Tag Archives: American Pharoah

BetPTC.com Horse Racing Stakes Preview – Nov. 9th

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview

by: Ed Meyer

Churchill Downs

Race #10 – G3 Commonwealth Turf – 1 1/16 on turf – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Spectacular Gem / #7 – Tracksmith / #14 – Journeyman

#6 Spectacular Gem comes from the James Baker barn with James Graham in the saddle. They are looking for three in a row and his sire Can the Man wins 19% with his turfers. He should be right on the engine fresh off a win in the Jefferson Cup. #7 Tracksmith is a son of Street Sense for trainer Joe Sharp and Brian Hernadez Jr. He is 5 for 7 ITM on turf and was closing stoutly in the Jefferson Cup at CD. He is 2 for 2 ITM in Louisville and his last race showed good promise. #14 Journeyman is a son of Animal Kingdom for Eoin Harty and Declan Cannon in the irons. He exits the Dueling Grounds Derby moving quick in the final furlong. He owns a win and a 2nd on the greensward.

Aqueduct

Race #8 – The Artie Schiller – 1 mile on the turf – 3:20 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Frontier Market / #9 – Dr. Edgar / #8 – Caribou Club

#1 Frontier Market comes from the Chad Brown barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. A son of Lemon Drop Kid off 49 days and fires fresh off the layoff. The rail is winning 28% and the drop in class should have this closer skimming the hedge to the winner’s circle. #9 Dr. Edgar is 2nd off the layoff for Barclay Tagg and Dylan Davis in the irons. A speedy son of Lookin At Lucky drops in class from the G-2 Knickerbocker and should be right with the speed on the cutback in distance. #8 Caribou Club comes from the barn of Thom Proctor and Feargal Lynch. He has been off 49 days and owns a bullet work to prepare. A son of City Zip has a strong late kick and should be a player in the final furlong.

Race #9 – The Atlantic Beach – 6f on the turf – 3:50 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Freewheeler / #8 – Embolden / #6 – American Pharoah

#5 Freewheeler is a son of City Zip for Todd Pletcher and Irad Ortiz. They add blinkers and that yields a 20% win clip. Last out he was closing on the BC winner Four Wheel Drive. Ortiz wins 21% with turfers and look for a mid pack closing trip. #8 Embolden is a son of The Factor for Michael Stidham and Joel Rosario. The add blinkers and get a 20% win clip with added equipment. Rosario wins 19% with early runners. #6 Turned Aside is a son of American Pharoah who wins 20% with his turf runners. Linda Rice and Jose Lezcano team up to win 22%. This colt should be up close and dangerous.

American Pharoah’s Chances

BetAds-Belmont300x175Well we are here we have a Triple Crown on the line, just what every race fan on earth wants … 3 weeks of complete goose bumps. We all will go over the Belmont 100 times in next 3 weeks trying to find every and any way that Pharoah can lose.   I have seen stumbles, shoes come off, bad ride after bad ride, horses get pulled up for no reason and even a horse in Silver Charm that just got beat.

So how will American Pharoah lose? He sure figures to lose they all do except 11 of them right? He could get left in the gate, stumble, or Victor could grab him like he did Chrome and take away all chances at the start? By all indications he was very tired after carrying a ton of weight with the water added in and blowing the doors off them. Rain or shine that won’t hurt him we know that already so the Funny Cide debacle won’t happen. So what will happen?

We now have barn security so no one will try to sneak into his stall throw pins in their or stick a needle in the horse. So that is over right?

All these myths or truths depending on who you listen too are all over. Right?

So How can he or will he lose?

Well IF the gate opens, IF he comes out and doesn’t get crushed, IF he is sent to the lead , Well then I think he will win.

He has the advantage of his riders brutal failure just last year with a miserable decision to rate a speed horse going this distance and simply got him beat by inferior horses because of rider error. His rider has learned and the Preakness was a testing point. SEND HIM YOUNG MAN.   I can hear my dad screaming.

The fractions don’t matter for this horse. Just get to the lead.

That leaves the dead closers.

Mubtaahij, Madefromlucky, and Frosted the 3 logical ones as the others are simply too slow.

Mubtaahij on big sandy I just can’t see being anywhere in reality.   Madefromlucky is a HUGE upset chance and with Pletcher and his style could be the Birdstone staggering after Pharoah in the stretch. See you have Pletcher sending Materiality to mess with Pharoah hoping Carpe or Madefromlucky can be running at the end.   Team work a lot like Baffert just used at the Preakness. Now we are on Pletchers turf.

Frosted of course will be the second choice and with KM being so hot he figures on everyone’s radar that he could win.

So as I see this, Pharoah has 2 horses to beat and he will be 5-7 lengths in front of both with 4 furlongs to go if ridden correctly.   So the chances of a Triple Crown winner are very high.

Dan Cronin

FatBaldGuyracing

Coming soon to BetPTC

Coming soon to BetPTC