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Horse Racing Oaklawn Park Analysis – April 4th

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Horse Racing Pick-4 Analysis –  April 4, 2020

by: Ed Meyer for “Racing’s Best Kept Secret” BetPTC.com

Oaklawn Park – Late Pick Four

Race #7 – Alw $61,000 – 6f – 5:03 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Dulce Ride / #3 – Maryanorginger / #9 – Cardamon

#6 Dulce Ride is a daughter of Candy Ride for the Brad Cox barn with Joe Talamo in the saddle. She makes her 2nd start off a layoff where the barn wins 29%, She cuts back in distance from a mile as a beaten favorite. Talamo wins 20% with his early runners and should be right on the pace. #3 Maryanorginger hails from the Jeremiah Englehart barn with David Cohen in the irons. She’s been off for 10 months and ships in from Belmont. Cohen wins 22% with sprinters and she has been working regular clips over the OP surface. Look for a big move around the far turn.

Race #8 – O.C. $80,000 – 1 1/16 miles dirt – 5:38 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Finnick the Fierce / #5 – Answer In / #3 – General Trev

#1 Finnick the Fierce is a son of Dialed In for trainer Rey Hernandez with Martin Garcia aboard. He ships in from FG exiting the G2 Risen Star and G3 Lecomte. He cuts back in distance and will come rolling late. #5 Answer In hails from the Brad Cox barn with Joe Talamo getting the nod. They have been winning 28% as a team and exits the G3 Southwest stakes. He’ll come calling late in the lane. Talamo wins 22% with late closers. #3 General Trev is a son of Constitution who won at first asking for Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santanna in the driver’s seat. He’s a solid stalk and pounces sort who won his first effort over the track.

Race #9 – $100,000 Purple Martin – 6f – 6:09 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Kimmari / #8 – Frank’s Rockette / #4 – Edgeway

#1 Kimmari has the services of Mike Smith for trainer Wesley Ward. She has bullet works and been off 5 months since the BC Juvenile Turf. She won super impressive at KEE at first asking by 15 commanding lengths. She’ll break sharp and be a handful to catch. #8 Frank’s Rockette comes in for the Bill Mott barn with Martin Garcia aboard. She is 5 for 5 ITM lifetime and makes her second start of 2020. She’ll be forwardly faced and Garcia wins 19% with sprinters. #4 Edgeway goes to post for John Sadler and Tyler Baze in the irons. The barn wins 20% with nongraded stakes and she’ll come out winging looking for the lead.

Race #10 – Mdn Special Weight – 1 1/16 miles dirt – 6:38 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Wild Union / #7 – Copper King / #8 – Mo and Go

#5 Wild Union hails from the Brad Cox barn with Joe Talamo in the driver’s seat. They are winning 28% as a team with some sharp morning works. Talamo has been on fire going 5 for 7 ITM the past few weeks. #7 Copper King is a son of Medaglia d’ Oro for Steve Asmussen and Tyler Baze in the saddle. He was a beaten favorite last out and gets a new rider with Baze in the saddle. The barn scores 25% off the beaten favorite last out angle. #8 Mo and Go Is a son of Uncle Mo for trainer Jeremiah Englehart and David Cohen. This is 2nd off the layoff and the barn scores at a 24% clip on this move. I’m looking for a forward move today shipping in from New York and should be a major pace player.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – March 28

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – March 28

 by: Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park – Florida Derby Card

 

Race #10 – The G3 Orchid – 1 3/8 on the turf – 4:17 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Mean Mary / #5 – Gentle Ruler / #1 – Beale Street

#6 Mean Mary is the daughter of Scat Daddy for Graham Motion and Luis Saez in the irons. She’s been off for two months and been working at Palm Meadows. She’s a perfect 2 for 2 at GP and since stepping on the sod she has been tough as nails. Catch her if you can. #5 Gentle Ruler hails from the Ian Wilkes barn with his son in law Chris Landeros in the saddle. She’s been off five months since winning the G3 Dowager at KEE. Landeros fits her well and they’ll be moving late in the race. #1 Beale Street is a daughter of Quality Road for Michael Matz and John Velasquez in the saddle. She is 3 for 3 at GP and 7 for 8 ITM on turf. She’ll be far back closing stoutly.

