Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, 1/16/2021
by: Ed Meyer
Fair Grounds Race #10 – The G-3 Louisiana – 1 1/16 – 5:23 pm
BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Wells Bayou / #6 -Title Ready / #3 – Silver Prospector
#8 Wells Bayou is a speedy son of Lookin At Lucky for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux in the saddle. He has been off for 8 months and 1 for 1 at FG. He sports a sharp work and has fired fresh off the bench. Geroux wins 24% with speed type runners. The Cox runner is the horse to beat. #6 Title Ready is a closing runner for Dallas Stewart with B.J. Hernandez in the irons. He’s been off for 50 days and exits the G1 Clark back in November. He is 5 for 10 ITM at the distance and should muster up a solid late effort.
Race #11 – The $125,000 Colonel E.R. Bradley – 1 1/16 on the turf – 5:52 pm
BetPTC.com Selections / #11- Mr. Misunderstood / #10 – Sailing Solo / #9 – Peace Achieved
#11 Mr. Misunderstood hails from the Brad Cox barn teaming up with Florent Geroux. He is 4 for 6 ITM at FG and exits an effort off the synthetic at TP. A late runner for Geroux who wins 17% on the turf. His dam Jodys Delight has 10 starters and 4 turf winners to her credit. Look for a big run as they turn for home. #10 Sailing Solo is a speedy son of Smart Strike for Louis Roussel and Mitchell Murrill in the irons. This is his 2nd start off a layoff and should improve moving forward. Murrill wins 16% with early speed. #9 Peace Achieved is a stalker for Mark Casse and Declan Carroll. He exits KyD and cuts back to a better distance. Carroll will be looking to be mid pack and poised to pounce.
Race #12 – The $150,000 Silver Bullet Day – 1mile and 70 yards – 6:20 pm
BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Sunpath / #1- Souper Sensational / #3 – Charlie’s Penny
#9 Sunpath is a daughter of Munnings for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux in the saddle. She exits an impressive win in allowance company and looks to take the next step up the ladder moving forward. Add in a bullet work and this stalker looks like a major player. #1 Souper Sensational is a daughter of Curlin for Mark Casse and Declan Carroll. She is a lightly raced daughter of Curlin and exiting the synthetic at Woodbine. She appears ready for the next level and owns a sharp work in preparation off a three month layoff. #3 Charlie’s Penny is a stalker from the barn of Chris Block with B.J. Hernandez getting the call. She has never ran a route and I’m looking for a quick break from the gate.
Race #13 – The G-3 Lecomte – 1 1/16 – 6:49 pm
BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Arabian Princess / #1 – Midnight Bourbon / #10 – Mandaloun
#2 Arabian Princess is lightly raced for the Dallas Stewart barn and B. J. Hernandez in the irons. He’s been off 49 days and takes a drop down the class ladder. He has a solid late punch and will come calling under Hernandez who scores with 16% of his late runners. #1 Midnight Bourbon hails from the Steve Asmussen barn with Ricardo Santana aboard. He’s been off for three months and takes a plunge down the class ladder. He should be right on the pace, and with added ground may be right on the hook under Santana who wins 17% with early runners. #10 Mandaloun is a late runner who is a perfect 2 for 2 coming off a 49 day layoff. The Brad Cox trainee will come calling under Florent Geroux and they are winning at a 24% clip as a team. This is his 1st time at a route and should be a little closer than usual rounding the first turn.