Video Replay Report

Tony Kelzenberg for BetPTC.com

4/01/15

Current Results (since the start of this blog, corrected and updated totals)

Starts – 62

Wins – 15 (24% win rate from starters)

In the money –31 (50% in the money rate)

WIN Return on investment – minus 2.10%

This week:

Starters – 4

Winners – 0

In the money – 1

Winners’ report: None

Losers’ Report: Ami’s Flatter got crushed in the Florida Derby but held OK on the third slot. Looks well spotted for a second-tier 3yo campaign. Glenard did not make an impact in the mile and a half Pan American, probably needs a shorter distance – I would say 9 furlongs. Mr. Online got another terrible ride in the Appleton and I do not know why. I am going to stick with this horse because at the very least he can win a high-level allowance race. Anniversary Kitty was forced to track a very slow pace and it did not suit her come from behind tactics.

Stable Drops:

None

Stable Adds – Domestic:

Ocho Ocho Ocho is in search of a Ky Derby entry, and in his last race his front legs got “cut up.” In my mind he is a very logical play to turn things around in the Blue Grass Stakes.

International Star just keeps winning races and I think he has a great chance to be in the Kentucky Derby superfecta.

Chocolate Ride appears to be on a roll as well and I don’t think this one needs to be alone on the lead to be dangerous.

Stable Adds – out of Dubai World Cup day:

Dolniya is a 4 year old mare that runs for excellent French owner/trainer connections and she just beat the top two finishers of the 2014 Breeders’ Cup Turf easily. Can win on the front or just off of it, this one is a serious threat for Royal Ascot in June, the Arc de Triomphe in early October and the 2015 Breeders’ Cup Turf.

What’s On Tap this Saturday:

Tiz Shae D – Wood Memorial

Ocho Ocho Ocho – Blue Grass Stakes

Bolo – Santa Anita Derby

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