by expert Dick Powell
6 favorites won – 32%
12.84 average field size
$13.99 average win price
4 wins Vincent Ho 3 wins Francis Lui
2 wins Zac Purton 3 wins Doug Whyte
2 wins Tony Piccone 3 wins Jimmy Ting
2 wins Grant van Niekerek 2 wins Michael Chang
2 wins Sylvester de Sousa 2 wins Ricky Yiu
Hong Kong Jockey Club Meet In Review 9/01 – 01/11
332 races (one dead-heat)
98 favorites won – 29.52%
12.40 average field size
$19.444 average win price
56 wins Joao Moreira 33 wins Ricky Yiu
31 wins Zac Purton 27 wins Francis Lui
34 wins Karis Teetan 24 wins Danny Shum
28 wins Vincent Ho 23 wins Doug Whyte
22 wins Grant van Niekirk 18 wins Frankie Lor
14 wins Chad Schofield 18 Caspar Fownes
18 Tony Cruz
Next Race Meets:
Wednesday morning Happy Valley 01/15/20 First Post: 5:45am EST
Saturday night Sha Tin 01/18/20 First Post: 11:15pm EST
Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis for BetPTC.com / January 11th
by: Ed Meyer
Race #8 – Marshua’s River – 1 1/16 on the turf – 3:34 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Sweet Bye and Bye / #5 – Andina Del Sur / #3 – Magic Star
#4 Sweet Bye and Bye is a daughter of Sky Mesa for the Steve Klesaris barn. She is a beaten favorite and the barn comes back to score 19% on this move. Luis Saez has the call aboard a stalking type gal shipping in from AQU where the barn is 43% ITM. Look for a stout move rounding the far turn. #5 Andina Del Sur is a daughter of Giant’s Causeway with Javier Castellano in the irons for Thom Albertrani. She is 4 for 5 ITM over the course and her dam Andina (IRE) has 4 starters, 3 winners, and 3 turf winners to her credit. A late running sort who will fit nicely into Castellano’s hands where he wins 20% with closers. #3 Magic Star is a daughter of Scat Daddy for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. She’s been off for two months and Brown wins 28% with his shippers and 23% with graded stakes. She’s a long range closer stepping up in class and Ortiz scores at a 21% with late runners.
Race #10 – The G3 Tropical Turf – 1 mile on the turf – 4:38 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections /#8 – A Thread of Blue / #6 – Tusk / #9 – Exulting
#8 A Thread of Blue is a speedy type for the Kiaran McLaughlin barn with Luis Saez in the saddle. He is 3 for 3 with wins over the course and Saez is an excellent speed rider winning 21% of his early running mounts. He was a beaten chalk last out and ships in from Belmont where the barn scores at a 20% win clip. #6 Tusk is a stalking sort from the Saffie Joseph barn with Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle. They are winning 33% as a team and 2nd off the layoff. Last out he was held up in traffic and gave a late sustained effort. #9 Exulting is a son of Tapit for the Mike Maker barn. Irad Ortiz gets the nod and is a late runner. He floated 6 wide last out and finished 5th. With a cleaner trip he can come rolling late in the lane.
Race #3 – The G-3 Las Cienegas – 5 1/2f on the turf – 4:30 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Storm the Hill / #4 – An Eddie Surprise / #5 – Free Cover
#1 Storm the Hill is a long range closer for Phil D’Amato and Flavien Prat in the irons. She is 2nd off the layoff and makes the route to a sprint move today where the barn wins 22%. This daughter of Get Stormy is a closer and Prat wins 23% with his turf runners. A drop in class and cutting back to a sprint may be what the doctor ordered. #4 An Eddie Surprise comes from the Doug O’Neill barn and Mario Gutierrez who is wining at 30%. She is 13 for 15 ITM over the course and 1 for 1 at the distance. She jumps up in class and can come rolling in the lane. #5 Free Cover makes the dirt to turf move today. This daughter of Congrats drops down the class ladder and may be in a perfect stalking position.
