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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – March 27

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 3/27/2021

by: Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #10 – The G-2 Pan American – 1 1/2 on the turf – 4:09 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Sadler’s Joy / #2 – Temple  / #7 – Moon Over Miami

#3 Sadler’s Joy is a son of Kitten’s Joy for Thom Albertrani and Jose Ortiz in the saddle. He’s been off for two months and the barn scores at a 12% win clip with fresh legs. He is 4 for 7 ITM at GP and closed well last out coming up a bit short down the lane. Ortiz wins 23% with his turf closers. #2 Temple makes his 3rd off the layoff move for Mike Maker with Irad Ortiz in the irons. This son of Temple City should be mid pack and Irad wins 26% with stalking type closers. He loves GP going 10 for 11 ITM over the course. #7 Moon Over Miami hails from the Bill Mott barn with Junior Alvarado in the saddle.  2nd time off the layoff, and Mott wins 17% on this move. The rider is 19 for 34 ITM the past week.

Race #12 – The G-2 Gulfstream Oaks – 1 1/16 – 5:17 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Crazy Beautiful / #6 – Millefeuille / #1 – Con Lima

#3 Crazy Beautiful is a daughter of Liam’s Map for Ken McPeek and Jose Ortiz. This is her 2nd off the layoff and eligible to improve after being reluctant to load last out. She was 4 wide moving late last out and should be mid pack in high gear turning for home. #6 Millefeuille is a daughter of Curlin making her 2nd start of the year. Add in her bullet work at Payson and trainer Bill Mott looks to keep her moving forward in 2021. She was shuffled back at the start last out and looks prime to get back on track.  #1 Con Lima is a speedy filly for Todd Pletcher who is 3 for 3 ITM over the course. She makes the turf to dirt switch and wins 25% on the surface move. Irad Ortiz in the driver’s seat and should break quickly.

Race #14 – The G-1 Florida Derby – 1 1/8 – 6:40 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Known Agenda / #7 – Greatest Honor / #10 – Spielberg

#5 Known Agenda is a son of Curlin for Todd Pletcher with Irad Ortiz in the irons. He won impressively by 11 lengths last out as prep and looks to make his 3rd off the layoff move where the barn wins 23%. The distance should fit his style and look for a solid late run. #7 Greatest Honor is a son of Tapit 6 for 6 ITM who is a perfect 3 for 3 at GP. Known Agenda beat him going 9f, and should make a sharp move on the far turn for Shug McCaughey and Jose Ortiz. He is 6 for 6 ITM at the track seeking his 4th straight win. #10 Spielberg is a late runner for Bob Baffert with Javier Castellano in the saddle. He ships in from OP and Baffert wins 30% with his shippers. He has sharp works and switches riders to Castellano.

 

Turfway Park

Race #11 – The G-3 Jeff Ruby Steaks – 1 1/8 – 6:25 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Hush of a Storm / #7 – Tarantino / #10 – Gretzky the Great

#2 Hush of a Storm hails from the William Morey barn with Santiago Gonzalez in the irons. 2nd off a layoff for this late runner and a perfect 3 for 3 at TP. The winner of the John Battaglia has won twice without Lasix and his dam Hush Now has 1 starter and 1 winner to her credit. #7 Tarantino is a stalker from the Rudy Brisset barn with Florent Geroux in the saddle. 3rd off the layoff and should show good early foot from the break. He ships in from GP from the G2 Fountain of Youth and should be forwardly placed when they spring the latch. #10 Gretzky the Great makes his 2nd off the layoff as the beaten chalk in the Battaglia. Mark Casse runners win 24% making the comeback off the beaten chalk angle. Look for speed from the Casse runner with Chris Landeros in the saddle.

Sunday’s Arc de Triomphe Horse-by-horse Analysis

We focus on the chances of each runner for the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, the feature race on 3 October.  Watch, wager and get instant rewards on the Arc with betptc.com

Persian King

Winner of the 2019 G1 Poule d’Essai des Poulains (1600m), Persian King has established himself as one of the leading milers in Europe this season with multiple Group One victories, including the G1 Prix Moulin (1600m) at Longchamp and the G1 Prix d’Ispahan (1600m).  Although breeding on his dam side would suggest stamina should not be an issue, Persian King is stepping out to 2400m for the first time in his career and has to prove his staying ability.

