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Top Horses to Bet on Today – Breeders’ Cup Friday at Del Mar

BetPTC.com Analysis – Friday, November 5, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Del Mar – Breeders’ Cup

Race #6 – The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint – 5f turf – 5:50 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #7 – Armour / #8 – Averly Jane / #6 – Twilight Gleaming

#7 Armour is a son of No Nay Never and will come calling when the real running begins. He has a wicked late turn of foot and facing some of the best sprinters in Europe. He hails from the Richard Hannon yard, and has the services of ultra talented Ryan Moore. #8 Averly Jane will be the pacesetter and can be dangerous if left alone as she seeks her fifth straight win for Wesley Ward and Tyler Gaffalione. She exits off a win in a key prep for the race and can turn out the lights if not pressed. #6 Twilight Gleaming goes post ward Wesley Ward and can get perfect trip with stablemate Averly Jane setting strong fractions for her to close into. Strong closing rider Irad Ortiz in the irons and he wins 22% with late running turf closers.

Race #7 – The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies – 1 1/16 – 6:30 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #6 – Echo Zulu / #4 – Tarabi / #3 – Sequist

#6 Echo Zulu should be right on the front and work out a pressing trip whoever the joins the pace. Steve Asmussen is the conditioner and Joel Rosario in the saddle. 3rd off the layoff for this daughter of Gun Runner who is regally bred and a perfect 3 for 3 lifetime.  Price will be short and may be free spot in multi race wagers. #4 Tarabi is a late runner and had an eventful trip last out colliding with the gate. She goes to the track for Cherie DeVaux and Javier Castellano. She sports some sharp works after her rough trip last out.  #3 Sequist is a deep closing daughter of Nyquist for Dallas Stewart and Junior Alvarado. 3rd off the layoff for a barn who springs upsets with runners on the marquee days.

Race #8 – The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf – 1 mile on the turf – 7:10 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Pizza Blanca / #4 – Turnerloose / #14 – California Angel

#1 Pizza Blanca comes off a 47 day break from the races as Christophe Clement looks for the winner’s circle with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. She exits the G1 Natalma at Woodbine which has served as a strong prep. The barn wins 24% with babies and Ortiz wins 18% with turf closers. Plenty of pace to set her up as they turn for home. #4 Turnerloose should be the main speed as she set the fractions in the G2  Jessamine and managed to hang on for the show dough. She is a daughter of Nyquist for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux in the saddle. 3rd time off the layoff and the barn wins 34% with beaten favorites as she exits Keeneland and cuts back in distance. #14 California Angel is a daughter of California Chrome for trainer George Leonard III and retains Rafael Bejarano in the driver’s seat. This is your sentimental longshot as the backside is really rooting for this gal as she was a $5,500 purchase. But, all that aside she came rolling in the G2 Jessamine circling eight wide getting up in the shadow of the wire.

Race #9 – The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile – 1 1/16 – 7:50 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Jack Christopher / #12 – Corniche / #9 – Pinehurst

#1 Jack Christopher [SCRATCHED] exits off a win in the G1 Champagne which has served as a key prep for this race. Jose Ortiz aboard for Chad Brown and they win 29% as a team. He looks to be able to secure a ground saving position and move at the right time. They have a bullet work under his belt and ship in from Belmont where Brown wins 28% going to new surroundings. #12 Corniche goes to post for Bob Baffert and Mike Smith. The outside post will only have Smith sending and securing position while trying to save some ground. This son of Quality Road is 2 for 2 lifetime and won impressively in the G1 American Pharaoh at Santa Anita. Look for a stalking move and trying to takeover under the professional hands of Smith down the backstretch. #9 Pinehurst appears to be the rabbit for Baffert’s  Corniche, but may have more up his sleeve. He is 2 for 2 lifetime and gets added distance which should have him running easy on the lead for Bob Baffert and John Velasquez in the irons. Baffert wins 35% with babies and has a sharp work coming into the race. Johnny V wins 22% with early speed types.

Race #10 – The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf – 1 mile on the turf – 8:30 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #2 – Albahr / #1 – Modern Games / #10 – Portfolio Company

#2 Albahr hails from the Charlie Appleby yard with Frankie Dettori in the saddle. Exits the G1 Summer at Woodbine as a key prep for this race, and Mr. Applebee wins 80% with his babies. He hopped at the start and still mowed them down in the stretch under Dettori circling the field in the Goldolphin colors. His dam Falls of Lora (IRE) has 4 starters, 4 winners, 4 turf winners to her credit. Dettori staying aboard seals the deal. Europeans have dominated this race in the past. #1 Modern Game also conditioned by Charlie Appleby with William Buick in the irons. He is 4 for 5 ITM lifetime and gets added ground today. He should be a bit closer to the pace and being on the hedge allows Buick to save plenty of ground for a well timed move. #10 Portfolio Company is a well timed stalker with Flavien Prat for Chad Brown. 3rd off the layoff and exits the G2 Pilgrim which has served as a prep in the past. Prat is winning 26% on the turf and 29% with Chad Brown. Don’t leave off your tickets.

