Everyone likes to receive a gift this time of year, well each day there are races that continue to give to the sharp horse player.
What type of races that have the Christmas spirt, the races with “Vulnerable Favorites.”
What is a vulnerable favorite, it’s a horse that has to many reasons for it not to win.
Here are just a few that I like to use to bet against a favorite:
-A very low percentage trainer and or jockey
-Race shape does not set up for them, example speed horse with three other speed horses
-a layoff with no real workout and a drop
-beaten favorite two of the last three times
-a horse that has a more seconds and thirds, with limited wins
We know that favorites win around 33%, so you cannot always bet against a favorite, some offer great value, others like above reasons do not.
Enjoy the holiday season and find that value out there