BETPTC.COM SPOT PLAYS – Friday April 18, 2014

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 Keeneland   Race 4   6 1/2 furlongs   Claiming $25,000 (2:38 ET)

Best Value Play: #7 Sense of a Woman (10/1)

Most Likely Winner: #4 Electro Peg (5/1)

Other Contenders: #2 Remembermealways (3/1), #8 Lucky Mary G. (5/1)

 Analysis: Electro Peg ran with much tougher in Tampa and cuts back to a sprint after a drill over the Lexington surface a week ago. Remembermealways ships in from Cajun Country after being claimed by Thomas Amoss, who is deadly with first claims and first off a layoff. Lucky Mary G. will probably get the run of the race stalking cheaper speed to her inside and that makes her a prime candidate for a big effort. Sense of a Woman has been claimed six times in less than a year, a probable salute to her soundness. This daughter of a Derby winner cuts back to a sprint after facing tougher in Miami.


Keeneland   Race 8   1 1/16 miles   Allowance 2X $62,000 (4:42 ET)

Best Value Play: #10 Ambusher (10/1)

Most Likely Winner: #4 Seanchai (5/1)

Other Contenders: #1 Lady Rouge (8/1) #7 Star Pearl (4/1)

 Analysis: Seanchai has a fatter bankroll than all others in the race and she saw tougher foes in Florida. Lady Rouge, a daughter of a BC Classic winner appears to have matured and watch out for her trainer, Mark Frostad, who does well spotting his small barn of horses where they can win. Star Pearl runs for the red hot Motion barn and in Europe she won a handicap race carrying a heavy sack of mail. Ambusher exits three straight stakes races finishing second of eleven last out. She goes for the winning Breeders Cup Classic connections of Wilkes/Hernandez.

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