In Australia they have four major grass races, all with purses over $2.5 Million: The Melbourne Cup (a handicap with a purse over $6 Million), the Cox Plate (by invitation only, “weight for age,” purse over $3 Million), the Caulfield Cup (a handicap with a purse worth $2.5 million), and the Golden Slipper, a six furlong race limited to two year olds having a purse of $3.8 million. Friday night, the Caulfield Cup is to be run over a mile and a half (2400 meters), and this is the official start of the big Spring races, with the Cox Plate to be run on Oct. 25th (US Time) and the Melbourne Cup on Nov. 4th (US Time).
Caulfield is a track that has a small rise entering the far turn, and in general favors closers the most of Melbourne’s four area racetracks, so often it is a good idea to bet on mid-pack horses. In this year’s Caulfield Cup, the racing ability of horses is very close, with no one having an obvious edge. The “time experts” prefer Jet Away, but are concerned with his stamina over the full 2400m trip. In a race lacking much pace, early pace factors Julienas and Fawkner might be able to see the race out. Hawkspur and Silent Achiever are the best closers, but it looks like they might get too far back off what most certainly will be a slow pace.
Here are my picks:
1st) Jet Away 2nd) Fawkner 3rd) Julienas 4th) Hawkspur
|Ratings for 2013 Caufield Cup|
|12||Hawkspur||16||Best closer in the race||61.5||3/1|
|8||Jet Away||13||Improving, wants softer ground||61.0||4/1|
|15||Silent Achiever||5||Good post draw||60.0||8/1|
|18||Dear Demi||22||Widest of all||60.0||8/1|