Sunday April 21, 2013

Please double check all program numbers prior to wagering 

Keeneland     Race 3   (2:07 ET)  6 1/2 Furlongs   

Claiming $16,000 

Best Value Play: #12 Laope (15/1)

Most Likely Winner: #2 Kingsford Drive (2/1)

Other Contenders: #3 Voodoo Dancer (5/1)  #10 Our Noble Heart (10/1)

Analysis: Kingsford Drive comes back for trainer Mike Maker and Team Ramsey, who set a new Keeneland record for wins by an owner on Saturday. Along with the connections, the 5 year old sports a big figure from a winning effort against similar 15 days ago. Voodoo Dancer is back to the track quickly and is capable of winning at this level. Our Noble Heart loves polytrack, fits well in here for a lesser known but effective trainer. Jockey John McKee shows up at Keeneland to ride Laope, who carried him to several victories in the past, and figures to be prominent early from the outside. This one looks to be one of the sneaky types that leave people scratching their heads.   

Keeneland   Race 4  (2:38 ET) 6 Furlongs   

Claiming $50,000 F&M  

Best Value Play: #5 Tweedy (6/1)

Most Likely Winner: #6 Revenue (5/2)

Other Contenders: #7 Costly (9/2), #2 Oh Carole (3/1, #3 Atlantic Tap (6/1)

Analysis: Revenue comes from Miami, drops in class for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott, has a scorching workout a week ago and scored the only time she ran on an artificial surface. Costly is in good form, has a lifetime of success that includes a dozen victories and is versatile in her running style. Oh Carole invades from Miami, drops in class and gets Leparoux in the irons. Tweedy has run well on turf and artificial surfaces and poses a threat to wire the field if she is allowed to grab an early lead.