Saturday May 25, 2013

Please double check all program numbers prior to wagering 

Churchill  Race 3,   6 1/2 Furlongs  Claiming $15,000 (1:47 ET)

Best Value Play: # 5 Highlight (5/1)

Most Likely Winner: #4 Affair (3/1)

Other Contenders: # 2 Tenacious Tiger (4/1), #6 Circus Clown (4/1)

Analysis: Affair comes off of a scorching hot win with a beneficial maintenance work. Lanerie stays aboard. Tenacious Tiger fits well at this level and posted a good speed figure last out. Circus Clown has performed well at higher levels and gets a good post to launch an off the pace run. Highlight is a little hard to figure but could get the job done after showing improvement in his last two races.

Arlington   Race 1,   6 Furlongs  Claiming $25,000 2L (2:00 ET)

Best Value Play: # 8 Impetuous Power (8/1)

Most Likely Winner: #5 Belvedere Road (4/1)

Other Contenders: # 2 Little Kinkaid (9/2), # 6 Rojo Verde (5/1)

Analysis: Belvedere Road took a big leap in his last two races and now drops down to a winning position. Little Kinkaid is a major suspect with a pair of good races before a layoff and a blistering work in preparation for a comeback. Rojo Verde showed improvement over the Arlington surface last time and looks to have a shot at this level. Impetuous Power may not run a step but it is hard to ignore a horse that ran much higher in his last two races and Desormeaux stays on.