Royal Julius 

An experienced campaigner, Royal Julius has competed across Europe with some success. Highlights from this season include a third in the G3 Grand Prix de Chantilly (2500m) and a second in the G2 Premio Federico Tesio (2000m) at San Siro (Italy). It will be his first attempt in Group One company since 2018.

Way To Paris 

Way To Paris comes to the ‘Arc’ after a career-best season, with a Group One and Group Two victories amongst other black type placings. The seven-year-old achieved a first Group One success in the Grand Prix de Saint Cloud (2400m) in late June and was only beaten three lengths in the G2 Prix Foy (2000m) after a break.

Sovereign 

A long-priced winner of the G1 Irish Derby (2400m) during his Classic campaign, Sovereign has been lightly campaigned this season with only three runs. Following a third in the G3 Vintage Crop Stakes at the Curragh, he chased home Enable in the three-runner G1 King George and Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (2400m). The Galileo colt may appreciate the return to 2400m after a disappointing run in the G1 Irish St Leger (2800m).

Japan 

Half-brother to Group winners Sir Isaac Newton and MogulJapan has been inconsistent throughout his career. Talented on his best day, the Galileo colt achieved a career best when winning the G1 International Stakes (2100m) at York in August 2019. He’s hit the frame twice this season but would need to bounce back from a disappointing run in the G1 Irish Champion Stakes (2000m).

Stradivarius 

Champion stayer Stradivarius drops back in trips to have a tilt at Europe’s richest race following another successful season over long distances. A three-time winner of the G1 Ascot Gold Cup (4000m), he was narrowly denied victory in the G2 Prix Foy (2400m) in his trial for the ‘Arc’. Olivier Peslier picks up the ride with regular jockey Frankie Dettori favouring Enable.

Sottsass

2019 G1 Prix du Jockey Club (2100m) winner Sottsass catches the eye as a possible candidate for victory in the ‘Arc’, having placed third behind Waldgeist in the 2019 renewal. Winner of the G1 Prix Ganay (2100m) at Chantilly in June, he will be looking to recapture best form after a below-par effort in the G1 Irish Champion Stakes (2000m).

Enable 

‘Queen of the Turf’ Enable will be bidding – for the second time – for a historic third victory in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe. Second behind Waldgeist in the 2019 renewal, the champion race-mare has enjoyed a straightforward season with victories in the G1 King George and Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (2400m) and the G3 September Stakes (2400m AW). Her record over 2400m is exceptional and she may prove hard to beat.

Deirdre 

Japanese star Deirdre has been campaigned in the UK and Ireland over the last two years winning over two million pounds in prize money. Although her European form falls short of top-level, she demonstrated plenty of ability when scoring in the G1 Nassau Stakes (2000m) in 2019 and can’t be ignored if returning to that level.

Gold Trip 

Trained by Fabrice ChappetGold Trip has been lightly campaigned over the course of the season and caught the eye with a success in the G2 Prix Greffulhe (2200m). Although the colt struggled in the G1 Prix du Jockey Club (2100m), he showed better form when third in the G1 Grand Prix du Paris (2400m) behind Mogul seeming to enjoy the additional stamina test.

Chachnak  

One of five three-year-olds in the race, Chachnak looked to be a leading contender for the G1 Prix du Jockey Club (2100m) after a hard-fought success in the G2 Prix du Guiche (1800m). Although disappointing in the Classic itself, Chachnak bounced back to form with a victory in the G3 Prix du Prince d’Orange (2000m) and tries 2400m for the first time.

In Swoop

The least experienced runner in the field, In Swoop has achieved two victories and two placings from four career starts. Winner of the G1 Deutsches Derby (2400m) in July, the German-bred colt produced a big performance to place second behind Mogul in the G1 Grand Prix de Paris (2400m) and continues to improve.