Top Horses to Bet on Today – October 30

BetPTC.com Analysis.com – October 30, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Mahoning Valley – Best of Ohio

Rain showers Friday and light rain predicted for Saturday afternoon. 

Race#6 – The $100,000 Ohio Distaff – 1 1/8 – 2:35 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #4 – Drillit / #5 – Sally Strong / #7 – Circus Rings

#4 Drillit has been off for over two months and comes in fresh for Robert Gorham and Christian Pilares. She is 5 for 6 ITM over the course and enjoys soft courses going 6 for 6 ITM on an off track. She won this race last year closing from the clouds, and this gal is a horse for the course who should offer up a good account of herself. #5 Sally Strong is a front running style filly for trainer Mike Rone. Luis Rivera has the call and is 4 for 4 ITM over the track, and with moisture predicted should play right into her plans. #7 Circus Rings is an early style runner for Valerie Shanyfelt and is a horse for the distance 3 for 3 ITM going 9f. Hector Berrios is the reinsman who ran third in last year’s edition

Race#7 – The $100,000 Ohio Juvenile – 1 1/16 – 3:08 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #7 – Thedayofthegrey / #1- Tantrum / #9 – Stalking Moon

#7 Thedayofthegrey is a son of Twinspired for Bobby Cline with Sonny Leon in the saddle. He has three wins from four starts and the other effort was a third. He will be forwardly placed and Leon is an excellent reinsman who can get him to settle in and relax on the lead. His style should enjoy a soft going.  #1 Tantrum hails from the Winblaze LLC team for trainer Tim Hamm. This runner has solid late kick under Malcolm Franklin and has finished 2nd to Dayofthegrey in the past. Rider and trainer win 29% as a team and should enjoy the added ground to get rolling over the deep surface. Franklin wins 19% with route runners and is a patient hand in the irons. #9 Stalking Moon goes to post for Mike Maker and Alex Canchari in the saddle. He has plenty of tactical speed and makes his 3rd start off the layoff adding blinkers this effort. Just broke his maiden at Indy Grand, and back in his pp’s ran second to Dayofthegrey as the beaten favorite.

Starting Sunday, Oct 31 until Nov. 7

Race#8 – The $100,000 John Galbraith – 1 1/16 – 3:41 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Christmas / #9 – Candlelight Hours / #11 – Flatter Her Again

#1 Christmas is a two year old daughter of Constitution and a perfect 2 for 2 lifetime. Tim Hamm the conditioner with Gerardo Corrales in the saddle. She gets first time Lasix and should be right on the pace coming off a three month layoff win in the Tah Dah Stakes at Belterra. She owns a sharp work over a muddy surface and should fit into the race well with rain predicted in the forecast.  #9 Candlelight Hours ships in from an effort at Presque Isle off the synthetic. Returns to the dirt for James Jackson and the triumphant return of T.D. Houghton off a bad injury last year. He’s already notched a win and ready to keep his tally rolling. A perfect stalker who should get the garden trip under Houghton moving on the far turn. #11 Flatter hails from the Thom Amoss barn with Edgar Morales aboard. She always knocks on the door and looks to lay just off the lead and seek the perfect trip.

Race#9 – The $100,000 Sprint – 6f – 4:14 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #9 -Altissimo / #7 -Morestride / #1 – Chief Randel

#9 Altissimo hails from the Richard Zielinski barn with Erik Barbaran in the irons. He is 9 for 15 over the course ITM and has the perfect stalking style. The barn wins 31% with non graded stakes and sports a sharp work leading into the race. If it comes up a bit soft; no problems as he is 7 for 9 ITM on off tracks. #7 Morestride goes post ward for Mike Rone and Luis Rivera. He is 3 for 3 ITM at Mahoning and has been racing outside of Ohio company. Today he returns and the barn comes back to score 38% off a beaten chalk angle their last effort. #1 Chief Randel draws the rail spot and has a win in last year’s edition of the this race. Blinkers back today and is 4 for 8 ITM over the course. He relishes softer surfaces going 4 for 5 ITM. Player in the outcome today at a solid price.

