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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, Jan. 16

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, 1/16/2021

by: Ed Meyer

Fair Grounds Race #10 – The G-3 Louisiana – 1 1/16 – 5:23 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Wells Bayou / #6 -Title Ready / #3 – Silver Prospector

#8 Wells Bayou is a speedy son of Lookin At Lucky for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux in the saddle. He has been off for 8 months and 1 for 1 at FG. He sports a sharp work and has fired fresh off the bench. Geroux wins 24% with speed type runners.  The Cox runner is the horse to beat.  #6 Title Ready is a closing runner for Dallas Stewart with B.J. Hernandez in the irons. He’s been off for 50 days and exits the G1 Clark back in November. He is 5 for 10 ITM at the distance and should muster up a solid late effort.

 

Race #11 – The $125,000 Colonel E.R. Bradley – 1 1/16 on the turf – 5:52 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #11- Mr. Misunderstood / #10 – Sailing Solo / #9 – Peace Achieved

#11 Mr. Misunderstood hails from the Brad Cox barn teaming up with Florent Geroux. He is 4 for 6 ITM at FG and exits an effort off the synthetic at TP. A late runner for Geroux who wins 17% on the turf. His dam Jodys Delight  has 10 starters and 4 turf winners to her credit. Look for a big run as they turn for home. #10 Sailing Solo is a speedy son of Smart Strike for Louis Roussel and Mitchell Murrill in the irons. This is his 2nd start off a layoff and should improve moving forward. Murrill wins 16% with early speed. #9 Peace Achieved is a stalker for Mark Casse and Declan Carroll. He exits KyD and cuts back to a better distance. Carroll will be looking to be mid pack and poised to pounce.

 

Race #12 – The $150,000 Silver Bullet Day – 1mile and 70 yards – 6:20 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Sunpath / #1- Souper Sensational / #3 – Charlie’s Penny

#9 Sunpath is a daughter of Munnings for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux in the saddle. She exits an impressive win in allowance company and looks to take the next step up the ladder moving forward. Add in a bullet work and this stalker looks like a major player. #1 Souper Sensational is a daughter of Curlin for Mark Casse and Declan Carroll. She is a lightly raced daughter of Curlin and exiting the synthetic at Woodbine. She appears ready for the next level and owns a sharp work in preparation off a three month layoff. #3 Charlie’s Penny is a stalker from the barn of Chris Block with B.J. Hernandez getting the call. She has never ran a route and I’m looking for a quick break from the gate.

 

Race #13 – The G-3 Lecomte – 1 1/16 – 6:49 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Arabian Princess / #1 – Midnight Bourbon / #10 – Mandaloun

#2 Arabian Princess is lightly raced for the Dallas Stewart barn and B. J. Hernandez in the irons. He’s been off 49 days and takes a drop down the class ladder. He has a solid late punch and will come calling under Hernandez who scores with 16% of his late runners. #1 Midnight Bourbon hails from the Steve Asmussen barn with Ricardo Santana aboard. He’s been off for three months and takes a plunge down the class ladder. He should be right on the pace, and with added ground may be right on the hook under Santana who wins 17% with early runners. #10 Mandaloun is a late runner who is a perfect 2 for 2 coming off a 49 day layoff. The Brad Cox trainee will come calling under Florent Geroux and they are winning at a 24% clip as a team. This is his 1st time at a route and should be a little closer than usual rounding the first turn.

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, Jan. 9

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, 1/9/2021

by: Ed Meyer

 

Santa Anita

Race #8 – The G-3 La Canada – 1 1/16 – 6:30 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Message / #3 – Fighting Mad / #2 – Hard Not to Love

#4 Message hails from the Bob Baffert barn with Flavien Prat in the irons. 2nd off the layoff yields a 27% win clip for Baffert, and teaming up with Prat wins 20%. She is 3 for 4 ITM over the course and a stalking sort who can be dangerous. Prat scores 28% with stalkers and should lay just off the pace. #3 Fighting Mad is a speedy mare for Bob Baffert with Abel Cedillo in the irons. She takes a class drop and failed as a beaten chalk last out. If left alone she can easily wire the field where Cedillo wins 19% with early type runners. #2 Hard Not to Love comes in for John Sheriffs going 9 for 9 ITM over the course. A deep closer who takes a drop in class coming off a  three month layoff.