Mogul 

Touted as a likely Epsom Derby winner at the end of his juvenile campaign, Mogul has improved with each run this season and achieved his first Group One victory when scoring comfortably in the G1 Grand Prix de Paris (2400m) at Longchamp in mid-September. The Galileo colt continues to make headway and should not be dismissed with the advantage of a three-year-old weight allowance.

Serpentine

A surprise winner of the G1 Epsom DerbySerpentine was given an enterprising ride by jockey Emmet McNamara to steal the Classic from the front, beating his nearest rival by five and a half lengths. The colt’s only subsequent start came in the Grand Prix de Paris where he finished fourth behind stablemate MogulSerpentine would need to step up again after that below-par performance.

Raabihah  

A close fourth behind Fancy Blue in the G1 Prix de Diane (2100m), Raabihah continues to improve with each outing and caught the eye with a useful second against older competition in the G1 Prix Vermeille (2400m). Her age and sex allowance will be helpful against experienced rivals and trainer Jean-Claude Rouget remains confident in her ability.

Horse Racing Oaklawn Park Analysis – April 4th

Horse Racing Pick-4 Analysis –  April 4, 2020

by: Ed Meyer for “Racing’s Best Kept Secret” BetPTC.com

Oaklawn Park – Late Pick Four

Race #7 – Alw $61,000 – 6f – 5:03 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Dulce Ride / #3 – Maryanorginger / #9 – Cardamon

#6 Dulce Ride is a daughter of Candy Ride for the Brad Cox barn with Joe Talamo in the saddle. She makes her 2nd start off a layoff where the barn wins 29%, She cuts back in distance from a mile as a beaten favorite. Talamo wins 20% with his early runners and should be right on the pace. #3 Maryanorginger hails from the Jeremiah Englehart barn with David Cohen in the irons. She’s been off for 10 months and ships in from Belmont. Cohen wins 22% with sprinters and she has been working regular clips over the OP surface. Look for a big move around the far turn.

Race #8 – O.C. $80,000 – 1 1/16 miles dirt – 5:38 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Finnick the Fierce / #5 – Answer In / #3 – General Trev

#1 Finnick the Fierce is a son of Dialed In for trainer Rey Hernandez with Martin Garcia aboard. He ships in from FG exiting the G2 Risen Star and G3 Lecomte. He cuts back in distance and will come rolling late. #5 Answer In hails from the Brad Cox barn with Joe Talamo getting the nod. They have been winning 28% as a team and exits the G3 Southwest stakes. He’ll come calling late in the lane. Talamo wins 22% with late closers. #3 General Trev is a son of Constitution who won at first asking for Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santanna in the driver’s seat. He’s a solid stalk and pounces sort who won his first effort over the track.

Race #9 – $100,000 Purple Martin – 6f – 6:09 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Kimmari / #8 – Frank’s Rockette / #4 – Edgeway

#1 Kimmari has the services of Mike Smith for trainer Wesley Ward. She has bullet works and been off 5 months since the BC Juvenile Turf. She won super impressive at KEE at first asking by 15 commanding lengths. She’ll break sharp and be a handful to catch. #8 Frank’s Rockette comes in for the Bill Mott barn with Martin Garcia aboard. She is 5 for 5 ITM lifetime and makes her second start of 2020. She’ll be forwardly faced and Garcia wins 19% with sprinters. #4 Edgeway goes to post for John Sadler and Tyler Baze in the irons. The barn wins 20% with nongraded stakes and she’ll come out winging looking for the lead.

Race #10 – Mdn Special Weight – 1 1/16 miles dirt – 6:38 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Wild Union / #7 – Copper King / #8 – Mo and Go

#5 Wild Union hails from the Brad Cox barn with Joe Talamo in the driver’s seat. They are winning 28% as a team with some sharp morning works. Talamo has been on fire going 5 for 7 ITM the past few weeks. #7 Copper King is a son of Medaglia d’ Oro for Steve Asmussen and Tyler Baze in the saddle. He was a beaten favorite last out and gets a new rider with Baze in the saddle. The barn scores 25% off the beaten favorite last out angle. #8 Mo and Go Is a son of Uncle Mo for trainer Jeremiah Englehart and David Cohen. This is 2nd off the layoff and the barn scores at a 24% clip on this move. I’m looking for a forward move today shipping in from New York and should be a major pace player.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – January 11th

