Sunday November 17, 2013

Please double check all program numbers prior to wagering

Hawthorne    Race 8,   6 furlongs   Allowance 1x   (6:40 ET)

Best Value Play: #9 A Shot Away (8/1)

Most Likely Winner: #1 Scarlett Power (4/1)

Other Contenders: #3 Silky Sami (9/2), #4 Tap a Bay Yankee (5/1)

Analysis: Scarlett Power was the choice of jockey Chris Emigh. Inside draw has been doing well and this filly won her last in state two other than. Silky Sami is a tough mare with an excellent career record plus she loves Hawthorne. Tap a Bay Yankee comes back fast after a thundering win in her Hawthorne debut. A Shot Away may have lost Emigh but this lady has speed and her record speaks for herself. Letting her get away at a good price is a mistake.

Hawthorne    Race 9,   6 furlongs    $7,500 3L   (4:01 ET)

Best Value Play: #9 Featherinthebreeze (15/1)

Most Likely Winner: #4 My Tee Time (5/1)

Other Contenders: #8 Elle’s Wager (5/1) #11 Rehab Your Soul (9/2)

Analysis: My Tee Time likes Hawthorne, keeps her regular rider and has a flexible running style providing her with a winning opportunity. Elle’s Wager runs for the outstanding Michael Reavis barn and is sitting on go third race after a freshening. Rehab Your Soul may not like the dirt but you cannot overlook her class. Featherinthebreeze has a lot of negatives but she has shown up with some of these before and may complete a nice exotics ticket.