Race #9 – The G-3 Las Cienegas – 6f on the turf – 7:00 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Oleksandra / # 5 – Superstitious / #4 – Lighthouse

#6 Oleksandra is a daughter of Animal Kingdom for Neil Drysdale and Joel Rosario. She is 3 for 4 ITM over the course and been off for two months. She drops down the class ladder against the boys in the G1 BC Turf Sprint. She’s a solid late runner with a good turn of foot down the lane. Rosario wins 18% with his closing turf runners. #5 Superstitious is an up close stalker for Richard Mandella and Flavien Prat. This daughter of Ghostzapper is 2 for 2 ITM over the course and exits a game win at DM. She gets the acid test moving up in class and brings her 4 for 4 ITM turf record to the table. #4 Lighthouse comes off a three month break for Simon Callaghan and 3 for 4 ITM at SA. Umberto Rispoli has the call and he wins 24% with his turf runners. Look for a an up close trip where Rispoli wins 20% of the time.

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Gulfstream Park

Race #10 – The G-3 Tropical Turf – 1 mile on the turf – 4:49 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Analyze It / #4 – Doctor Mounty / #3 – Ride a Comet

#6 Analyze It is a son of Point of Entry for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. He’s been away from the races for three months and Brown scores 29% off a 90 day or more layoff. A stalking sort who takes a big drop in class from the G1 Shadwell at KEE and should get a solid trip under Ortiz who wins 22% with stalkers. #4 Doctor Mounty is a late runner for Shug McCaughey and Jose Ortiz in the saddle. He’s been off 49 days and should fire fresh off the bench with a solid work under his belt. #3 Ride a Comet is a son of Candy Ride for Mark Casse and Tyler Gaffalione. The late runner has been off for 49 days and sports a couple of bullet works in preparation. He makes the synthetic to turf move and has fired fresh off the shelf in the past.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, Jan. 2

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, 1/2/2021

by: Ed Meyer

Santa Anita

Race #7 – The G2 San Gabriel – 1 1/8 miles turf – 6:30 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Count Again / #6 – Anothertwistafate / #7 – Bowie’s Hero

#5 Count Again is a son of Awesome Again who is 6 for 7 ITM on the turf for Phil D’Amato and Juan Hernandez who is winning 22% at the meet. He exits a win in the G2 Seabiscuit closing late going wide in the lane. The rider wins 19% with closers and should enjoy the distance today. #6 Anothertwistafate makes a 2nd off the layoff for Peter Miller and Joel Rosario. Look for a swift break from the gate. He adds blinkers and may improve as the barn scores at a 15% clip on this move. #7 Bowie’s Hero enters for Phil D’Amato and Flavien Prat. A late runner with a solid punch making a 2nd off the shelf. move. Prat wins 22% with closers on the sod. The barn scores 16% with turf runners and the distance should be welcome.

Race #8 – The G3 Sham – 1 mile – 7:00 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Life is Good / #4 – Uncle Boogie / #3 – Parnelli

#5 Life is Good is a speedy son of Into Mischief for Bob Baffert and Mike Smith. He should break sharp in the hands of Smith who wins 30% with quick runners and Baffert wins 26% with graded stakes runners. #4 Uncle Boogie is a son of Ride on Curlin coming off 48 day break. Flavien Part has the call and wins 29% with his stalker type runners. He gets added distance and should relish more ground. #3 Parnelli is a speedster for John Sheriffs and Drayden Van Dyke. The rider wins 23% going a route and takes a step up in class. He is 4 for 4 ITM lifetime.

Aqueduct

Race #8 – The $100,000 Gravesend – 6 1/2f – 3:50 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Happy Farm / #2 – Drafted / #5 – Stan the Man

#1 Happy Farm is a speedy son of Ghostzapper for Linda Rice and Jose Lezcano. He’s been off for 10 months and Rice wins 20% with layoff runners, and has plenty of early foot from the rail. He lost this race by a head last year and looks to turn the tables today. #2 Drafted is a stalker for David Duggan and Dylan Davis. 2nd off the layoff yields a 17% win clip for the barn. Look for a strong move around the far turn looking for the leaders. #5 Stan the Man is a late running sort for John Terranova and Eric Cancel aboard. He gets an extra half furlong to run and owns a bullet work in preparation. Dropping pounds from the G3 Fall Highweight should be another plus.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Dec. 26 Opening Day at Santa Anita