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis for BetPTC.com / January 11th

by: Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #8 – Marshua’s River – 1 1/16 on the turf – 3:34 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Sweet Bye and Bye / #5 – Andina Del Sur / #3 – Magic Star

#4 Sweet Bye and Bye is a daughter of Sky Mesa for the Steve Klesaris barn. She is a beaten favorite and the barn comes back to score 19% on this move. Luis Saez has the call aboard a stalking type gal shipping in from AQU where the barn is 43% ITM. Look for a stout move rounding the far turn. #5 Andina Del Sur is a daughter of Giant’s Causeway with Javier Castellano in the irons for Thom Albertrani. She is 4 for 5 ITM over the course and her dam Andina (IRE) has 4 starters, 3 winners, and 3 turf winners to her credit. A late running sort who will fit nicely into Castellano’s hands where he wins 20% with closers. #3 Magic Star is a daughter of Scat Daddy for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. She’s been off for two months and Brown wins 28% with his shippers and 23% with graded stakes. She’s a long range closer stepping up in class and Ortiz scores at a 21% with late runners.

 

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Race #10 – The G3 Tropical Turf – 1 mile on the turf – 4:38 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections /#8 – A Thread of Blue / #6 – Tusk / #9 – Exulting

#8 A Thread of Blue is a speedy type for the Kiaran McLaughlin barn with Luis Saez in the saddle. He is 3 for 3 with wins over the course and Saez is an excellent speed rider winning 21% of his early running mounts. He was a beaten chalk last out and ships in from Belmont where the barn scores at a 20% win clip. #6 Tusk is a stalking sort from the Saffie Joseph barn with Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle. They are winning 33% as a team and 2nd off the layoff. Last out he was held up in traffic and gave a late sustained effort. #9 Exulting is a son of Tapit for the Mike Maker barn. Irad Ortiz gets the nod and is a late runner. He floated 6 wide last out and finished 5th. With a cleaner trip he can come rolling late in the lane.

 

Santa Anita

Race #3 – The G-3 Las Cienegas – 5 1/2f on the turf – 4:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Storm the Hill / #4 – An Eddie Surprise / #5 – Free Cover

#1 Storm the Hill is a long range closer for Phil D’Amato and Flavien Prat in the irons. She is 2nd off the layoff and makes the route to a sprint move today where the barn wins 22%. This daughter of Get Stormy is a closer and Prat wins 23% with his turf runners. A drop in class and cutting back to a sprint may be what the doctor ordered. #4 An Eddie Surprise comes from the Doug O’Neill barn and Mario Gutierrez who is wining at 30%. She is 13 for 15 ITM over the course and 1 for 1 at the distance. She jumps up in class and can come rolling in the lane. #5 Free Cover makes the dirt to turf move today. This daughter of Congrats drops down the class ladder and may be in a perfect stalking position.

 

Race #8 – The G3 La Canada – 1 1/16 – 7:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Spiced Perfection / #4 – Message / #3 – Queen Bee to You

#7 Spiced Perfection comes from the barn of Peter Miller picking up Joel Rosario in the saddle. They won the G3 Go For Wand and the trainer wins 24% off a last race win. She’s a solid stalker who is 5 for 6 ITM over the course. #4 Message hails from the Bob Baffert barn with Mike Smith in the irons. She has plenty of early speed and 2 for 2 ITM over the strip. She makes a jump in class and may be tough to catch. #3 Queen Bee to You is 7 for 9 ITM over the course and exits an impressive win in the G-3 Bayakoa. She is looking for her third straight win and should get a stalking trip under Ruben Fuentes who wins 18% with this style of runner.

