BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, May 27, 2023

by: Ed Meyer

Belmont

Race #7 – The G3 Soaring Softly – 7f on the turf – 4:06 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #2 – Love Appeals / #1 – Lady Beth / #5 – Quarrel

#2 Love Appeals hails from the Christophe Clement barn with Joel Rosario in the saddle. She is a perfect stalking type who is 2 for 3 with wins in her career. She gets added distance off her last effort and Rosario can get her rolling when the real running begins. #1 Lady Beth is a speedy daughter of Hard Spun for Chad Brown and Flavien Prat aboard. The rider and trainer are 3 for 3 ITM the past two weeks as they ship in from GP where Brown wins 26%. She comes off a 3 month break and sports a sharp morning work. #5 Quarrel is a stalker for Robert Ribaudo and Dylan Davis aboard. She just broke her maiden and takes the next step up the class ladder today.

Santa Anita

Race #7 – The G3 Daytona – 6 1/2f on the turf – 7:00 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Indian Peak / #5 – Whatmakessammyrun / #2 – Lovesick Blues

#1 Indian Peak is a stout closer from the Peter Miller barn with J.J. Hernandez in the irons. This is his third off the layoff, and 11 for 19 ITM on the turf. He is 7 for 11 ITM at SA and sports a strong late punch in the lane. The barn wins 21% making a 3rd off the layoff move. #5 Whatmakessammyrun hails from the Mark Glatt barn with Joe Bravo in the saddle. He will come calling when asked by Bravo and has 4 wins from 6 starts at SA. #2 Lovesick Blues is shooting for his 3rd straight win for Steve Miyadi and Umberto Rispoli in the driver’s seat. He has a solid late run and will need his best effort to upset the apple cart today.

Race #8 – The G2 Triple Bend – 7f – 7:30 pm 

BetPTC.com Analysis / #6 – Spirit of Makena / #7 – C Z Rocket / #4 – Forbidden Kingdom

#6 Spirit of Makena is a stalking son of Ghostzapper and a perfect 2 for 2 over the course. He should be right off the pace under Joe Bravo and shoots for his third straight win today for George Papaprodromou. #7 C Z Rocket goes to post for Peter Miller and Ramon Vazquez. This son of City Zip is 4 for 5 ITM over the course and should be hounding the leader from the gate break. The barn wins 21% with sprinters. #4 Forbidden Kingdom is a speedy son of American Pharoah for Dick Mandella and J.J. Hernandez aboard. He is coming off a two month break and is 4 for 6 ITM at SA. If left alone on the lead can put out the lights quickly. Dangerous player.

BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, May 20, 2023

by: Ed Meyer

Pimlico / Preakness Card

Race #6 – The G3 Chick Lang – 6f – 1:49pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #2 – Ryvit / #1 – Havanameltdown / #3 – Frosted Departure

#2 Ryvit hails from the Steve Asmussen barn shooting for his fourth straight in a row. He is 5 for 6 ITM lifetime and is a close up stalker. This son of Competitive Breeze is in the hands of Keith Asmussen today. #1 Havanameltdown is a speedster from the Bob Baffert barn with Luis Saez in the saddle. The rail post is winning at 21% coming off a two month layoff with a bullet work. He cuts back from 8f at Saudi and should be one to beat. #3 Frosted Departure is a son of Frosted with Flavien Prat for Kenneth McPeek. He’s a stalker and the barn wins 19% with 2nd off layoff moves.

Race #7 – The G3 Gallorette – 1 1/16 on the turf – 2:08 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Whitebeam / #2 – Sopran Basilia / #5 – Vergara

#1 Whitebeam hails from the Chad Brown barn with Irad Ortiz aboard. This is her 2nd start of 2023 and will be laying off the pace poised to pounce. Ortiz wins 44% with Brown and she is eligible to improve by making a 2nd off move today. #2 Sopran Basilia is the daughter of Night of Thunder (IRE) for Graham Motion with Luis Saez in the irons. She ships in from Italy where she has a 10 for 13 ITM on the sod record. The barn scores 20% with 90 day layoff runners. #5 Vergara is a stalking daughter of Noble Mission for Graham Motion with Joel Rosario in the saddle. She will settle in close to the speed and allow Rosario to work out a tactical ride to suit her style.

