by STRETCH

A very nice guarantee at Saratoga’s late pick 4 is worth a shot today. The MUST play race of the day is the 12th at Mohawk Raceway. It is harness racing and even if you do not know much about it you still should take a small shot. There is almost $650,000 in the hi 5 pool to be paid out. What makes it even better it is only a 20 cent bet.

Saratoga Race#9 Pick 4  Post time 5:36pm eastern

By now you all have probably figured the speed bias today.

Race#9 This race has a large field but many do not belong. There are two levels of horses in here. The 1 should get a trip on the rail, a little position makes her tough. The figures lean to the 8, but she loves the second place finishes, or may have keyed her. The 5,7,11 are the sleepers that with the right trip and some luck could win.

Race#10 I am never a fan of simply giving you the obvious choice in a race. Well the 8 looks very tough. Do you try and beat him, well maybe , but I think you need to take 1,6,9,10.  If you can take a chance and key elsewhere, maybe its worth a shot.

Race#11 By race eleven, even the jockeys figure out the track bias. When this happens then they all think I need to get the lead. My first thought was you only need the 2,4, I then thought lets hope they hook early and set it up for the 6. May be over capping in this but using the 6.

Race#12 Here is a potential price race. My longshot is the 1, I believe he will not be as close to the pace and get a dream trip on the rail. Two back makes him a winner, has at least won four times. 7 has the connections, the 8 beat many in her, the 11 and 12 have the figures to upset.

Here is a ticket I will be playing: 1,5,7,8,11/8/2,4,6/1,7,8,11,12    cost $37.50

Mohawk Race#12 Hi 5  Post time 11:05pm eastern

20 cent HI five

Race#12  It is not easy, as would be expected. A terrible condition and they throw in a very rare 11 horse field, but here goes:
The 2 is in top form and his last race was really impressive, was geared down late. The 7 is the class of the race, but was gapping in his last race at times.
Others to include. The 1 had a wide post and didn’t even try at anytime in the race The 3 had a dream trip as should get that again tonight. The 9 moved first on the 2 and finished second in a fast run race. The 11 had a tough trip and will again, but if can get any cover could be in the money.
Here is a possible ticket:   2,7/2,7/1,3,9,11/1,3,5,6,9,11/all

Good luck today.