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Dubai Racing Carnival – Saturday 2/17/18

New Zealand Racing Returns Ahead of Karaka Million

Sky Racing World will recommence distribution of horse-racing content from New Zealand Racing Board-operated tracks to North American advance depositing wagering (ADW) sites starting Jan. 25th EST/PST ahead of the G1 Karaka Million this weekend.
Horse Racing needs to coolAfter a six-month hiatus, the first available New Zealand horse-racing content will be from Pukekohe Park at 6:25 p.m. EST or 3:25 p.m. PST on Thursday, Jan. 25th EST/PST (12:25 p.m. on Friday, Jan. 26th in New Zealand). Nine races will feature in this inaugural race-day run at Pukekohe Park Raceway, near Auckland.
The Pukekohe races will serve to whet North American customers’ appetites for New Zealand racing ahead of the country’s prestigious Karaka Million race meet at Ellerslie Racecourse this Friday, Jan. 26th. With racing starting at 10:41 p.m. EST or 7:41 p.m. PST (4:41 p.m. New Zealand time on Saturday, Jan. 27th), the day features two of New Zealand’s richest races – the G1 $1 million NZD ($730,000) Karaka Million for two-year-olds and the $1 million NZD Karaka Million 3 YO Classic – as well as four other Group-status races.
There will also be NZ racing from Riccarton on Friday night starting at 6:02 p.m. EST or 3:02 p.m. PST.

BetPTC.com Horses to Watch – 12/4/17

BetPTC.com – Horses to Watch – 12/4/17

BetPTC.com – Ed Meyer – Graded Stakes Preview

Aqueduct

12/2/17

Race #8 – The G2 Demoisel – 1 1/8 – 3:12 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections = #4 -Held Accountable / #1 – Daisy / #6 – Maurer Power

#4  = Held Accountable = Luis Saez for Phil Serpe who is winning 23% on the meet. Two-yr-filly by Exchange Rate and she is a perfect 3/3 ITM and finished 2nd her last effort. Her dam New Exchange is 8 starters / 6 winners / 1 stakes winner and wins 20% with her babies. The Serpe barn is 48% ITM with 2-yr-olds and this gal should be high balling late in the lane.  #1 – Daisy = This two-yr-old daughter of Blame is a smoking perfect 2/2. Her last effort in the G3 Tempted was very impressive. She enters in from the John Servis barn and her dam Lovely Stray has 2 starts / 1win / 1 stakes win. #6 – Maurer Power = 2-yr-old filly by Violence from the John Servis barn. She is 2/2 and rolling between runners late last out. She received first time Lasix and kicked clear impressively. Irad Ortiz in the saddle and she has a strong rider who win anywhere he rides.

Race#9 – G2 Remsen – 1 1/8 – 3:45 PM 

BetPTC.com Selections = #5 – Catholic Boy / #8 – Vouch / #3- Avery Island

#5= Catholic Boy =  Manny Franco in the irons in a race that is chock-full of stone closers. This son of More Than Ready is late mid-pack closer and is taking a huge drop down the class ladder. He makes the switch from turf/dirt and was flying late in the lane in the BC Juvenile Turf. He should come in fit and leged up and is his last race any effort he could win at a very solid price. #8 – Vouch = Speedster from the Arnaud Delacour barn and this son of Yes It’s True should take advantage of a quick start being sent by Joel Rosario. Catch him if you can! – #3 – Avery Island = Speedy son of Street Sense and he’ll be hard to hold when the gate breaks open. He is 2/3 ITM for the Kiaran McLaughlin barn. He was looking like good thing winning by 4 3/4. He’ll show the way under Joe Bravo who wins 21% with early style runners.

Race#10 – The G1 Cigar – 1 mile on the main – 4:16 PM ET

BetPTC.com Selections = #6- Sharp Azteca / #1 – Mind Your Biscuits /#4 = Tom’s Ready

#6 – Sharp Azteca = Javier Castellano for Jorge Navarro. 3rd start off the layoff exiting the G1 BC Dirt Mile. His works have been good in South Florida and this son of Freud is 7/8 ITM going the distance.He looks very tough today. #1 Mind Your Biscuits = Irad Ortiz has the call and comes in off a 7w close in the BC Sprint. 2nd of the shelf yields a 23% win clip for the Chad Summers barn. Could be a big player if the early fractions heat up. #4 – Tom’s Ready = Mike Smith in the irons for Dallas Stewart. This son of More Than Ready is a long-launch closer but has never been over this the “Big A.” He’s had a good 2017 going 5/6 ITM. Smith making the trip is a promising sign.

