Aussie Racing: Close Look at Flemington, Friday October 4, 2013

Exciting racing from Flemington this Friday night, along with excellent stakes racing from Randwick.  I encourage all racing fans to watch the big races this week, either live, or at australianracing.com (“replays” tab).

Here are my 100% morning lines for the Friday night races 1A, 3A and 4A (all at Flemington).

FLEMINGTON RACE 1A (9:50 PM EDT)
Betting Est. Peak FAIR
Number Horse Post Effort Pattern/Form Effort ODDS
11 Stingray 3 Fastest trial on key day 100.0  3/2
14 Guajeo 6 Fast filly – gets five pounds. 96.0  7/2
3 Dragons Eye 4 Top connections, won trial 93.0  9/1
12 Euchre Star 7 Very well bred, may want longer 93.0  9/1
15 I’ll Take the Lead 14 Competitive in trial with Guajeo 93.0  9/1
7 Jabali 16 Right there in trial with Dragons Eye 92.0  17/1
5 Harcourt Street 12 Best sprint pedigree in the field 90.0  30/1
FLEMINGTON RACE 3A (11:05 PM EDT)
Betting Est. Peak FAIR
Number Horse Post Effort Pattern/Form Effort ODDS
3 Paximadia 14 First up, huge back numbers. 45.0  3/1
14 Murtle Turtle 5 Consistent.  Can win. 43.0  9/2
6 Le Mans 3 Looks more like a router. 40.0  9/1
13 Miracle To Me 9 Likes to win – dangerous in this field. 40.0  9/1
1 Churchill Dancer 4 Lone win at this track. 39.0  12/1
5 Lucky Striker 13 39.0  12/1
7 Pyrrolic 10 39.0  12/1
4 I am Titanium 7 38.0  20/1
9 Essential Element 2 38.0  20/1
8 Baker Boy 1 37.0  50/1
10 Oliver 6 37.0  50/1
FLEMINGTON RACE 4A (11:45 PM EDT)
Betting Est. Peak FAIR
Number Horse Post Effort Pattern/Form Effort ODDS
12 Chloe In Paris 4 Huge jock upgrade to Boss.  Big debut number. 45.0  3/1
5 Bring A Ring 9 TWO first up wins – don’t ignore. 41.0  6/1
10 Anatina 3 Adds to the early pace. 39.0  8/1
4 Calcatta 14 Has Flemington straight experience. 38.0  10/1
6 Mezeray Miss 10 Good early speed.  Can handle the straight. 38.0  10/1
7 Menage A Charge 11 Exits fast race.  2nd up today. 38.0  10/1
8 My Little Friend 7 1st up, 2nd time down the straight. 38.0  10/1
9 Romancingthestone 6 Very quick early. Factor. 37.0  14/1
11 Melrose Place 2 Big jump up in class today. 35.0  40/1
13 Leia 16 Looks slow in here. 35.0  40/1

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