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Race  #11 – The Gulfstream Park Oaks – 1 1/16 – 4:49 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Lake Avenue / #5 – Spice Is Nice / #8- Dream Marie

#4 – Lake Avenue is a daughter of Tapit for trainer Bill Mott and Joel Rosario in the saddle. 2nd off the layoff and was a beaten favorite last out. The barn comes back to score 21% looking for payback as a beaten chalk. A speedy filly who should dictate the pace and Rosario wins 27% with speedy type runners. #5 Spice Is Nice is a daughter of Curlin for trainer Todd Pletcher and Javier Castellano in the irons. She was a bridesmaid last out in the G2 Davona Dale as Team Pletcher comes back to score 20% with his beaten favorites. She’s a solid stalker and Castellano wins 20% teaming up with Pletcher. #8 Dream Marie comes in for Matthew Yates and Richard Mitchell in the saddle. She’s a late runner who was six wide closing in the G2 Davona Dale. She sports some blistering works and looks to get a piece of the pie.

Race #12 – The G2 Pan American – 1 1/2 on the turf – 5:26 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Zulu Alpha / #10 – Focus Group / #5 – Go Poke the Bear

#9 Zulu Alpha is a son of Street Cry (IRE) for Mike Maker and Tyler Gaffalione in the driver’s seat. He’s seeking his third win in a row and is 4 for 5 with wins at GP. He’ll be running late and his last efforts have been red hot. The past two weeks rider and trainer are 2 for 2 with wins. #10 Focus Group has been off five months and Christophe Clement wins 16% with long layoff runners. Luis Saez has the call and looks to come from off the pace. Saez wins with 17% with his turf mounts. #5 Go Poke the Bear hails from the Mike Maker barn with Paco Lopez in the saddle. They win at a hot 25% when they team up together. This son of Kitten’s Joy moves up the class ladder and the rider has been on a roll with 21 from 32 mounts ITM. Add in winning 25% with his turf mounts and he’s a major player.

Race #14 – The G3 Appleton – 1 mile on the turf – 6:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Social Paranoia / #3 – March to the Arch / #1 – English Bee

#7 Social Paranoia is a son of Street Boss for Todd Pletcher and Javier Castellano in the saddle. He’s been off 6 months after winning the Dueling Grounds Derby. He is 1 for 1 at GP and Pletcher wins 30% with long layoff runners. Castellano will have him in high gear turning for home fresh and ready. #3 March to the Arch hails from the Mark Casse barn with Tyler Gaffalione in the irons. He’s been off 49 days and was a beaten favorite in the G3 Tampa Bay after being forced to alter course. The barn scores 25% with beaten favorites and this long range closer will come calling late in the lane with an eye in the leaders. #1 English Bee is a son of English Channel from the Graham Motion barn with Manny Franco getting the call. He was closing stoutly in the G3 Canadian Turf and should move forward off that effort.

Race  #14 – The G1 Florida Derby – 1 1/8 – 6:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Tiz the Law / #12 – Ete Indien / #9 – Independence Hall

#7 Tiz the Law is a son of Constitution who won this race in 2014. He is 1 for 1 at GP for Barclay Tagg and Manny Franco in the driver’s seat. He’s been off 56 days and sports a strong late kick. His works at Palm Meadows are solid and he should run well fresh. #12 – Ete Indien is a son of Summer Front for Patrick Biacone with Florent Geroux getting the call. Impressive winner of the G2 FOY at GP and looks to go gate to wire. His two turf bullet works are sharp and should be the one to beat. #9 Independence Hall is a son of Constitution for Mike Trombetta and Joel Rosario in the irons. He’s been off 49 days from the G3 Sam Davis at TBD and should be right with the pacesetters. Joel Rosario scores 20% with his mounts that have early speed.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – March 21

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – March 21 for www.betptc.com

by: Ed Meyer

 

Fair Grounds Race #9 – The G2 New Orleans – 1 1/8 – 4:10 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Silver Dust / #3- Fearless / #1 – Lone Sailor

#6 Silver Dust is a son of Tapit for Bret Calhoun. He is 6 for 8 ITM over the course and has the services of Brian Hernandez. They score at a 27% clip as team and own a couple of sharp works coming into the race. He’ll look to get a perfect stalking trip and carry his speed to the wire. #3 Fearless comes in for the Todd Pletcher barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. This son of Ghostzapper should be right on the pace making big step up in class. His works are sharp and Ortiz looks to keep his perfect record intact. #1 Lone Sailor hails from the Thom Amoss barn with James Graham in the irons. He’s a closing style runner and Graham does well with Amoss winning 22% as team.

