November 12th at Aqueduct

by STRETCH

A third carryover pick 6 at Aqueduct for over $220,000 today. I went very small on Monday thinking it was a tricky sequence and clearly it was. Will see what the sequence looks like after all the scratches and if they are on or off the turf.

Aqueduct Race#4 Pick 6   Post time 1:47pm eastern

The sequence starts off quite straight forward with a few tricky races in between.

Race#4 The 6 should be tough to beat, a good effort on the turf two back and a repeat of that make him a winner. The only other one I like is the 1. Also a very good closing kick, with a nice workouts coming in.

Race#5 Depending on your budget or if you want to take a stand, the 2 could be a key. If he can stalk behind the 5 then he will be tough. If 2,5 get in an early pace battle then it becomes wide open. The top closer would be the 1 and should get a nice trip, the ten seconds do scare me on the 1 though.

Race#6 Really like this race because I think there are only 2,5 in this race, with a slight lean to the 5. Both tower above the rest of the field. Solid exacta box

Race#7 Originally I thought this race was really tough, but the more you look into it you will see some horses do not belong. The 6 has four wins, many others do not have two. The 6 last race makes in a winner going away. The 5 is the speed of the race and has a nice work coming in. The 4 has four wins as well, she has to be considered.

Race#8 The 4 is the obvious horse and will be tough to beat if runs back to his last few races, so is a must use. My sleeper pick is the 7, he is a shipper from a sharp trainer and is here to win. Others to consider are 3,5

Race#9 There are a bunch of unknowns but I will stick with what I do know. I think the 7 will improve a little and that makes him tough. The 4 will get a better trip than he did last time and will also improve. After the 4,7 it becomes a bit of a guess game.

Here is a ticket I am playing:  1,6/2/2,5/4,5,6 /4,7 /4,7   cost: $96.00

On a few saver tickets I will key the 6 in the 4th race and use the 5 in the 6th race a little more.

Good luck.

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