One of the latest trends is using the AI to generate figures and give you winners. You should always be up on new ways to pick winners and take advantage of various handicappers tools out there. But you do not want to ever forget to watch the replays of past races.
Why did I say “Sometimes numbers do lie?” Well that is easy, a horse that is checking behind other horses , a slow start or a horse running five wide is traveling further distance. All three would have had the horse with higher figures than horse in the same race having a clean rail run trip.
You need to watch the replays to tell you the entire story. I find it amazing the prices you get on horses after a bad trip that caused them to not have a great finish. Clearly more people just use the numbers, don’t be a sheep, be different and take advantage of the replays. BETPTC has a great replay library of all the races, take advantage of what they are giving you for free.
What to look for in the replays:
-Start of the race, clean, slow, checked
-Wide, rail, far more important on the turns, unless bias
-Possible trouble at some point in race, started to make move and checked
-Perfect trip, perfect set up
I make notes good or bad. I also make notes on horses to bet next time or bet against next out. A dream trip will have much higher numbers than a troubled trip. The higher the numbers the lower the price of the horse.
Also a follow up to numbers sometimes lie, don’t believe everything you read. The footnotes in the PPs, may say slow start, better watch to see how slow it was. We can save that discussion for another time.
So to keep it simple, watch the replays and determine for yourself if the numbers lie. Trust me watching the replay will find you that hidden gem.