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 12/26/2020

by: Ed Meyer

Santa Anita Race #8 – The G1 La Brea – 7f – 5:43 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Finite / #8 – Motivated Seller / #2 – Merneith

#5 Finite is a daughter of Munnings for Steve Asmussen and his go to rider Ricardo Santana. They are cutting back from a mile and exit a strong win in the G2 Chilukki at CD. Look for a stalking trip today going from a route to a sprint yielding a 25% win clip for the barn. #8 Motivated Seller is a lightly raced filly for Chad Brown and Umberto Rispoli. His dam Coup has 4 starters and 4 winners to her credit.  Look for an up close break where Rispoli wins 20%. #2 Merneith is a stalker who has been on the shelf for 49 days since winning at KEE. Bob Baffert brings her to post with John Velasquez in the saddle. Look for a quick break off swift morning works.

Race #9 – The G-1 American Oaks – 1 1/4 on the turf – 6:17 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Luck Money /#9 – Sharing / #8 – Duopoly

#5 Luck Money is a daughter of Lookin At Lucky for Arnaud Delacour coming off a 56 day rest with Ricardo Santana in the irons. The barn wins 23% with long layoff runners returning and seeks her third straight win turning back in distance. Look for a solid late run around the far turn. #9 Sharing goes to post for Graham Motion and John Velasquez. She is 1 for 1 at SA and should lay just off the pace. She is 6 for 7 ITM on the greensward. #8 Duopoly is a speedy daughter of Animal Kingdom for Chad Brown and Flavien Prat. This is her 3rd start off the layoff shipping in from AQU where Brown wins 29% with a change of scenery.

Race #10 – The G-1 Malibu – 7f – 6:51 pm

BetPTC.com Selections/ #3 – Nashville / #4 – Charlatan / #6 – Independence Hall

#3 Nashville is a speedy son of Speightstown for Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santana. He exits a smoking hot win in the Perryville where he broke the teletimer. They seek their 4th straight win and Santana should be the one to beat from the gate break. #4 Charlatan turns back in distance off a 7 month layoff for Bob Baffert and Mike Smith. His record is perfect and cutting back may be just what the doctor ordered on his comeback effort. He should be right behind the pacesetters. #6 Independence Hall is a son of Constitution who enters in off a 48 day break for Mike McCarthy and Joel Rosario. His last race win was perfect and the morning works show a fresh and ready runner.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Dec. 12

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 12/12/2020

by: Ed Meyer

 

Gulfstream Park

Race #4 – The G-3 Rampart – 1 mile – 1:35 PM

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Letruska / #2 – Bajan Girl / #3 – Sally’s Curlin

#5 Letruska is a pure speedster in the hands of Emisael Jaramillo who wins 21% with quick runners from the break. This daughter of Super Saver is 2 for 2 at GP and been on the shelf for two months. She cuts back in distance and drops down in class. #2 Bajan Girl hails from the barn of Rohan Crichton under Edgar Prado. 3rd time off the layoff and has a stalker style to her resume. They win 12% 3rd time off the shelf and seek a third straight win. #3 Sally’s Curlin is a strong closer for the Dale Romans barn with Corey Lanerie aboard. This daughter of Curlin is 2 for 2 ITM at GP and exits the G1 BC Filly Mare Sprint. The drop in class and 2nd off the layoff may help her causes greatly.

 

Race #9 – The G3 Harlan Holiday – 1 1/16 – 4:09 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Phat Man / #1 – Tax / #6 – Math Wizard

#2 Phat Man is a strong closer for Kent Sweezey and Irad Ortiz in the irons. He is 3 for 3 ITM at GP and 9 for 12 ITM at the distance. 2nd start off the layoff with a sharp work to tighten down the screws for this affair. Ortiz fits well and wins 29% with route closers as the barn is winning 22% at the meet. #1 Tax has been off for 7 months and has run well freshened up in the past. Danny Gargan brings this this son of Arch to post with Luis Saez in the saddle. He turns back in distance and drops down a rung in class. A stalker who draws the rail and where the trainer wins 24% with route runners. #6 Math Wizard is a late runner for Saffie Joseph and Tyler Gaffalione in the driver’s seat. He’s been off for 3 months and takes a class drop today. Blinkers off today and the barn scores at a 27% clip with this equipment change. Ships in from Saratoga has works over the track.