 

 

Graded Stakes Preview – Saturday, June 24th, 2017

BetPTC.com / Graded Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Thistledown

Race #8 – The G-3 Ohio Derby – 1 1/8 main – 5:30 pm EST

#8 -Girvin (2-1) / #2 – Untrapped (9-2) / #5 – Sorry Erik (6-1) / #8 -Game Over (12-1)

BetPTC.com Selections:

Girvin looked like a major player heading into the Derby. He was knocked around quite a bit and been away from the races for 49 days. The bullet work signals all systems go, and with Mike Smith in irons that seals the deal for me. Untrapped has the same story as Girvin. He has a solid work tab, but no exclamation to show he is ready for top billing. He’s an honest runner but may be second best with his top effort. Sorry Erik has been racing on the “left coast” and this G-3 spot looks like a great way to begin a summer campaign. He should get a piece of the pie. Game Over makes a second start off the layoff and may not be the top dog in here. But that’s why they run the races and you can’t leave him off your exotic tickets.

Churchill Downs

Race #10 – The G-3 Chicago Handicap – 7f main – 5:21 pm EST

#3 – Kathballu (8-1)  / #5 – Ivy Belle (30-1) / #8 – Finley’s luckycharm (4-5) / #9 – Sweetgrass (10-1)

BetPTC.com Selections:

Kathballu has been away from the races for 56 days and has three works over the track. This daughter of Bluegrass Cat is coming in fresh for Ken McPeek. 7 panels looks to fit and there is plenty of speed to stalk. Look for a top effort. Ivy Belle may look to be cut below at first glance, but has rolled off three-in-a-row since the end of 2016. The new year has her looking like a maturing runner and 2017 can be a brand new chapter. Finley’sluckycharm is the one to beat. This daughter of Twirling Candy is one fast filly and been ultra tough going short. She is a perfect 5/5 at Churchill, and you’re going to have to look to find the value you deserve. Sweetgrass is a daughter of Street Sense who is 3/4 ITM going 7 panels. She has the look of an honest runner who brings her best everytime. She is primed to get a minor award.

Santa Anita

Race #4 – The G-3 Affirmed – 1 1/16 main- 5:30 pm EST

#2 – Battle of Midway (4-5) / #5 – Arms Runner (9-5) / #1 – B Squared (6-1)

BetPTC.com Selections:

Battle of Midway took a shot at the Derby but had no two-year-old season. This 3yr-old may be a maturing runner. The son of Smart Strike is 4/4 ITM over the course, and  been away 49 days from the races. His works are a good sign and looks to be the major danger. Arms Runner is 2/2 on the turf going 6 1/2f and gets the acid test today. He comes from the barn of Peter Miller (27%) and may enjoy the added distance. B Squared is a nice Cal-bred and has shown versatlity. He was a beaten favorite last out and the barn comes back to win at a (27%) clip on this move. Speed on the lead can be dangerous, but he’ll need an A+ game to get the win.

Santa Anita

Race #6 – The G-3 Precisionist – 1 1/16 main- 6:30 pm EST

#3 – Accelerate (5-2) / #4 – Collected (4-5) / #1 – Donworth (6-1)

BetPTC.com Selections:

Accelerate is a son of Lookin At Lucky and is 5/6 ITM at Santa Anita. He was away from the races for 49 days starting in February. His first back was an O.C. $75,000 prep and was a beaten chalk this day. Trainer John Sadler is bringing him along in fine fashion, and owns a bullet work 59.3 / 5f on 6/19/17. This may be the start of very good things to come. Collected is the one to beat. He comes from the Bob Baffert barn and cuts back to a 1 1/16 from 1 1/8. Take a look back at the G-3 Lexington Stakes and he relished the distance. Donworth has been away from the races for over a year. This son of Tiznow was a $550,000 Keeneland sales purchase and looks to make 2017 his year to reward his connections.

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