BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – Dec 14

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview

by: Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #6 – The G3 Sugar Swirl – 6f – 2:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Lady’s Island / #3 – A Bit of Both / #6 – Stormy Embrace

#4 Lady’s Island comes from the Georgina Baxter barn winning 33% at the meet. She is 7 for 7 ITM at GP and seeks her 5th win in a row. She’s been on the shelf for 45 days and sports a quick turn of foot from the break. She makes the turf to dirt switch and has a sharp work to prepare for Emisael Jaramillo. #3 A Bit of Both is the daughter of Paynter for Jason Servis and Paco Lopez aboard. This is her 3rd off the layoff and the barn wins 26% on this move. She’s a solid stalker and 5 for 5 ITM at GP. Look for her up close tracking the leader. #6 Stormy Embrace comes in for trainer Kathleen O’Connell and is 10 for 13 over the strip. She cuts back from 7f and has the services of Luis Saez. Look for a stalking trip in mid pack and Saez to cut her loose at the top of the lane.

Race #8 – The G3 Rampart – 1 mile – 3:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Baccarat Fashion / #7 – Pink Sands / #3 – Molto Bella

#9 Baccarat Fashion comes from the barn of Peter Walder winning 29% at the meet shooting for three in a row. She’s been off for 51 days and sports a sharp workout. She’s a stalker with Albarado in the irons. #7 Pink Sands is a long range closer for Shug McGaughey. This daughter of Tapit is 2 for 3 ITM at GP and goes from a sprint to a route where they win 24%. Jose Ortiz is in the driver’s seat. #3 Molto Bella comes in for Ian Wilkes and B.J. Hernadez in the saddle. A mid pack stalker shipping in from CD and gets added distance to run at today. 

Race #9 – The G2 Ft. Lauderdale – 1 1/8 on the turf – 4:00 pm EDT 

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Channel Cat / #8 – Admission Office / #7 – Cross Border

#5 Channel Cat is a son of English Cat for Todd Pletcher and John Velasquez. He is 4 for 5 ITM over the course and ships in from SA in the BC Turf. The drop in class and brief rest may have this closer in top order. Pletcher is off to a great start at the meet and winning 50%. #8 Admission Office is a son of Point of Entry. This is his 3rd off the layoff where Brian Lynch wins 19% and his last race was a good indicator of things to come. #7 Cross Border comes in for trainer Mike Maker and ships down from AQU off a win. He’s a mid pack closer and Saez wins 19% with closers.

Race #10 – The G-3 Harlan’s Holiday – 1 1/16 – 4:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Prince Lucky / #3 – Red Crescent / #5 – War Story

#1 Prince Lucky is a speedy gelding for Todd Pletcher. John Velasquez draws the mount and gets the rail. He’s been off 49 days and the trainer has been red hot the past two weeks going 6 for 8 ITM. Catch him if you’re going to beat him. #3 Red Crescent is a son of Overdriven and has Tyler Gaffalione in the irons. He’s a mid pack stalker and should get a solid pace to monitor. #5 War Story comes in for Elizabeth Dobles and has a good deal of early speed. Luis Saez gets the nod and will have to do battle with Lucky Prince. He’s faced some tough players and can easily bring his “A” game to the table.

 

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – Dec. 7

BetPTC.com Selections / Weekend Stakes Preview

By: Ed Meyer

Aqueduct Race #6 – The G3 Go for Wand – 1 mile – 2:09 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3- Spiced Perfection / #6 – Our Super Nova / #4 – Another Broad

#3 Spiced Perfection comes in 3rd off the layoff exiting the Breeders’ Cup Sprint. She takes a huge drop in class, and go back two races where she won the G2 TCA at Kee as she’ll be rolling late for the Peter Miller barn with Javier Castellano in the irons. They are winning 43% as a team and the 3rd off move yields a 23% win clip. #6 Our Super Nova is a New York bred who loves the oval going 3 for 6 ITM at AQU. She is 6 for 6 ITM at the distance and owns a red hot work going 4f in 47.1. Junior Alvarado has the call for Charlton Baker. #4 Another Broad is a daughter of Include for Todd Pletcher and Eric Cancel gets the nod. 3rd off the layoff gets a 22% win clip and 2 for 2 ITM at AQU is promising. She’ll come calling late in the lane and the cutback in distance may have her moving quickly.

