Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 5/15/2021
by: Ed Meyer
Pimlico Race#11 – The G3 Maryland Sprint – 6f – 4:41pm
BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Strike Power / #2 – Yodel E.A. Who / #8 – Special Reserve
#5 Strike Power is a speedster from the Steve Asmussen barn with Ricardo Santana in the saddle. He ships in from OP and the barn scores 20% making the trip. Santana wins 21% with speed style runners and wins 26% teaming up with Asmussen. Look for a quick break and off to the lead with this son of Speightstown. #2 Yodel E. A. Who is a stalker who makes his 3rd start off the layoff. Sheldon Russell wins 26% with stalkers and scores a 36% win clip with trainer Brittany Russell. They make the trip off a solid effort at Belmont and should be in mid pack looking to pounce. #8 Special Reserve hails from the Mike Maker barn shipping in off a sharp effort at KEE. He cuts back in distance from 7f for Mike Maker with Irad Ortiz in the irons. Ortiz is an excellent judge of pace and should keep him right off the pace looking to get in the game as they turn for home.
Race#12 – The G2 Dinner Party – 1 1/16 on the turf – 5:38 pm
BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Sacred Life / #1 – Somelikeithotbrown/ #3 – Kuramata
#5 Sacred Life is a strong closer from the Chad Brown barn with Javier Castellano in the saddle. They are making their 2nd start of the year shipping in from KEE off a fast closing effort in the G1 Makers Mile. He drops down in class and is 13 for 17 ITM on the greensward. He gets added distance and is 5 for 5 ITM going this far. Castellano wins 18% with late runners and should be a major danger. #1 Somelikeithotbrown hails from the Mike Maker barn with Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. This son of Big Brown shows quick foot and should be on the engine with an excellent speed rider. He caught a yielding turf course last year in the same race and ran a game second. Ortiz will be looking to finish the job turning for home. #3 Kuramata is a lightly raced son of Australia (GB) for the Chad Brown barn. He is two for two in the states and gets the acid test today moving up the ladder. Irad Ortiz is a very strong finisher and will come calling as they turn for home. The barn scores at a 23% clip in graded stakes.
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Race#13 – The G1 Preakness – 1 3/16 – 6:47 pm
BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Midnight Bourbon / #3-Medina Spirit / #4 – Crowded Trade
#5 Midnight Bourbon is an early runner who exits the Derby from a rough trip. Bumped from the start and forced wide on both turns. The Steve Asmussen trainee has Irad Ortiz in the saddle and he’s a tough rider who will secure a good spot. Ortiz wins 28% with early runners and cuts back in distance that may fit his needs. He is 7 for 8 ITM lifetime and always brings his top game. I’m looking for a closeup trip gauging the pace. #3 Medina Spirit went wire to wire in the Derby for Bob Baffert. John Velasquez in the saddle and should have him up close. He’s been all the talk since winning the Derby, and the only one right now who can take the Triple Crown. I think we’ll see a close to the lead trip, and if he brings his top game may be tough to run down. #4 Crowded Trade is a lightly raced son of More Than Ready for Chad Brown. Javier Castellano gets the call and will be rolling late in the lane versus a field laden with speed. He finished a game third in the G3 Wood and got a few solid works under his belt keeping fresh and ready. They switch over to Castellano who wins 20% with late runners and should be a player in the field.