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BetPTC.com Breeders’ Cup Preview – Saturday

BetPTC.com / Breeders’ Cup Preview / Saturday / 11-2-19

by: Ed Meyer

Santa Anita

Race #4 – The B/C F&M Sprint – 7f – 2:55 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Dawn the Destroyer / #4 – Come Dancing / #5- Lady Ninja

#8 Dawn the Destroyer is 3rd off the shelf for Kiaran McLaughlin and Tyler Gaffalione. She ran a fast closing 2nd in the G2 TCA at Kee and gets added distance today. The barn wins 21% with shippers and Gaffalione is ready for the big stage. #4 Come Dancing is a daughter of Malibu Moon with Javier Castellano in the irons. 3rd off the layoff looking for three in a row. Castellano should have her in a perfect stalking mode. #5 Lady Ninja comes from the barn of Richard Baltas with Drayden Van Dyke. She is 9 for 10 ITM at SA. Add in a red hot work and she’ll be dangerous if the pace is salty down the lane.

 

Race #5 – The BC Turf Sprint – 5f on turf – 3:33 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Totally Boss / #5 – Stubbins / #10- Eddie Haskell

#1 Totally Boss comes in for Rusty Arnold and Jose Ortiz has the call. They are looking for 3 in a row exiting a big win in the G3 Turf Sprint at KyD. Ortiz gets the rail and is 6 for 7 ITM running short. He’ll be rolling up the hedge late in the game. #5 Stubbins goes to post for Doug O’Neill and Flavien Prat in the irons. They exit a win in the G2 Woodford at Kee. He is 2 for 2 at SA and 2 for 2 ITM at the distance. Prat will come rolling late in the running. #10 Eddie Haskell in for Mark Glatt and Joel Rosario aboard. He’s been stepping up each time and has the ability to come rolling late. He got shuffled about and still closed stoutly as the beaten chalk in the G2 Eddie D.

 

Race #6 – The BC Dirt Mile – 1 mile – 4:10 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Mr. Money / #2 – Improbable / #5 – Omaha Beach

#4 Mr.  Money is a son of Goldenscents for Bret Calhoun and Gabriel Saez. 2nd off the layoff and cuts back in distance where he is 1 for 1 going a mile. He’ll be mid pack and Saez will have him in top gear. #2 Improbable comes in for Bob Baffert and Rafael Bejarano as they are 1 for 1 at SA. 3rd off the layoff where the barn wins 22% and turns back in distance, He’ll be just off the lead and will stalk a close rail trip. #5 Omaha Beach is 2nd off the layoff for Dick Mandell and Mike Smith in the saddle. This son of War Front is 3 for 3 at SA. His works are tight and you can’t slight the connections. He’ll be on the engine in the guiding hands of Smith.

 

Race #7 – The BC F&M Turf – 1 1/4 on turf – 4:54 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Sistercharlie / #7 – Vasilika / #10 – Mrs. Sippy

#2 Sistercharlie is the daughter of Myboycharlie (IRE) for Chad Brown and John Velasquez. She is seeking her 7th straight win and Brown has win this race four times prior. She is 5 for 6 ITM at the distance and comes in 2nd off the layoff after winning the G1 Flower Bowl. #7 Vasilika is a daughter of Skipshot for Dan ward and Flavien Prat aboard. She exits a fast closing effort in the G1 First Lady at Kee and with Prat in the irons you know he’s going to find her best stride. #10 Mrs. Sippy a daughter of Blame for Graham Motion and Joel Rosario. 3rd off the shelf and was a fast closing 3rd in the G1 Flower Bowl. She sports a wicked late kick.

 

Race #8 – The BC Sprint – 6f – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9- Imperial Hint / #4 – Mitole / #5 – Engage

#9 Imperial Hint comes in for Luis Carvajal with Javier Castellano in the saddle. 2nd time out off a gutsy win in the G1 Vosburgh. His works are sharp and will display versatility stalking just off the pace. #4 Mitole is a son of Eskendreya for Steve Asmussen with Ricardo Santanna aboard. The first start in two months and his works are strong. Cuts back in distance and will be right near the front. His speed may carry him to the winner’s circle. #5 Engage in for Asmussen and John Velasquez. They are seeking their 3rd straight win and with the early pace in here his late stride may be the answer. He was impressive winning the G2 Phoenix last out.

