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Keeneland Race 6, 6 furlongs Optional Claiming $80,000 (3:40 ET)
Best Value Play: #2 Belle Natalie (8/1)
Most Likely Winner: #5 Milam (9/5)
Other Contenders: #1 Dancing House (6/5) #3 Keep Crossing (4/1)
Analysis: Milam runs for one of the best trainers around Keeneland, who is deadly with freshened runners, and his top jock gets the call. Dancing House can win easily but turning back from two turns and changing surfaces creates questions. Keep Crossing is always bet, keeps his usual rider, switches surfaces and ships in. Bell Natalie is an interesting runner without much stakes experience but has a chance to upset the apple cart with a late run.
Keeneland Race 10, 6 furlongs Claiming $10,000 (5:44 ET)
Best Value Play: #7 Missing Sefa (6/1)
Most Likely Winner: #9 Northern Borealis (3/1)
Other Contenders: #4 Doll Dreams (5/1) #6 Weekend Wish (5/1)
Analysis: Northern Borealis appears to run well when rested and that is the case today, and with a drop in class looks to be the leading lady. Doll Dreams scorched the earth with a hot work the other day, has speed and takes a moderate drop. Weekend Wish is normally well bet and rarely runs a bad race, plus a solid resume makes her appealing. Missing Sefa won her first race when her connections were probably in kindergarten. One can’t help but love her. She is the model of durability. She is capable of beating these, even at age 13.