Race#10 – The $100,000 Endurance – 1 1/4 – 4:47 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #7 – Forewarned / #13 – Wicked Warrior / #9 – Mo Don’t No

#7 Forewarned is a late runner for Uriah St. Lewis and Sonny Leon. They step back into Ohio company after running in graded company outside of the Ohio circuit. He is 4 for 4 ITM at Mahoning and will enjoy the distance and softer track. Look for a good late kick turning for home as Leon wins 20% with route runners. #13 Wicked Warrior is a stalker for Team Feliciano, and returns to face Ohio company again. His only knock in the #13 post, but has the class to break sharply and move over to save precious ground. He ran 2nd last year to Forewarned  in the same predicted conditions as he prepares to turn the tables this year. #9 Mo Don’t No appears to be sitting on a big race at a square price. He’s a tactical runner who’ll be behind the leaders poised to pounce coming off a solid work for trainer Gary Johnson and Alexander Chavez. He goes from a sprint to a route, and is 8 for 8 ITM going long. This son of Uncle Mo loves the track and especially if the sky opens up. Don’t dismiss at 15-1 on the morning line.

Top Horses to Bet on Today – Saturday, October 23

BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, October 23, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Keeneland

Race#7 – Perryville Stakes – 7f – 4:12 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Soup and Sandwich / #6 – Pipeline / #4 – He’smyhoneybadger

#1 Soup and Sandwich has been been off for five months since the Kentucky Derby. He hails from the Mark Casse barn with red hot Tyler Gaffalione who is winning 28% for the meet. He draws the rail and drops down the class ladder. The rail has been the place to be all meet and Gaffalione will send right from the break as he wins 21% with early speed runners. #6 Pipeline is a stalker from the Chad Brown barn with John Velasquez in the saddle. He comes off a 49 day break from the races and moves up in class off an impressive maiden win. He graduated that day going 7f and sports some solid works coming into the race. Look for this son of Speightstown to be just off the leaders and poised to pounce around the far turn. The barn wins 28% with shippers and he comes in from Saratoga rested and ready. #4 He’smyhoneybadger is a long range closer for trainer Brad Cox who is winning 24% at the KEE meet. 3rd time off the layoff, and has some nice works to show readiness. Florent Geroux has the call.

Race#9 – The G2 Raven Run – 7f – 5:16pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #13 – Obligatory / #9 – Zainalarab / #11 – Miss Speedy

#13 Obligatory is a late running filly from the Bill Mott barn with Florent Geroux in the irons. 2nd time off the layoff exiting the G1 Cotillion at Parx and cuts back in distance with a new rider in the saddle. Look for a stalking trip from mid pack as Geroux works his way over to save ground. She won the G2 8 Belles at CD going 7 panels and should be tough turning for home. #9 Zainalarab is a daughter of War Front for Chad Brown and John Velasquez getting the nod. Brown is winning 31% for the meet and 27% off a last race win. They ship from Saratoga off a two month break and have some good works over the deep Oklahoma Training Track. She is lightly raced but three for three ITM lifetime. Look for a good late punch on the far turn angling for position in the stretch. #11 Miss Speedy sports plenty of early foot from the Mark Casse barn exiting the synthetic at Woodbine. B.J. Hernandez in the driver’s seat and look for him to send as soon as the gate opens. The distance should play into her plans, and if left alone could upset the apple cart.

Woodbine

Race#3 – The G3 Hendrie – 6 1/2 f – 1:55 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #2 -Our Secret Agent / #6 – Amalfi Coast /#4 – Toffen

#2 Our Secret Agent is a late runner cutting back in distance today. She is 7 for 7 ITM over the course for trainer Mark Casse and adds blinkers where the barn scores 18% on this equipment change. Casse wins 21% on all weather surfaces and sports a bullet work in preparation. #6 Amalfi Coast is a late runner who is 10 for 12 ITM over the course. Kevin Attard brings her to post with Justin Stein in the saddle and she is 2 for 2 ITM going the distance. #4 Toffen is a daughter of Cairo Prince for Kevin Attard winning 17% for the meet. Antonio Gallardo has the call, and I’m looking for a quick break making her 3rd off the shelf and making the turf to dirt switch. Gallardo wins 20% with speed runners.

 

Top Horses to Bet – Saturday, October 16

BetPTC.com Analysis – October 16, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Keeneland

Race #8 – The G1 QE II – 1 1/8 miles on the turf – 4:44 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – Shatisara / #4 – Empress Josephine / #5 – Nicest

#3 Shatisara hails from the Chad Brown with Flavien Prat aboard. She is 3 for 4 ITM on the green and has a late punch down the lane. She cuts back in distance and should be mid flight waiting on Prat to push the button. She is making her 3rd start off the layoff and shooting for three wins in a row. Chad Brown wins 27% off a last race win, and has a 22% win clip teaming up with turf master Flavien Prat. #4 Empress Josephine is a daughter of Galileo (IRE) from the Aiden O’Brien yard. Two races back she ran a solid Gr 1 race at Leopardstown and shipped over to Keeneland finishing a game 3rd with a trip over the track. O’Brien adds blinkers today, and this should keep her focused under the guidance of John Velasquez who will have her in top gear turning for home. #5 Nicest is a daughter of American Pharaoh from the Donnacha O’Brien yard. Julien Leparoux takes the call shipping in from Ireland off a three month break. They cut back in distance and should be close to the pacesetters today.

