by STRETCH

A great day of racing for a Saturday in November. Many betting opportunities on great races through the country. I am going to go with Aqueduct today on their late pick 4. I think it is very straight forward but with a nice guarantee there will be some wasted money on horses that don’t belong in some of the stake races there.

Aqueduct Race#7 Pick 4  Post time: 2:50pm eastern

Race#7 Based on the early races with inside speed doing very well, the 1 will be tough to beat. I would like to find a horse to beat him, but…. 2,3,8 are the longshots that I will use on a very small saver ticket. All have a race on their past performances that could upset but the 1 will have to decline to lose the race.

Race#8 If they let the 6 go early which they may not have a choice she wins. Now if the 6 gets any pressure then I really like the 5 to take over late. The favourite will be the 7 and she certainly can win but will be way over bet.

Race#9 Wide open race in a weak grade two race. Many belong in a high price claiming race. Any post inside and I key the 12. Solid figures but the bias makes it tough to key this one. Others to consider are the 1A,6,10,11. Very tricky after the 12.

Race#10 I usually bet against horses after their breeders cup race because I feel the trainers are focusing on that race, so the following race the horse should decline a little. That is what I am doing in here. The 2 will have a great trip and I would expect that the trainer pointed to this race. The improving horse is the 5, works say go, the horse is fresh and should also get a trip.

Here is a ticket:  1/5,6,7/1,6,10,11,12/2,5     Cost: $15
1,2,3,8/5,6,7/12/2,5              Cost: $12