Race #10 – The G-2 Ft. Lauderdale – 1 1/8 on the turf – 4:40 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Factor This / #10 – Halladay / #5 – Channel Cat

#9 Factor This is a blistering speedster for Brad Cox and Jose Ortiz. Ortiz wins 18% with early runners and been off since the BC Mile. He ships in from KEE and the barn scores at a 26% clip. Look for Ortiz to send immediately when the gates break. #10 Halladay is a speedy son of War Front for Todd Pletcher and Luis Saez.  He is 3 for 3 with wins at GP and should be right near the lead. If Factor This doesn’t have a stellar break he could be double dangerous. #5 Channel Cat is a late runner for Jack Sisterson and Corey Lanerie. He is 6 for 8 ITM at GP and been off 8 months since the G2 Pan American. He cuts back in distance and will come calling late in the lane.

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Dec. 5

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 12/5/2020

by: Ed Meyer

Aqueduct Race #4 – The G2 Remsen – 1 1/8 miles dirt – 1:00 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Known Agenda / #5 – Ten for Ten / #3 – Brooklyn Strong

#2 Known Agenda is a son of Curlin and 1 for 1 at AQU. An impressive closer and Todd Pletcher is winning 31% with John Velasquez in the irons. He is 2 for 2 lifetime and should come rolling quick down the lane. #5 Ten for Ten is a speedy son of Frosted for Shug McGaughey and Jose Ortiz in the saddle. Look for Ortiz to send right from the break as he wins 19% with speedy runners. #3 Brooklyn Strong is a perfect stalker and has Joel Rosario in the driver’s seat. This gelded son of Wicked Strong should be sitting in the catbird seat turning for home.

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Race #9 – The G2 Demoiselle – 1 1/8 – 3:44 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Malathaat / #5 – Dollar Mountain / #6 – Cafe Society

#1 Malathaat is a daughter of Curlin and sports good early foot for the Pletcher barn. John Velasquez has the call and should come out swinging from the inside post. Johnny V wins 22% with early style runners. #5 Dollar Mountain is a stalker who moved off the turf last time for George Weaver. Jose Lezcano in the irons for the stalker and looks for a trip just off the speed. #6 Cafe Society hails from the Shug McGaughey barn with Jose Ortiz getting the nod. Speedy daughter of Empire Maker moving up the ladder and might be dangerous if able to find the front.

Race#10 – The G1 Cigar Mile – 1 mile – 4:13 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Performer / #4 – Firenze Fire / #5 – Mr. Buff

#1 Performer comes in for Shug McGaughey and Joel Rosario. Been away for 49 days and may fire fresh off the shelf as the barn wins 19% on this move. He is seeking his 6th straight and will be dangerous breaking from the rail where it wins 29%. #4 Firenze Fire goes to post for Kelly Breen with Jose Lezcano in the saddle. A solid stalker with a sharp late punch and 3 for 5 ITM at AQU. Should be in the second flight working out a good trip. #5 Mr. Buff is a speedster from the John Kimmel barn with Junior Alvarado between the ears. 2nd off the layoff moving up in class. Will be dangerous if left alone on the lead.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Nov. 21

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 11/21/20

by: Ed Meyer

Aqueduct

Race #9 – The G-3 Red Smith – 1 3/8 miles turf – 3:45 – pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Ziyad / #10 – Red Knight / #5 – North Dakota

#8 Ziyad exits the G3 Sycamore at Keeneland and gets 2nd time Lasix since shipping in from Deauville (Fr). Graham Motion is the trainer with Manny Franco aboard this speedy son of Rock of Gibraltar (IRE). He may improve getting a shorter distance and Franco wins 17% with early running turf horses. #10 Red Knight is a long range closer who hails from the Bill Mott barn where he is 2 for 2 ITM at AQU. Jose Ortiz in the irons and returns from the G3 Sycamore win over Ziyad. Ortiz wins with 20% of his closing turf runners and should be a major player. #5 North Dakota also exits the G3 Sycamore as a fourth place finisher. Jose Lezcano in the irons for Shug McGaughey and they are making a 2nd off the layoff move and where the barn wins 18% and steps up in class. Use in your exotics.

