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Arlington   Race 1   6 furlongs   Claiming $16,000 2L (2:00 ET)

Best Value Play: #6 Hothalfone (5/1)

Most Likely Winner: #7 He Gone (9/5)

Other Contenders: #4 Chucks Turn (6/1), #5 Chevrons (9/2)

Analysis: He Gone is the one to beat after consistently racing in tougher company and taking a drop for the Campbell connections. Chucks Turn comes back after a rest and transfers to the turf, drops in class and removes the blinkers-a recipe for victory? Chevrons should benefit from his layoff and the drop in class, plus, he gets Baird in the irons. Hothalfone appears to be a little cheap but his form has improved significantly in recent attempts, plus he may hold the key to the Winner’s Circle with his speed.

PARX   Race 9   7 furlongs  Starter $16,000 (4:01 ET)

Best Value Play: #2 Draxhall Woods (6/1)

Most Likely Winner: #1 Show Ya Luv (3/1)

Other Contenders: #6 Pushin’ On (4/1) #9 Water Tower (9/2)

Analysis: Show Ya Luv rarely misses a paycheck and is always knocking on the door. Pushin’ On is on a roll and comes in from Baltimore looking to earn a big payday in Pennsylvania. Water Tower is another in top form and can easily stalk from close up with the outside post. Draxhall Woods has a versatile running style and could be a good price even though he has probably faced tougher company all year long.