Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – August 8, 2020
by: Ed Meyer
Race #7 – The G-1 Ballerina – 7f – 3:42 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Pink Sands / #1 – Serengeti Empress / #4 – Bellafina
#6 Pink Sands is a daughter of Tapit for Shug McGaughey with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. She cuts back to 7f where she’s 6 for 8 ITM and sports a sharp work coming into the race. She’s a strong closer with a good late punch as Ortiz wins 22% with late runners. #1 Serengeti Empress comes in for Thom Amoss and Luis Saez aboard. She turns back from 9f and the barn wins 27% making a 2nd off the layoff run. She may improve at the shorter distance. #4 Bellafina is a daughter of Quality Road for Simon Callaghan has been knocking on the door and can make a solid late move. Jose Ortiz in the saddle and is winning 20% at the meet.
Race #10 – The G-1 Test – 7f – 5:39 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Gamine / #6 – Venetian Harbor / #2 – Perfect Alibi
#5 Gamine is a daughter of Into Mischief for Bob Baffert and John Velasquez in the irons. She’s a perfect 3 for 3 lifetime and sports a good turn of early speed. She won the G1 Acorn by 18 lengths and shows a bullet work to prepare. Very dangerous and the one to beat. #6 Venetian Harbor is a daughter of Munnings for Richard Baltas with Joel Rosario aboard. She’s been a beaten chalk the last two efforts and has very sharp speed. Cuts back in distance and should be a major player. #2 Perfect Alibi comes in for Mark Casse and Tyler Gaffalione. She’s a closer and exits the G1 Belmont off a very wide closing effort. She is a perfect 2 for 2 at the Spa.
Race #11 – The G-1 Travers – 1 1/4 – 6:15 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Tiz the Law / #4 – Max Player / #3 – Uncle Chuck
#6 Tiz the Law is a son of Constitution seeking his 4th straight win. He’s a perfect stalker and a versatile sort who makes his own luck for Barclay Tagg and Manny Franco. He is 1 for 1 at the Spa and only been beaten by three quarters for a perfect record. He’s been off for 49 days and has a solid work tab. Very dangerous. #4 Max Player is a son of Honor Code for Linda Rice and Joel Rosario. A late runner who will come calling when the pace allows. He was 7 wide closing against the favorite last out. The distance should help his causes greatly. #3 Uncle Chuck is a son of Uncle Mo for Bob Baffert and Luis Saez. He’s 2 for 2 and a dangerous pace player. His victory in the G3 Los Al Derby was strong but only faced three others. Today is his acid test.