Saturday September 28, 2013

Please double check all program numbers prior to wagering

PARX    Race 1,   6 furlongs   $5,000   (12:25 ET)

Best Value Play: #6 Thedamageisdone  (8/1)

Most Likely Winner: #3 Barbara’s Beauty  (5/2)

Other Contenders: #2 Wild Kay (3/1), #7 Girl Wando (7/2)

Analysis: Barbara’s Beauty drops to her lowest level in quite a while and the ten race winner looks to be the best of the bunch. Wild Kay ran well against the top choice and will be hustled to the lead, and if she can be the pacesetter she stands a decent chance. Girl Wando may not be the classiest in the field but she could get the perfect trip and she has demonstrated the ability to close after stalking. Thedamageisdone may normally like the front but could settle behind the speed going a shorter distance and pick up the pieces.   

PARX    Race 4,   7 furlongs  $10,000 3L  (1:46 ET)

Best Value Play: #5 Party Girl Appeal (10/1)

Most Likely Winner: #2 Mythic Appeal (8/5)

Other Contenders: #6 Taste the Fortune (4/1) #7 Rebecca’s Surprise (5/2)

Analysis: Mythic Appeal has the speed and is coming off a big win. A repeat of that performance makes her tough to beat. Taste the Fortune chased a runaway winner last time and should be ready in her second race off a freshener. Rebecca’s Surprise is the only possible challenge to the early speed of Mythic Appeal. She does get an outside post to stalk and will be waiting for the frontrunner to collapse. Party Girl Appeal makes her first run for a high percentage barn after a brief vacation. She beat Mythic Appeal once and she could be the surprise at a price.