 

Race #9 – BC Mile – 1 mile turf – 6:20 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #14 – Bowie’s Hero / #11 – Uni / #1 – Suedois

#14 Bowie’s Hero 2nd off the layoff and winner of the G1 Shadwell last out. He loves SA going 6 for 9 ITM and his only knock is the outside post. With Flavien Prat in the irons for Phil D’Amato, he’s going to find his best run. #11 Uni is a daughter of More Than Ready for Chad Brown and Joel Rosario. Winner of the G1 First Lady and knocked heads with the boys before. Brown knows how to spot them and Joel will get her late closing kick in gear. #1 Suedois was closing eight wide in the G1 Shadwell and was 3rd under a blanket finish. Castellano picks up the mount from Jamie Spencer and trainer David O’Meara always brings his runners ready.

fund for the Breeders' cup

Race #10 – The BC Distaff – 1 1/8 – 7:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5- Dunbar Road / #4- Midnight Bisou / #11 – Blue Prize

#5 Dunbar Road is a daughter of Quality Road for Chad Brown and Jose Ortiz. 2nd off the layoff and 6 for 6 ITM. The G1 Spinster was a perfect prep and Ortiz back in the irons should have her running late. #4 Midnight Bisou is a daughter of Midnight Lute for Steve Asmussen and Mike Smith in the saddle. She is seeking her 8th in a row and is a horse for the course going 4 for 4 ITM at SA. Smith will have this stalker in handy order as they turn for home. #11 Blue Prize a daughter of Pure Prize and is 5 for 5 ITM this year. She is 2nd off the shelf after a win in the G1 Spinster. She loves the distance and Joe Bravo looks to pick up the leaders on the far turn.

 

Race #11 – The BC Turf – 1 1/2 on turf – 7:40 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Old Persian / #9 – Bricks and Mortar / #5 – Anthony Van Dyke

#10 Old Persian is a son of Dubawi (IRE) for the Charles Appleby yard. Willam Buick has the call and they exit an impressive win in the G1 Northern Dancer getting 2nd Lasix today. His closing effort last out was eye catching at Woodbine and looks to wear down the leaders in the lane. #9 Bricks and Mortar comes in for Chad Brown with Irad Ortiz getting the call. They are seeking a 7th straight win and his dam Beyond the Waves has 7 starters, 7 winners, and 6 turf winners to her credit. Ortiz wins 21% with closers and this son of Giant’s Causeway looks like the one to beat. #5 Anthony Van Dyke is a son of Galileo for Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore. He was a beaten chalk in last year’s BC Juvenile Turf and looks for payback against a stout field.

 

Race #12 – The BC Classic – 1 1/4 – 8:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #11 – Code of Honor / #10 – Vino Rosso / #8 – McKinzie

#11 Code of Honor comes in for Shug McGaughey and John Velasquez. 3rd off the layoff and was put up in a DQ to win the G1 Jockey Gold Cup. He’s a closing son of Noble Mission and has been working well to keep sharp. The one to beat. #10 Vino Rosso is a son of Curlin for Todd Pletcher and Irad Ortiz. He is 1 for 1 at SA and owns a couple of sharp works to prepare. He’ll be up close and ready to move when Ortiz hits the accelerator. He may want some payback as he was moved to 2nd against Code of Honor last out. #8 McKinzie is 7 for 7 at SA for the Baffert barn with Joel Rosario getting the call. He was a beaten favorite last out in the G1 Awesome Again and this son of Street Sense should be up close. Add in that bullet work and we may have a sleeper who can take down the prize.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – June 15

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Churchill Downs Race #6 – G2 Wise Dan – 1 1/16 on the turf – 8:37 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #12 – Admission Office / #6 – Siem Riep / #4 – Hot Springs

#12 Admission Office is a son of Point of Entry making his 3rd off the layoff move for the Brian Lynch barn. Exits the G2 Dixie at Pimlico and was beaten a half after being squeezed at the start. His dam Miss Chapin has 7 starters, 6 wins, and 6 turf wins to her credit. He is a deep closer under Joel Rosario who is a 16% turf winning rider. #6 Siem Riep is a son of Tapit for trainer Ben Colebrook with James Graham aboard. 2nd off the layoff and he is 2 for 2 with wins at CD. He has plenty of early speed and Graham returns off a win in the saddle a month ago. #4 Hot Springs is a son of Uncle Mo for Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santana in the driver’s seat. He is 3rd off the layoff and 4 for 5 with wins at CD. Toss out the last race and you have a solid stalker reuniting with the barn rider.

