Saturday June 8, 2013

Please double check all program numbers prior to wagering 

Churchill  Race 4,   6 1/2 Furlongs  Starter $30,000 (2:19 ET)

Best Value Play: #2 Mucho Sueno (15/1)

Most Likely Winner: #3 Watercolors (4/1)

Other Contenders: #1 Said (2/1), #4 Elusive Act (5/2)

Analysis: Watercolors comes off a monster maiden win in Louisville with a big number. No doubt she is the one to beat. Said has all of the right connections, ran well last out and gets Lasix. Elusive Act has the hottest owner-trainer combo in the business with her best race coming on the Churchill main track. Mucho Sueno is back after a freshener with races with bigger price tags. In those races some of her top opponents returned to win in their next effort. Work tab is long and seems to be serious. 

Churchill Race 10,   6 Furlongs  Maiden Claiming $50,000 (5:30 ET)

Best Value Play: #6 Given the Odds (12/1)

Most Likely Winner: #2 Pass the Pico (3/1)

Other Contenders: #4 Thanks Bro (3/1), #5 Street Call (2/1)

Analysis: Pass the Pico comes back after a good string of works, adds blinkers and runs for Asmussen, which is plenty in his favor. Thanks Bro actually finished ahead of Pass the Pico in a prior race and certainly figures here. Street Call has produced steady numbers in his last three races and now drops in class. Given the Odds is an interesting debut runner sired by a Preakness and Belmont winner. He has a great number of long works, with the last three from the gate for a trainer that does very well with firsters.