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Churchill Downs

Race#9 – The G3 Chilukki – 1 mile dirt – 5:06 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Finite / #3 – Grand Clu Classe / #4 – Whoa Nellie

#2 Finite hails from the Steve Asmussen barn with Ricardo Santana in the saddle. She is 2 for 2 with wins at CD and exits a fast closing 2nd at Keeneland in the G2 Raven Run. Santana fits like a glove and she is making her 3rd off the layoff move where the barn wins 19%. #3 Grand Clu Classe is a speedy daughter of Bernardini for Bill Mott and Tyler Gaffalione. She exits a big effort in the G2 Raven Run at a price and should enjoy the one turn mile at CD. #4 Whoa Nellie is a daughter of Orb who is a solid stalker. Larry Jones gives a leg up to Joe Rocco Jr. and she is coming off a 9 month layoff since OP. She is 4 for 4 ITM at CD and Jones can get them ready to fire right off the shelf.

Del Mar

Race #2 – The G3 Native Diver – 1 1/8 miles dirt – 4:00 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Royal Ship / #4 – Midcourt / #5 – Extra Hope

#3 Royal Ship is 3rd off the layoff since shipping in from Brazil for Richard Mandella who is winning 50% at the meet. This son of Midshipman is 8 for 9 ITM lifetime and takes a drop in class under the handling of Mike Smith coming off a 49 day rest. #4 Midcourt hails from the John Sheriffs’ barn with Victor Espinoza. He is 4 for 4 ITM over the course and comes off a 56 day break away from the races. Mandella wins 22% coming off a layoff. #5 Extra Hope is a speedy colt from Dick Mandella’s barn with Juan Hernandez in the saddle. He’s coming off a 56 day rest and takes a big step up in class. Look for a quick break from the gate.

 

Horse Racing Stakes Analysis – Saturday, Nov. 14

Horse Racing Stakes Analysis – Saturday, 11/14/20

by: Ed Meyer

Churchill Downs Race #10 – The G2 Mrs. Revere – 1 1/16 miles turf – 5:36 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – How Ironic / #3 – Stunning Sky /#4 – Princess Grace

#5 How Ironic exits the G3 Valley View and retains the services of Rafael Bejarano for Victoria Oliver. Bred to relish the turf and 1 for 2 ITM at CD. I really liked the way she split runners last out and gave a good account of her closing abilities in her last effort. She’ll come calling in the final furlong. #3 Stunning Sky is a Mike Maker trainee who won the G3 Valley View last out. She has faced plenty of graded company and is 5 for 10 ITM over the turf with Ricardo Santana in the irons looking to close from off the pace. #4 Princess Grace is solid stalking filly from the Mike Stidham barn and Florent Geroux has the call. She is lightly raced, but from her three lifetime starts she has 2 wins and a close second. She looks to be improving and since moving from Monmouth two back she gave a strong account of herself. Her sire Karakontie (JPN) is bred to relish the greensward.

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Aqueduct

Race #7 – The $100,000 Notebook – 6f – 2:45 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Blue Gator / #5 – Horn of Plenty / #4 – Eagle Orb

#7 Blue Gator is a perfect 2 straight for the Mike Maker barn with Kendrick Carmouche in the saddle. He looks to be a stalker and getting better off his only two starts. Carmouche back in the irons after missing his last race and I’m looking for a reunion of the original players. #5 Horn of Plenty is perfect with his one effort for Rob Atras barn and Dylan Davis in the driver’s seat. A closer who could come right back as trainer Atras wins 33% off the last race win. #4 Eagle Orb is a hard knocking son of Orb who appears to be a stalker for Rudy Rodriguez and Manny Franco. He should be up close looking for his lane to run.

Race #9 – The Artie Schiller – 1 mile miles turf – 3:47 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 -Therapist / #4 – Delaware /#5 – Hembree /

#10 – Therapist is a son of Freud for Christophe Clement. This New York runner always brings a solid effort and close from off the pace making his second start off a layoff. Javier Castellano calls the shots and wins 20% with turf closers. #4 Delaware is a son of Frankel (GB) for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. He was a beaten favorite in the G2 King Edward at Woodbine and sports a sharp work off a 90 day break from the races. #5 Hembree is a deep closer from the Mike Maker barn with Kendrick Carmouche in the saddle. He has plenty of back class against graded company. He ships back from Pimlico and Maker wins 19% with shippers back to his barn.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Breeders’ Cup Saturday

