BETPTC.COM SPOT PLAYS – Saturday October 4, 2014

Please double check all program numbers prior to wagering

 PARX   Race 5   7 furlongs   Claiming $8,000 (2:13 ET)

Best Value Play: #5 Tiny Predicament (10/1)

Most Likely Winner: #4 OK Lefty (7/2)

Other Contenders: #2 Noah’s Dream (6/1), #7 Quepos (5/1)

 Analysis: OK Lefty has some speed, has back class and drops today for a sharp trainer. Noah’s Dream has a terrific resume and is always ready for a fight. He is very capable of stalking and winning. Quepos has been active at the claiming box, which is usually is a sign of soundness and with ten career wins he must be considered. Tiny Predicament returns for one of the best trainers on the circuit and keeps a high percentage rider. A rest after being claimed by this trainer, with a jump in class, usually smells trouble for others.

 

PARX   Race 9   7 furlongs Claiming $10,000 2L (4:01 ET)

Best Value Play: #9 Fia Mia (10/1)

Most Likely Winner: #6 Ah Honey Honey (5/2)

Other Contenders: # 7 Miss Molly Brown (3/1) #8 Farrest Rim (5/1)

 Analysis: Ah Honey Honey came alive once removed from the lawn and looks to be the one to beat. Miss Molly Brown will cut back from a route and while inconsistent, may be a threat if she can get the lead or stay very close. Farrest Rim has weak connections but her last race tells us she is in good form. Fia Mia is an interesting case but looks to be one that must have the lead. The addition of blinkers will probably assure her position on the front, and her dad made a huge living going two turns, not one.

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