BETPTC.COM SPOT PLAYS – Friday, January 30, 2015

Please double check all program numbers prior to wagering

 Turfway Race 1  6 1/2 furlongs   Claiming $7,500 2L (6:15 ET)

Best Value Play: #1 Aziperform (6/1)

Most Likely Winner: #7 Juanita Senorita (5/2)

Other Contenders: #2 Run Forestry Run (4/1), #3 Quality Moment (2/1)

Analysis: Juanita Senorita looks to be the best with her performances at higher levels that produced an in the money rate of nearly fifty percent. Run Forestry Run has posted a couple of good speed figures in tougher company and now drops for a trainer that has done well over the past year. Quality Moment ended 2014 with a pair of horrible races and has been resting for the last two months. The big drop in class and no public works makes her suspect but then she has early speed and that cannot be discounted. Aziperform has finished in the place position in fifty percent of her efforts and it looks like Turfway agrees with her dangerous early speed.

 Turfway Race 4 6 furlongs   Claiming $5,000 (7:42 ET)

Best Value Play: #9 Smuggler’s Hold (12/1)

Most Likely Winner: #4 Stew Boy (3/1)

Other Contenders: #1 Rocky Bear (6/1), #8 Da Jersey Express (5/2)

 Analysis: Stew Boy comes back after a freshener for a trainer that does well with layoff horses-that and a drop in class make him an attractive prospect. Rocky Bear has over thirty in the money finishes and gets a change in the saddle with the old pro Perry Ouzts. Da Jersey Express likes artificial surfaces and sports an overall good resume, plus his last may have been good enough to best all of these. Smuggler’s Hold is an old warrior with a good background and in 2014 he tossed out some speed figures that would crush this bunch.

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