr. in the irons and led from start to finish impressively. They set a new track record while in hand throttled down the last 1/16th of a mile in 1:08.10 – This guy has plenty more in the tank.

Race #4 – Mdn Sp Wt – 5f on the dirt – #5 Love and Mischief

#5 Love and Mischief = John McKee in the saddle for “Buff” Bradley. This filly looked great coming onto the track. This two-year-old broke sharp and was forced to take back and jog home after two horses bumped and were caught in a spill right in front of her. – Toss this race out and she’ll come back and show a better side next out.

Race #8 – Mdn Claiming – 6f on the main track – #1 – C. M. Victoria Rose

#1 – C.M. Victoria Rose = Dean Sarvis (23%) aboard for Matt Hebert (50%) this day. This daughter of Thunder Gulch was shipping in from Tampa Bay and dropping in class. She was far back in the field and came flying very strongly in the lane getting beat a head right at the wire. Play her right back and double-down if Sarvis stays in the saddle.

 

 

Graded Stakes Preview – Saturday, July 15, 2017

BetPTC.com / Graded Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

 

Delaware Park

Race #8 – G3 Kent Stakes – 1 1/8 on the turf – 4:55 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections – #5 – Master Plan (2-1) / #6 – Frostmourne (8-5) / #2 – Lunaire (9-2)

Master Plan = Son of Twirling Candy moves up a notch off his victory in the $50,000 Stanton Stakes. After coming back from Meydan in the UAE Derby he found a new home on turf. Tyler Gafflione in the irons for Todd Pletcher and they are winning (24%) as a team. Pletcher is 2/2 ITM over the course and his runner has faced some tough guys in his travels; Tapwrit, Thunder Snow and Epicharis to name a few. His breeding suggests the turf fits his liking, and the rider is a rising star. Frostmourne = Joel Rosario aboard for Christophe Clement. This is third off the layoff move exiting the G2 Penn Mile. Two races back he received Lasix and this has helped him kick off 2017 in fine fashion. Lunaire = Son of Malibu Moon has the services of Mike Smith and is 2/3 ITM on the turf. He looks to be evolving into a seasoned runner, and in time he’ll be more of a major player.

Race #9 – Delaware Handicap – 1 1/4  on the main – 5:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections – #5 – Songbird (1-5) / #3 – Weep No More (6-1) / #4 – Line of Best Fit (12-1)

Songbird = Mike Smith aboard for Jerry Hollendorfer and they have a monster of a filly here. She is 13/13 ITM with 12 wins. She has two races at 1 1/8th at two- and is maturing into a gal we’ll be talking about for years. Her works at Santa Anita look solid and is 2nd off the layoff winning the G1 Odgen Phipps at Belmont. Weep No More = 3rd start off the layoff for the Rusty Arnold barn. 1st-time blinkers, and she has run 4th and 5th against Songbird. Even with her “A +” game, she’ll have her hands full, but minor awards are not out of the question. Line of Best Fit = Solid gal who has been very consistent a few class levels below for trainer Kieron Magee (38%). She could easily be a part of the exotics.

 

Indiana Grand

Race #8 – G3 Indiana Oaks – 1 1/16 on the main track – 9:21 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections – #4 – Majestic Quality (3-1) / #8 – Mopotism (7-5) / #6 – Stonetacular (7-2)

Majestic Quality = Kent Desormeaux in the irons for his brother Keith. Ever since she came off the turf four races back, she has been looking better by the step. Her last effort in the G2 Summertime Oaks had her in full gear rolling late in the lane. I like her last two races and feel she is maturing into a fine young lady. They ship in from California and the “Brother’s D” come to the Hoosier state to take down the money. Mopotism = This daughter of Uncle Mo looked great last out and leaves California with a very sharp work to her credit. She was knocked around quite a bit in the Kentucky Oaks and has the look of a freshened filly. Stonetacular = She will be handled by B.J. Hernadez and shows solid speed. She was a beaten favorite last out and the Neil Howard barn comes back to win (28%) off this angle. She is 5/5 ITM moving up the ladder in good hands.