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Race #10 – The G2 Muniz – 1 1/8 on the turf – 4:42 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #12 – Synchrony / #6 – Instill Regard / #4 – Rockemperor

#12 Synchrony is a son of Tapit for Mike Stidham and Jersey Joe Bravo in the irons. He is 6 for 6 ITM and makes his 2nd start of the year. He made a strong closing effort last out in the G3 FG and looks to come rolling late in the lane. #6 Instill Regard comes in for the Chad Brown barn with Irad Ortiz in the irons. He gets Lasix again after running a solid third in the G1 Pegasus World Cup. Ortiz excels with late runners winning at a 21% win clip and 67% ITM teaming up with Chad Brown. #4 Rockemporer is a son of Holy Roman (IRE) for Chad Brown with Joel Rosario in the driver’s seat. He’s been on the shelf for seven months and was a beaten chalk in the Saratoga Derby last out. Look for a late effort turning for home.

Race #11 – The G2 Fair Grounds Oaks – 1 1/16 – 5:15 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Finite / #4 – Bonny South / #3 – Tempers Rising

#6 Finite comes from the Steve Asmussen barn with his go to rider Ricardo Santana. She is seeking her 6th straight win making her third off the shelf move. Add in she is a perfect 2 for 2 at FG and she’s gonna be tough stalking just off the pace. #4 Bonny South hails from the Brad Cox barn with Florent Geroux in the driver’s saddle. She will come running late and is 1 for 1 at FG and 2 for 2 at the distance. She picks up a red hot rider with Geroux and can be the major danger moving up the ladder. #3 Tempers Rising comes in for the Dallas Stewart barn with Julien Leparoux in the irons. Her third off the layoff, and exits an eventful G2 Rachel Alexandra where she was knocked around and bumped soundly at the break. Look for a late run as they turn for home.

Race #12 – The G2 Louisiana Derby – 1 3/16 – 5:49 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Enforceable / #13 – Silver Slate / #14 – Modernist

#10 – Enforceable is a son of Tapit for Mark Casse with Julien Leparoux in the irons. He is 2 for 2 ITM at FG and a long range closer. He was flat out rolling last out and should relish the added distance. #13 Silver Slate is a son of Hard Spun for Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santana in the irons. This is 3rd off the layoff and was a beaten favorite last out in the G2 Risen Star. I’m looking for a strong late kick as Santana wins 21% with his late runners. #14 Modernist is a son of Uncle Mo looking for his third straight win for trainer Bill Mott. Junior Alvarado in the saddle and is a stalker exiting a win in the G2 Risen Star.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – March 14

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – March 14, 2020

by: Ed Meyer

Oaklawn Park

Race #9 – The G-2 Azeri – 1 1/16 – 5:50 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Lady Apple / #5 – Serengeti Express / #2 – Mylady Curlin

#4 Lady Apple is a daughter of Curlin for the Steve Asmussen barn with Ricardo Santana in the irons. She is making her 2nd start of the year and exits off an impressive win in a G3 event at Sam Houston. She’s a horse for the course going 3 for 3 at OP and should get a perfect spot stalking the pace. Santana is winning 21% at the meet and wins 22% teaming up with Asmussen. #5 Serengeti Express comes in for the Thom Amoss barn with Joe Talamo aboard. She has blistering speed and should be very game when they turn for home. Lady Apple nailed her on the wire at Sam Houston last out where she was the beaten chalk. #2 Mylady Curlin exits the same Sam Houston event with the top two and was running late in the stretch for Brad Cox. She gets a new pilot in Joel Rosario and should get a solid stalking trip. This is her 2nd start of the year and her works have been sharp.

Race  #10 – The G-2 Rebel – 1 1/16 – 6:23 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Basin / #1 – Nadal / #6 – Three Technique

#3 Basin hails from the Steve Asmussen barn and has the services of Javier Castellano. This son of Liam’s Map is making his 1st start of the year and exits an impressive win in last year’s G1 Hopeful at Saratoga. His works have been sparkling and gets added distance this time out. Look for Javier to push the button before the quarter pole and be tough to catch down the lane. #1 Nadal is a son of Blame for Bob Baffert with Joel Rosario in the saddle. He gets Blinkers off and should be up close to the pace. His works are red hot and may be tough to handle making his 3rd start of 2020. #6 Three Technique takes the track for Jeremiah Englehart and Luis Saez in the driver’s seat. He’s a closing type and 1 for 1 ITM over the OP strip. Look for a late run around the far turn.