Race #8 – The G3 Dinner Party – 1 1/8 on the turf – 2:49 pm 

BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Atone / #2 – Speaking Scout / #4 – Hurricane Dream

#1 Atone goes to post for Mike Maker and draws the rail post under Tyler Gaffalione. He has been off for 56 days and ships up from FG. He won the G1 Pegasus Turf Invitational and should be right on the pace under Tyler G. He was a beaten favorite last out and the barn comes back to score at a 23% win clip turning the tables. #2 Speaking Scout is a late runner from the Graham Motion barn with Luis Saez in the driver’s seat. He ran a decent race in the G1 Maker’s Mark at KEE and looks to improve on the class drop today. Add in a bullet work and you may have a solid price to play. #4 Hurricane Dream is a strong late closer from the Graham Motion barn with Joel Rosario aboard. He had a strong prep win at KEE last out and looks to build on that performance after running in Germany and France.

Race #11 – The G3 Maryland Sprint – 6f – 4:53 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #7 – Nakatomi / #8 – Straight No Chaser / #4 – Al Loves Josie

#7 Nakatomi is a closer from the Wesley Ward barn going to post with Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle. They are cutting back to 6f and he’ll come calling under Tyler G who is 47% ITM with late runners. #8 Straight No Chaser is a speedy son of Speightster for Dan Blacker and John Velasquez in the irons. He is 4 for 6 ITM and sports a good turn of early speed right from the break. Dangerous if left alone. #4 All Loves Josie is a stalker from the John Robb barn as Xavier Perez has the call. 2nd start off a layoff and that was a troubled trip last out that you may want to toss. The X Man wins 18% with stalkers and knows the track well winning 40% from a small sampling.

Race #13 – The G1 Preakness Stakes – 1 3/16 – 7:01 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – Mage / #5 – Red Route One / #1 National Treasure

#3 Mage is the only one who stands a chance at the Triple Crown after a perfect trip winning the Kentucky Derby. He is lightly raced for Gustavo Delgado with Javier Castellano staying aboard. This son of Good Magic is more versatile than at first glance and can lay closer if necessary. I’m looking for a mid pack trip and negotiating a field of eight runners will be a welcome day at the races. Javier came from 15th place to circle the field with authority. I think it is his race to lose and we’ll have Triple Crown chatter going on for the next three weeks. #5 Red Route One earned his shot at Pimlico with a powerhouse run at OP for Steve Asmussen with Joel Rosario in the saddle. He’s been on my wiseguy list of runners for a while and it seems he catches an off track most of his races. Saturday’s forecast is 75 degrees and sunny. Have a solid pace and this runner will come calling like a hurricane. The price will be worth taking a shot. # 1 National Treasure reunites with Bob Baffert, who has won this race 7 times. He will go from the one post and likely lead the way.

BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, May 6, 2023

by: Ed Meyer

Belmont Park

Race #8 – The $150,000 Elusive Quality – 7f on the turf – 4:19 pm ET

BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – Voodoo Zip / #1 – Anaconda / #6 – Heaven Street

#3 Voodoo Street is a late running son of City Zip for Christophe Clement. 2nd start of the year with Dylan Davis in the saddle, and is 15/19 ITM on the grass. He is 6 for 6 ITM lifetime at Belmont. #1 Anaconda hails from the Joe Sharp barn with Kendrick Carmouche in the saddle. The barn wins 25% going from sprint to a route back to a sprint. This son of Pioneer of the Nile is bred to relish the turf. #6 Heaven Street ships in from GP for Brendan Walsh and Trevor McCarthy in the driver’s seat. The son of Street Sense is a stalker with a sharp bullet work under his belt.