 

Race #9 – Indiana Derby – 1 1/16 on the main track- 9:49 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections – #9 – Untrapped (6-1) / #2 – Irap (8-5) / #3 – Wild Shot (8-1)

Untrapped = 2nd off the layoff for this son of Trappe Shot. The Ohio Derby run was good but not a peak effort. Ricardo Santana in the saddle for Steve Asmussen and this colt may be feeling his old self again. The last race didn’t use all of his reserves and I think he’ll come back and report home better. Santan has finished no worse than third and fits him well. This colt will come calling late in the lane. Irap = Reddam Racing Llc, Doug O’Neill, and Mario Gutierrez make a good team. He followed the same Derby trail run and it was grueling. Irap was impressive down the lane in the Ohio Derby and is coming back in less than three weeks. We’ll know about two minutes after post time if the Ohio Derby took too much away from this solid colt. Wild Shot = Rusty Arnold brings a nice colt to post. After his win in the Pat Day Mile at Churchill, I started seeing a good deal of talent. Look for an up close stalking effort making a move at the top of the lane.

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BetPTC.com Horses to Watch – 7/11/17

Horses to Watch – Ed Meyer

Most of the country had all eyes on Belmont with a spectacular day of racing on tap. They didn’t disappoint, and the track crew gets the big award having to deal with a deluge of rain the day prior.  There are plenty of runner’s we’ll be watching for months to come off this day of incredible action. – Here are some runners who may have flown under your radar, but they offer a good deal value if you follow them back to the races next out. – Best of luck from your friends at BetPTC.com !

7/8/17

Belmont

Race #3 – Maiden Sp Wt – 5 1/2f on the main track

#4 – Roaming Union = Mike Smith was aboard for Kelly Breen. He was forced to check up strongly at the break and fanned out 6 wide at the top of the lane. This race should be a great learning tool for races ahead.

Race #8 – G1 Belmont Oaks – 1 1/4 on the turf

#7 – Uni = Irad Ortiz in the saddle for Chad Brown making her first start in 58 days after shipping over from France. Brown has been winning at (27%) at the meet and she broke slow at the start and was in tight along the hedge. She was closing stoutly and will be fun to follow right back for good things to come.

Race #10 – G1 Belmont Derby – 1 1/4 on the turf

#1 – Good Samaritan = Joel Rosario for Bill Mott. 3rd off the layoff for this son of Harlan’s Holiday and hit the gate at the break. He was three-wide turning for home and dove to the rail trying to save ground. He opened at (12-1) and was bet down to ($5.60-1) as the public saw the value in this runner. He’ll bring plenty of good runs in days to come.

7/8/17

Belterra Park

Race  #5 – Claiming – 1 mile and 70 yards – (Originally scheduled for 1 mile on the turf )

#6 – Gem Digger = Odhair Mayta aboard for Stephanie Preston an (80%) winning trainer with only 5 starts this meet / 4 wins and 1 third place finish. This daughter of Tale of Ekati  was fresh off a maiden win and three off the shelf. She reared at the start and made a strong effort to get back in the game. With a little racing luck she’ll be a major player.

7/9/17

Belmont

Race #3 – Allowance – 7f on the turf

#3 – Rubilinda = Jose Ortiz in the irons for Chad Brown. This daughter of Frankel is bred to relish the turf and was taking the next step up the ladder. She broke inward at the break and steadied twice hard during the race. I would use this effort as a learning tool for the future. She’ll reward her backers next time out.

7/9/17

Belterra Park

Race #2 – Maiden Special Weight – 5f on the turf

#3 – As You Do = 1st time starter by Colonel John for the red-hot barn of Dane Kobiskie (43%) at the meet. He was working well and weaved through traffic like a professional. He’ll be effective sprinting or getting more ground adding to this win.