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Turfway Park

Race #11 – The G-3 Jeff Ruby Steaks – 1 1/8 – 6:42 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #11 – Invader / #9 – Austrian / #8 – Finnick the Fierce

#11 Invader exits a win in the $100,000 Battaglia over the track for trainer Wesley Ward. Albin Jimenez in the saddle and I’m looking for a close up trip under Jimenez who wins 17% with early style runners. Invader is 2 for 2 at TP and should be a major danger. #9 Austrian was a lackluster runner in 2019 and completely woke up in a maiden claiming win for Jose Fernadez. On paper, he’s a bit cheaper and makes a huge step in class. If his last race is any indication of his maturity he could light up the tote board and be a nice compliment to exotic wagers. Abel Lezcano has the call and will be moving at the leaders turning for home. #8 Finnick the Fierce ships in from FG for Rey Hernandez who is based at TP. This is his 3rd off the layoff move and last year he showed incredible closing power. If he decides to keep his mind on business he’ll be a player in the final furlong.

Santa Anita

Race #7 – The G-1 Beholder – 1 mile – 7:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Ollie’s Candy / #1 – Hard Not to Love / #3 – Zusha

#6 Ollie’s Candy hails from the John Sadler barn with Flavien Prat aboard. She’s a daughter of Candy Ride who was last seen in the BC Distaff finishing a dismal 4th. Jump ahead to 2020 and she’s been working lights out and Sadler is 46% ITM with long layoff runners. She’ll be a solid stalker and hit the gas turning for home. #1 Hard Not to Love comes in for trainer John Sherriffs and Mike Smith in the saddle. She draws the rail and can come motoring late on her favorite track where she is 6 for 6 ITM at SA. A major player in the field. #3 Zusha is a hard knocking daughter of Congrats for Gary Mandella and red rider, Umberto Rispoli. She’ll find a good place to stalk the speed and get in the game in the final stages.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – March 7

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – March 7

by: Ed Meyer for BetPTC.com, “Racing’s Best Kept Secret”

Santa Anita Race #4 – The G2 San Carlos – 7f – 4:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Roadster / #2 – Flagstaff / #1 – Manhattan Up

#3 Roadster is a son of Quality Road for Bob Baffert with Mike Smith. He was a beaten favorite in the G2 San Pasqual and cuts back in distance. He sports three sharp works and owns a 5 for 6 ITM record over the course. The cut back in distance with Smith aboard will have him rolling late in the lane. #2 Flagstaff comes from the John Sadler barn with Victor Espinoza in the irons. He is 6 for 6 ITM at SA and this son of Speightstown should jump right to the lead from the break. He hopped at the start last out as the beaten chalk and looks to make amends today. #1 Manhattan Up is a son of Street Sense and makes a big move up the class ladder. This is his 3rd off the layoff move and owns a 6 for 8 ITM record at SA. He loves 7f and should be a factor late.

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Race #5 – The G-1 Frank Kilroe Mile – 1 mile on the turf – 4:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Got Stormy / #4 – Next Shares / #8 – Frontier Market

#3 Got Stormy comes in for trainer Mark Casse and Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle. 2nd time off the layoff and the barn wins 18% as a beaten favorite from their last race. She has faced the boys’ plenty in her past and should not have any surprises here. Very solid contender. #4 Next Shares hails from the Richard Baltas barn with Flavien Prat aboard. He had a tough trip in the G1 Pegasus Turf and looks to rebound with a change of riders. He will make his presence felt when the field turns for home. #8 Frontier Market is a son of Lemon Drop Kid for trainer John Sadler and Joel Rosario up. He gets first time Blinkers where the barn wins 18% on the equipment move. He was off a bit slow last out and the equipment change may keep him focused on business. Add in a bullet work and I’m expecting big things today.

Race #8 – The G2 San Felipe – 1 1/16 – 6:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Thousand Words / #4 – Authentic / #6 – Storm the Court

#5 Thousand Words is a son of Pioneer of the Nile for Bob Baffet and Flavien Prat in the saddle. He’s a perfect 3 for 3 and 2 for 2 at Santa Anita. This is his 2nd off the shelf effort and the barn scores 31% off a last race win. Undefeated and solid works show readiness to move on to the next level. #4 Authentic comes in for Bob Baffert and Drayden Van Dyke. He’s a perfect stalker who should be right off the leader. Being undefeated in two starts and a bullet work are signs of good things to come. #6 Storm the Court comes from the barn of Peter Eurton and Joel Rosario in the driver’s seat. After winning the BC Juvenile last year this son of Court Vision is making his 2nd start off the layoff today. He should be forwardly placed and Rosario wins 27% with his early runners.

