Saturday July 6, 2013

 Please double check all program numbers prior to wagering

 Arlington    Race 1,   6 furlongs Claiming $7,500 3L (2:00 ET)

 Best Value Play: #2 Torbo’s Bank (6/1)

 Most Likely Winner: #3 Lil Miss Richie (5/2)

 Other Contenders: #5 Killin Them Softly (4/1), #6 My Tee Time (7/2)

 Analysis: Lil Miss Richie drops in class and will get to sit behind the early speed, and she is the high percentage hands of E.T. Baird. Killin Them Softly has got a couple of speed figures that say he can win this one easily, but only if he is not compromised early. My Tee Time is another class dropper that will be a pace factor and is capable of getting the best of the entire field. Torbo’s Bank has some back class and will enjoy a hot pace in front. It’s only a question of her moving forward on polytrack. 

 Arlington  Race 3,   6 1/2 furlongs  Claiming $25,000 2L (3:51 ET)

 Best Value Play: #5 Richard’s Tune (10/1)

 Most Likely Winner: #6 You’re My Buddy (7/2)

 Other Contenders: #4 Rare Courage (5/1) #8 Rafale (6/1)

 Analysis: You’re My Buddy’s two best races came on artificial surfaces and he is battle hardened from tough foes he faced in Kentucky and Louisiana. Rare Courage fits well at this level and looks prime for a score in a second layoff opportunity. Rafale will need a good pace in front of him but don’t be surprised if Desormeaux can get him to show up in time. Richard’s Tune could be a big surprise if he gets the lead. His numbers say he can wire them if he can get a breather in the first half mile.