Saturday April 20, 2013

Please double check all program numbers prior to wagering 

Keeneland     Race 2  (1:36 ET)  7 Furlongs   

Claiming $10,000  

Best Value Play: #3 Shore Do (6/1)

Most Likely Winner: #6 Strike the Tiger (8/5)

Other Contenders: #9 Fleurdefortyfour (7/2)  #7 St. Armands (5/1)

Analysis: Trainer Wesley Ward sends out the obvious favorite in Strike the Tiger, who ships in from Gulfstream, takes a class drop and has run well on Keeneland’s polytrack in the past. Plus, the red hot Joel Rosario rides for Ward. Fleurdefortyfour runs for Thomas Amoss and a review of Keeneland Winning Trainer Patterns tell us that Amoss is dangerous with Fairgrounds shippers and moving horse from routes to sprints. St. Armands sports some good speed figs and gets the talented Rosie Napravnik to navigate. He has shown some good late kick in the last two races. Shore Do is an interesting entry. Runs for Chuck Peery, and according to Keeneland Winning Trainer Patterns, won for the same owners with a first layoff runner a couple of years ago. Possible long shot has tons of back class and has made some plenty of cash in his time.

PARX   Race 4   (1:46 ET) 5 ½ Furlongs   

Starter $8,000 F&M 

Best Value Play: #2 At First Speight (9/2)

Most Likely Winner: #6 She’s Ordained (2/1)

Other Contenders: #4 Roman Renegade (3/1), #7 Speedboat Sally (7/2)

Analysis: She’s Ordained has won 8 of 18, is top form and shows a pair of sizzling workouts in preparation for the contest. Roman Renegade runs for the high percentage combo of Preciado and Carmouche and will offer a challenge from off the pace. Speedboat Sally is another tough old gal that is capable. At First Speight shows good works after a freshening and has a late kick to make her dangerous.

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