Race #8 – The G2 Demoisel – 1 1/8 – 3:13 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Alandra / #10 – Daphne Moon / #12 – Lake Avenue

#5 Alandra is a daughter of Blame for Shug McGaughey. She was a beaten favorite at KEE last out in the G1 Alcibiades and has been off for two months. She should be forwardly placed under Joel Rosario and they score 33% as a team. The rider has been hot the past week going 8 for 12 ITM. #10 Daphne Moon is a daughter of Cairo Prince for Jeremiah Engelhardt with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. She stumbled at the break in the G1 Frizette and still come on to finish 5th. She drops down in class and this closer will come rolling late under Ortiz who wins 23% with routes. #12 Lake Avenue is a daughter of Tapit and is bred to get the distance. Bill Mott is the trainer with Junior Alvarado in the irons. A tactical runner who should stalk just off the leaders. Her work at Belmont is promising and Alvarado wins 20% with early type runners.

Race #9 – The G-2 Remsen – 1 1/8 – 3:43 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Chase Tracker / #4 – Ajaaweed / #8 – Alpha Sixty Six

#1 Chase Tracker is a son of Verrazano for Todd Pletcher with Javier Castellano in the saddle. This is his 3rd off effort and exits the G3 Nashua going 5 wide while closing nicely. 2nd time going a route race yields a 28% win clip for the barn. #4 Ajaaweed is a son of Curlin for Kiaran McLaughlin with Joel Rosario in the irons. He’s been off two months exiting the G1 Breeders’ Futurity at KEE and was caught five wide, He’ll be running late dropping in class with a solid morning work. #8 Alpha Sixty Six comes in for the Pletcher barn and takes off the blinkers where they win 22%. John Velasquez in the driver’s seat and this closer comes off a 2 month layoff and may enjoy the equipment change. Johnny V wins 28% with route races and drops down the class ladder. This son of Liam’s Map can pick up the leaders late in the lane and JV wins 20% with closers.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – Nov. 23

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview

by: Ed Meyer

Aqueduct

Race #9 – The G3 Red Smith – 1 3/8 on the turf – 3:47 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Nakamura / #7 – Sadler’s Joy / #4 – Marzo

#3 Nakamura is a son of Animal Kingdom for trainer Graham Motion. Jose Ortiz has the call and he wins 19% of his turf mounts. He came flying in the G3 Sycamore at Kee and was forced to take up and steady. A clear trip has him winner’s circle bound. #7 Sadler’s Joy is a son of Kitten’s Joy who has been off for 49 days for the Tom Albertrani barn with Javier Castellano in the irons. He was a beaten chalk last out and the barn comes back to score 20%. Add in a big drop in class and this closer will come calling late in the lane. #4 Marzo comes from the Mike Maker barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. He was the upset winner of the G3 Sycamore and has tactical speed with a 7 for 8 ITM turf record.

Delta Downs

Race #8 – The Jean Lafitte – 1 mile – 9:11 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Jack the Umpire / #1 – Sir Winsalot / #5 – X Clown

#2 Jack the Umpire is a son of Bodemeister who is 1 for 1 over the Delta strip. Tommy Pompell in the irons and he is a perfect stalker going a route of ground today. He should be forwardly placed as he attempts to give them the slip down the backside. #1 Sir Winsalot comes in for the Ken McPeek barn off a win at Kee. He draws the rail under Gerard Melancon and sports a sharp work to prepare. He’s been routing and the distance should be no problem. Steps up in class and since moving from the turf he looked like a new runner. #5 X Clown makes his 2nd off the layoff for this son of Jimmy Creed. The LA bred should get an up close stalking trip waiting to pounce under Tyler Woodley.