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Race #9 – The G2 Fort Marcy – 1 1/8 on the turf – 4:56 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – Ottoman Fleet / #6 – City Man / #5 – Rockemperor

#3 Ottoman Fleet hails from the Charlie Appleby yard with Richard Mullen aboard. This son of Sea the Stars (IRE) is 9 for 10 ITM on the turf and Appleby is one of the most dangerous conditions on the sod and is 4 for 4 ITM at the distance. #6 City Man is a late running son of Mucho Macho Man for Christophe Clement with Trevor McCarthy in the irons. He was a beaten favorite in the PWC Turf Invitational at GP.  He should sit a perfect stalking trip. #5 Rockemperor goes to post for Chad Brown and Dylan Davis in the saddle. A late runner coming off a 7 month layoff and can upset the apple cart.

Race #10 – The G2 Ruffian – 1 mile – 5:37 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #4 – Idiomatic / #5 – Kathleen O / #3 – Timeless Journey

#4 Idiomatic is a daughter of Curlin for Brad Cox and Trevor McCarthy in the irons. She is a close up runner who is seeking her fourth straight win. She makes the AW to dirt move and sports a sharp work. #5 Kathleen O is a closing type for Shug McGaughey and Kendrick Carmouche in the driver’s seat. 3rd start off the layoff and the barn scores 20% on this move, she’s been a bridesmaid the last three races and looks to overcome the beaten favorite angle last out. #3 Timeless Journey hails from the Ray Handal barn with Jorge Vargas in the saddle. They are winning 38% as a team as the daughter of Verrazano moves up the class ladder.

BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, April 29, 2023

by: Ed Meyer

Golden Gate Fields

Race #6 – The California Oaks – 1 1/16 miles AW- 5:45 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #5 – Lily Poo / #4 – Mastery Kat / #1 – Smiling Lady

#5 Lily Poo is a late moving daughter of Tapiture for Mike McCarthy and Umberto Ripoli aboard. This is her 2nd start of the year and she looks to improve by taking two turns today for the first time. Rispoli is 46% ITM on late runners. #4 Mastery Kat hails from the James Thomas barn and has Bryan Pena in the saddle. She is 4 for 5 ITM at GG and was a beaten favorite last out where the barn comes back to score 25%. #1 Smiling Lady is a speedy daughter of Smiling Tiger looking to go flag fall to a finish. She moves up in class and her speed is dangerous.

Race #10 – The California Derby – 1 1/16 – 8:45 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #9 – Prince Abu Dhabi / #8 – Chase the Chaos / #4 – Egon

#9 Prince Abu Dhabi is an undefeated son of Palace Malice for Blaine Wright. He will be in mid pack waiting on the cue as his three past races have been perfect. Very Dangerous player today. #8 Chase the Chaos comes off a 56 day break and drops down in class today for Ed Moger. They are making the dirt to AW switch today and he has a solid late punch when the real running begins. #4 Egon is a son of Ghostzapper for France Reid. He steps up in class off an impressive maiden win coming off the pace and in the hands of Evin Roman today.

Race #11 – The G3 San Francisco Mile – 1 mile on turf – 9:15 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #9 – Dicey Mo Chara / #8 – Flavius / #6 – Lamplighter Jack

#9 Dicey Mo Chara is a son of Adaay (IRE) for Leonard Powell with Draden Van Dyke in the irons. 2nd start off the layoff exiting the G2 Whittingham and looks to be back on the move today. He’ll be running late making a big turn back in distance. #8 Flavius is a stalking son of War Front making his first start of 2023. He sports plenty of bullets leading up and should look for a comfy spot just off the leaders. #6 Lamplighter Jack is a talented and speedy son of Ded Biz making his 2nd start of the year. He is moving up the class ladder and looks to wire the field from the break.

BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, April 22, 2023

by: Ed Meyer

Keeneland

Race #8 – The G2 Elkhorn 1 1/2 on the turf – 4:44 pm ET

BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Channel Maker / #2 – Value Engineering / #5 – Red Knight

#1 Channel Maker is a speedy son of English Channel for Bill Mott with John Velasquez aboard. He comes off a 2 month break and is 3 for 6 ITM over the KEE course. Winner of last year’s edition and had an eventful prep showing speed at GP. He is eligible to move forward and come out swinging from the gate break. #2 Value Engineering is a strong late closer for Mike Maker with Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle. He ships up from GP and Maker wins 18% with his runners getting new surroundings. Tyler G wins 16% with his turf closers and should come rolling as they straighten for home. #5 Red Knight is a son of Pure Prize for Mike Maker and Gerardo Corrales in the irons. He exits a win at GP and makes his 2nd start of the year. Look for a late move on the far turn.

Race #9 – The G3 Ben Ali – 1 3/16 miles dirt – 5:16 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #5 – Rattle N Roll / #4 – Skippylongstocking / #1 – Pioneer of Medina

#5 Rattle N Roll hails from the Ken McPeek barn with B.J. Hernadez in the saddle. A solid closer making his 2nd start of the year and the barn wins 19% with 2nd timer runners off the layoff. #4 Skippylongstocking goes to post for Saffie Joseph and Irad Ortiz in the driver’s seat. A stalker coming off a win at Tampa Bay and should be right on the pace with the added distance. Ortiz wins with 24% of his stalking runners. #1 Pioneer of Medina comes from the Todd Pletcher barn with Tyler Gaffalione in the irons. He draws the red hot rail which is winning 34% and makes his 3rd start of the year. Should be right near the leaders.

Aqueduct

Race #3 – The $100,000 Woodhaven – 1 mile on the turf – 2:24 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #6 – Neural Network / #4 – Belouni / #5 – Inflation Nation

#6 Neural Network is a stalking son of Cloud Computing for Chad Brown and Manny Franco aboard. He was a beaten favorite in the $100,000 Gander and looks to turn the tables coming off a 56 day break. This is his first try on the sod and his sire wins 21% with first timers trying the greensward. #4 Belouni hails from the Chad Brown barn with Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. He is 4 for 5 ITM on the turf and made his first effort in the States last out shipping over from France. It was an eventful trip and was bumped around soundly. Scrap that last effort and look for a new runner today with a clean start. #5 Inflation Nation is a late runner for Christophe Clement coming off a five month break. He is 3 for 4 ITM and tries a mile for the first time. He should be closer to the pace under Dylan Davis.

BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, April 15, 2023 

by: Ed Meyer

Keeneland

Race #8 – The $250,000 Giants Causeway – 5 1/2f on the turf – 4:44 pm ET

BetPTC.com Analysis / #4 – Oeuvre / #10 – Twilight Gleaming / #1 – Train to Artemus

#4 Oeuvre is a daughter of Shackleford with a stalker style for Chris Block and Jareth Loveberry in the irons. She is 6 for 6 ITM on the turf and comes off a 53 day break seeking her 6th straight win. #10 Twilight Gleaming is a speedy gal from the Wesley Ward barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. Ortiz wins 30% with his turf sprinters and wins 75% with Ward. #1 Train to Artemus ships in from GP for Kelly Breen and Frankie Dettori aboard. She draws the rail spot and should show solid speed. Dettori wins 18% with turf speed and the barn scores 17% with nongraded stakes.

Race #9 – The G3 Lexington – 1 1/16 miles dirt – 5:16 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #8 – Empirestrikesfast / #11 – Arabian Lion / #6 – Disarm

#8 Empirestikesfast hails from the Bill Mott barn with Frankie Dettori aboard.  This son of Empire Maker is 1 for 1 with a maiden win and steps up the ladder improving off his last effort. He should right off the pace in Frankie’s hands and wait to pounce on command. #11 Arabian Lion is a speedy son of Justify for Bob Baffert in the hands of Irad Ortiz. He’s been off two months since the G3 Robert B Lewis and looks to get back on track today. #6 Disarm is a late running son of Gun Runner for Steve Asmussen and Jose Ortiz. Jose picks up the call after a runner up effort in the G2 Louisiana Derby. Dangerous player.