Race#7 – The G2 Fleur de Lis – 1 1/8 – 9:12 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Elate / #2 – She’s a Julie / #5 – Blue Prize

#3 Elate hails from the Bill Mott barn with Jose Ortiz in the irons. She’s been off for two months and exits the G1 Apple Blossom. She drops a notch in class and gets added distance. Elate should lay right off the pace and wait for the command of Ortiz to answer the question. #2 She’s a Julie comes in for trainer Steve Asmussen with Ricardo Santana in the saddle. She is 4 for 5 ITM at CD and makes her 2nd off the shelf move effort. This gal will be close to the pace and make a tactical move on the turn. #5 Blue Prize is a daughter of Pure Prize who is 6 for 7 ITM at CD. This is her 2nd start of 2019 and was the beaten chalk in the G1 La Troienne. She loves the oval and gets a top rider switch.

Race #8 – The G2 Stephen Foster – 1 1/8 – 9:47 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Gift Box / #4 – Seeking the Soul / #12 – Yoshida

#6 Gift Box is a son of Twirling Candy for trainer John Sadler and Joel Rosario. 2nd start off the layoff and was the beaten chalk in the G1 Gold Cup at SA. He cuts back in distance and been working lights out in the morning. He should get a perfect stalking trip under Rosario and battle down the lane. #4 Seeking the Soul hails from the barn of Dallas Stewart with John Velasquez in the irons. 3rd off the layoff and the barn wins 33% on this move. He is a stone cold closer who is 9 for 11 ITM at CD and owns a bullet coming into the race. #12 Yoshida comes in for Bill Mott with Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. He’s been off for two months since the Dubai World Cup. He cuts back in distance and has faced some of the best in the world. This son of Heart’s Cry (JPN) will come flying down the lane under Ortiz.

BetPTC.com Breeders’ Cup Preview – 11/3/18

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

The 35th edition of the Breeders’ Cup will take place this Friday and Saturday. There are fourteen Breeders’ Cup races with the best runners in the world converging on Louisville, Kentucky. We will cover races 8-11 which make up the $3 million dollar guaranteed late pick-four.

Churchill Downs

Race #8 – The Breeders’ Cup Mile – 1 mile on turf – 3:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Expert Eye / #5 – Oscar Performance / #2 – Next Shares

#7 Expert Eye is the son of Acclamation for Sir Michael Stoute. He gets first Lasix and has been a little short of getting the mile distance. Europeans have a way of getting added distance on these days and has the services of Frankie Dettori in irons. The 55 days away from the races may have him in top order and the connections like their chances. #5 Oscar Performance is a son of Kittens’ Joy for trainer Brian Lynch with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. He is a perfect 3 for 3 at the distance and exits the G1 Woodbine Mile which has served as a great prep for this affair. Ortiz is an excellent judge of pace and should try and wire the field. #2 Next Shares is a son of Archarcharch and exits the G1 Shadwell Mile at Keeneland. Also a key prep for this race and 6 for 9 ITM going the distance. Respected rider Tyler Gafflione in the saddle and trainer Richard Baltas wins 17% on the turf. This closer will come calling late.

Race #9 – The Breeders’ Cup Distaff – 1 1/8 – 4:16 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #11 – Monomoy Girl / #2 – Abel Tasman / #10 – Blue Prize

#11 Monomoy Girl is a daughter of Tapizar for trainer Brad Cox. She is 3 for 3 ITM at Churchill and was a beaten favorite in the G1 Cotillion at Parx.  She won and was disqualified but her works are showing readiness to roll. Florent Geroux in the irons and she is 2 for 2 at the distance. If she runs back to the G1 CCA Oaks she’s gonna be tough to handle. #2 Abel Tasman comes to post for Bob Baffert and Mike Smith in the saddle. Toss out the last race where she bobbled and came off slow. According to Baffert she spiked a fever and wasn’t feeling herself. 3rd start off the layoff, solid works and 4 for 4 ITM at the distance makes her a player. #10 Blue Prize is a daughter of Pure Prize for Ignacio Correas. “Jersey” Joe Bravo in the saddle and she is 5 for 5 ITM at CD. That was a nice win in the G1 Spinster and Correas is winning 44% looking for 4-in-a-row.

