Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 11/21/20
by: Ed Meyer
Race #9 – The G-3 Red Smith – 1 3/8 miles turf – 3:45 – pm
BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Ziyad / #10 – Red Knight / #5 – North Dakota
#8 Ziyad exits the G3 Sycamore at Keeneland and gets 2nd time Lasix since shipping in from Deauville (Fr). Graham Motion is the trainer with Manny Franco aboard this speedy son of Rock of Gibraltar (IRE). He may improve getting a shorter distance and Franco wins 17% with early running turf horses. #10 Red Knight is a long range closer who hails from the Bill Mott barn where he is 2 for 2 ITM at AQU. Jose Ortiz in the irons and returns from the G3 Sycamore win over Ziyad. Ortiz wins with 20% of his closing turf runners and should be a major player. #5 North Dakota also exits the G3 Sycamore as a fourth place finisher. Jose Lezcano in the irons for Shug McGaughey and they are making a 2nd off the layoff move and where the barn wins 18% and steps up in class. Use in your exotics.
Race#9 – The G3 Chilukki – 1 mile dirt – 5:06 pm
BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Finite / #3 – Grand Clu Classe / #4 – Whoa Nellie
#2 Finite hails from the Steve Asmussen barn with Ricardo Santana in the saddle. She is 2 for 2 with wins at CD and exits a fast closing 2nd at Keeneland in the G2 Raven Run. Santana fits like a glove and she is making her 3rd off the layoff move where the barn wins 19%. #3 Grand Clu Classe is a speedy daughter of Bernardini for Bill Mott and Tyler Gaffalione. She exits a big effort in the G2 Raven Run at a price and should enjoy the one turn mile at CD. #4 Whoa Nellie is a daughter of Orb who is a solid stalker. Larry Jones gives a leg up to Joe Rocco Jr. and she is coming off a 9 month layoff since OP. She is 4 for 4 ITM at CD and Jones can get them ready to fire right off the shelf.
Race #2 – The G3 Native Diver – 1 1/8 miles dirt – 4:00 pm
BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Royal Ship / #4 – Midcourt / #5 – Extra Hope
#3 Royal Ship is 3rd off the layoff since shipping in from Brazil for Richard Mandella who is winning 50% at the meet. This son of Midshipman is 8 for 9 ITM lifetime and takes a drop in class under the handling of Mike Smith coming off a 49 day rest. #4 Midcourt hails from the John Sheriffs’ barn with Victor Espinoza. He is 4 for 4 ITM over the course and comes off a 56 day break away from the races. Mandella wins 22% coming off a layoff. #5 Extra Hope is a speedy colt from Dick Mandella’s barn with Juan Hernandez in the saddle. He’s coming off a 56 day rest and takes a big step up in class. Look for a quick break from the gate.