Del Mar

Race #8 – The G3 Native Diver – 1 1/8 – 7:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Two Thirty Five / #4 – Roadster / #2 – Midcourt

#6 Two Thirty Five comes from the Richard Baltas barn with Abel Cedillo in the saddle. This son of Stay Thirsty always comes running and the added distance may help his cause. 2nd time off of the layoff and is 4 for 7 ITM at DM. He has faced some tough runners in the past and comes in fresh with a solid prep. #4 Roadster is a son of Quality Road for Bob Baffert. He’s going from a sprint to a route where Baffert wins 28% and comes in with the perfect prep for longer distance and a softer field. He looks the one to beat, but I’m using underneath for value. #2 Midcourt is a son of Midnight Lute seeking his fourth win. He does take a major step in class but trainer John Sheriffs knows how to bring them ready. Look for a solid closing effort under Victor Espinoza.

BetPTC.com Weekend Stakes Preview – Nov. 16

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview

by: Ed Meyer

Aqueduct

Race #8 – The Key Cents – 6f – 3:20 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Time Limit / #7 – Big Q / #2 – Playtone

#3 Time Limit is a daughter of Bustin Stones for trainer Mike Maker with Javier Castellano in the irons. They make the turf to dirt move and drop from graded company. She should dictate the pace under Castellano and he scores 24% with early runners. #7 Big Q is a daughter of Big Brown for the Gary Gullo barn. Jose Lezcano gets the nod and she’s been off for two months since Saratoga. She gets 2nd time Lasix and has regular works at Belmont. She should be in top form. #2 Playtone comes from the George Weaver barn with Manny Franco aboard. 3rd off the shelf and the barn scores 20% with two year old runners. This daughter of Tonalist is taking a step up in class and should be ready.

Churchill Downs

Race #10 – The G-3 River City – 1 1/8 on the turf – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Mr. Understood / #3 – Blue Sky Kowboy / #2 – Emmaus

#4 Mr. Understood is a son of Archarcharch for the Brad Cox barn who is winning 26% at the meet. Florent Geroux is back in action and they have been on the shelf for 48 days. They are seeking a repeat in this stake and are 5 for 5 ITM over the course. He comes in freshened and beaten chalk at Remington last out. Geroux will come rolling late in the final furlong. #3 Blue Sky Kowboy is a son of Kodiak Kowboy for the Michelle Boyce barn. Sophie Doyle gets the call and she’ll have this gelding flying late in the race. He’s 11 for 15 ITM on turf and exits a stake win at Hawthorne. #2 Emmaus hails from the Conor Murphy barn with Channing Hill in the saddle. This is his 3rd off the layoff and sitting on a huge effort. He’ll come calling late in the race and will need a solid pace to be a factor. Murphy wins 20% off a last race win.

Del Mar

Race  #8 – The G-3 Bob Hope  7f – 7:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3- Thousand Words / #6 – Strongconstitution / #5 – High Velocity

#3 Thousand Words is a son of Pioneer of the Nile for Bob Baffert with Flavien Prat in the saddle. He closed fast to win his opener and added distance should be welcome. Prat wins 23% with sprinters and Baffet wins 32% with his babies. #6 Strongconstitution comes from the barn of Doug O’Neill with Abel Cedillo in the irons. 2nd start off the layoff and owns a bullet work to prepare. This son of Constitution has plenty of speed and Cedillo wins 23% with speedy runners. #5 High Velocity enters in for Bob Baffert and Drayden Van Dyke. An impressive maiden win going five and a half and this son of Quality Road should break sharply. Van Dyke and Baffert win 38% as a team.