Race #8 – The G3 La Canada – 1 1/16 – 7:00 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Spiced Perfection / #4 – Message / #3 – Queen Bee to You
#7 Spiced Perfection comes from the barn of Peter Miller picking up Joel Rosario in the saddle. They won the G3 Go For Wand and the trainer wins 24% off a last race win. She’s a solid stalker who is 5 for 6 ITM over the course. #4 Message hails from the Bob Baffert barn with Mike Smith in the irons. She has plenty of early speed and 2 for 2 ITM over the strip. She makes a jump in class and may be tough to catch. #3 Queen Bee to You is 7 for 9 ITM over the course and exits an impressive win in the G-3 Bayakoa. She is looking for her third straight win and should get a stalking trip under Ruben Fuentes who wins 18% with this style of runner.
BetPTC.com / Graded Stakes Preview
by: Ed Meyer
Race #7 – The G-3 Kitten’s Joy – 7 1/2f on turf – 3:00 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Island Commish / #9 – Summer to Remember / #2- Irish Miss
#8 Island Commish comes from the barn of Joe Saffie and steps up in class after a 45 day layoff. He seeks his 3rd straight with Paco Lopez in the saddle. Lopez wins 27% of his turf mounts and is three for three ITM on the green. A stalker who should be in good hands as Lopez wins 27% of his stalkers just off the pace. #9 Summer to Remember is a son of Summer Front for Todd Pletcher and Luis Saez in the irons. He was impressive winning at GP and is 2 for 2 ITM on the turf. He should be close to pace and is 1 for 1 ITM over the course. #2 Irish Miss is a son of Sky Mesa for Graham Motion and Rajiv Maragh in the saddle. He cuts back in distance and should benefit on this move.
Race #5 – The G-3 Sham – 1 mile – 4:30 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Authentic / #4 – Azul Coast / #5 – Scoring
#1 Authentic comes from the barn of Bob Baffert. He was impressive wining at DM under Drayden Van Dyke coming off a 56 day layoff. The barn wins 28% off a brief layoff. He gets the acid test and should be close from the break. #4 Azul Coast comes from the Bob Baffert barn and is a son of Super Saver. Joel Rosario gets the call and the barn wins 28% with dirt runners. He will be rolling late in the lane. #5 Scoring is a son of Justin Phillips who was put up in a DQ his first outing. Abel Cedillo gets the nod and wins 24% with route runners. He makes the jump from 4 1/2f to a mile and should be placed in mid pack. His dam High Heeled Hope has 12 starters, 10 winners, and 2 stakes winners to her credit.
Race #8 – The G-2 San Gabriel – 1 1/8 on turf – 6:00 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #3- Cleopatra’s Strike / #4 – Overdue / #6 – Majestic Eagle
#3 Cleopatra’s Strike is a son of Smart Strike for Phil D’Amato. He is a long range closer who is 2 for 2 ITM over the course. The barn wins 21% 2nd time off the layoff. He faced some tough runners and should be making a solid run as they turn for home. #4 Overdue comes from the Phil D’Amato barn making his 2nd start off the layoff. Mike Smith gets the nod and and cuts back in distance today. #6 Majestic Eagle comes in for Neil Drysdale and is 8 for 10 ITM over the course. This son of Medaglia d’ Oro is a solid closer Rafael Bejarano in the irons is a plus.
BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview
by: Ed Meyer
Race #6 – The G1 American Oaks – 1 1/4 on turf – 4:30 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Lady Prancealot / #7 – Giza Goddess / #3 – Mucho Unusual
#5 Lady Prancealot comes from the Richard Baltas barn and is 5 for 6 ITM at SA. This daughter of Sir Prancealot (IRE) is bred to enjoy the turf and has Jersey Joe Bravo in the irons. She’s a long range closer who can come calling from the back of the pack. She fires fresh off a layoff and has a solid work tab coming in. #7 Giza Goddess is a daughter of Cairo Prince for John Sheriffs and sports good early speed. This is her 3rd off the layoff move and is 2 for 2 ITM at SA. Victor Espinoza gets the nod and look for her to be early paced from the break. #3 Mucho Unusual
Race #7 – The G1 La Brea – 7f – 5:00 PM EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – First Star / #5 – Bellafina / #6 – Bell’s the One
#1 First Star is a daughter of First Dude for trainer Ron Ellis. She is 3 for 3 ITM lifetime and has two straight bullet works from her two month vacation. Drayden Van Dyke in the saddle and she is a perfect stalker who draws the rail slot. #5 Bellafina is a daughter of Quality Road with Flavien Prat in the irons. She’s been away for 56 days and exits the BC F&M Sprint off a closing effort coming up a bit short of the win. Her last couple works show promise and Prat wins 23% with his sprint mounts. #6 Bell’s the One is a stout closer from the Neil Pessin barn with Javier Castellano in the irons. She is 3 for 3 ITM going the distance and Castellano wins 23% with his sprint runners.
Race #9 – The G1 Malibu – 7f – 6:00 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selection / #5 – Omaha Beach / #3 – Manny Wah / #2 – Complexity
#5 Omaha Beach comes from the barn of Richard Madella with Mike Smith in the saddle. This son of War Front was a beaten 2nd in the BC Dirt Mile and is 4 for 4 ITM at SA. Three straight bullets and the ability to fire fresh is a great gift for this son of War Front. #3 Manny Wah is 2nd off the layoff for Baffert barn with Channing Hill retaining the mount. He ships in from Mahoning Valley winning 30% on the move. He’s a closer and stretches out from 6f to 7 panels. #2 Complexity is a speedy sort from the Chad Brown barn. He is 2nd off the layoff and the barn wins 24% on this move. Javier Castellano in the driver’s seat. His last win may be a great way to end the year and kick off 2020.
BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview
by: Ed Meyer
Race #7 – The Bonapaw Stakes – 5 1/2f on the turf – 3:54pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Fast Boat / #3 – Made You Look / #9 – Wilbo
#1 Fast Boat is a son of City Zip for Joe Sharp with Adam Beschizza in the irons. He’s a closer drawing the rail who’s 2 for 3 ITM at FG. His last race at KEE on the turf was ultra-impressive and rallied quickly on the outside after getting knocked around. #3 Made You Look is a son of More Than Ready for the Phillip Bauer barn. Florent Geroux gets the nod for this late runner and ships in from Belmont where he made a nice closing effort on the lush greensward. They turn back in distance and he is 1 for 1 ITM sprinting. Geroux wins 18% with his turf mounts. #9 Wilbo is a son of Candy Ride for the Chris Hartman barn with Corey Lanerie aboard. This is his 3rd off the layoff and the trainer scores 16% off this move. He’s a late runner and will be motoring late in the lane.
Race #9 – The Blushing K.D. – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:52 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Dream Passage / #5 – Notapradaprice / #4 – La Signare
#8 Dream Passage hails from the Brad Cox barn winning at 18%. Colby Hernandez gets the nod as she seeks her 4th straight win. She comes in from AQU off a win and the barn scores 29% off a last race win. She’ll be close to the pace and looks to make a solid move turning for home. #5 Notapradaprice has solid speed for the Eddie Kenneally barn with Corey Lanerie in the saddle. She drops in class exiting the G3 Cardinal at CD and is 6 for 9 ITM at the distance. #4 La Signare is a perfect stalking sort and exits much better company from her past. This is her 2nd start for the Brendan Walsh barn and they win 18% with shippers. She was a beaten chalk last out at KEE and looks to turn the tables today.