Race #10 – The G1 Jenny Wiley – 1 1/16 on the turf – 5:48 pm 

BetPTC.com Analysis /#5 – With the Moonlight / #2 – In Italian / #4 – Speak of the Devil

#5 With the Moonlight hails from the yard of Charlie Appleby with Willaim Buick making the trip to ride. She has done very well in the States and sports a perfect stalking trip. Her dam Sand Vixen (GB) has 5 starters, 3 winners, 2 stakes winners, and 3 turf winners. She seeks her third straight win and should come off the pace today in the hands of Buick. #2 In Italian is a speedy daughter of Dubawi (IRE) for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. She is 2 for 2 ITM at KEE and should be in good hands with Ortiz who wins 30% with his turf speedsters. #4 Speak of the Devil is a late running daughter of Wooten Basset (GB). Chad Brown conditions her and Flavien Prat aboard as a beaten favorite in her last three outings in the States. Chad Brown has been doing well going 3 for 4 ITM the past two weeks. Prat wins 23% of his turf runners.

BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, April 8, 2023

by: Ed Meyer

Aqueduct

Race #8 – The G1 Carter – 7f – 4:19 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #6 – White Abarrio / #3 – Expressman / #4 – Repo Rocks

#6 White Abarrio hails from the Saffie Joseph barn with Paco Lopez aboard. He’s a late running son of Race Day and won his last race out where the barn comes back to score at 22%. 3rd off the layoff and should fit in nicely. #3 Expressman goes to post for Todd Pletcher and Jose Ortiz in the irons. The son of Liam’s Map is 4 for 4 ITM lifetime and comes off a 57 day break and a bullet work to have him sharp and ready. #4 Repo Rocks is a Jamie Ness trainee with Andrew Wolfsont in the saddle. The barn is winning at a 45% clip at AQU and he seeks his 5th straight win climbing the class ladder.

Race #11 – The G2 Wood Memorial – 1 1/8 miles dirt – 6:16 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #13 – Hit Show / #5 – Slip Mahoney / #1 – Dreamlike

#13 Hit Show is a son of Candy Ride for Brad Cox and Manny Franco in the irons. He closes from midflight and seeks his 3rd straight win. His dam Actress has 2 starters and 2 wins to her credit. He comes off a 56 day break and Team Cox wins 22% with layoff runners. #5 Slip Money is a stalker from the Brad Cox barn and has had two eventful races in a row causing him to work overtime to come rolling late. Dylan Davis is in the saddle and he wins 31% with route runners. #1 Dreamlike is a son of Gun Runner who has good early speed for Todd Pletcher and Jose Ortiz. He is still a maiden, but only bested right at the wire. Today they added blinkers and the Todd Squad wins 20% on this equipment change.

Keeneland

Race #7 – The G1 Madison – 7f – 4:00 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #2 – Goodnight Olive / #5 – Maryquitecontrary / #3 – Society

#2 Goodnight Olive is a closing daughter of Ghostzapper for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz in the saddle. She has 7 starts and six wins and a 2nd place effort. She’s a perfect 4 for 4 going 7f, and she comes off a 5 month break winning the BCF&M Sprint at Keeneland where she is 2 for 2. The one to beat. #5  Maryquitecontrary hails from the Shug McGaughey bar with Luca Panici aboard. Her record is 6 wins from 7 starts and a place effort. Panini has been aboard every time and can get this daughter of First Dude rolling off the pace. She loves the distance and can’t be overlooked. #3 Society is a stalking daughter of Gun Runner for Steve Asmussen and Florent Geroux. She should be forwardly placed and can easily dictate the pace if no runner jumps out quickly. She cuts back in distance and sports a win at KEE.

