Sunday September 29, 2013

Please double check all program numbers prior to wagering

 Churchill    Race 3,   6 1/2 furlongs   $15,000 2L   (1:47 ET)

Best Value Play: #1 Farlake  (20/1)

Most Likely Winner: #4 Impatient Investor  (2/1)

Other Contenders: #6 Translyvania Flash (6/1), #8 Short Story Long (5/2)

Analysis: Impatient Investor claimed by Mike Maker for the Ramsey at Saratoga and, as expected, drops slightly below the claimed level and has the back class to whip these. Transylvania Flash comes back after a couple of weeks and has run well in Louisville and could be a pace factor. Short Story Long runs for high percentage barn and is a new horse after being claimed in June and fits well in here. Farlake runs for the Thomas entry and takes a big drop, which is suspect, however, he fired an impressive bullet at The Downs just a few  days ago. 

 Churchill    Race 4,   6 furlongs  $10,000   (2:19 ET)

Best Value Play: #5 Courtly Flyer (8/1)

Most Likely Winner: #6 Golden Galaxy (7/5)

Other Contenders: #3 Maybelle Slew (9/5) #2 Wildie (8/1)

Analysis: Golden Galaxy is another Maker claim for the Ramseys at Saratoga. There is a little concern that the class drop seems to be excessive, but how can one possible bet against this team?  Maybelle Slew comes back quick after a win at this level and has won a dozen career races. Wildie was claimed, jumped up and comes back down. She may not can win but must be included in exotics. Courtly Flyer ships in from Ellis and takes a drop back to where she belongs. Second race after a rest makes her a threat.