BetPTC.com Horse Racing Stakes Preview – Nov. 9th

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview

by: Ed Meyer

Churchill Downs

Race #10 – G3 Commonwealth Turf – 1 1/16 on turf – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Spectacular Gem / #7 – Tracksmith / #14 – Journeyman

#6 Spectacular Gem comes from the James Baker barn with James Graham in the saddle. They are looking for three in a row and his sire Can the Man wins 19% with his turfers. He should be right on the engine fresh off a win in the Jefferson Cup. #7 Tracksmith is a son of Street Sense for trainer Joe Sharp and Brian Hernadez Jr. He is 5 for 7 ITM on turf and was closing stoutly in the Jefferson Cup at CD. He is 2 for 2 ITM in Louisville and his last race showed good promise. #14 Journeyman is a son of Animal Kingdom for Eoin Harty and Declan Cannon in the irons. He exits the Dueling Grounds Derby moving quick in the final furlong. He owns a win and a 2nd on the greensward.

Aqueduct

Race #8 – The Artie Schiller – 1 mile on the turf – 3:20 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Frontier Market / #9 – Dr. Edgar / #8 – Caribou Club

#1 Frontier Market comes from the Chad Brown barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. A son of Lemon Drop Kid off 49 days and fires fresh off the layoff. The rail is winning 28% and the drop in class should have this closer skimming the hedge to the winner’s circle. #9 Dr. Edgar is 2nd off the layoff for Barclay Tagg and Dylan Davis in the irons. A speedy son of Lookin At Lucky drops in class from the G-2 Knickerbocker and should be right with the speed on the cutback in distance. #8 Caribou Club comes from the barn of Thom Proctor and Feargal Lynch. He has been off 49 days and owns a bullet work to prepare. A son of City Zip has a strong late kick and should be a player in the final furlong.

Race #9 – The Atlantic Beach – 6f on the turf – 3:50 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Freewheeler / #8 – Embolden / #6 – American Pharoah

#5 Freewheeler is a son of City Zip for Todd Pletcher and Irad Ortiz. They add blinkers and that yields a 20% win clip. Last out he was closing on the BC winner Four Wheel Drive. Ortiz wins 21% with turfers and look for a mid pack closing trip. #8 Embolden is a son of The Factor for Michael Stidham and Joel Rosario. The add blinkers and get a 20% win clip with added equipment. Rosario wins 19% with early runners. #6 Turned Aside is a son of American Pharoah who wins 20% with his turf runners. Linda Rice and Jose Lezcano team up to win 22%. This colt should be up close and dangerous.

BetPTC.com Breeders’ Cup Preview – Saturday

BetPTC.com / Breeders’ Cup Preview / Saturday / 11-2-19

by: Ed Meyer

Santa Anita

Race #4 – The B/C F&M Sprint – 7f – 2:55 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Dawn the Destroyer / #4 – Come Dancing / #5- Lady Ninja

#8 Dawn the Destroyer is 3rd off the shelf for Kiaran McLaughlin and Tyler Gaffalione. She ran a fast closing 2nd in the G2 TCA at Kee and gets added distance today. The barn wins 21% with shippers and Gaffalione is ready for the big stage. #4 Come Dancing is a daughter of Malibu Moon with Javier Castellano in the irons. 3rd off the layoff looking for three in a row. Castellano should have her in a perfect stalking mode. #5 Lady Ninja comes from the barn of Richard Baltas with Drayden Van Dyke. She is 9 for 10 ITM at SA. Add in a red hot work and she’ll be dangerous if the pace is salty down the lane.

 

Race #5 – The BC Turf Sprint – 5f on turf – 3:33 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Totally Boss / #5 – Stubbins / #10- Eddie Haskell

#1 Totally Boss comes in for Rusty Arnold and Jose Ortiz has the call. They are looking for 3 in a row exiting a big win in the G3 Turf Sprint at KyD. Ortiz gets the rail and is 6 for 7 ITM running short. He’ll be rolling up the hedge late in the game. #5 Stubbins goes to post for Doug O’Neill and Flavien Prat in the irons. They exit a win in the G2 Woodford at Kee. He is 2 for 2 at SA and 2 for 2 ITM at the distance. Prat will come rolling late in the running. #10 Eddie Haskell in for Mark Glatt and Joel Rosario aboard. He’s been stepping up each time and has the ability to come rolling late. He got shuffled about and still closed stoutly as the beaten chalk in the G2 Eddie D.