Race #9 – Allowance N1X – 1 mile – 5:16pm 

BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Malibu Star / #5 – Ducale / #4 – Winter Pool

#1 Malibu Star is a stalker from the Kelly Breen barn with John Velasquez in the saddle. This son of Giant’s Causeway is coming off a 7 month layoff and solid works to prepare. They ship in from Aqueduct and sport a couple of bullet works at Monmouth giving the signs of a runner ready to roll. Look for him on or near the lead today. #5 Ducale hails from the Brad Cox barn with Florent Geroux in the irons. He showed excellent speed at a sprint and failed as the beaten favorite at Saratoga. The barn comes back to win 34% with beaten chalk looking for payback and takes off the blinkers today. Rider and trainer are winning 22 % as a team. Let’s see if the equipment change does the trick today. #4 Winter Pool is a late runner from the Chad Brown barn with Jose Ortiz getting the nod. This son of Curlin comes off a 52 day break and exits off a win at the Spa. Solid record coming in and owns a work over the track.

Santa Anita

Race #7 – California Distaff – 6 1/2 on the turf- 7:08 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #5 – Bella Vita / #1 – Warren’s Showtime / #6 – Sedamar

#5 Bella Vita is coming off a 48 day break from the races for Simon Callaghan and Victor Espinoza in the saddle. She is 4 for 4 ITM on the SA green and comes back fresh and ready. Her past efforts have shown well coming off the shelf. #1 Warren’s Showtime is a stout closer for the Craig Lewis barn with J.J. Hernandez in the irons. Draws the rail today and comes off a two month break from the races. The barn wins 19% with non graded stakes and always brings her top game with a late run. Hernandez is the usual rider and she’ll come calling when the real running begins. #6 Sedamar hails from the Shelby Ruis barn and is 7 for 9 ITM over the SA greensward. She cuts back in distance and mile runners have done well turning back to the six and a half distance. Joe Bravo in the driver’s seat and is 48% ITM with his turf runners. Look for her stalking the pace and poised to pounce at the top of the lane.

 

Top Horses to Bet at Keeneland – October 9

BetPTC.com Analysis – Keeneland – October 9th, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Keeneland

Race #8 – The G1 First Lady – 1 mile on the turf – 4:44 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – Althiqa / #9 – Blowout / #10 – Princess Grace

#3 Althiqa is a daughter of Dark Angel (IRE) and a string late closer for the Charles Applebee yard. Jamie Spencer makes the trip and she exits two G1 wins in New York. She has been off for two months and 11 for 11 ITM on the turf. Spencer is a world class rider and makes the journey for one of the top outfits in Europe. I’m looking for her to tip off the hedge and come rolling as they make the turn for home. She is 3 for 3 ITM going a mile and should relish the lush turf course at KEE. #9 Blowout is pure speedster with Flavien Prat in the irons for Chad Brown. They win 23% as a team and been off for 56 days. She will dictate the pace and exits the G1 Four Star Dave against the boys. She is 1 for 1 ITM at KEE and Prat is an excellent reinsman who excels on the sod winning 25% with turf runners. Very dangerous if left alone to set an easy pace. #10 Princess Grace hails from the Mike Stidham barn with Kent Desormeaux in the saddle. She is a half length short of being a perfect 7 for 7 and has solid stalking late kick. She is undefeated going a mile and ships in from KyD off a win in the G3 Ladies Turf. Major danger turning for home.

Race#9 – The G1 Breeders’ Futurity – 1 1/16 miles dirt – 5:15 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #5 – Don’t Wait Up / #13 – Classic Causeway / #3 – Stellar tap

#5 Don’t Wait Up was impressive breaking his maiden at Saratoga under John Velasquez, and should play the role of a close running stalker. Johnny V is one of the most patient hands in the reins and wins 19% with his route runners. Riding the short stretch in this race should play into his plans as he excels at making a well timed move. Tony Dutrow may have a very nice runner in his barn, and this son of Upstart may be just getting started for good things to come. #13 Classic Causeway broke his maiden with more in the tank for Brian Lynch and Jose Ortiz at Saratoga. He has the look of a speedy type and should relish the added distance and the short stretch of the distance today. This son of Giant’s Causeway could be trouble if left alone to set average fractions to slow the tempo. #3 Stellar Tap is a speedy son of Tapit for the Steve Asmussen barn and go to rider Ricardo Santana. He was a beaten favorite last out after an eventful trip. Asmussen wins 25% coming back to turn the tables on the competition.