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Graded Stakes Preview – Saturday, July 8, 2017

BetPTC.com / Graded Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Belmont Race #6 – G3 Dwyer – 1 mile on the main- 4:38 pm

BetPTC.com Selections – #2 – (6-5) Battalion Runner / #3 – (7-5) Practical Joke / (#5 – (5-1) Giusseppe the Great

Battalion Runner is a good looking son of Unbridled’s Song who is 4/4 ITM lifetime. He ran a game effort in the G2 Wood Memorial finishing second to Irish War Cry. Cuts back from 1 1/8 to a mile, and makes his first start off the layoff for Todd Pletcher. The barn wins (29%) with rested runners and a couple bullet works over the course has everything looking good. Practical Joke comes in for Chad Brown exiting the Kentucky Derby. He’s been on a brief vacation for 2 months and may not have taken to the track in Louisville. Solid stalker type who plans to come calling down the lane. Giusseppe the Great is a lightly raced colt from the barn of Nick Zito. He is 4/4 ITM this year and was picking up the pieces in the G2 Woody Stephens finishing 2nd.

Race #8 – G1 Belmont Oaks – 1 1/4 on the main track – 5:46 pm

BetPTC.com Selections – #8 -(7-2) New Money Honey / #2 – (15-1) Beau Recall / #7 – (6-1) Uni / #12 – (5-2) Sistercharlie

New Money Honey is making her 2nd start off a two month layoff in the hands of Javier Castellano. Her last effort in the G3 Wonder Again showed good promise coming in fresh and ready. She showed a whole new dimesion grabbing the lead going wire-to-wire. Chad Brown is the trainer and comes back to score (27%) off a stakes win. She is 2/2 at Belmont, and you have to respect the barn on big race days. Beau Recall ships in from Santa Anita, and has the services of Flavien Prat who wins (21%) on the turf. She is conditoned by Simon Callaghan and looks to put away the bridesmaid dress and walk into the winner’s circle. By all accounts she looks to be sitting on a big effort. Uni is a daughter of More than Ready for Chad Brown / Irad Ortiz. She is coming over from France, and Brown wins (29%) with new runners in his barn. Sistercharlie has been a monster and her last race at Chantilly was a big effort in the Group 1 Prix de Diane.  I love the move to Chad Brown / John Velasquez , and there is not much you couldn’t like. Opening up at (5-2) and breaking from the #12 post is enough to send me looking for a better price. If she runs half of her last race she’ll be tough, but you’re not going to get the price you deserve. I’m leaning to the other Chad Brown runners who offer a better price.

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Race #9 – G2 Suburban Handicap – 1 1/4 – 6:18 pm

BetPTC.com Selections – #6 – (4-5) Shaman Ghost / #5 – (8-1) Follow Me Crev / #3 – (15-1) Sunny Ridge

Shaman Ghost is shooting for three straight wins. This son of Ghostzapper was closing stoutly in the G3 Pimlico Special. 2/3 ITM at Belmont and gets an added 1/16th of a mile to target. He appears to be hitting his gear at the right time and is 4/5 at the distance. Follow Me Crev exits the G1 Gold Cup at Santa Anita and has faced some real tough guys along his journey. He sports a bullet work going 1:13 flat at Santa Anita and ships to New York for trainer Vladimir Cerin. Sunny Ridge is a son of Holy Bull and 2/2 ITM over the Belmont surface. Manny Franco in the irons for Jason Servis (33%) and they could get a piece of the pie stalking just off the speed.

Race #10 – G1 Belmont Derby – 1 1/4 on the turf – 6:50 pm

BetPTC.com Selections – #1 – (12-1) Good Samaritan / #6 – (8-1) Arlow / #5 – (5-1) Called To The Bar

Good Samaritan exits the G3 Pennine Ridge at Belmont. This son of Harlan’s Holiday has returned to the races stronger than ever in 2017. The distance should not be a problem and draws the golden rail winning at a rate of (29%). Bill Mott  is the trainer and Joel Rosario has been the only rider aboard. You’ll  see him working up the rail looking for his path at the 1/4 pole.  Arklow was the longshot winner who beat Good Samaritan in the G2 American Turf at Churchill Downs. Mike Smith stays aboard, and this son of Arch is 2/2 on the greensward. Smith is winning at (42%) at Belmont and the “Money Man” cometh for a very good reason. I think we’ll be hearing good things from this guy in the future. Called To The Bar ships in from France and is 4/4 ITM on the turf. He has been away from the races for 46 days and the son of Henrythenavigator. He has won at this distance for rider Maxime Guyon at Chantilly.