Race #10 – The G1 Santa Anita Handicap – 1 1/4 – 7:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Gift Box / #5 – Midcourt / #8 – Endorsed

#4 Gift Box comes in for John Sadler and Joel Rosario in the irons. He’s been away for two months and this son of Twirling Candy is 4 for 4 ITM at Santa Anita. With sharp morning works and a hot rider, I’m looking for a close up trip with Rosario aboard. #5 Midcourt hails from the John Shirreffs barn with Victor Espinoza getting the call. He is 5 for 6 ITM at SA and should get a perfect stalking trip. Espinoza is 58% ITM with early runners. #8 Endorsed comes in for Kiaran McLaughlin who will be retiring from training to become an agent. He has Drayden Van Dyke aboard and been off for 56 days. The barn scores 21% with shippers as they made the trip from Gulfstream. This son of Medaglia d’ Oro is a solid closer and the jock wins 29% with late runners.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – February 29

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – February 29

by: Ed Meyer

It’s Fountain of Youth Day.

Gulfstream Park Race #10 – The G2 Davona Dale – 1 mile – 3:59 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Tonalist / #6 – Spice and Nice / #7 – Bayerness

#6 Tonalist is a three year old filly by Tonalist for Saffie Joseph with Tyler Gaffalione. The barn is winning 28% and a perfect 3 for 3 at GP. She is 2nd off the layoff where they win 26% and has scored at the distance. She’ll come calling late in the lane. #6 Spice is Nice is a filly by Curlin for Todd Pletcher and John Velasquez. She’s been off 48 days and has some sharp works. She won impressively last out and looks to be running late. #7 Bayerness comes in off a perfect 2 for 2. Florent Geroux in the irons and she sports tactical speed. She ships in from CD and been off for three months. Look for a perfect stalking trip today.

 

Race #12 – The G2 Gulfstream Mile – 1 mile – 5:01 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Mr. Freeze / #3 – Phat Man / #2 – Haikal

#9 Mr. Freeze comes in for Dale Romans and Manny Franco in the irons. They are making their 2nd off the layoff move and gets Lasix again. He should improve going shorter today and should be right on the lead where Franco wins 20% with his speed runners. #3 Phat Man hails from the Kent Sweezy barn with Javier Castellano in the irons. He is making his 3rd off the layoff and  is 2 for 2 ITM at GP exiting a solid win in the G3 Hooper. He loves the distance and will come running late in the lane. #2 Haikal comes from the barn Kiaran McLaughlin with Rajiv Maragh in the irons. He’s been off for 55 days and sports some sparkling works. The come in from AQU and the barn scores 21% with shippers. Look for a late bid deep in the stretch.

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Race #13 – The G2 Mac Diarmida – 1 3/8 on the turf – 5:32 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Zulu Alpha / #4 – Sadler’s Joy / #7 – Admission Office

#6 Zulu Alpha is a son of Street Sense (IRE) for Mike Maker and Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle. He is 2nd off the layoff and the barn scores at a 21% win clip on this move. This late runner is 3 for 4 ITM at GP and is bred to love the turf. #4 Sadler’s Joy is a son of Kitten’s Joy for Thom Albertrani and Javier Castellano. He encountered a tough trip last out and gets Lasix again today. Castellano wins 21% with late runners and his dam Dynaire has 5 starters, 4 winners, and 4 turf winners to her credit. #7 Admission Office is a son of Point of Entry for Brian Lynch and Manny Franco in the saddle. He is 9 for 11 ITM on turf lifetime and is a late runner. The barn wins 17% with graded stakes runners.

Race #14 – The G-2 Fountain of Youth – 1 1/16 – 6:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Dennis’ Moment / #7 – Country Grammer / #11 – Ete Indien

#5 Dennis’ Moment is a son of Tiznow for Dale Romans and Flavien Prat in the saddle. He was a beaten chalk in the BC Juvenile and been on the shelf four months. A perfect stalker with solid works looks to come out flying from the break. #7 Country Grammer comes from the Chad Brown barn with Javier Castellano in the saddle. They win 29% as a team as this son of Tonalist has been on the shelf for 3 months. He’s moving up in class and Castellano wins 22% with early runners. #11 Ete Indien is a son of Summer Front for Patrick Biancone and Florent Geroux in the irons. 3rd time off the layoff and is 2 for 2 ITM at GP. Look for a speedy break right from the gate break.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – February 22

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – February 22 for www.betptc.com

by: Ed Meyer

Aqueduct

Race #8 – The Haynesfield – 1 mile – 4:50 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Mr. Buff / #2 – Syndergaard / #4 – I Love Jaxson

#1 Mr. Buff comes from the barn of John Kimmel with Junior Alvarado in the irons. He sports good early foot and Alvarado wins 21% with speed runners. He cuts back from a 9f and is 5 for 8 ITM going this distance. The rail, the rider, and early speed make him dangerous. #2 Syndergaard hails from the barn of John Terranova with Jose Lezcano in the saddle. He’s coming off a 9 month layoff and the barn scores with 22% off a long rest. There should be a solid stalking trip in his future with a record of 3 for 4 ITM at AQU he should be right in the mix turning for home. #4 I Love Jaxson comes in for Linda Rice with Eric Cancel in the driver’s seat. Rice is winning 22% at the meet and coming off a last race win where the barn scores at a 26% clip. He’s a deep closer and be motoring at the top of the lane.

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Gulfstream Park

Race #9 – The G3 World of Trouble Sprint – 6f – 4:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Lasting Legacy / #4 – Admiral Lynch / #6 – Fast Pass

#2 Lasting Legacy is a son of Tapizar for trainer Jason Servis. He comes off a two month layoff and will come rolling quickly when the real running begins. The barn wins 31% with sprinters and cuts back to a kinder distance. #4 Admiral Lynch is a son of Super Saver for the Jason Servis barn. He is 3 for 3 ITM at GP and ships in from Penn National. The barn scores with 34% with new surroundings and this colt should press the early pace. #6 Fast Pass is long range closer for the Peter Walder barn. He is 10 for 11 ITM at GP and exits a fast closing effort over the course. He’ll get into the mix in the final furlong.

Santa Anita

Race #5 – The G2 Buena Vista – 1 mile on the turf – 5:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Jolie Olimpica / #4 -Mucho Unusual / #3 – Muchly

#1 Jolie Olimpica is a daughter of Drosselmeyer for Richard Mandella. This is her 2nd off the layoff and stretches out to a route of distance for the first time. She is 1 for 1 at SA and gets second time Lasix. Mike Smith will try and keep her perfect 4 for 4 intact right on the pace. #4 Mucho Unusual comes from the barn of Tim Yakteen and is 4 for 4 ITM at SA. She’s been off for 56 days and drops in class with a cut back in distance. Joel Rosario in the irons and he wins with 18% of his late runners. Look for her at the top of the lane. #3 Muchly has the services of Umberto Rispoli and he is winning with 26% of his turf runners. She ships over from Lingfield (GB) and gets first time Lasix. She is 4 for 7 ITM on the turf. She’ll be running late in the lane for trainer Simon Callaghan.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – February 15th

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis / February 15th

by: Ed Meyer

Race #9 – The G3 Mineshaft – 1 1/16 – 5:01 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Silver Dust / #6 – Hofburg / #9 – Captivating Moon

#4 Silver Dust is a son of Tapit for Bret Calhoun wining 26% with Brian Hernandez. He is 6 for 7 ITM at FG and is a perfect stalker type. This is his 2nd off the layoff where the barn wins 18%. This rider trainer team win 31% together. Look for an up close trip looking for two in a row. #6 Hofburg comes in for Bill Mott and Joel Rosario. Been off 7 months from Saratoga and has been working lights out in the morning. This son of Tapit has tons of back class and owns some sparkling works coming in today. He fires fresh off the layoff and will be closing quick in the lane. #9 Captivating Moon is a son of Malibu Moon for Chris Block and Julien Leparoux. Makes the turf to dirt switch winning 21% on this move and 1 for 1 over the course. Leparoux picks up the mount and will be rolling late to grab a piece of the pie.

Race #10 – The G3 Fair Grounds Stakes – 1 1/8 on the turf – 5:32 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Synchrony / #5 – Don’t Blame Rocket / #12 – Midnight Tea Time

#2 Synchrony comes off a 4 month layoff for Michael Stidham and Joe Bravo. He’s a deep closer with works over the track. He’s 6 for 7 ITM at the distance and fires fresh off the shelf. #5 Don’t Blame Rocket is a son of Blame for Norm Casse and Julien Leparoux. He moves up the class ladder and is 11 for 13 ITM on the sod. He loves FG going 7 for 8 ITM and looks to make it four in a row. #12 Midnight Tea Time comes in for Joe Sharp who is 4 for 4 ITM at FG. The rider switch to high percentage Joel Rosario helps moving up the class ladder.

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Race #11 – The G2 Rachel Alexandra – 1 1/16 – 6:05 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Swiss Skydiver / #6 – British Idiom / #7 – Finite

#3 Swiss Skydiver is a daughter of Daredevil for trainer Ken McPeek. She goes from a sprint to a route and wins 23% on this move as her last race looked like a solid prep. She can come rolling off the pace and B.J. Hernandez winning 15% with his distance runners. Solid works and 2nd off make her dangerous. #6 British Idiom is a daughter of Flashback who’s a perfect 3 for 3 at FG exiting a three month layoff. She will stalk the pace under Javier Castellano. Her win in the G1 B/C Juvenile Fillies was sharp and should be the major danger. #7 Finite is a Steve Asmussen trainee with Ricardo Santana in the irons. She is 1 for 1 at FG seeking her fifth straight win. She’s been game at every level and Santana fits her like a glove. Keep in your exotics as she’s 6 for 6 ITM lifetime.

Race #12 – The G2 Risen Star – 1 1/8 – 6:38 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Silver Slate / #9 – Mr. Monomoy / #11 – Scabbard

#2 Silver Slate is a lightly raced colt by Hard Spun. He’s 3 for 3 ITM lifetime and ran a game race last out in the G-3 Lecomte after bobbling and getting knocked around. A solid closer who fits the rider winning 20% with his late runners. His dam Supreme has 4 starters, and 4 winners to her credit. #9 Mr. Monomoy is a son of Palace Malice who is 2 for 2 at FG. Florent Geroux in the irons and  made a good run in the G3 Lecomte. Trainer Brad Cox is winning 22% and has been red hot 7 for 9 ITM the past weeks. #11 Scabbard comes from the barn of Eddie Kenneally with Joel Rosario in the saddle. 2nd off the layoff winning 21% off that move and was forced to steady in the G3 Lecomte. He’s a closer and should relish the added ground as a beaten chalk last out.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – February 8

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis for Tampa Bay Downs – February 8th

by: Ed Meyer

Tampa Bay Downs

Race #8 – The G-3 Lambholm South Endeavor – 1 1/16 on the turf – 3:59 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Andina Del Sur / #7 – Got Stormy / #8 – Phantom Opening

#4 Andina Del Sur is a daughter of Giant’s Causeway for Thom Albertrani. She was outkicked in the G3 Marshua’s River at Gulfstream. She’s a strong closer who is 1 for 1 at Tampa Bay Downs. Jose Ortiz wins 18% with his turf runners and must be respected when making your wagers. #7 Got Stormy comes in off a two month layoff for Mark Casse and Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle. She’s been facing the boys and exits a solid win in the G1 Matriarch. Casse and Tyler G win 18% as a team and she’ll be flying late in the lane. #8 Phantom Opening comes in for Blair Jordan who is winning 38% at the meet with Antonio Gallardo in the irons. This is her 2nd off the shelf and Gallardo wins 25% with his turf closers.

Race #10 – G-3 Tampa Bay Stakes – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:59 pm EDT  

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Caribou Club / #7 – Hembree / #6 – Halladay

#4 Caribou Club  comes in for Thom Proctor with Jose Ortiz in the irons. He’s been off for three months and Proctor wins 18% with his shippers. He moves up in class and should improve with high percentage rider Ortiz. He is a perfect 2 for 2 at the distance. #7 Hembree  is a son of Proud Citizen for trainer Mike Maker and Pablo Morales. He’s coming off a five month layoff as a beaten favorite. Morales wins 26% with his late runners. #6 Halladay is a son of War Front for Todd Pletcher who is winning 67% at the meet. John Velasquez in the irons and exits a solid win at GP. Look for Johnny V to have him in a perfect stalking position.

Race #11 – The G-3 Sam F. Davis – 1 1/16 – 5:29 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Independence Hall / #6 – Premier Star / #2 – Solo Valante

#4 Indepence Hall is a son of Constitution for Mike Trombetta and Jose Ortiz in the saddle. He’s a perfect 3 for 3 with a bullet work coming into the race. Look for Ortiz to have this colt stalking the leader ready to pounce. #6 Premier Star  comes in for Jorge Navarro with John Velasquez in the driver’s seat. He stretches out from 7f and owns a perfect 2 for 2. Navarro wins 31% with shippers and makes a jump up the class ladder for a red hot barn. #2 Solo Valante is a long range closer for Patrick Biancone and Luca Panici gets the nod. His works are sparkling and his return to the turf may what the doctor ordered. Look for him late in the lane.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – February 1

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis / February 1st

By: Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #8 – The G3 Sweetest Chant – 1 mile on turf – 3:34 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – She’s My Type / #7 – Moral Reasoning / #1 – Sunset Promise

#3 She’s My Type has Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle for Christophe Clement. She is 2 for 2 at GP and owns a sharp morning work coming into the races. She gets 2nd Lasix and the barn wins 18% on the medication move. She’ll come running late for Tyler G who looks to keep her record rolling. #7 Moral Reasoning is a daughter of More Than Ready for Chad Brown and Javier Castellano in the saddle. She’s a solid closer and gets added distance where Team Brown wins 32% moving to a route of ground. #1 Sunset Promise comes in for Mike Maker and Irad Ortiz. She is 3 for 4 ITM at GP and was bumped hard in her last effort managing a 4th place effort. The rider and trainer have been red hot the past couple of weeks.

 

Race #9 – The G3 Swale – 7f – 4:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Green Light Go / #2 – Untitled / #5 – Shivaree

#4 Green Light Go is a son of Hard Spun for James Jerkins and Javier Castellano. The barn comes in from Belmont running 2nd in the G1 Champagne. He cuts back in distance and drops down in class off a three month layoff. #2 Untitled comes in for Mark Casse off a 49 day layoff. He is 1 for 1 at GP and the Florida bred comes off an ultra impressive maiden win scoring by 11 lengths. He gets a rider change to Jose Ortiz who wins 19% with sprinters. #5 Shivaree comes in for Ralph Nicks winning 23% at the meet. Emisael Jaramillo in the irons seeking his 4th straight win looking for a stalking trip.

 

Race #11 – The G3 Holy Bull – 1 1/16 – 5:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Toledo / #3 – Tiz the Law / #4 – Ete Indian

#1 Toledo comes in for the always dangerous connections of Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. His last race was a solid prep encountering traffic and still managing a 2nd place finish. This is his 2nd route race and the barn scores 41% on the distance switch.  #3 Tiz the Law is a son of Constitution who is 3 for 3 lifetime for Barclay Tagg. Manny Franco in the irons and they exit the G2 Ky. Jockey Club at CD after getting bottled up in traffic. A two month layoff accompanied by a bullet work makes this New York bred attractive. #4 Ete Indian comes in for Patrick Biancone with Luca Panici in the saddle. Since moving from the turf he showed great interest in the main track. He moves up in class and owns a solid work in preparation.

 

Santa Anita

Race #7 – The G2 San Marcos – 1 1/4 on the turf – 6:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – United / #7 – Oscar Dominguez / #2 – Cleopatra’s Strike

#4 United goes to post for Richard Mandella and Flavien Prat. He comes off a two month layoff and is 4 for 6 ITM at SA. He sports some sparkling works and should be a strong closer in the lane. #7 Oscar Dominguez is a son of Zoffany (IRE) for Ricard Baltas and Joel Rosario. He’s returning off a two month layoff adding Blinkers today. Look for Rosario to come calling late in the lane. #2 Cleopatra’s Strike is in for Phillip D’Amato and Abel Cedillo. He is 3 for 3 ITM at SA and makes his 3rd off move where the barn wins 19%. He just missed last out and looks to turn the tables.

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Race #8 – The G2 San Pasqual – 1 1/8 – 7:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Roadster / #5 – Midcourt / #3 – Restrainedvengence

#1 Roadster is a son of Quality Road for the Bob Baffert barn with Joel Rosario in the irons. He is 5 for 5 ITM at SA and exits a good effort in the G1 Malibu. Look for a late move as they turn for home. #5 Midcourt is a son of Midnight Lute with Victor Espinoza aboard. He adds Blinkers and a sharp work. Espinoza had a tough race last out and looks to seal the deal today. #3 Restrainedvengence is a speedster shipping in from Zia Park. Abel Cedillo wins 24% with early speed runners.