Race #10 – The G1 Keeneland Turf Mile – 1 mile on the turf – 5:46 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #7- Pixelate / #10 – Order of Australia / #6- Ivar

#7 Pixelate is a son of City Zip exiting a win at KyD for Mike Stidham last out. Tyler Gaffalione picks up the call, and is always dangerous when he goes to post. Late runner who is 7 for 7 ITM at the distance and Tyler G can finish up strong when the real running begins. Look for the Godolphin royal blue turning for home at the top of the stretch. #10 Order of Australia hails from the Aiden O’Brien yard with John Velasquez getting the call. This son of Australia (GB) is perfect over the KEE sod and should be near the front flight stalking the pace. Johnny V is a perfect rider for O’Brien and this colt has some breeding to look forward to seeing moving forward. #6 Ivar is a stalker for trainer Paulo Lobo who once saddled the Kentucky Oaks winner Farda Amiga, who also showed promise as a turf runner. Lobo wins 19% for the year and adds back blinkers where he wins 40% on the equipment change.

 

Top Horses to Bet at Santa Anita – October 2

BetPTC.com Analysis – October 2, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Santa Anita

Race #8 – The G2 Santa Anita Sprint – 6f – 7:00 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #4 – C Z Rocket /#1 – Dr. Schivel / #2 – Vertical Threat

#4 C Z Rocket hails from the Peter Miller barn with Florent Geroux in the saddle. 3rd time off the layoff and the barn wins 22% on this move. Beaten favorite in the G2 Pat O’Brien and Peter Miller comes back looking for payback next out at a 26% win clip. Flo is a master at getting a horse to settle and wins 24% with his sprinters. He has a sharp work and cuts back in distance; should be a major danger today. #1 Dr. Schivel is a perfect stalker with a rail spot for trainer Mark Glatt and Flavien Prat aboard. He is 2/2 at SA and the patient hand of Prat will guide this three year old into perfect position waiting to pounce. #2 Vertical Threat goes to post for Richard Baltas and Abel Cedillo. This son of Tapiture has tactical speed and gets an inside post draw. 3rd time off the layoff and has a sharp work in preparation.

 

Race #9 – The G1 Rodeo Drive – 1 1/4 on the turf – 7:30 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #4 – Going to Vegas / #8-Luck / #7 – Magic Attitude

#4 Going to Vegas makes her 2nd start off the layoff for Richard Baltas and Umberto Rispoli. This daughter of Goldenscents is 7/10 ITM at SA and should be right up on the pace. Rispoli wins 22% with his turf runners and 20% with early speed on the sod. She had a super prep last out and appears ready for a top effort. Look for her to be rested and ready for this race. #8 Luck is a daughter of Kitten’s Joy for Richard Baltas and Flavien Prat. She has had one race since coming over from France and won handily over the Del Mar green. Prat is a strong finisher and wins 25% with his late runners turning for home. #7 Magic Attitude is a late running daughter of Galileo (IRE) for Arnaud Delacour and John Velasquez. She ships in from Saratoga from the G1 Diana Stakes and has a solid late punch turning for home. Johnny V in the saddle ensures we’ll see a top effort and with a little racing luck could upset the apple cart.

 

Race#10 – The G1 Awesome Again – 1 1/8 miles dirt – 8:00 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #5 – Medina Spirit / #1 – Tizamagician / #3 – Express Train

#5 Medina Spirit is a speedy colt from the Bob Baffert barn with John Velasquez aboard. He had a perfect prep last out and is 4/4 ITM at SA. Look for a front running effort in the patient hands of John Velasquez, and he’ll nurse the speed from flag fall to that’s all. 2nd time off the layoff and has sharp work to tighten down the screws. #1 Tizamagician hails from the Richard Mandella barn with Flavien Prat in the irons. Cuts back in distance today and should improve with less ground to cover. He is 7/10 ITM at SA and Prat wins 28% with his route runners with a patient hand to guide. #3 Express Train is a stalker from the John Sheriffs barn with Juan Hernandez in the driver’s seat. Cuts back in distance and the rider has been 9/13 ITM the past week. Look for a solid stalking effort and J. J. Hernandez wins 22% with his stalking style runners.