 

Race #6 – The BC Dirt Mile – 1 mile – 4:10 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Mr. Money / #2 – Improbable / #5 – Omaha Beach

#4 Mr.  Money is a son of Goldenscents for Bret Calhoun and Gabriel Saez. 2nd off the layoff and cuts back in distance where he is 1 for 1 going a mile. He’ll be mid pack and Saez will have him in top gear. #2 Improbable comes in for Bob Baffert and Rafael Bejarano as they are 1 for 1 at SA. 3rd off the layoff where the barn wins 22% and turns back in distance, He’ll be just off the lead and will stalk a close rail trip. #5 Omaha Beach is 2nd off the layoff for Dick Mandell and Mike Smith in the saddle. This son of War Front is 3 for 3 at SA. His works are tight and you can’t slight the connections. He’ll be on the engine in the guiding hands of Smith.

 

Race #7 – The BC F&M Turf – 1 1/4 on turf – 4:54 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Sistercharlie / #7 – Vasilika / #10 – Mrs. Sippy

#2 Sistercharlie is the daughter of Myboycharlie (IRE) for Chad Brown and John Velasquez. She is seeking her 7th straight win and Brown has win this race four times prior. She is 5 for 6 ITM at the distance and comes in 2nd off the layoff after winning the G1 Flower Bowl. #7 Vasilika is a daughter of Skipshot for Dan ward and Flavien Prat aboard. She exits a fast closing effort in the G1 First Lady at Kee and with Prat in the irons you know he’s going to find her best stride. #10 Mrs. Sippy a daughter of Blame for Graham Motion and Joel Rosario. 3rd off the shelf and was a fast closing 3rd in the G1 Flower Bowl. She sports a wicked late kick.

 

Race #8 – The BC Sprint – 6f – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9- Imperial Hint / #4 – Mitole / #5 – Engage

#9 Imperial Hint comes in for Luis Carvajal with Javier Castellano in the saddle. 2nd time out off a gutsy win in the G1 Vosburgh. His works are sharp and will display versatility stalking just off the pace. #4 Mitole is a son of Eskendreya for Steve Asmussen with Ricardo Santanna aboard. The first start in two months and his works are strong. Cuts back in distance and will be right near the front. His speed may carry him to the winner’s circle. #5 Engage in for Asmussen and John Velasquez. They are seeking their 3rd straight win and with the early pace in here his late stride may be the answer. He was impressive winning the G2 Phoenix last out.

 

Race #9 – BC Mile – 1 mile turf – 6:20 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #14 – Bowie’s Hero / #11 – Uni / #1 – Suedois

#14 Bowie’s Hero 2nd off the layoff and winner of the G1 Shadwell last out. He loves SA going 6 for 9 ITM and his only knock is the outside post. With Flavien Prat in the irons for Phil D’Amato, he’s going to find his best run. #11 Uni is a daughter of More Than Ready for Chad Brown and Joel Rosario. Winner of the G1 First Lady and knocked heads with the boys before. Brown knows how to spot them and Joel will get her late closing kick in gear. #1 Suedois was closing eight wide in the G1 Shadwell and was 3rd under a blanket finish. Castellano picks up the mount from Jamie Spencer and trainer David O’Meara always brings his runners ready.

fund for the Breeders' cup

Race #10 – The BC Distaff – 1 1/8 – 7:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5- Dunbar Road / #4- Midnight Bisou / #11 – Blue Prize

#5 Dunbar Road is a daughter of Quality Road for Chad Brown and Jose Ortiz. 2nd off the layoff and 6 for 6 ITM. The G1 Spinster was a perfect prep and Ortiz back in the irons should have her running late. #4 Midnight Bisou is a daughter of Midnight Lute for Steve Asmussen and Mike Smith in the saddle. She is seeking her 8th in a row and is a horse for the course going 4 for 4 ITM at SA. Smith will have this stalker in handy order as they turn for home. #11 Blue Prize a daughter of Pure Prize and is 5 for 5 ITM this year. She is 2nd off the shelf after a win in the G1 Spinster. She loves the distance and Joe Bravo looks to pick up the leaders on the far turn.

