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Arlington Race 4 One Mile Allowance 1X (5:25 ET)
Best Value Play: #7 Southern Jewel (12/1)
Most Likely Winner: #5 Voluptuous (3/1)
Other Contenders: #1 Zipso Facto (4/1), #4 Abundantly Clear (7/2)
Analysis: Voluptuous runs for the successful Stidham barn and comes off an impressive maiden score. Zipso Facto ran well in her return after a rest and sports some very consistent speed numbers. Abundantly Clear ran well on the polytrack at Keeneland and is a major threat with her early speed. Southern Jewel ships in and has faced some tough foes. Her dam side suggests a love of polytrack.
Arlington Race 5 6 furlongs Claiming $7,500 2L (5:54 ET)
Best Value Play: #5 Noble Doucet (12/1)
Most Likely Winner: #3 Cotton Candy Kid (9/2)
Other Contenders: #4 Steel Vice (5/2) #11 Levy (7/2)
Analysis: Cotton Candy Kid was claimed by the veteran trainer Tony Granitz and gets blinkers to guarantee his early speed will be speedier. Steel Vice woke up on polytrack last time and distance should be no problem since his dad won the Derby. Levy has a terrible win record but loves to get paid, plus his late running style may come in handy. Noble Doucet came alive two races ago, was jumped up and now comes back down with an apprentice and weight off.