Stephen Foster night at Churchill Downs
Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – June 27
by: Ed Meyer
Race #8 – The G2 New York – 1 1/4 on the turf – 5:04 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Mrs Sippy / #7 – Mean Mary / #1 – Call Me Love
#6 Mrs Sippy closing daughter of Blame for Graham Motion and Joel Rosario. She’s been off for 7 months and comes back with some solid works ready to fire. She drops in class and Rosario wins 17% with his turf runners. Look for her late in the lane running quick. #7 Mean Mary is speedy gal who hails from the Motion barn as well. She may play the part of the rabbit, or just take them start to finish under Luis Saez who wins 19% with speedy runners. #1 Call Me Love is a closer for the Christopher Clement going 2nd start off the layoff where they score 20% off this move with Irad Ortiz in the irons.
Mandatory Payout of the $153,861 Charles Town Pick-6. Jump in the PTC Pool as 17x NHC Qualifier Rich Nilsen goes after this wager.
Race #9 – The G2 True North – 6 1/2f – 5:36 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Firenze Fire / #7 – Promises Fulfilled / #3 – Wicked Trick
#8 Firenze Fire is a solid stalker for Kelly Breen and Irad Ortiz. This is 2nd off the shelf and the barn scores 18% coming back ready. That was a better race in the G1 Carter than appears and he got good work that day. Ortiz wins 25% with sprinters and is 4 for 6 ITM over the course. #7 Promises Fulfilled is a speed gunning type for Dale Romans and Luis Saez in the saddle. Saez wins 21% with early runners and has some good works over the deep CD track. #3 Wicked Trick is a long range closer for Linda Rice and Jose Lezcano who have done good work over the years.
Race #10 – The G1 Just A Game – 1 mile on the turf – 6:08 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Uni / #4 – Newspaperofrecord / #1 – Beau Recall
#6 Uni hails from the Chad Brown barn and is a long range closer with Joel Rosario in the irons. Been off for 7 months and comes flying late in the lane every time. She is 4 for 4 ITM at Belmont and will be double dangerous today. #4 Newspaperofrecord is an early runner who can be a true monster when she brings her best game. Her last win was impressive going 7f and the added distance will be welcome as Irad Ortiz wins 36% with Brown and 26% with early runners. #1Beau Recall is a very impressive closer from the Brad Cox barn with Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. She loves to come calling late in the lane and has some solid works to have her ready. Ortiz teams up to win 20% with Cox and will be the major danger in the lane.
Race #9 – The G2 Fleur de Lis – 1 1/8 – 5:15 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #5 -Midnight Bisou / #4 – Serengeti Empress / #7 – Motion Emotion
#5 Midnight Bisou is a late runner for Steve Asmussen and Mike Smith in the saddle. She is 2 for 2 ITM at CD and comes in with some good works. She loves the distance going 6 for 6 ITM and will be a major factor when they turn for home. She is the one to beast and Smith in town is a positive sign. #4 Serengeti Empress is a speedy gal who exits the G1 Apple Blossom at OP. Thom Amoss is winning 20% at the meet, and Joe Talamo has the call. She will dictate the pace when the real running begins and may run into one tough gal with Midnight Bisou. If she doesn’t bring her best, Serengeti will take flight down the lane. #7 Motion Emotion is a mid pack stalker for Richard Baltas shipping in from OP. She’ll press the pace and try and play the spoiler role if all falls apart.
Race #10 – The G2 Stephen Foster – 1 1/8 – 5:47 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #5- Tom’s d’ Etat / #6 – By My Standards / #2 – Pirate’s Punch
#5 Tom’s d’ Etat should lay just off the pace for Al Stall and Miguel Mena. He looks to go four in a row. He is 6 for 7 ITM at CD and will be double tough to beat. They move up in class and the trainer wins 25% off a last race win. #6 By My Standards will be running right with Tom for Bret Calhoun and Gabe Saez. This son of Goldencents exits off an impressive win at OP and seeks his fourth straight win as well. Been off for 56 days and has a few very nice works to prepare. #2 Pirate’s Punch is a stalker for Grant Foster looking to play the upset runner in here. Mike Smith aboard is interesting, and may be a little closer to the front right off the gate.