Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – July 18
by: Ed Meyer
Race #3 – The G-2 Hall Of Fame – 1 1/8 on the turf – 2:18 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Decorated Invader / #5 – Gufo / #1 – Domestic Spending
#7 Decorated Invader hails from the Christophe Clement barn and is 2 for 2 ITM at Saratoga. 2nd start off the layoff looking for three in a row. Joel Rosario is the pilot for this closer and he wins 18% with late runners. His last race showed good things to come and should be a major player. #5 Gufo ships in from Delaware and is seeking his 5th straight win. He relishes the turf and should be rolling from the back under David Cohen for Clement. The barn scores at a 20% win clip making the 2nd off the shelf move. #1 Domestic Spending is a lightly raced colt from the Chad Brown barn. He had a nice mid pack stalking win at CD and should be closer to the front waiting to pounce. This is a step up in class and the barn wins 29% off a last race win.
Race #10 – The G-1 CCA Oaks – 1 1/8 – 6:16 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Tonalist’s Shape / #6 – Paris Lights / #3 – Altaf
#1 – Tonalist’s Shape comes in for Saffie Joseph and get blinkers on today where they win 26% on the equipment change. He owns a sharp work and wins 31% off a last race win. Look for this stalker to get in the game at the top of the stretch. Irad Ortiz is the pilot. #6 Paris Lights is a daughter of Curlin for Bill Mott. She looks for her 3rd straight win and Mott wins 13% with graded runners. She’s a stalker and Tyler Gaffalione is in the saddle. #3 Altaf is a closer from the Chad Brown barn. She exits off a strong win at CD and the barn wins 30% with shippers. She steps up in class getting the acid test.
The G-1 United Nations – 1 3/8 on the turf – 5:10 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Arklow / #3 – Muggsamatic / #5 – Aquaphobic
#1 Arklow hails from the Brad Cox barn and makes his 3rd off the layoff move where the barn wins 30%. He is 2 for 2 ITM at the distance and will come calling late under Mike Smith. He is eligible to improve in his 3rd off the shelf move. #3 Muggsamatic makes his 2nd off the layoff for Mike Maker. He is 5 for 7 ITM over the course and comes rolling from the back of the pack. Paco Lopez in the irons and he wins 19% with his turf runners. #5 Aquaphobic comes from the Mike Maker barn with Joe Bravo aboard. This is his 3rd off the layoff move and ran a solid 4th in the G2 Wise Dan. He’s a pressing type runner and will make a move around the far turn.
Race #12 – The G-1 Haskell – 1 1/8 – 5:46 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Authentic / #1 – Dr. Post / #7 – NY Traffic
#2 Authentic hails from the Baffert barn and has Mike Smith aboard. A real speedy colt who can put out their lights early oif left alone on the lead. Baffert has won this race eight times and looks the one to beat. Catch him if you’re gonna beat him. #1 Dr. Post is a solid closer type for Todd Pletcher and Joe Bravo in the saddle. If the pace is solid, he may be the one to play the role of the spoiler. 2nd time off the shelf and has a sharp work coming into the race. That was a very good race running 2nd to Tiz the law last out in the G-1 Belmont Stakes. #7 NY Traffic is a speedy type runner for Saffie Joseph with Paco Lopez in the driver’s seat. He can break quickly as Lopez wins 25% with early style runners. If the favorite doesn’t break well this guy may do the heavy lifting.