Sunday May 5, 2013

Please double check all program numbers prior to wagering 

Arlington     Race 2   (2:31 ET) 6 Furlongs  Allowance 1X

Best Value Play: # 6 Hit Girl (5/1)

Most Likely Winner: #1 Death by Chocolate (2/1)

Other Contenders: # 2 Roku (5/2), Somali Byrd (9/2)

Analysis: Death Chocolate and Roku will probably vie for favoritism. Either of the top two could claim the prize as most likely to succeed. Death by Chocolate may have the edge just because he is battle tested on the Chicago surface and has attracted a little more money at the windows in previous races. Somali Byrd has already won three races and that is quite an accomplishment for this field. Hit Girl is the other horse trainer Mike Stidham has in the race and should draw less attention than Roku. When Stidham has two in a race it means that your full attention is necessary.    


Arlington Race 6 (4:38 ET)   6 Furlongs    Claiming $25,000 – 3L

Best Value Play: # 2 Feisty Flirt (12/1)

Most Likely Winner: # 3 Just Say Hey (7/2)

Other Contenders: # 6 Distant Mesa (6/1), # 8 My Tee Time (3/1)

Analysis: Just Say Hey has faced much tougher in her last few outings and should be able to run down any early speed. Distant Mesa came back after a layoff and proved to be in top form with an impressive score at a slightly lower level. My Tee Time has some good speed figures and fits with these. Feisty Flirt hasn’t won since her freshman year, but she has always faced tougher and her work tab suggest she is sharp, plus she finally showed a little speed in her last race…all good signs.

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