Race #10 – The G1 Breeders’ Cup Turf – 1 1/2 on the turf – 4:56 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #12 – Waldgeist / #2 – Enable / #1 – Talismanic

#12 Waldgeist is a son of Galileo for the Andre Fabre yard. This is his 3rd start off the layoff and ran a game 2nd in the Gr1 Arc de Triomphe. He looks to be sitting on a huge effort and the top shelf connections have been speaking good things all week. #2 Enable is an ultra talented filly for trainer John Gosden. She has rolled off eight straight wins and looks to be the one to beat. Frankie Dettori is the reinsman and she’s been training well at Churchill Downs applying the final touches. She is 3 for 3 at the distance and her only knock is that Arc winners are 0 for 8 winning this event. #1 Talismanic exits a key race in the Gr1 Arc and won this event last year paying a handsome price. Is a repeat in the cards? He has excellent breeding and will come calling late in the lane.

Race #11 – The G1 Breeders’ Cup Classic – 1 1/4 – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2- Thunder Snow / #14 – Accelerate / #6 – McKinzie

#2 Thunder Snow has been looking good in the morning works over the CD oval. This is his 3rd start off the layoff and ran a huge effort in the G1 Jockey Gold Cup getting bested by a neck at the wire. He is 3 for 4 ITM going 1 1/4 and should be in mid pack poised to pounce. #14 Accelerate is looking to go four in a row for trainer John Sadler. Joel Rosario is the reinsman and has been aboard his last two impressive wins. He loves the distance going 4 for 4 and won the G1 Pacific Classic by 12 lengths. Loves the distance, the rider fits like a glove, and he’s gonna be tough down the lane. #6 McKinzie is a son of Street Sense who won the Kentucky Derby. Bob Baffert and Mike Smith team up and they do every good work when the money is on the line. Should be forwardly placed with a rider who is an excellent judge of pace. Can be a major player today.

 

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – June 16, 2018

Churchill Downs

Race #6 – G2 Wise Dan Stakes – 1 1/16 turf – 8:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections – #4 – World Approval / #5- Mr Misunderstood / #1 – Divisidero

#4 World Approval looks to be ready to uncork a big effort. He’s been off for three months and is 2/2 ITM over the CD course. John Velasquez in the irons for Mark Casse who is winning at 20%. He was a beaten favorite last out, and the barn comes back to score 25% on this move. The distance fits going 5 out of 6 ITM and he fires fresh off the layoff. #5 Mr. Misunderstood has been off for two months and ships in from Keeneland. This son of Archarcharch loves the track winning his only two starts and makes a drop in class from the G1 Makers Mile. #1 Divisidero has the services of Jevian Toledo and this son of Kitten’s Joy is making his 2nd start of the year. He’s a stone cold closer and a perfect 3/3 at Churchill.

Race #7 – G2 Fleur de Lis – 1 1/8 – 9:05 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections – #2 – Mopotism / #3 -Blue Prize / #5 – Song of Spring

#2 – Mopotism is making her second off the layoff run and moves from the turf to the dirt. The Doug O’Neill barn scores at a 19% win clip with his shippers as they travel in from Santa Anita. The change in surface and drop in class may do the trick. #3  Blue Prize can show good speed when asked. Jose Ortiz is in town, and is one of the best speed riders in the country winning 19% with early runners. #5 Song of Spring comes in fresh off a win at Pimlico in the DuPont Distaff. She’s a solid closer with Ricardo Santana in the saddle. I can see her sitting off the pace and making a bid around the far turn.  If there is any rain in the area she’ll be even better.

Race #8 – The G1 Stephen Foster – 1 1/8 – 9:39 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections – #6 – Backyard Haven / #2 – Patch / #1 – Honorable Duty

#6 Backyard Haven looks to be moving up the ladder in fine fashion. Lightly raced son of Tizway and the Chad Brown barn is 1/1 at Churchill. Irad Ortiz has the call and the barn wins at a 27% mark off a last race win. He has the look of a stalker but with the fast finishing Ortiz in the saddle he is excellent at getting his mounts to relax and wait. Look for an explosive effort under the Churchill lights. #2 Patch is making his 2nd start of the year. He came off a 9 month layoff and came rolling late in the lane. Luis Saez aboard for Todd Pletcher and this son of Union Rags may be maturing nicely. #1 Honorable Duty is making his 2nd effort of the year and came right back to score in an O.C. $100,000 to win easily. That was a great prep and looks to turn the table finishing 2nd in this race last year to Gun Runner. He’s not running in this field, and anything close to last year has him right there when the real running begins. Corey Lanerie has the call for Brendan Walsh.

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