 

Race #11 – The BC Turf – 1 1/2 on turf – 7:40 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Old Persian / #9 – Bricks and Mortar / #5 – Anthony Van Dyke

#10 Old Persian is a son of Dubawi (IRE) for the Charles Appleby yard. Willam Buick has the call and they exit an impressive win in the G1 Northern Dancer getting 2nd Lasix today. His closing effort last out was eye catching at Woodbine and looks to wear down the leaders in the lane. #9 Bricks and Mortar comes in for Chad Brown with Irad Ortiz getting the call. They are seeking a 7th straight win and his dam Beyond the Waves has 7 starters, 7 winners, and 6 turf winners to her credit. Ortiz wins 21% with closers and this son of Giant’s Causeway looks like the one to beat. #5 Anthony Van Dyke is a son of Galileo for Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore. He was a beaten chalk in last year’s BC Juvenile Turf and looks for payback against a stout field.

 

Race #12 – The BC Classic – 1 1/4 – 8:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #11 – Code of Honor / #10 – Vino Rosso / #8 – McKinzie

#11 Code of Honor comes in for Shug McGaughey and John Velasquez. 3rd off the layoff and was put up in a DQ to win the G1 Jockey Gold Cup. He’s a closing son of Noble Mission and has been working well to keep sharp. The one to beat. #10 Vino Rosso is a son of Curlin for Todd Pletcher and Irad Ortiz. He is 1 for 1 at SA and owns a couple of sharp works to prepare. He’ll be up close and ready to move when Ortiz hits the accelerator. He may want some payback as he was moved to 2nd against Code of Honor last out. #8 McKinzie is 7 for 7 at SA for the Baffert barn with Joel Rosario getting the call. He was a beaten favorite last out in the G1 Awesome Again and this son of Street Sense should be up close. Add in that bullet work and we may have a sleeper who can take down the prize.

BetPTC.com – Breeders’ Cup Preview – Friday Day One

BetPTC.com / Breeders’ Cup Preview / Friday 11/1/19

by: Ed Meyer

Santa Anita

Race #5 – The G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint – 4:12 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Four Wheel Drive / #7 – Kimari / #5 – Encoder

#9 Four Wheel Drive is a son of American Pharaoh and a perfect 2 for 2. Wesley Ward and Irad Ortiz team up as he’ll duke it out with stablemate Kimari and hang on at the wire. Ortiz wins 23% on the turf and his sire wins 21% with his turf runners. #7 Kimari comes from the Wesley Ward barn and closed strongly to beat the boys at Keeneland in the Indian Summer after getting bumped and circling the entire field. John Velasquez back in the saddle and this is a positive sign. #5 Encoder comes from the John Sadler barn with Flavien Prat in the saddle. Beaten favorite last out and cuts back in distance,  Prat wins with 23% of his turf mounts.

 

Keeneland offer at BetPTC

Race #6 – The G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf – 1-mile turf – 4:52 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #12 – Arizona / #14 – Hit the Road / #13 – Fort Myers

#12 Arizona comes from the yard of Aidan O’Brien with Ryan Moore in the irons. Last out faced Europe’s top sprinter in Pinatubo and gets added ground today. First Lasix and should relish the firm going. #14 Hit the Road is a son of More Than Ready for Dan Blacker and Flavien Prat. 1 for 1 at Santa Anita and exits a strong closing win in the Zuma Beach. 2 for 2 on turf and moving to Prat is a big plus. #13 Fort Myers is a son of War Front for Aidan O’Brien with Wayne Lordan getting the nod. The yard’s runners must be respected and they all do well in this race historically. Adds Lasix shipping in from Dundalk and shouldn’t be overlooked.

