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Keeneland   Race 3,   6 furlongs   Optional $62,500   (2:15 ET)
Best Value Play: #5 Good Lord (10/1)
Most Likely Winner: #8 Coastline (7/2)
Other Contenders: #1 W.B. Smudge (7/2), #6 Totally Drenched (9/2)

Analysis: Coastline has graded stakes experience, runs for Canada’s top trainer and should love what is sure to be a wet track. W.B. Smudge is a major threat with his speed and has posed high numbers, the rail is the only concern. Totally Drenched will probably be a fitting name for Lexington and this one should be ready to roll for his excellent trainer, plus he won in Delaware while posting an impressive final quarter. Good Lord loves it wet and that is what he will probably get on Saturday. This one has stakes experience and should be well rested for his second race after a freshener, plus he set the track on fire with his last work.

RETURNS OCT. 3RD AT BETPTC.COM

PARX   Race 4,    5 1/2 furlongs   Claiming $7,500   (2:16 ET)
Best Value Play: #3 Winter Lady (10/1)
Most Likely Winner: #6 Henry’s Gal (7/2)
Other Contenders: #1 Winning Player (5/2) #2 Lover’s Dream (6/1)

Analysis: Henry’s Gal gets the nod in what will probably be a sloppy day in Philly. Henry’s Gal was claimed from last by a trainer does well at the claiming box, has some good numbers and a big bankroll for a claimer of this price. Winning Player has a major weapon called speed and unless the rail is deep she may have a chance to wire the field with a good start. Lover’s Dream does okay on the wet stuff and drops from allowance company, and even though she has been tackling state breds she may have a class edge for her sharp trainer. Winter Lady runs for Capuano on the drop and that is attention getting, plus she loves an off track.