 

Top Horses to Bet at Parx – September 25

BetPTC.com Analysis – September 25, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Parx Racing

Race#8 – The G3 Greenwood Cup – 1 1/2 – 3:20 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – Moretti / #2 – Math Wizard / #1 – Forewarned

#3 Moretti is an up close speed style runner for Todd Pletcher and Luis Saez. He exits the G1 Sword dancer and makes the turf to dirt switch today. He drops in class and Saez should have him just off the leader’s flank ready to move. Saez wins 28% teaming up with the Todd Squad and the distance should be no problem for this son of Medaglia D’ Oro. #2 Math Wizard hails from the Saffie Joseph barn with Ricardo Santana in for the call. He’s a stone cold closer who is 1 for 1 at Parx. Here has plenty of races facing tougher and should fit better in here today. He had a perfect prep last out making his first start of 2021 and has been off 50 days since. I’m looking at the start of a fall racing campaign. #1 Forewarned goes to post for Uriah St. Lewis, and exits the G1 Jockey Gold Cup where he was over his head. Two races back he made a solid late run in Cleveland and has the services of Alexander Crispin.

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Race#9 – The G3 Turf Monster – 5f on the turf – 3:51 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #8 – Caravel / #1 – Beer Can Man / #4 – Carotari

#8 Caravel is a daughter of Mizzen Mast for Graham Motion and faced the boys last time out. She has the services of Jose Ortiz and has tactical speed which should play right into her hand. She is 5 for 5 at the distance and 8 for 8 ITM on the green. Ortiz wins 19% with turf sprinters with early foot and should lay just off the leader poised to pounce. #1 Beer Can Man is a stalker in the hands of Flavien Prat. This is his 2nd start of the year and Prat is winning 25% with his turf mounts. The Mark Glatt runner is 3 for 4 ITM at the distance and ships in from Del Mar where the barn wins 24% shipping into new surroundings. #4 Caratori hails from the Brian Lynch barn with Luis Saez in the irons. A pure speed runner coming off a 50 day rest. Saez wins 21% with early speed on the turf.

Race#10 – The G2 Gallant Bob – 6f – 4:22 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #7 – Jackie’s Warrior / #6 – Beren / #4 Pickin’ Time

#7 Jackie’s Warrior has Joel Rosario in the saddle for Steve Asmussen. They are making a third off the layoff move and can grab the lead or lay just off. Rosario is the regular rider and fits like a glove looking to make it three straight wins. A talented colt who looks ready for a prime effort coming off two bullet works. #6 Beren hails from the Robert Reid barn with Frankie Pennington in the irons. A local runner who can stalk just off the pace. He is 6 for 8 ITM at Parx and his home field advantage can be a plus in these races. #4 Pickin’ Time is closer for the Kelly Breen barn with Luis Saez in the driver’s seat. 3rd effort off the shelf and turns back in distance today. Saez aboard makes him dangerous anywhere he runs. Add in the sharp work under his belt and you have a runner who cannot be tossed out of exotic wagers.

Race#11 – The G1 Cotillion – 1 1/16 – 5:02 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #6 – Clairiere / #5 – Army Wife / #2 – Allworthy

#6 Clairiere looks double tough for trainer Steve Asmussen and his go to rider Ricardo Santana. She exits the G1 Alabam off a stalking trip that day and looks to have the same game plan today with the exception of going to the winner’s circle. Santana back aboard is a good sign, and when he rode this gal last it was 2020 at CD where he looked the perfect fit. #5 Army Wife is the closer type for the Mike Maker barn with Joel Rosario aboard. She always makes a late run and looks to keep knocking heads with some familiar runners in this race. 2nd off the layoff coming in fresh and ready. #2 Allworthy is a stalker from the Saffie Joseph barn with Florent Geroux in the irons. She is 5 for 6 ITM lifetime and always gives a good account of herself. Geroux aboard is a plus as he rises to the occasion in big money races.

Race #12 – The G1 Pennsylvania Derby – 1 1/8 – 5:49 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #7 – Hot Rod Charlie / #8 – Midnight Bourbon / #3 – Speaker’s Corner

#7 Hot Rod Charlie is a son of Oxbow for the Doug O’Neill barn with Flavien Prat in the saddle. Winner of the G1 Haskell and comes in fresh and ready off a two month layoff. Prat will have him stalking just off the pace ready to take command at his asking. #8 Midnight Bourbon is pure speed from the Asmussen barn with Ricardo Santana carrying his Winchell colors. This son of Tiznow just got beat in the shadow of the wire in the G1 Travers and looks ready for a top effort. #3 Speaker’s Corner is a lightly raced late runner from the Bill Mott barn with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. His 2nd start of 2021 looking to get his fall campaign kicked off today. He moves up in class, and Mott only sends them when they are ready for a top effort. The price is enticing in exotic wagers.