 

Race #7 – The G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies – 5:32 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – British Idiom / #7 – Wicked Whisper / #6 – Bast

#4 British Idiom is a Brad Cox trainee with Javier Castellano in the saddle. They won the G-1 Alcibiades and it appeared to be the perfect prep. She is 2 for 2 and looks to stalk and pounce. #7 Wicked Whisper comes from the barn of Steve Asmussen with Joel Rosario going wire to wire off the G1 Frizette. She has the perfect breeding to carry her speed. Add in the sharp work and you have to look very closely. #6 Bast is a daughter of Uncle Mo for the Baffert barn winning 28% at the meet. She’s a stalking sort and has John Velasquez in the driver’s seat.

 

Race #8 – The G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf – 6:12 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Albigna / #12 – Sweet Melina / #7 – Crystalle

#9 Albigna is a daughter of Zoffany (IRE) from the Harrington yard with Shane Foley aboard. Exits a Group 1 at Lonchamp and her dam Freedonia has 6 starters, 5 winners, and 5 turf winners to her credit. She should enjoy the firm footing today. #12 Sweet Melania is a daughter of American Pharaoh for Todd Pletcher and Jose Ortiz. 3rd off the layoff and exits an impressive win in the G2 Jessamine at Kee. She’ll be up close and Ortiz wins 20% with his early runners. #7 Crystalle comes from the John Kimmel barn with Joel Rosario. A daughter of Palace Malice who is stalking closer. Look for her rolling at the top of the lane in high gear.

 

Race #9 – The G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile – 1 1/16 – 7:03 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Scabbard / #1 – Dennis’ Moment / #6 – Eight Rings

#5 Scabbard is a son of More Than Ready for trainer Eddie Kenneally and Mike Smith. He was forced to steady last out and rallied strongly with a promising late kick. There is plenty of speed in here to set up a late runner from the back of the pack. Look for a square price. #1 Dennis’ Moment is a son of Tiznow for Dale Romans and Irad Ortiz. He is looking for 3 in a row and was impressive winning the G3 Iroquois. A versatile runner who could make this a big win for Team Romans. He’ll take a ton of money given all the hype.  #6 Eight Rings comes in for Bob Baffert and Johnny V. Impressive winner of the G1 American Pharoah and he’ll be winging it on the lead. If left alone he could be a handful turning for home.

 

Continuing to prepare for the Breeders Cup

Now that you have watched your replays and getting some opinions on horses to pay special attention to either bet or bet against on your own, begin the next step. Start looking at other resources to get the extra info you may need.

Part II: More preparing for the Cup

Good and bad information. Step one understand the source you are getting this info from. Some information that is given out is simply an opinion. For example “Horse A should really take to the Santa Anita surface.” Why does this person think that, is it breeding, is it because he saw a race at another track with a similar surface or did the trainer mention to him that the training sessions have been good. I would only take that above statement if it was the last source.

At this point I wouldn’t listen to anyone’s selections. We know all the horses entered but what happens if one of them isn’t entered or scratched. Another speed horse doesn’t enter or gets scratched and now there is no pace to run it. Completely changes the race shape.

What I would look at is how the horses got to where they are at now. Some horses the big race was simply to win the previous race and get in, horse would be fully cranked. McKinzie, I am not sure if the horse was or was not fully cranked for his last race, but McKinzie didn’t need to win and get in.

There are many proven trends that show which horses do well at the Breeders Cup by going in certain races and which ones struggle. Get to know those trends. There is lots of information you can find about that. I follow the trends like this, a favourite should have strong trends before I would consider them. A longshot with a good return I won’t disregard the horse as much, the horse is a longshot for a reason, there are always a few holes in them somewhere.

Only one week to go, don’t get left behind in the research.

Continue to Prepare for the Breeders Cup

Now that you have watched your replays and getting some opinions on horses to pay special attention to either bet or bet against on your own, begin the next step. Start looking at other resources to get the extra info you may need.