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday – 11/7/2020

by: Ed Meyer for BetPTC.com

Breeders’ Cup / Keeneland / Day #2

Guaranteed pools – Pick-Five / $2 million – Pick-Four / $2 million

Race #8 – The G1 BC Sprint – 6f – 2:36 pm – Pick-Five

BetPTC.com Selections / #11 – Diamond Oops / #2 – C Z Rocket / #3 – Collusion Illusion

#11 Diamond Oops is one for one at KEE for Patrick Biancone and Florent Geroux in the saddle. 3rd off the layoff as they seek their 3rd straight win. Add in two straight bullet works and this son of Lookin At Lucky looks to come running in the final furlong. #2 CZ Rocket comes in for Peter Miller and Luis Saez. 3rd off the shelf and 2 for 2 at KEE. A stalker getting the rail trip allows for him to settle in and save ground. #3 Collusion Illusion hails from the Mark Glatt barn with Flavien Prat in the irons. 2nd off a layoff with a sizzling bullet work. He will be closing from far off the pace where Prat wins 27%.

Race #9 – The G1 BC Mile – 1 mile on the turf – 3:15 pm – Pick-Four

BetPTC.com Selections / #14 – Raging Bull / #11 – Ivar / #12 – Uni

#14 Raging Bull goes to post for Chad Brown with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. He is 3 for 4 ITM at KEE, and this late runner has plenty of early pace to get him rolling late in the lane. Ortiz wins 20% with late running turf horses. #11 Ivar is 1 for 1 at KEE for Paulo Lobo and Joe Talamo. They exit a win in the G1 Shadwell Mile and can stalk just off the pace making the 3rd effort off a rest. #12 Uni hails from the Chad Brown barn with Joel Rosario in the saddle. They are 2 for 3 ITM at KEE making a 3rd off the layoff move. They won their last race and the barn scores at 29% next time out.

Race #10 – The G1 Distaff – 1 1/8 – 3:54 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Monomoy Girl / #9 – Ollie’s Candy / #4 – Horologist

#10 Monomoy Girl hails from the Brad Cox barn with Florent Geroux in the irons. She won this race in 2018 and is 3 for 3 at the distance. She should get a closeup trip looking to keep the pace honest. Very dangerous to leave off your tickets. #9 Ollie’s Candy comes in for John Sadler and Joel Rosario. She’s been a bridesmaid the past two efforts and will be forwardly placed. Rosario wins 20% with early runners. #4 Horologist is trained by Bill Mott with Junior Alvarado in the saddle. 3rd off the layoff looking for two in a row. The rider and trainer team up to win 28% as a team.

Race #11 – The BC Turf – 1 1/2 on the turf – 4:33 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Magical / #3 – Tarnawa / #10 – Mogul

#2 Magical hails from the Aiden O’Brien yard with Ryan Moore in the irons. She ran on a deep track last out that’s not her preferred ground. Moore fits like a glove and she finished 2nd to Enable in 2018. Look for high gear around the final furlong. #3 Tarnawa is coming off a three in a row winning effort, and the distance fits her plans. She has a wicked late kick and very impressive. Dermot Weld and Christophe Soumillion team up together for a shot at the winner’s circle. #10 Mogul comes in from the Aiden O’Brien yard. They need solid ground and the weather is projected to be perfect in Kentucky, The distance looks to fit her perfectly.

Race #12 – The G1 BC Classic – 1 1/4 – 5:18 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Maximum Security / #8 – Improbable / #3 – By My Standards

#10 Maximum Security hails from the Bob Baffert barn with Luis Saez in the saddle. He’s been hitting on all cylinders this year and was a beaten favorite last out. Ever since the 2019 Derby, this colt has done very little wrong. #8 Improbable comes in for Bob Baffert and Irad Ortiz. Ships in from SA where they win 31% with new arrivals. Add in the bullet work and he may be dangerous seeking his 4th straight win. #3 By My Standards goes to post for Bret Calhoun and Gabriel Saez. 2 months off the layoff with red hot works show promise. This son of Goldencents always brings his top game rolling off the pace.