 

Top Horses to Bet at Woodbine – September 18

BetPTC.com Analysis – September 18, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Woodbine

Race #3 – The G2 Canadian Stakes – 1 1/8 miles turf – 2:16 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – La Draogontea / #2 – Our Secret Agent / #1 – Court Return

#3 Dragontea hails from the Christophe Clement yard with Joel Rosario in the saddle. She had the perfect prep winning at Saratoga and comes in moving up a notch in class. Rosario wins 21% with stalkers and does very well with Clement scoring at a 25% win clip. I’m looking for a mid pack move before they turn for home with the patient hand of Rosario finishing strong down the lane. #2 Our Secret Agent is a strong late closer for Mark Casse and Antonio Gallardo in the irons. They are going from a sprint to a route and Casse wins 16% on this move. This is 4th off the layoff and only her second time on the greensward. She has solid breeding on the dam side and should give a good account of herself as Casse spots his runners well. #1 Court Return is a daughter of Court Vision for Josie Carroll who is 8 for 12 ITM over the course. Luis Contreras is in the driver’s seat and she is bred to relish the sod. She closed eight wide last out to finish fourth and should enjoy the distance today.

 

Race #9 – The G1 Canadian International – 1 1/2 miles on the turf – 5:35 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – Desert Encounter / #2 – Walton Street / #6 – Fantasioso

#3 Desert Encounter comes to post from the David Simcock yard with Daniel Thudhope making the journey. This son of Hailing is bred for the lush turf and is regally bred to enjoy the journey. The barn wins 66% with graded stakes and has held his own in Gr company the past year. He’s a late runner and Thurdhope is a talented rider who can finish with a flourish. #2 Walton Street gets first Lasix for the Charlie Applebee yard with Frankie Dettori in the saddle. He ships in off a solid effort in a Gr 1 effort in Germany, and should stalk off the leaders under the talented Dettori. His dam Brom Felinity (AUS) has two starters, two winners, and two turf wins to her credit. #6 Fantasioso is a late runner for Ignacio Correas with Joel Rosario getting the call. After facing graded company his last race may be the perfect prep to get things back on track. Rosario is a patient but strong hand in the irons and will get a good trip from this son of Strategic Prince (GB).

 

Race  #10 – The G1 Woodbine Mile – 1 mile on the turf – 6:12 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #5 – Set Piece / #7 – Raging Bull / #10 – Space Traveller

#5 Set Piece hails from the Brad Cox barn and has the services of Joel Rosario in the irons. He has been the picture of consistency this past year and has a swift late running punch turning for home. This is 2nd off the layoff and Cox wins 25% with graded stakes and shipping in from Saratoga where he scores 27% with fresh scenery. #7 Raging Bull goes to post for Chad Brown and Frankie Dettori. He was beaten chalk in the G1 Fourstardave and looks to get back in 2019 form where he put in a strong closing move in the G1 Woodbine Mile. Brown has two bullet works coming in with one of the best riders in the world. Do not leave off of your wagers. #10 Space Traveller finished up strong in the G1 Mr. D at AP last out. Daniel Tudhope takes the call and trainer Brendan Walsh wins 22% with runners making the 2nd start for his barn. He has a top shelf rider in the saddle and should not be dismissed.

Top Horses to Bet on Today – September 11

BetPTC.com Analysis – September 11, 2021

Top Horses to Bet on Today

by: Ed Meyer

Kentucky Downs

Race#6 – The G3 Ladies Sprint – 6 1/2f on the turf – 3:57 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #10 – Venetian Harbor / #12 – Constantia / #7 – Catch a Bid

#10 Venetian Harbor exits the G1 Clemente Hirsch for Richard Baltas and Florent Geroux. This is her 2nd start off a layoff and owns two bullet works coming into the race. Geroux has been 9 for 13 ITM the past week and wins 27% with early speed. Look for this daughter of Munnings to jump out fresh and dictate the pace in the hands of the patient Geroux. # 12 Constantia ships in from Del Mar for John Sadler and Umberto Rispoli. She has a solid late kick and comes off a 48 day break from the races. She is 4 for 4 ITM at the distance and Rispoli wins 27% on the turf and 19% with closers. #7 Catch a Bid hails from the Joe Sharp barn with Luis Saez fresh off a saratoga title victory. Saez can get her to settle early and should stalk just off the pace. The barn wins 20% off a last race win and Saez wins 29% teaming up with Joe Sharp.