Race #9 – The G1 Toyota Bluegrass – 1 1/8 miles dirt – 5:15 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Tapit Trice / #6 – Scooby Quandro / #8 – Blazing Sevens

#1 Tapit Trice is a late running son of Tapit drawing the rail post for Todd Pletcher. Luis Saez has the call, and he was impressive in winning the G3 Tampa Derby. Saez wins 28% with route runners and sports a sharp work getting ready. #6 Scooby Quandro is a late running son of Uncle Mo for Ben Colebrook. Luan Machado gets the nod and finished a game 2nd in the John Battaglia at Turfway. He makes the synthetic to dirt move and if he takes to the surface look for a solid late run for a barn that wins 18% going AW to dirt. #8 Blazing Sevens hails from the barn of Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz in the saddle. This is his 2nd start of 2023 and adds blinkers where the barn scores at a 21% win clip.

Santa Anita

Race #6 – The G1 Santa Anita Derby – 1 1/8 – 5:30 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #6 – National Treasure / #5 – Practical Move / #3 – Geaux Rocket Ride

#6 National Treasure is a stalking son of Quality Road for Tim Yakteen and John Velasquez. He is 2 for 2 ITM at SA and makes his 2nd effort of 2023. Baffert transferred his runner to the Yakteen barn and should be right on the hook from the gate break. #5 Practical Move hails from the Tim Yakteen barn with Ramon Vazquez in the saddle. He is 2 for 2 at SA and should lay just behind his stablemate ready to pounce. #3 Geaux Rocket Ride is an early running son of Candy Ride for Dick Mandella and Flavien Prat in the irons. He was beaten chalk last out and should be right on the lead today. Prat wins 28% with his route runners.

BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, March 25, 2023

by: Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #4 – The $100,000 Texas Glitter – 5f on the turf – 2:08 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #6 – Gordian Knot / #5 – Dr. Oseran / #4 – Crispy Cat

#6 Gordian Knot is a late runner in the hands of Luca Panici for Guadalupe Preciado. He comes off a three month break and the barn wins 34% for nongraded stakes. His sire Social Inclusion wins 17% first time on the turf. Sharp works have him ready to fire off the bench. #5 Dr. Orsean is a speedy son of Kitten’s Joy for Christophe Clement and Jose Ortiz. He comes off a 51 day break and the rider and trainer are 2 for 2 the past two weeks. #4 Crispy Cat hails from the barn of Jorge Delgado and Paco Lopez. 2nd off the layoff shipping in from Wolverhampton and just missed by a neck last out. The rider switch may do the trick today.

Race #5 – Mdn Sp Weight – 5 1/2f – 2:37pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #2 – Case / #3 – Etnico / #1 – Straightonahighnote

#2 Case is a son of Sky Mesa for Jonathon Thomas and Jose Ortiz. He is turning back from 8f and the sprint may fit his liking. He is 2 for 2 ITM at GP and gets 2nd Lasix and a beaten favorite effort last out. #3 Etnico hails from the barn of Jorge Delgado and Javier Castellano. He cuts back 110 yards and should be a major player at the top of the lane. He was a beaten favorite last out and looks to turn the tables. #1 Straighonahighnote is a first timer by Girvin and he wins 20% with his first time runners. His dam Shelby’s Song has 2 winners from 3 starters. Saffie Joseph brings his colt to post with a rail draw and Patrick Husbands in the irons.

Race #10 – The $100,000 Melody of Colors – 5f on turf – 5:06 pm

BetPTC.com Analysis / #7- My Sweet Affair / #8 – Flor de Sombra / #5 – Sassy Nature

#7 My Sweet Affair is a late running daughter of Twirling Candy for George Weaver. She was an impressive off the pace winner at first asking and moved up the ladder winning 13% off the 2nd time outing. Weaver is winning 21% at the meet and looks to have a solid gal going to post. #8 Flor de Sombra is a speedster shipping in from Penn National shooting for three in a row. Jose Ortiz has the call and with sharp work and a trainer who wins 34% with nongraded stakes, she has a solid shot. #5 Sassy Nature is a speedy filly for Jack Sisterson and Julien Leparoux in the saddle. Her sire Straight Fire wins 31% with 1st time turf runners and he did not disappoint last out first time on the sod. Looking to make it two straight, and will be tough on the front end.