Race #11 – The Buddy Diliberto – 1 1/16 on the turf – 5:50 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #13 – Dot Matrix / #12 – Factor This / #2- Renaisance Frolic
#13 Dot Matrix is a son of Freud for trainer Brad Cox. He is 3 for 3 ITM at FG and ships in from AQU from the G3 Red Smith. Shaun Bridgmohan in the saddle and he wins 15% with Cox as a team. He’s a stalker and should get a perfect trip on the outside staying out of trouble. He’s bred for the turf and this New York bred can give them all they want. #12 Factor This is a speedy son of The Factor for Brad Cox. He may hold all the cards with a rabbit and a stalker from the outside. Florent Geroux has the call and look for him to come out swinging when the gate breaks. #2 Renaisance Frolic is a son of Paynter and has plenty of early foot breaking from the inside. He ships in from CD for David Fawkes and James Graham. He seeks his 4th straight and can be dangerous if he grabs a solo lead. He’s been off 48 days and ships in fresh.
BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview
by: Ed Meyer
Race #6 – The G3 Sugar Swirl – 6f – 2:30 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Lady’s Island / #3 – A Bit of Both / #6 – Stormy Embrace
#4 Lady’s Island comes from the Georgina Baxter barn winning 33% at the meet. She is 7 for 7 ITM at GP and seeks her 5th win in a row. She’s been on the shelf for 45 days and sports a quick turn of foot from the break. She makes the turf to dirt switch and has a sharp work to prepare for Emisael Jaramillo. #3 A Bit of Both is the daughter of Paynter for Jason Servis and Paco Lopez aboard. This is her 3rd off the layoff and the barn wins 26% on this move. She’s a solid stalker and 5 for 5 ITM at GP. Look for her up close tracking the leader. #6 Stormy Embrace comes in for trainer Kathleen O’Connell and is 10 for 13 over the strip. She cuts back from 7f and has the services of Luis Saez. Look for a stalking trip in mid pack and Saez to cut her loose at the top of the lane.
Race #8 – The G3 Rampart – 1 mile – 3:30 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Baccarat Fashion / #7 – Pink Sands / #3 – Molto Bella
#9 Baccarat Fashion comes from the barn of Peter Walder winning 29% at the meet shooting for three in a row. She’s been off for 51 days and sports a sharp workout. She’s a stalker with Albarado in the irons. #7 Pink Sands is a long range closer for Shug McGaughey. This daughter of Tapit is 2 for 3 ITM at GP and goes from a sprint to a route where they win 24%. Jose Ortiz is in the driver’s seat. #3 Molto Bella comes in for Ian Wilkes and B.J. Hernadez in the saddle. A mid pack stalker shipping in from CD and gets added distance to run at today.
Race #9 – The G2 Ft. Lauderdale – 1 1/8 on the turf – 4:00 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Channel Cat / #8 – Admission Office / #7 – Cross Border
#5 Channel Cat is a son of English Cat for Todd Pletcher and John Velasquez. He is 4 for 5 ITM over the course and ships in from SA in the BC Turf. The drop in class and brief rest may have this closer in top order. Pletcher is off to a great start at the meet and winning 50%. #8 Admission Office is a son of Point of Entry. This is his 3rd off the layoff where Brian Lynch wins 19% and his last race was a good indicator of things to come. #7 Cross Border comes in for trainer Mike Maker and ships down from AQU off a win. He’s a mid pack closer and Saez wins 19% with closers.
Race #10 – The G-3 Harlan’s Holiday – 1 1/16 – 4:30 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Prince Lucky / #3 – Red Crescent / #5 – War Story
#1 Prince Lucky is a speedy gelding for Todd Pletcher. John Velasquez draws the mount and gets the rail. He’s been off 49 days and the trainer has been red hot the past two weeks going 6 for 8 ITM. Catch him if you’re going to beat him. #3 Red Crescent is a son of Overdriven and has Tyler Gaffalione in the irons. He’s a mid pack stalker and should get a solid pace to monitor. #5 War Story comes in for Elizabeth Dobles and has a good deal of early speed. Luis Saez gets the nod and will have to do battle with Lucky Prince. He’s faced some tough players and can easily bring his “A” game to the table.