Part II: More preparing for the Cup

Good and bad information. Step one understand the source you are getting this info from. Some information that is given out is simply an opinion. For example “Horse A should really take to the Santa Anita surface.” Why does this person think that, is it breeding, is it because he saw a race at another track with a similar surface or did the trainer mention to him that the training sessions have been good. I would only take that above statement if it was the last source.

At this point I wouldn’t listen to anyone’s selections. We know all the horses entered but what happens if one of them isn’t entered or scratched. Another speed horse doesn’t enter or gets scratched and now there is no pace to run it. Completely changes the race shape.

What I would look at is how the horses got to where they are at now. Some horses the big race was simply to win the previous race and get in, horse would be fully cranked. McKinzie, I am not sure if the horse was or was not fully cranked for his last race, but McKinzie didn’t need to win and get in.

There are many proven trends that show which horses do well at the Breeders Cup by going in certain races and which ones struggle. Get to know those trends. There is lots of information you can find about that. I follow the trends like this, a favourite should have strong trends before I would consider them. A longshot with a good return I won’t disregard the horse as much, the horse is a longshot for a reason, there are always a few holes in them somewhere.

Only one week to go, don’t get left behind in the research.

BetPTC.com Stakes Preview – Oct. 19

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview

by: Ed Meyer

Keeneland

Race #9 – The G2 Raven Run – 7f – 5:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Royal Charlotte / #8 – First Star / #6 – Restless Rider

#1 Royal Charlotte is a daughter of Cairo Prince for Chad Brown with Tyler Gaffalione in the irons. She’s been away for 49 days and is 1 for 1 ITM at Keeneland. Her only loss was to Covfefe who is BC bound and Brown is rolling at the meet winning 32%. Her victory in the G2 Prioress was impressive and I’m looking for a quick break from the rail. #8 First Star is a daughter of First Dude for Ron Ellis and Drayden Van Dyke. She is 2 for 2 and Ellis doesn’t ship back this way much, but when he does it is usually for a good reason. She steps up in class and should stalk just off the lead. #6 Restless Rider comes in for Ken McPeek with B.J. Hernandez in the irons. She’s been off 5 months since the Oaks and sports some sharp works coming into the race. I’m looking for an up close stalking trip and pick up the pieces if the pace falls apart.

 

Belmont

Race#5 – The Empire Classic – 1 1/8 – 2:32 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Mr. Buff / #3 – Pat On the Back / #2 – Dynamax Prime

#4 Mr. Buff is a speedster from the John Kimmel barn with Junior Alvarado in the saddle. Exits the G1 Woodward coming off a 49 day layoff. He sports plenty of speed and Alvarado can be dangerous on the lead. #3 Pat On the Back is a son of Congrats making a 3rd off the layoff move for Jeremiah Englehart. Impressive winner of the G2 Kelso and drops back down in class and faces New York breds again. He’s a mid pack stalker who is 11 for 11 ITM over the Belmont oval. #2 Dynamax is a son of Bluegrass Cat who is 7 for 9 ITM at Belmont. Manny Franco and Rob Atras team up and they have 2 wins from 3 starts the past two weeks. He’s a closer and should come motoring late in the lane.

 

Race #10 Empire Distaff – 1 mile – 5:20 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1- Newly Minted / #10 – Ratajkowski / #9 – Midnight Disguise

#1 Newly Minted comes in for Linda Rice and Jose Lezcano in the saddle. She’s been off 57 days and is 1 for 1 at Belmont. She’s a speedster from the rail and owns a bullet work coming into the race. Lezcano wins 19% for Rice and fits her like a glove. #10 Ratajkwoski is a speedball daughter of Drosselmeyer for Brian Lynch and Jose Ortiz. She seeks her 3rd straight win and 3 for 3 ITM over the course. She steps up in class and Ortiz wins 20% with early runners. #9 – Midnight Disguise is a daughter of Midnight Lute for Linda Rice. Joel Rosario has the call and she’s 3 for 3 ITM at Belmont coming off a 4 month layoff. She’ll come running late and with a field full of speed she could upset the apple cart.