Race#7 – The G3 Ladies Turf – 1 mile on the turf – 4:34 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #2 – Princess Grace / #3 – Abscond / #6 – Shifty Sea

#2 Princess Grace makes her 3rd off the layoff bid for Michael Stidham and exits a win in the G2 Yellow Ribbon. She is looking to make it four in a row under Florent Geoux and this daughter of Karakontie (JPN)  is tough to knock. She does very little wrong and should be mid flight ready to pounce turn into the long stretch. #3 Abscond is a daughter of Blame for Eddie Kenneally with Flavien Prat in the saddle. She comes in off a 49 day break from Woodbine and should be fresh and ready to stalk the pace. Prat wins 28% with stalkers on the turf and she has plenty of back class to have her ready to fire fresh. #6 Shifty Sea hails from the barn of Saffie Joseph and sports good early speed. Irad Ortiz has the call and steps up in class with a strong rider who can get a horse to relax on the undulating course.

Race #8 – The G3 Turf Sprint – 6f  on the turf – 5:09pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #9 – Got Stormy / #7 – Casa Creed / #3 – Bombard

#9 Got Stormy goes postward for Mark Casse and Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle. She beat the boys in the G1 Four Star Dave and returns back to the ladies. She is 1 for 1 at KyD and owns a sharp work coming into the race. She has a strong late kick and Gaffalione wins 18% with turf closers. #7 Casa Creed is a late runner from the Bill Mott barn with Junior Alvarado in the irons. Her last few races show good things to come and Alvarado is 45% ITM with late running turf runners. He is a son of Jimmy Creed and sports a sharp work coming into the race. #3 Bombard is a son of War Front for Dick Mandella and Flavien Prat gets the call. He is 1 for 1 ITM at KyD and has plenty of early foot coming off a win in the G3 Daytona. The three month break may have him freshened for a top effort.

Race#9 – The G2 Turf Cup – 1 1/2 on the turf – 5:44 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #5 – Arlow / #4 – Tide of the Sea / #9 – Glynn County

#5 Arklow hails from the Brad Cox barn with Florent Geoux in the irons. This is his 3rd off the layoff move where the barn scores 26%. A late runner who is 3 for 3 ITM at KyD and seems to enjoy the undulating European course. Rider and trainer score 31% as a team the past 60 days. #4 Tide of the Sea comes to post for Mike Maker and has good early speed. He has a perfect 1 for 1 at KyD and should be a major player under the patient hand of Luis Saez who wins 22% with speed on the turf. #9 Glynn County is a son of Kitten’s Joy for Mike Maker and has a solid late kick under Tyler Gaffalione. He is 1 for 1 over the course and Tyler G has a 23% working with Mike Maker. Look for a late run turning into the long stretch.

Top Horses to Bet on at Kentucky Downs – September 5

BetPTC.com Analysis – September 5, 2021

by: Ed Meyer

Kentucky Downs

Race #9 – The $500k Dueling Grounds Oaks – 1 5/16 miles turf – 5:50 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #6 – Adventuring / #8 – Core Values / #9 – Earth Strike

#6 Adventuring hails from the barn of Brad Cox and failed as the beaten favorite last out. Switching riders to Joel Rosario and should relish the added distance. Add in a bullet work off her last race and Rosario may have a live runner in his hands. #8 Core Values is a late runner from the barn of Victoria Oliver with Rafael Bejarano in the irons. This daughter of Honor Code is shooting to make it four in a row and can launch a strong bid turning for home in the long undulating stretch. #9 Earth Strike enters for trainer Mark Casse. Declan Carroll is in the saddle and makes her 2nd off a layoff move today and has a late kick that will enjoy the added ground. Caroll wins 11% on the turf and is bred to relish the European course by Zoffany (IRE) and Another Storm who has 11 starters, 10 winners, and 9 turf winners to her credit. She would be an excellent complement to exotic wagers.

Race #10 – The $750k Dueling Grounds Derby – 1 5/16 miles turf – 6:25pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #12- Du Jour / #11 -Last Samurai / #8 – Cellist

#11 Du Jour is a late runner from the Bill Mott barn with Joel Rosario in the driver’s seat. This son of Temple City is 5 for 6 ITM on the turf and has always brought his top game every start. Look for a late run as Rosario will guide him into contention from the outside post and get a better seat to launch a late bid. He drops in class from G1 company at Saratoga, and 3rd off the layoff with an outside post to relax and find himself may be the key. #11 Last Samurai is a son of Malibu Moon for Dallas Stewart and Jon Court in the irons. The barn wins 20% off a last race win shipping in from Colonial Downs. He is stepping up in class, but his snappy late kick can have him in contention turning for home. Court is a seasoned veteran who has been riding over the undulating course for years, and when the money is on the line that can be a big factor. #8 Cellist is a speedy son of Big Blue Kitten for Rusty Arnold and Julien Leparoux. He will be the pacesetter and if allowed to dictate the pace with dawdling fractions at the half, it can be trouble for the late runners.