BetPTC Graded Stakes Preview – 3/24

SA 9th (7:00 PM EST) San Luis Rey S. (G2/Turf)

Best Value Plays:          #7-Responsibleforlove (12/1), #6-Aquaphobia (10/1)

Most Likely Winner:       #2-Itsinthepost (6/5)

Other Contenders:         #1-Rye (8/1), #10-Frank Conversation (12/1)

Weak Favorite:              #9-Hayabusa One (5/2)

Analysis: #2-Itsinthepost is the one to beat but he does not tower over his rivals. #7-Responsibleforlove, a filly, carries 9 lbs. less than the favorite and gets a favorable rider switch. She has nice euro-distance breeding and should get a good trip. She is a live longshot. #6-Aquaphobia goes for a hot barn and his best efforts could win this with the right trip. #10-Frank Conversation is another interesting longshot. He has fired off the bench before and still has upside.

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Dubai Live Blog – 2018 Super Saturday

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Graded Stakes Preview – Dubai Saturday morning 3/10

SUPER SATURDAY – Morning Action from Dubai.

Meydan Selections 3/10:

Super Saturday effectively mirrors World Cup Night without the additional and considerable international challenge. It is in effect a test for locally trained horses, a test that asks whether they can run fast enough to be competitive or even win on World Cup night and this year there are plenty of live World Cup night contenders to consider on a fiercely competitive card. Analysis of the card is skewed by the presence of horses trained by Salem Bin Ghadayer. He has had a tremendous World Cup Carnival with five winners but now a doping violation weighs heavily over him. He is allowed to have runners as this breach is the subject of an appeal but what are we to make of those runners? This is tricky for any analyst, particularly as he seems to have a few good chances on the card. From my point of view I believe it best to take their form at face value and leave the implications of the recent doping violation to the Emirates Racing Authority.

With two winners last week we are now up to 17 at the World Cup Carnival. Here are four more selections for you.


7:00am (ET) Meydan: Masar

This horse is a class act in this field. Admittedly his classy form comes on turf but the dam’s side of his pedigree – she won the UAE Derby on dirt – gives plenty of encouragement. His Solario win at Sandown and his Jean Luc Lagardere and Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf form mark him out as being very useful and if he handles the dirt he will win. He holds an entry in the UAE Derby.


7:35am (ET) Meydan: Yalta

When this horse bolted up over six furlongs on dirt last time I stated that he was the best domestic sprinter we have seen so far in Dubai. Now he has a chance to cement that impression. He has blinding pace, ran a big time figure last time and even from stall eight should be able to bag the favoured inside rail. The only pace pressure he may get early in the race is from Jordan Sport, but he is a turf horse and this will be a different scenario. Two of his main rivals, Ravens Corner and My Catch, are drawn in the widest stalls which hinders their chances. Yalta can take advantage and go gate to wire.


9:20am (ET) MeydanBenbatl

This is the classiest horse we have seen so far at the Carnival. He has not yet run a big time figure but is surely capable of one. He is thriving in Dubai, having won the Singspiel Stakes and the Al Rashidiya and can now win the Jebel Hatta on his way to the Dubai Turf. He fired a remarkable sectional split for the last two furlongs of the Al Rashidiya, marking him out as a genuine Group One horse and he can prove it here.


9:55am (ET) Meydan: Thunder Snow

Thunder Snow is not a natural on dirt but he is a class act and his win in round 2 of the Maktoum Challenge is better than it looks on paper. He travelled wide that day and gave away plenty of ground and as I always say ground loss is a much ignored but vital factor when it comes to race analysis. He ground out a win there and in a field that is no stronger and over further he can book his place in the Dubai World Cup.

BetPTC Graded Stakes Preview – 3/3/18

Gulfstream Park 14th (6:09 PM EST) Fountain of Youth S. (G2)

Best Value Plays:          #2-Free Drop Billy (9/2), 8-Marconi (8/1)

Most Likely Winner:       #6-Good Magic (7/5)

Other Contenders:         #4-Strike Power (4/1), #1-He Takes Charge (20/1)

Weak Favorite:              None

Analysis: In handicapping these Derby prep races you have to keep in mind that they are just that – preps. The top runners from the top barns are very unlikely to be fully cranked up for their 3yo debut with the Derby still 2 months away. Also keep in mind that 3yo colts at this age can develop very rapidly. So even though Good Magic looks dominant based on his BC victory, he is no lock to win this race. Free Drop Billy got trounced by Good Magic in the BC but that was 4 months ago, and he was running against a very strong anti-inside bias in that race. He has since had his prep and should be ready to make a big forward move off that effort in which he loomed up menacingly at the head of the stretch but hung a bit late. Given his stout breeding, he should not have any distance limitations, so he was probably just a short horse and this is the time to play him. Marconi is goofy but talented. He has been his own worst enemy but he is just the sort of 3yo colt that could suddenly pop a big race. Especially, if you take into account the ship to GP where Pletcher 3yos typically run lights out. He was a $2M Keeneland purchase and this might be the race where he starts to look like he was worth that price.


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BetPTC Graded Stakes Preview – 2/24/18

Santa Anita race 10 (8:00 PM EST) Wishing Well S. (Turf)
BetPTC Selections: #9-Barbara Beatrice (15/1), 6-Anita Partner (20/1), #5-Samba Inc (5/2)
Analysis: This race is hard to decipher and is ripe for a major upset. Samba Inc could be a good one but I would have thought trainer bob Baffert would have been trying her on the dirt, which is more his style. So I decided to just make this a pace play and hope the speed horses all decide to fly down the hill early. If so, it should set the race up for Barbara Beatrice, who has had to close into slow early fractions in her last few, and fellow longshot contender Anita Partner to roll past them late.
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Dubai Racing Carnival – Saturday 2/17/18

BetPTC Graded Stakes Preview – 2/17/18

FG 9th (6:03 PM EST) Risen Star S. (G2)

Best Value Plays:          #2-Noble Indy (5/1), #6-Supreme Aura (8/1)

Most Likely Winner:       #5-Instilled Regard (8/5)

Other Contenders:         #9-Principe Guilherme (7/2), #4-Snapper Sinclair (8/1)

Weak Favorite:              None

Analysis: Noble Indy could be something special. He gets tested for class in here. I think he will pass the test. Supreme Aura has lots of upside and is bred to handle the added distance. He could run a big one. members can access all of these selections within their wagering account.

Dubai Racing Carnival Live Blog – Thursday 2/15/18 Big Game Ad

Check out the ad for today’s Super Bowl!  Remember when Super Bowl commercials were fun, featuring special, talented actors like chimps?  Well, Premier Turf Club is excited to release our first ever ad for the Big Game!

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Share our “Big Game” ad today on Facebook or Twitter, and we’ll place $10 in your BetPTC wagering account.  Just tag with #BetPTC and #BigGame