 

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Friday Breeders’ Cup

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Friday – 11/6/2020 

Breeders’ Cup / Keeneland /Day #1

by: Ed Meyer

Race #6 – The BC Juvenile Turf Sprint – 5 1/2f on the turf – 2:30 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #14 – Golden Pal / #8 – Amanzi Yimpilo / #5 – Cowan

#14 Golden Pal hails from the Wesley Ward barn and does well with young turf runners from his barn. Two back was beaten a neck at Royal Ascot for all the marbles in the Gr2 Norfolk and came back two months later to go wire to wire in the Skidmore at Saratoga. Irad Ortiz in the irons and he wins 27% with turf sprinters. #8 Amanzi Yimpilo comes from the Wesley Ward barn with a daughter of No Nay Never. Luis Saez in the driver’s seat and she beat the boys last out. She has speed to burn and Ward wins 27% third off the layoff. #5 Cowan is a Steve Asmussen trainee with Ricardo Santana in the saddle. She has a wicked late punch and came up just a bit short last out in the Indian Summer at KEE. Runners who have a trip over the track fair well and she will come rolling late in the lane.

Race #7 – The BC Juvenile Turf – 1 mile turf – 3:10pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #6- Mustasaabeq / #9 Battleground /#2 – New Mandate

#6 Mustasaabeq goes postward for Todd Pletcher and Luis Saez who are winning 31% as a team in the last few months. He circled the field seeing every inch of the track with a wide closing effort to win the G2 Bourbon. He was 8 wide and had a super strong late kick. #8 Battleground comes in from the Aiden O’Brien yard with Ryan Moore in the driver’s seat. This son of War Front kicked out and circled the field quickly last out to win Gr2 Veuve Clicquot Vintage at Goodwood last out. Been off since July and that is his only drawback. The Euro trainers have done well in this race over the years. #2 New Mandate is a son of New Bay (GB) rolling off three straight wins. He stalked the pace last out for Ralph Beckett as Frankie Dettori looks for his 3rd win aboard this talented colt. Frankie always looks to shine like a new penny on the big money days.

Race #8 – The BC Juvenile Fillies – 1 1/16 – 3:50 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Vequist / #3 – Dayoutoftheoffice / #7 – Princess Noor

#2 Vequist is the daughter of Nyquist for Robert Reid and Joel Rosario. Exits the G1 Frizette as a beaten favorite. Prior to that, she rolled by 9 lengths in the G1 Spinaway. Since her last race, there are some red hot works to have her ready. An up close stalker who is going to very tough when they turn for home. #3 Dayoutoftheoffice is a perfect three for three and gets to try her hand at going two turns for the first time. Trainer Tim Hamm is new to the big scene, but a regular name on the cut below the top rung of conditioners. He brings them ready and you can bet dollars to donuts he’ll have her ready for a top effort. Junior Alvarado has the call. #7 Princess Noor is a perfect 3 for 3 Bob Baffert. She has a smooth way of moving and has impressed clockers and trainers alike. She’s had her two turn try last out drawing off for fun in the G2 Chandelier. Victor Espinoza is aboard this stalker and she’ll come calling when the real running begins.

fund for the Breeders' cup

Race #9 – The BC Juvenile Turf Fillies – 1 mile on the turf – 4:30 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Campanelle / #4 – Plum Ali / #14 – Editor At Large

#10 Campanelle is a perfect three for three shipping in from Deauville off a win. She’s been in the state’s training since July and Wesley Ward is the conditioner. She whipped the boys last out in Gr1 company and returns to face the ladies. The added ground should be no problem as Frankie Dettori looks to take them from gate to wire. #4 Plum Ali is a closer for the Christophe Clement barn with Joel Rosario in the irons. Her perfect 3 for 3 record is on the line and owns a sharp work coming into the race.

Race #10 – The BC Juvenile – 1 1/16 – 5:15 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Jackie’s Warrior / #5 – Essential Quality / #3 – Reinvestment Risk

#7 Jackie’s Warrior is a perfect 4 for 4 and owns a boatload of red hot speed. Steve Asmussen brings him to post with Joel Rosario in the saddle and looks to dictate the pace heading into the short stretch. There are some rabbits here who could pose a problem if he doesn’t make the front. Rosario wins 24% on speedy type runners. His win in the G1 Champagne is promising as this race has played a good prep in the past. Catch him if you can. #5 Essential Quality is a son of Tapit for Brad Cox and Luis Saez. His victory over the track in the G1 Breeders’ Futurity was very impressive and will be trying to wheel in the leaders in the far turn. His bullet work has me thinking good things can happen for the connections. #3 Reinvestment Risk has run 2nd twice against Jackie, and always seems to be playing second fiddle. If anything keeps the favorite from dictating the pace, this son of Upstart may have the best seat in the house turning for home for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz.