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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – August 8th Travers Day

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – August 8, 2020

by: Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #7 – The G-1 Ballerina – 7f – 3:42 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Pink Sands / #1 – Serengeti Empress / #4 – Bellafina

#6 Pink Sands is a daughter of Tapit for Shug McGaughey with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. She cuts back to 7f where she’s 6 for 8 ITM and sports a sharp work coming into the race. She’s a strong closer with a good late punch as Ortiz wins 22% with late runners. #1 Serengeti Empress comes in for Thom Amoss and Luis Saez aboard. She turns back from 9f and the barn wins 27% making a 2nd off the layoff run. She may improve at the shorter distance. #4 Bellafina is a daughter of Quality Road for Simon Callaghan has been knocking on the door and can make a solid late move. Jose Ortiz in the saddle and is winning 20% at the meet.

Race #10 – The G-1 Test – 7f – 5:39 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Gamine / #6 – Venetian Harbor / #2 – Perfect Alibi

#5 Gamine is a daughter of Into Mischief for Bob Baffert and John Velasquez in the irons. She’s a perfect 3 for 3 lifetime and sports a good turn of early speed. She won the G1 Acorn by 18 lengths and shows a bullet work to prepare. Very dangerous and the one to beat. #6 Venetian Harbor is a daughter of Munnings for Richard Baltas with Joel Rosario aboard. She’s been a beaten chalk the last two efforts and has very sharp speed. Cuts back in distance and should be a major player. #2 Perfect Alibi comes in for Mark Casse and Tyler Gaffalione. She’s a closer and exits the G1 Belmont off a very wide closing effort. She is a perfect 2 for 2 at the Spa.

Race #11 – The G-1 Travers – 1 1/4 – 6:15 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Tiz the Law / #4 – Max Player / #3 – Uncle Chuck

#6 Tiz the Law is a son of Constitution seeking his 4th straight win. He’s a perfect stalker and a versatile sort who makes his own luck for Barclay Tagg and Manny Franco. He is 1 for 1 at the Spa and only been beaten by three quarters for a perfect record. He’s been off for 49 days and has a solid work tab. Very dangerous. #4 Max Player is a son of Honor Code for Linda Rice and Joel Rosario. A late runner who will come calling when the pace allows. He was 7 wide closing against the favorite last out. The distance should help his causes greatly. #3 Uncle Chuck is a son of Uncle Mo for Bob Baffert and Luis Saez. He’s 2 for 2 and a dangerous pace player. His victory in the G3 Los Al Derby was strong but only faced three others. Today is his acid test.

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – August 1

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – August 1, 2020

by: Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #5 – The G-1 Personal Ensign – 1 1/8 – 3:28 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Midnight Bisou / #6 – Point of Honor / #1 – Abounding Joy

#3 Midnight Bisou is a daughter of Midnight Lute and hails from the Steve Asmussen barn. She is 3 for 3 ITM at the Spa and makes her 2nd start off a layoff where she stalked and pounced at CD in the G3 Fleur De Lis. Ricardo Santana in the irons and they score 15% as a team. She is perfect ITM at the distance and should be the one to beat. #6 Point of Honor comes from the George Weaver barn with Javier Castellano in the saddle. She is 2 for 2 ITM at Saratoga and is a long range closer. Her last race in the G1 Ogden Phipps just missed by a nose as the beaten chalk. #1 Abounding Joy is a daughter of Quality Road for Rudy Brisset. Jose Ortiz has the call and she is a perfect stalker drawing the rail where it is winning at 30%. Exits a strong effort winning the Iowa Distaff as she steps up in class today.

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Race #9 – The G-1 Whitney – 1 1/8 – 5:42 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 Code of Honor / #5 – Tom’s d’ Etat / #1 – By My Standards

#3 Code of Honor is a son of Noble Mission for Shug McGaughey with John Velasquez in the irons. He is 2 for 2 at the Spa with wins and a closing type. Johnny V wins with 20% of this type of runner, and his race in the G1 Metropolitan was a strong effort finishing third. It appeared he had more in the tank and should enjoy the extra eighth of a mile to run. #5 Tom’s d’ Etat hails from the Al Stall barn and has Joel Rosario in the irons 2nd off the layoff. He is 3 for 4 ITM at the Spa, ands seeks his fifth straight win. This son of Smart Strike is 7 for 9 ITM at the distance and a stalker. #1 By My Standards is a son of Goldencents for Bret Calhoun and Jose Ortiz. This is a 2nd off the layoff move drawing the rail where it is winning 30%. He’s had a good record this year and a logical choice to complete your exotics.

Race #10 – The G-1 H.A. Jerkins – 7f – 6:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – No Parole / #5 Mischievous Alex / #2 – Eight Rings

#6 No Parole is a speedy son of Violence for Thom Amoss and Luis Saez. This is his 2nd off the layoff and seeks his third win in a row. He’s a speedy fella and owns a bullet work to prepare. Catch him if you can. #5 Mischievous Alex is a stalker for John Servis and Irad Ortiz. He can lay just off the pace or take the lead if needed. He is 6 for 8 ITM lifetime. #2 Eight Rings comes from the Bob Baffert barn with Joel Rosario in the irons. This son of Empire Maker has speed and ships in from OP. This is 2nd start of the year and I’m looking for major improvement from his last race.

Race #11 – The G-2 Bowling Green – 1 3/8 on the turf – 6:50 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Sadler’s Joy / #1 – Marzo / #2 – Cross Border

#6 Sadler’s Joy comes in for Thom Albertrani and Javier Castellano. This son of Kitten’s Joy is 5 for 8 ITM over the course and is bred to love the turf. This is his 2nd start of the year and a fast closer. If there is any pace he’ll be rolling like a down bound train. #1 Marzo is a speedy sort for Mike Maker and Irad Ortiz in the saddle. The rail is winning at 30% and Ortiz wins 23% with his early style runners. #2 Cross Border hails from the Mike Maker barn with Jose Ortiz in the irons. A stalker who benefit from the early pace and move into contention before the late runners hit full stride. He’s won at the meet and is 4 for 4 with wins over the course. Major player for exotics.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – July 25

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Del Mar and Saratoga Stakes

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – July 25

by: Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #3 – The G-2 Ballston Spa – 1 1/16 on the turf – 2:18 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Sistercharlie / #6 – Starship Jubilee / #1 – Call Me Love

#5 Sistercharlie hails from the Chad Brown barn and is 2 for 2 at Saratoga. She’s a solid late runner who has been on the shelf for 8 months. Her last race was the BC FM Turf and she finished a big 3rd. She loves the distance and Johnny V fits like a glove. This looks like the kickoff for 2020. #6 Starship Jubilee has been away for 4 months from TBD. Kevin Attard is the trainer with Javier Castellano in the irons. She’s looking for 4 in a row and looks to make her presence felt stalking just off the pace. #1 Call Me Love goes to post for Christophe Clement and cuts back from 10f and bred to relish the green. Her work is cut out today, but can easily be a player in the field.

 

Race #10 – The G-1 Vanderbilt – 6f – 6:16 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Volatile / #2 – Whitmore / #3 – Firenze Fire

#4 Volatile enters for Steve Asmussen and his go to rider Ricardo Santana. They are looking for four in a row off a 49 day layoff. He should stalk the pace and pounce when asked. His last race at CD was very impressive and it is time to take his skills to the Spa. #2 Whitmore hails from the Moquett barn with Joel Rosario in the irons. A long range closer who will need plenty of early speed to have him in top gear turning for home. He is 1 for 1 at the Spa and exits OP where the competition was tip top this season. #3 Firenze Fire enters for Kelly Breen and Irad Ortiz in the saddle. The perfect stalker who fits the field well. His victory in the G2 True North was a great prep turning back in distance.

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Del Mar

Race #9 – The G-2 San Clemente – 1 mile on the turf – 9:00 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – She’s So Special / #3 – Laura’s Light / #4 – Over Attracted

#1 She’s So Special comes from the Peter Miller barn with Flavien Prat in the driver’s seat. She goes from a sprint to a route and will jet out for the lead. Prat wins 27% with his early runners and draws the rail. She’s been off 49 days off a last race win where the barn scores at a 25% clip. #3 Laura’s Light is a daughter of Constitution coming off a 56 day break. She is 5 for 6 ITM lifetime and should be right on the lead under Abel Cedillo who wins with 21% of his speed runners. #4 Over Attracted enters for Carla Gaines and Mike Smith in the saddle. She’ll come running late, and since shipping over from France in March has a fast closing 2nd and some very good works. I think she’ll be a major danger in here.

 

Race #10 – The G-2 San Diego – 1 1/16 – 9:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Maximum Security / #1 – Higher Power / #4 – Combatant

#5 Maximum Security comes in for Bob Baffert and Abel Cedillo picking up the mount. He exits a big win in the Saudi Cup and been off 4 months. He’s a gamer and will jump right to the lead. Baffert will want to keep him out of trouble and Cedillo wins 22% with his speed runners. The one to beat. #1 Higher Power enters in for John Sadler and Flavien Prat in the irons. Backs up from 10f and is one for one at DM. Draws the rail and can be a dangerous foe if Maximum Security runs into any problems. He should be a player in your exotics. #4 Combatant  is a long range closer for John Sadler and Drayden Van Dyke. Exits the G2 Oaklawn Hcp and had a tough trip. He’ll come calling late, and could be a nice addition to your exotics.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – July 18th Saratoga and Monmouth coverage

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – July 18

by: Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #3 – The G-2 Hall Of Fame – 1 1/8 on the turf – 2:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Decorated Invader / #5 – Gufo / #1 – Domestic Spending

#7 Decorated Invader hails from the Christophe Clement barn and is 2 for 2 ITM at Saratoga. 2nd start off the layoff looking for three in a row. Joel Rosario is the pilot for this closer and he wins 18% with late runners. His last race showed good things to come and should be a major player. #5 Gufo ships in from Delaware and is seeking his 5th straight win. He relishes the turf and should be rolling from the back under David Cohen for Clement. The barn scores at a 20% win clip making the 2nd off the shelf move. #1 Domestic Spending is a lightly raced colt from the Chad Brown barn. He had a nice mid pack stalking win at CD and should be closer to the front waiting to pounce. This is a step up in class and the barn wins 29% off a last race win.

Race #10 – The G-1 CCA Oaks – 1 1/8 – 6:16 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Tonalist’s Shape / #6 – Paris Lights / #3 – Altaf

#1 – Tonalist’s Shape comes in for Saffie  Joseph and get blinkers on today where they win 26% on the equipment change. He owns a sharp work and wins 31% off a last race win. Look for this stalker to get in the game at the top of the stretch. Irad Ortiz is the pilot. #6 Paris Lights is a daughter of Curlin for Bill Mott. She looks for her 3rd straight win and Mott wins 13% with graded runners. She’s a stalker and Tyler Gaffalione is in the saddle. #3 Altaf is a closer from the Chad Brown barn. She exits off a strong win at CD and the barn wins 30% with shippers. She steps up in class getting the acid test.

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Monmouth Park

The G-1 United Nations – 1 3/8 on the turf – 5:10 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Arklow / #3 – Muggsamatic / #5 – Aquaphobic

#1 Arklow hails from the Brad Cox barn and makes his 3rd off the layoff move where the barn wins 30%. He is 2 for 2 ITM at the distance and will come calling late under Mike Smith. He is eligible to improve in his 3rd off the shelf move. #3 Muggsamatic makes his 2nd off the layoff for Mike Maker. He is 5 for 7 ITM over the course and comes rolling from the back of the pack. Paco Lopez in the irons and he wins 19% with his turf runners. #5 Aquaphobic comes from the Mike Maker barn with Joe Bravo aboard. This is his 3rd off the layoff move and ran a solid 4th in the G2 Wise Dan. He’s a pressing type runner and will make a move around the far turn.

Race #12 – The G-1 Haskell – 1 1/8 – 5:46 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Authentic / #1 – Dr. Post / #7 – NY Traffic

#2 Authentic hails from the Baffert barn and has Mike Smith aboard. A real speedy colt who can put out their lights early oif left alone on the lead. Baffert has won this race eight times and looks the one to beat. Catch him if you’re gonna beat him. #1 Dr. Post is a solid closer type for Todd Pletcher and Joe Bravo in the saddle. If the pace is solid, he may be the one to play the role of the spoiler. 2nd time off the shelf and has a sharp work coming into the race. That was a very good race running 2nd to Tiz the law last out in the G-1 Belmont Stakes. #7 NY Traffic is a speedy type runner for Saffie Joseph with Paco Lopez in the driver’s seat. He can break quickly as Lopez wins 25% with early style runners. If the favorite doesn’t break well this guy may do the heavy lifting.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – July 11

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – July 11

by: Ed Meyer

Keeneland

Race #5 – The G1 Madison – 7f – 3:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Guarana / #4 – Princess Causeway / #7 – Mia Mischief

#5 Guarana is a daughter of Ghostzapper and makes her 2nd start of the year. She hails from the Chad Brown barn with Jose Ortiz in the irons. She is 1 for 1 at 7f, and a closeup stalker. Her last prep was perfect and the barn wins 28% off the last race win. #4 Princess Causeway enters for Ian Wilkes and Julien Leparoux in the saddle. She is perfect at the distance and over the KEE strip as a late runner. She goes from 6f to 7f and lightly raced. Toss out her last race and she’s a player today. I like the 2nd off the layoff move and sharp works coming into the race. #7 Mia Mischief is 2 for 2 ITM at KEE for Steve Asmussen and his go to rider Ricardo Santana in the saddle. She’s a stalker and should be just off the pace. The added distance should have her closer and Santana wins 17% with early runners.

Race #6 – The G2 Shakertown – 5 1/2 f on turf – 3:51 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 Texas Wedge / #2 – Wildman Jack / #10 – Totally Boss

#9 Texas Wedge comes from the barn of Peter Miller with Flavien Prat in the saddle. This is his 3rd off the layoff and was a fast closing 2nd at KEE in the past. He is a late runner and may relish the distance where he is 6 for 8 ITM. #2 Wildman Jack is a son of Goldencents and comes from the Doug O’Neill barn with Mike Smith in the irons. After coming back from Dubai he rallied just off the pace and won the G3 Daytona. He looks prepped and ready and 6 for 6 ITM at the distance. #10 Totally Boss comes in for Rusty Arnold off a troubled trip at CD. It was his first start since the BC Turf Sprint and had to be taken up after the break. His works are solid and the trainer wins 27% on a 2nd out effort.

Race #7 – The G1 Ashland – 1 1/16 – 4:24 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Venetian Harbor / #4 – Envoutante / #3 – Bonny South

#2 Venetian Harbor is a speedy filly for Richard Baltas and Joel Rosario in the saddle. She was a beaten chalk last out and the barn wins 29% getting payback. She is 4 for 4 ITM lifetime and should be the major danger on the lead. #4 Envoutante is a mid flight stalker for Kenny McPeek with Jose Ortiz aboard. Ortiz is an excellent speed rider and wins 20% with runners who break quickly. The daughter of Uncle Mo is coming off a good prep and has some sharp works. #3 Bonny South is a late runner from the Brad Cox barn. John Velasquez has the call and wins 20% with late runners. She exits off a win in the G2 FG Oaks and will come calling late in the lane.

Race #8 – The G1 Jenny Wiley – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:57 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Rushing Fall / #6 – Jolie Olimpica / #8 – Toinette

#4 Rushing Fall is a daughter of More Than Ready for Chad Brown and Javier Castellano in the irons. She loves KEE going 4 for 5 ITM lifetime and is 4 for 4 ITM at the distance. She should sit mid pack and takeoff quickly turning for home. #6 Jolie Olimpica hails from the Richard Baltas barn with Mike Smith aboard. She’s a stalker shipping in from California off a win in the G2 Monrovia. Her lifetime record is 6 for 6 ITM and should be right on the pace from the gate break. #8 Toinette is the daughter of Scat Daddy for Neil Drysdale. Flavien Prat in the driver’s seat, and should stalk the leaders and turn up the heat when they turn for home. Prat wins 28% with his turf runners.

Race #9 – The G2 Bluegrass – 1 1/8 – 5:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Swiss Skydiver / #3 – Art Collector / #8 – Basin

#3 Swiss Skydiver hails from the Ken McPeek barn with Mike Smith in the saddle. She has a sharp speed and Smith is an artist winning 25% with early style runners. She exits off a sharp win in the G2 SA Oaks and should be the pace danger. #3 Art Collector comes from the Thom Drury barn with B.J. Hernandez in the driver’s seat. This son of Bernardini is a mid pack closer and Hernandez wins 44% with Drury. Since shifting over from the turf he’s been a new runner. Drury is on the rise and is winning 19% on the year. #8 Basin is a son of Liam’s Map for Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santana aboard. He comes off a solid 2nd in the G1 Arkansas Derby and should chase the pace and pounce.

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – July 4

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – July 4

by: Ed Meyer

Belmont Park

Race #9 – The G1 Metropolitan – 1 mile – 5:47 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2- Vekoma / #3 – McKinzie / #4 – Hog Creek Hustle

#2 Vekoma hails from the barn of George Weaver with Javier Castellano in the saddle. This is his 2nd off the layoff and the barn scores at a 22% win clip. A perfect stalker who is 2 for 2 at Belmont and fits the distance nicely. This son of Candy Ride looks the major danger and should give a top effort. #3 McKinzie comes from the barn of Bob Baffert and has the same style as Vekoma. He ships in from SA where the barn wins at a 32% clip. When Team Baffert comes to New York there is usually a good reason. This son of Street Sense is solid and brings his top game every time. These two should knock heads turning for home. #4 Hog Creek Hustle makes a 3rd off the shelf move for Vickie Foley. A solid closer who is 1 for 1 at Belmont and gets a rider change to Jose Ortiz. His last win came in the G1 Woody Stephens at Belmont last year at a big price.

Race #10 – The G1 Manhattan – 1 1/4 on the turf – 6:20 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Rockemporer / #1 – Instilled Regard / #4 Sadler’s Joy

#2 Rockemporer ships in from SA as a beaten chalk in the G2 Charlie Whittingham. This son of Holy Roman Emporer (IRE) is a solid closer who is 3 for 4 ITM at the distance. Johnny V in the saddle for Chad Brown and he came rolling on the inner turf last year at this time. #1 Instilled Regard hails from the Chad Brown barn with Irad Ortiz. They are winning at a 36% clip as a team. He is 1 for 1 at Belmont and appears to enjoy the inner turf and could be a player as they turn for home. #4 Sadler’s Joy makes a 2nd off the shelf move for Thom Albertrani. They cut back in distance and Javier Castellano knows this son of Kitten’s Joy, and will be moving at the right time. I love the bullet work coming in showing all systems go.

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Race #11 – The G2 Suburban – 1 1/4 – 6:51 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Tacitus / #6 – Sir Winston / #4 – Mr. Buff

#1 Tacitus ships in from Oaklawn Park off a troubled trip getting carried wide for trainer Bill Mott. He’s been off for 2 months and John Velasquez is the pilot. The last race looked like a perfect prep stretching back out to 9f. A stalker with a bullet work and getting blinkers today. #6 Sir Winston comes in for trainer Mark Casse and Joel Rosario. This son of Awesome Again is 3 for 3 ITM at Belmont and should come calling late. Has plenty of back class and can be dangerous. #4 Mr. Buff enters in for John Kimmel and has tons of early speed. Junior Alvarado in the irons who can shake loose and be dangerous if left alone. This New York bred is a solid and 9 for 13 ITM over the course. He was a beaten chalk last out and the barn comes back to score 16%.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – June 27

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Stephen Foster night at Churchill Downs

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – June 27

by: Ed Meyer

Belmont Park

Race #8 – The G2 New York – 1 1/4 on the turf – 5:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Mrs Sippy / #7 – Mean Mary / #1 – Call Me Love

#6 Mrs Sippy closing daughter of Blame for Graham Motion and Joel Rosario. She’s been off for 7 months and comes back with some solid works ready to fire. She drops in class and Rosario wins 17% with his turf runners. Look for her late in the lane running quick. #7 Mean Mary is  speedy gal who hails from the Motion barn as well. She may play the part of the rabbit, or just take them start to finish under Luis Saez who wins 19% with speedy runners. #1 Call Me Love is a closer for the Christopher Clement going 2nd start off the layoff where they score 20% off this move with Irad Ortiz in the irons.

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Race #9 – The G2 True North – 6 1/2f – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Firenze Fire / #7 – Promises Fulfilled / #3 – Wicked Trick

#8 Firenze Fire is a solid stalker for Kelly Breen and Irad Ortiz. This is 2nd off the shelf and the barn scores 18% coming back ready. That was a better race in the G1 Carter than appears and he got good work that day. Ortiz wins 25% with sprinters and is 4 for 6 ITM over the course. #7 Promises Fulfilled is a speed gunning type for Dale Romans and Luis Saez in the saddle. Saez wins 21% with early runners and has some good works over the deep CD track. #3 Wicked Trick is a long range closer for Linda Rice and Jose Lezcano who have done good work over the years.

Race #10 – The G1 Just A Game – 1 mile on the turf – 6:08 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Uni / #4 – Newspaperofrecord / #1 – Beau Recall

#6 Uni hails from the Chad Brown barn and is a long range closer with Joel Rosario in the irons. Been off for 7 months and comes flying late in the lane every time. She is 4 for 4 ITM at Belmont and will be double dangerous today. #4 Newspaperofrecord is an early runner who can be a true monster when she brings her best game. Her last win was impressive going 7f and the added distance will be welcome as Irad Ortiz wins 36% with Brown and 26% with early runners. #1Beau Recall is a very impressive closer from the Brad Cox barn with Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. She loves to come calling late in the lane and has some solid works to have her ready. Ortiz teams up to win 20% with Cox and will be the major danger in the lane.

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Churchill Downs

Race #9 – The G2 Fleur de Lis – 1 1/8 – 5:15 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 -Midnight Bisou / #4 – Serengeti Empress / #7 – Motion Emotion

#5 Midnight Bisou is a late runner for Steve Asmussen and Mike Smith in the saddle. She is 2 for 2 ITM at CD and comes in with some good works. She loves the distance going 6 for 6 ITM  and will be a major factor when they turn for home. She is the one to beast and Smith in town is a positive sign. #4 Serengeti Empress is a speedy gal who exits the G1 Apple Blossom at OP. Thom Amoss is winning 20% at the meet, and Joe Talamo has the call. She will dictate the pace when the real running begins and may run into one tough gal with Midnight Bisou. If she doesn’t bring her best, Serengeti will take flight down the lane. #7 Motion Emotion is a mid pack stalker for Richard Baltas shipping in from OP. She’ll press the pace and try and play the spoiler role if all falls apart.

Race #10 – The G2 Stephen Foster – 1 1/8 – 5:47 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5- Tom’s d’ Etat / #6 – By My Standards / #2 – Pirate’s Punch

#5 Tom’s d’ Etat should lay just off the pace for Al Stall and Miguel Mena. He looks to go four in a row. He is 6 for 7 ITM at CD and will be double tough to beat. They move up in class and the trainer wins 25% off  a last race win. #6 By My Standards will be running right with Tom for Bret Calhoun and Gabe Saez. This son of Goldencents  exits off an impressive win at OP and seeks his fourth straight win as well. Been off for 56 days and has a few very nice works to prepare. #2 Pirate’s Punch is a stalker for Grant Foster looking to play the upset runner in here. Mike Smith aboard is interesting, and may be a little closer to the front right off the gate.

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Horse Racing Belmont Stakes Day Analysis – June 20

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – June 20 – Belmont Day

by: Ed Meyer

Belmont Park

Race #8 – The G1 Acorn Stakes – 1 mile – 4:15 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections: #4 – Casual / #1 – Gamine / #7 – Perfect Alibi

#4 Casual is a daughter of Curlin who’s a perfect 2 for 2 lifetime shipping in from CD. Steve Asmussen is the conditioner with his go-to rider, Ricardo Santana, in the saddle. She stretches out in distance from 7f and moves up in class getting the acid test. If her two races show anything she’ll be in mid flight ready to pounce. Her dam Lady Tak has 6 starters and 5 winners to her credit. #1 Gamine is also a perfect 2 for 2 coming in for Bob Baffert and John Velasquez in the irons. She’s a speedy type and has solid regular works. She’s been off 49 days and could be dangerous with the rail draw. #7 Perfect Alibi is a long range closer for Mark Casse and Irad Ortiz. She’s been off since the BC Juvenile Fillies and looks to relish the distance. Her dam No Use Denying has 5 starts and 5 wins to her credit. With a solid pace, she’ll come calling around the far turn under Ortiz.cash is king at betptc

Race #9 – The G1 Jaipur – 6f – Inner Turf – 4:53 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Pure Sensation / #5 – Stubbins / #3 – Texas Wedge

#4 Pure Sensation is a quick runner hailing from the Christophe Clement barn with Irad Ortiz. He ships in from SA from the BC Turf Sprint. He is 4 for 5 ITM at BEL and is 4 for 5 ITM at the distance. His style is pure speed getting added distance from 5f. Clement wins 19% with turf runners, and 15% with graded stakes. #5 Stubbins comes from the Doug O’Neill barn with Luis Saez getting the call. He’s been knocking on the door his last two efforts and gets six panels to come rolling. Saez wins 20% with his turf runners and 19% with closers. #3 Texas Wedge is a solid late runner from the Peter Miller barn with Javier Castellano in the driver’s seat. This son of Colonel John always comes running and the extra half furlong should help his causes greatly.

Race #10 – The G1 Belmont Stakes – 1 1/8 – 5:42 pm EDT 

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Tiz the Law / #2 – Solo Valante / #5 – Farmington Road

#8 Tiz the Law is a son of Constitution for Barclay Tagg and Manny Franco. His last win was the G1 Florida Derby two months ago and has been vacationing at Palm Meadows with a few works over the track. He has a stalking style and this could be Tagg’s next big horse. His record is 5 for 5 ITM lifetime and looks like a new penny. #2 Solo Valante hails from the Patrick Biancone barn. A strong closer with Luca Panici aboard had a solid prep at TBD winning easily. He comes from way back and the rider fits him like a glove. #5 Farmington Road is a son of Quality Road for the Todd Pletcher barn with Javier Castellano in the saddle. The Todd Squad is having a great meet winning 28%, and his runner comes off a 49 day layoff since the G1 Arkansas Derby. He will be a good price and will come running late in the lane. He may be the perfect complement to your exotics or be the one who could upset the apple cart and light up the tote board.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – June 13

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – June 13

by: Ed Meyer

Belmont Race #9 – The G-1 Ogden Phipps – 1 1/16 – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Point of Honor / #1 – Pink Sands / #5 – Ollie’s Candy

#2 Point of Honor comes from the George Weaver barn with Javier Castellano in the irons. The barn is winning 29% at the meet and exits the G1 Apple Blossom at OP where she was caught six wide in the stretch. Been off for 56 days and has faced tougher in the past. This daughter of Curlin is a strong closer and Javier wins 19% with this type of runner. #1 Pink Sands is a daughter of Tapit for the Shug McGaughey barn with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. Four months on the shelf and has a 5 for 5 ITM record over the track. Stretches out from 7f and looks for three straight wins. Should be sitting mid pack ready to pounce. #5 Ollie’s Candy is a daughter of Candy Ride who has been away for 56 days for trainer John Sadler and Joel Rosario. She is 4 for 4 ITM at the distance, and her style is right off the pace. Rosario wins 20% with pressing types.

Churchill Downs

Race #11 – The G3 Louisville Stakes – 1 1/2 on the turf – 6:28 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #12 – Admission Office / #5 – Arklow / #4 – He’s No Lemon

#12 Admission Office is a son of Point of Entry for Brian Lynch and Julien Leparoux. 2nd time off the layoff and 2 for 2 ITM at CD. Leparoux wins 14% with late runners and the barn wins 16% with graded stakes. Look for a strong late bid. #5 Arklow hails from the Brad Cox barn with Florent Geroux in the driver’s seat. This son of Arch ships in from GP and the barn wins 21% with new arrivals. Geroux wins 19% with closers and 22% teaming up with Brad Cox. The one to beat. #4 He’s No Lemon comes from Graham Motion barn with Rafael Bejarano in the saddle. He’s coming off an 8 month layoff from Laurel. Has a good late punch and a strong finisher.

Golden Gate

Race #7 – The $75,000 Alcatraz Stakes – 1 mile on the turf – 6:15 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Indian Peak / #5 – Kanderal / #2 – Mylittlerunaway

#7 Indian Peak is a son of Comic Strip and his dam Ms. Booty has 7 starters, 7 winners, and 6 turf winners to her credit. 2nd off, and owns a sharp work for this closer. Looks ready to roll late in the lane. #5 Kanderal hails from the Richard Mandella barn with Juan Hernadez in the saddle. He wins 24% on the turf and Mandella brings this late runner to the race with a strong rider switch who is winning 30% at the meet. #2 Mylittlerunaway is a daughter of Run Away and Hide with Juan Espinoza in the driver’s seat. She is looking for three in a row and has blazing speed. Espinoza wins 14% with runners who sport early speed.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – June 6

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – June 6

by: Ed Meyer

Belmont Park

Race #6 – The G2 Fort Marcy – 1 1/8 on the turf – 3:59 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Flop Shot / #7 – Devamani / #8 – Social Paranoia

#4 Flop Shot hails from the barn of Chad Brown with Javier Castellano in the irons. He gets first time Lasix and comes in nine months off the shelf. He ships over from France where Brown wins 30% with overseas runners making the move, and 5 for 5 ITM on the sod. He cuts back in distance, and his dam Dancequest (IRE)  has 2 starters, 2 winners, and 2 turf winners to her credit. #7 Devamani comes from the Chad Brown barn with Joel Rosario in the saddle. He’s a strong closer and just missed at Tampa Bay getting added distance to run today. He’s had a three month layoff and the barn scores at a 30% win clip with rested runners. #8 Social Paranoia goes to post for Todd Pletcher and Manny Franco in the driver’s seat. 3rd off the shelf yields a 22% win rate and he’s 3 for 3 ITM at Belmont. Franco should have him in mid pack ready to strike. He is on an upward move and deserves a solid look.

Race #7 – The G3 Westchester – 1 1/16 – 4:32 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Code of Honor / #4 – Payne / #1 – Endorsed

#9 Code of Honor comes from the Shug McGaughey barn with John Velasquez getting the call. He’s been off 7 months since the Breeders’ Cup Classic and cuts back in distance on the drop down in class. He’s a mid pack closer with a solid work tab looking to fire fresh and ready. #4 Payne enters in for the Chad Brown barn and Kendrick Carmouche getting the nod. He’s been off for two months and looks for four in a row. An early style runner and Carmouche wins 17% with speedy type runners. He is 3 for 3 ITM at Belmont. #1 Endorsed hails from the Bill Mott barn with Joel Rosario in the saddle. They’re winning 30% as a team. 2nd time off the layoff and an impressive win shipping in from OP. He draws the golden rail where it wins 23%.

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Race  #8 – The G3 Intercontinental – 7f on the turf – 5:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Newspaperofrecord / #7 – Regal Glory / #9 – Rose Flower

#5 Newspaperofrecord enters from the Chad Brown barn with Irad Ortiz in the irons. They are winning at a staggering 29% as a team. An early speed style runner and Ortiz scores 23% with these types of runners. Her dam Sunny Times (GB) has 4 starters, 3 winners, and 2 turf winners to her credit. She’s been off 11 months since the G1 Belmont Oaks and may improve with a cut back in distance. #7 Regal Glory comes from the Chad Brown barn with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. A speedy sort who has been off for 7 months since the QE II at KEE. Been working well at Palm Meadows and could be dangerous on the pace. #9 Rose Flower comes in for Christophe Clement and Manny Franco gets the call. She is 1 for 1 at the distance and will come rolling late in the lane. Since shipping over from France she has been turning heads.

Race #9 – The G1 Carter – 7f – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Mind Control / #11 – Vekoma / #5 – Network Effect

#10 Mind Control is a son of Stay Thirsty with John  Velasquez in the irons. Looking for 4 in a row and been away from the races for three months. He stretches out to 7f and Johnny V fits like a glove for this mid pack stalker. #11 Vekoma is a son of Candy Ride with Javier Castellano in the driver’s seat. He’s a closer coming off a two month break where the barn scores 20% with freshened runners. His late punch is impressive down the lane. #5 Network Effect enters in for Chad Brown with Irad Ortiz getting the nod. This late runner is making the 3rd off the layoff run and Ortiz scores 23% with closers. When he and Brown team up good things happen as they win 29% together.