BetPTC.com Selections / Weekend Stakes Preview
By: Ed Meyer
Aqueduct Race #6 – The G3 Go for Wand – 1 mile – 2:09 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #3- Spiced Perfection / #6 – Our Super Nova / #4 – Another Broad
#3 Spiced Perfection comes in 3rd off the layoff exiting the Breeders’ Cup Sprint. She takes a huge drop in class, and go back two races where she won the G2 TCA at Kee as she’ll be rolling late for the Peter Miller barn with Javier Castellano in the irons. They are winning 43% as a team and the 3rd off move yields a 23% win clip. #6 Our Super Nova is a New York bred who loves the oval going 3 for 6 ITM at AQU. She is 6 for 6 ITM at the distance and owns a red hot work going 4f in 47.1. Junior Alvarado has the call for Charlton Baker. #4 Another Broad is a daughter of Include for Todd Pletcher and Eric Cancel gets the nod. 3rd off the layoff gets a 22% win clip and 2 for 2 ITM at AQU is promising. She’ll come calling late in the lane and the cutback in distance may have her moving quickly.
Race #8 – The G2 Demoisel – 1 1/8 – 3:13 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Alandra / #10 – Daphne Moon / #12 – Lake Avenue
#5 Alandra is a daughter of Blame for Shug McGaughey. She was a beaten favorite at KEE last out in the G1 Alcibiades and has been off for two months. She should be forwardly placed under Joel Rosario and they score 33% as a team. The rider has been hot the past week going 8 for 12 ITM. #10 Daphne Moon is a daughter of Cairo Prince for Jeremiah Engelhardt with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. She stumbled at the break in the G1 Frizette and still come on to finish 5th. She drops down in class and this closer will come rolling late under Ortiz who wins 23% with routes. #12 Lake Avenue is a daughter of Tapit and is bred to get the distance. Bill Mott is the trainer with Junior Alvarado in the irons. A tactical runner who should stalk just off the leaders. Her work at Belmont is promising and Alvarado wins 20% with early type runners.
Race #9 – The G-2 Remsen – 1 1/8 – 3:43 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Chase Tracker / #4 – Ajaaweed / #8 – Alpha Sixty Six
#1 Chase Tracker is a son of Verrazano for Todd Pletcher with Javier Castellano in the saddle. This is his 3rd off effort and exits the G3 Nashua going 5 wide while closing nicely. 2nd time going a route race yields a 28% win clip for the barn. #4 Ajaaweed is a son of Curlin for Kiaran McLaughlin with Joel Rosario in the irons. He’s been off two months exiting the G1 Breeders’ Futurity at KEE and was caught five wide, He’ll be running late dropping in class with a solid morning work. #8 Alpha Sixty Six comes in for the Pletcher barn and takes off the blinkers where they win 22%. John Velasquez in the driver’s seat and this closer comes off a 2 month layoff and may enjoy the equipment change. Johnny V wins 28% with route races and drops down the class ladder. This son of Liam’s Map can pick up the leaders late in the lane and JV wins 20% with closers.
BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview
by: Ed Meyer
Race #9 – The G3 Red Smith – 1 3/8 on the turf – 3:47 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Nakamura / #7 – Sadler’s Joy / #4 – Marzo
#3 Nakamura is a son of Animal Kingdom for trainer Graham Motion. Jose Ortiz has the call and he wins 19% of his turf mounts. He came flying in the G3 Sycamore at Kee and was forced to take up and steady. A clear trip has him winner’s circle bound. #7 Sadler’s Joy is a son of Kitten’s Joy who has been off for 49 days for the Tom Albertrani barn with Javier Castellano in the irons. He was a beaten chalk last out and the barn comes back to score 20%. Add in a big drop in class and this closer will come calling late in the lane. #4 Marzo comes from the Mike Maker barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. He was the upset winner of the G3 Sycamore and has tactical speed with a 7 for 8 ITM turf record.
