Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – March 21 for www.betptc.com
by: Ed Meyer
Fair Grounds Race #9 – The G2 New Orleans – 1 1/8 – 4:10 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Silver Dust / #3- Fearless / #1 – Lone Sailor
#6 Silver Dust is a son of Tapit for Bret Calhoun. He is 6 for 8 ITM over the course and has the services of Brian Hernandez. They score at a 27% clip as team and own a couple of sharp works coming into the race. He’ll look to get a perfect stalking trip and carry his speed to the wire. #3 Fearless comes in for the Todd Pletcher barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. This son of Ghostzapper should be right on the pace making big step up in class. His works are sharp and Ortiz looks to keep his perfect record intact. #1 Lone Sailor hails from the Thom Amoss barn with James Graham in the irons. He’s a closing style runner and Graham does well with Amoss winning 22% as team.
Race #10 – The G2 Muniz – 1 1/8 on the turf – 4:42 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #12 – Synchrony / #6 – Instill Regard / #4 – Rockemperor
#12 Synchrony is a son of Tapit for Mike Stidham and Jersey Joe Bravo in the irons. He is 6 for 6 ITM and makes his 2nd start of the year. He made a strong closing effort last out in the G3 FG and looks to come rolling late in the lane. #6 Instill Regard comes in for the Chad Brown barn with Irad Ortiz in the irons. He gets Lasix again after running a solid third in the G1 Pegasus World Cup. Ortiz excels with late runners winning at a 21% win clip and 67% ITM teaming up with Chad Brown. #4 Rockemporer is a son of Holy Roman (IRE) for Chad Brown with Joel Rosario in the driver’s seat. He’s been on the shelf for seven months and was a beaten chalk in the Saratoga Derby last out. Look for a late effort turning for home.
Race #11 – The G2 Fair Grounds Oaks – 1 1/16 – 5:15 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Finite / #4 – Bonny South / #3 – Tempers Rising
#6 Finite comes from the Steve Asmussen barn with his go to rider Ricardo Santana. She is seeking her 6th straight win making her third off the shelf move. Add in she is a perfect 2 for 2 at FG and she’s gonna be tough stalking just off the pace. #4 Bonny South hails from the Brad Cox barn with Florent Geroux in the driver’s saddle. She will come running late and is 1 for 1 at FG and 2 for 2 at the distance. She picks up a red hot rider with Geroux and can be the major danger moving up the ladder. #3 Tempers Rising comes in for the Dallas Stewart barn with Julien Leparoux in the irons. Her third off the layoff, and exits an eventful G2 Rachel Alexandra where she was knocked around and bumped soundly at the break. Look for a late run as they turn for home.
Race #12 – The G2 Louisiana Derby – 1 3/16 – 5:49 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Enforceable / #13 – Silver Slate / #14 – Modernist
#10 – Enforceable is a son of Tapit for Mark Casse with Julien Leparoux in the irons. He is 2 for 2 ITM at FG and a long range closer. He was flat out rolling last out and should relish the added distance. #13 Silver Slate is a son of Hard Spun for Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santana in the irons. This is 3rd off the layoff and was a beaten favorite last out in the G2 Risen Star. I’m looking for a strong late kick as Santana wins 21% with his late runners. #14 Modernist is a son of Uncle Mo looking for his third straight win for trainer Bill Mott. Junior Alvarado in the saddle and is a stalker exiting a win in the G2 Risen Star.