Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 12/26/2020
by: Ed Meyer
Santa Anita Race #8 – The G1 La Brea – 7f – 5:43 pm
BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Finite / #8 – Motivated Seller / #2 – Merneith
#5 Finite is a daughter of Munnings for Steve Asmussen and his go to rider Ricardo Santana. They are cutting back from a mile and exit a strong win in the G2 Chilukki at CD. Look for a stalking trip today going from a route to a sprint yielding a 25% win clip for the barn. #8 Motivated Seller is a lightly raced filly for Chad Brown and Umberto Rispoli. His dam Coup has 4 starters and 4 winners to her credit. Look for an up close break where Rispoli wins 20%. #2 Merneith is a stalker who has been on the shelf for 49 days since winning at KEE. Bob Baffert brings her to post with John Velasquez in the saddle. Look for a quick break off swift morning works.
Race #9 – The G-1 American Oaks – 1 1/4 on the turf – 6:17 pm
BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Luck Money /#9 – Sharing / #8 – Duopoly
#5 Luck Money is a daughter of Lookin At Lucky for Arnaud Delacour coming off a 56 day rest with Ricardo Santana in the irons. The barn wins 23% with long layoff runners returning and seeks her third straight win turning back in distance. Look for a solid late run around the far turn. #9 Sharing goes to post for Graham Motion and John Velasquez. She is 1 for 1 at SA and should lay just off the pace. She is 6 for 7 ITM on the greensward. #8 Duopoly is a speedy daughter of Animal Kingdom for Chad Brown and Flavien Prat. This is her 3rd start off the layoff shipping in from AQU where Brown wins 29% with a change of scenery.
Race #10 – The G-1 Malibu – 7f – 6:51 pm
BetPTC.com Selections/ #3 – Nashville / #4 – Charlatan / #6 – Independence Hall
#3 Nashville is a speedy son of Speightstown for Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santana. He exits a smoking hot win in the Perryville where he broke the teletimer. They seek their 4th straight win and Santana should be the one to beat from the gate break. #4 Charlatan turns back in distance off a 7 month layoff for Bob Baffert and Mike Smith. His record is perfect and cutting back may be just what the doctor ordered on his comeback effort. He should be right behind the pacesetters. #6 Independence Hall is a son of Constitution who enters in off a 48 day break for Mike McCarthy and Joel Rosario. His last race win was perfect and the morning works show a fresh and ready runner.