Race #8 – The Jean Lafitte – 1 mile – 9:11 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Jack the Umpire / #1 – Sir Winsalot / #5 – X Clown
#2 Jack the Umpire is a son of Bodemeister who is 1 for 1 over the Delta strip. Tommy Pompell in the irons and he is a perfect stalker going a route of ground today. He should be forwardly placed as he attempts to give them the slip down the backside. #1 Sir Winsalot comes in for the Ken McPeek barn off a win at Kee. He draws the rail under Gerard Melancon and sports a sharp work to prepare. He’s been routing and the distance should be no problem. Steps up in class and since moving from the turf he looked like a new runner. #5 X Clown makes his 2nd off the layoff for this son of Jimmy Creed. The LA bred should get an up close stalking trip waiting to pounce under Tyler Woodley.
Race #8 – The G3 Native Diver – 1 1/8 – 7:00 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Two Thirty Five / #4 – Roadster / #2 – Midcourt
#6 Two Thirty Five comes from the Richard Baltas barn with Abel Cedillo in the saddle. This son of Stay Thirsty always comes running and the added distance may help his cause. 2nd time off of the layoff and is 4 for 7 ITM at DM. He has faced some tough runners in the past and comes in fresh with a solid prep. #4 Roadster is a son of Quality Road for Bob Baffert. He’s going from a sprint to a route where Baffert wins 28% and comes in with the perfect prep for longer distance and a softer field. He looks the one to beat, but I’m using underneath for value. #2 Midcourt is a son of Midnight Lute seeking his fourth win. He does take a major step in class but trainer John Sheriffs knows how to bring them ready. Look for a solid closing effort under Victor Espinoza.
BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview
by: Ed Meyer
Race #8 – The Key Cents – 6f – 3:20 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Time Limit / #7 – Big Q / #2 – Playtone
#3 Time Limit is a daughter of Bustin Stones for trainer Mike Maker with Javier Castellano in the irons. They make the turf to dirt move and drop from graded company. She should dictate the pace under Castellano and he scores 24% with early runners. #7 Big Q is a daughter of Big Brown for the Gary Gullo barn. Jose Lezcano gets the nod and she’s been off for two months since Saratoga. She gets 2nd time Lasix and has regular works at Belmont. She should be in top form. #2 Playtone comes from the George Weaver barn with Manny Franco aboard. 3rd off the shelf and the barn scores 20% with two year old runners. This daughter of Tonalist is taking a step up in class and should be ready.
Race #10 – The G-3 River City – 1 1/8 on the turf – 5:36 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Mr. Understood / #3 – Blue Sky Kowboy / #2 – Emmaus
#4 Mr. Understood is a son of Archarcharch for the Brad Cox barn who is winning 26% at the meet. Florent Geroux is back in action and they have been on the shelf for 48 days. They are seeking a repeat in this stake and are 5 for 5 ITM over the course. He comes in freshened and beaten chalk at Remington last out. Geroux will come rolling late in the final furlong. #3 Blue Sky Kowboy is a son of Kodiak Kowboy for the Michelle Boyce barn. Sophie Doyle gets the call and she’ll have this gelding flying late in the race. He’s 11 for 15 ITM on turf and exits a stake win at Hawthorne. #2 Emmaus hails from the Conor Murphy barn with Channing Hill in the saddle. This is his 3rd off the layoff and sitting on a huge effort. He’ll come calling late in the race and will need a solid pace to be a factor. Murphy wins 20% off a last race win.
Race #8 – The G-3 Bob Hope 7f – 7:00 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #3- Thousand Words / #6 – Strongconstitution / #5 – High Velocity
#3 Thousand Words is a son of Pioneer of the Nile for Bob Baffert with Flavien Prat in the saddle. He closed fast to win his opener and added distance should be welcome. Prat wins 23% with sprinters and Baffet wins 32% with his babies. #6 Strongconstitution comes from the barn of Doug O’Neill with Abel Cedillo in the irons. 2nd start off the layoff and owns a bullet work to prepare. This son of Constitution has plenty of speed and Cedillo wins 23% with speedy runners. #5 High Velocity enters in for Bob Baffert and Drayden Van Dyke. An impressive maiden win going five and a half and this son of Quality Road should break sharply. Van Dyke and Baffert win 38% as a team.