Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis for BetPTC.com / January 11th
by: Ed Meyer
Race #8 – Marshua’s River – 1 1/16 on the turf – 3:34 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Sweet Bye and Bye / #5 – Andina Del Sur / #3 – Magic Star
#4 Sweet Bye and Bye is a daughter of Sky Mesa for the Steve Klesaris barn. She is a beaten favorite and the barn comes back to score 19% on this move. Luis Saez has the call aboard a stalking type gal shipping in from AQU where the barn is 43% ITM. Look for a stout move rounding the far turn. #5 Andina Del Sur is a daughter of Giant’s Causeway with Javier Castellano in the irons for Thom Albertrani. She is 4 for 5 ITM over the course and her dam Andina (IRE) has 4 starters, 3 winners, and 3 turf winners to her credit. A late running sort who will fit nicely into Castellano’s hands where he wins 20% with closers. #3 Magic Star is a daughter of Scat Daddy for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. She’s been off for two months and Brown wins 28% with his shippers and 23% with graded stakes. She’s a long range closer stepping up in class and Ortiz scores at a 21% with late runners.
Race #10 – The G3 Tropical Turf – 1 mile on the turf – 4:38 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections /#8 – A Thread of Blue / #6 – Tusk / #9 – Exulting
#8 A Thread of Blue is a speedy type for the Kiaran McLaughlin barn with Luis Saez in the saddle. He is 3 for 3 with wins over the course and Saez is an excellent speed rider winning 21% of his early running mounts. He was a beaten chalk last out and ships in from Belmont where the barn scores at a 20% win clip. #6 Tusk is a stalking sort from the Saffie Joseph barn with Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle. They are winning 33% as a team and 2nd off the layoff. Last out he was held up in traffic and gave a late sustained effort. #9 Exulting is a son of Tapit for the Mike Maker barn. Irad Ortiz gets the nod and is a late runner. He floated 6 wide last out and finished 5th. With a cleaner trip he can come rolling late in the lane.
Race #3 – The G-3 Las Cienegas – 5 1/2f on the turf – 4:30 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Storm the Hill / #4 – An Eddie Surprise / #5 – Free Cover
#1 Storm the Hill is a long range closer for Phil D’Amato and Flavien Prat in the irons. She is 2nd off the layoff and makes the route to a sprint move today where the barn wins 22%. This daughter of Get Stormy is a closer and Prat wins 23% with his turf runners. A drop in class and cutting back to a sprint may be what the doctor ordered. #4 An Eddie Surprise comes from the Doug O’Neill barn and Mario Gutierrez who is wining at 30%. She is 13 for 15 ITM over the course and 1 for 1 at the distance. She jumps up in class and can come rolling in the lane. #5 Free Cover makes the dirt to turf move today. This daughter of Congrats drops down the class ladder and may be in a perfect stalking position.
Race #8 – The G3 La Canada – 1 1/16 – 7:00 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Spiced Perfection / #4 – Message / #3 – Queen Bee to You
#7 Spiced Perfection comes from the barn of Peter Miller picking up Joel Rosario in the saddle. They won the G3 Go For Wand and the trainer wins 24% off a last race win. She’s a solid stalker who is 5 for 6 ITM over the course. #4 Message hails from the Bob Baffert barn with Mike Smith in the irons. She has plenty of early speed and 2 for 2 ITM over the strip. She makes a jump in class and may be tough to catch. #3 Queen Bee to You is 7 for 9 ITM over the course and exits an impressive win in the G-3 Bayakoa. She is looking for her third straight win and should get a stalking trip under Ruben Fuentes who wins 18% with this style of runner.