Sunday October 27, 2013

Please double check all program numbers prior to wagering

Hawthorne    Race 2,   5 1/2 furlongs   $5,000   (3:40 ET)

Best Value Play: #4 Spikey Italiano (4/1)

 Most Likely Winner: #2 Dominant Suh (3/1)

 Other Contenders: #6 Mosquillo (7/2), #7 Isle of Skye (2/1)

 Analysis: Dominant Suh is in top form and almost always gets bet. He runs for a good combo and will come running down the long stretch in Chicago. Mosquillo is on a roll and likes Hawthorne, comes back quick after his last victory. Isle of Skye takes a huge drop, which causes concern, but he runs for the crafty Larry Rivelli and that means he shouldn’t be discounted. Spikey Italiano runs for the second time off the shelf and fits this race well.

 Hawthorne   Race 8,   6 furlongs    Claiming $5,000   (6:40 ET)

 Best Value Play: #9 Nafir’s Best (12/1)

 Most Likely Winner: #8 Mamonium Moon (5/1)

 Other Contenders: #3 Schillerthekiller (8/1) #7 Great Bam (3/1)

 Analysis: Mamonium Moon has a win rate that exceeds 25% and he may be the lone speed in the race. Schillerthekiller has a past liking and big figures at Hawthorne. Great Bam seems to always attract money and has finished in the cash more than half the time at Hawthorne. Nafir’s Best cuts back and will probably stay close enough to get a good run at the leaders-his last two outings were very good.