BetPTC.com Analysis – November 6, 2021
by: Ed Meyer
Del Mar – Breeders’ Cup
Race #5 – The BC Turf Sprint – 5f on the turf – 3:40 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #4- Lieutenant Dan / #1 – Glass Slippers / #2 – Emaraaty Ana
#4 Lieutenant Dan is a stalker who is 2 for 2 at Del Mar over the turf course seeking his 3rd straight win. A bit of a home field advantage, and a rider switch to Giovanni Franco for Steven Miyadi. He is 3 for 3 at the distance, and gets a great post draw kicking off the All Turf Pick Four. #1 Glass Slippers was the winner of this race last year at KEE, and trainer Kevin Ryan and Tom Eaves team up again looking for the repeat. Strong late runner who gets the rail draw can be very dangerous if a red hot pace develops. #2 Emaraaty Ana hails from the Kevin Ryan yard as well and with Andrea Atenzi in the saddle. His last effort at Haydock was ultra impressive beating highly touted Starman last out. Look for a top effort as he seems to be on his game and will come rolling late in the lane.
Race #7 – The BC Filly and Mare Turf – 1 3/8 on the turf- 4:59 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #7 – War Like Goddess / #12 – Audarya / #6 – Love
#7 War Like Goddess is a stout closing filly for Bill Mott and Julien Leparoux. They are shooting for her for her fifth straight victory and she is 3 for 3 with ins at the distance. Her victory in the G1 Flower Bowl was impressive and always used a a great prep for this race in the past. Leparoux fits like a glove and has been in the irons every time but one.The one to beat with her strong late finish. #12 Audarya is returning as the winner of this event last year at KEE and is a late running gal looking for firm footing and will find it this weekend. Trainer J. W. Fanshawe brings her to the gate and William Buick is in the saddle looking for a repeat from the outside post. #6 Love hails from the Aiden O’Brien yard with Ryan Moore as the pilot. She is 12 for 14 ITM lifetime and the perfect player to complete exotic wagers. She is a regally bred daughter of Galileo (IRE) and will be in the mix at the top of the lane.
Race #8 – The BC Sprint – 6f – 5:38 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #9 – Jackie’s Warrior / #9 – Dr. Schivel / #8 – Special Reserve
#9 Jackie’s Warrior seeks his 3rd straight win exiting G2 Gallant Bob at Parx, and has tactical speed which has him 2 wins at the distance. Steve Asmussen trains and Joel Rosario in the saddle. He should be in excellent position turning for home in the patient hands of Rosario. #9 Dr. Schivel is a horse for course going 3 for 3 over the course. Trained by Mark Glatt for Flavien Prat seeking his 6th straight win. Perfect stalker with a bullet work under his belt. #8 Special Reserve 2nd time off the layoff for Mike Maker and Irad Ortiz in the irons. His early speed will help his chances and Ortiz will have him in the right place looking for a gap at the top of the lane. Ortiz wins 22% with early speed runners.
Race #9 – The BC Mile – 1 mile on the turf – 6:20 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – Space Blues / #14 – Ivar / #9 – Mother Earth
#3 Special Blues hails from the Charlie Appleby yard with William Buick in the irons. He exits a win in the G1 Prix de la Foret which has been a prep coming into this race. He is looking for three in a row, and the barn sends them ready to fire. #14 Ivar is a late runner from the Paulo Lobo barn and made a solid move in the G1 Keeneland Turf finishing 4th after getting bumped around going 5 wide. Joe Talamo in the saddle and 2nd off the layoff should have him fresh and ready to launch a late bid. #9 Mother Earth goes postward for Aiden O’Brien and Ryan Moore. She will come rolling with a big run at the top of the lane and could upset the apple cart nearing the wire.
Race #10 – The BC Distaff – 1 1/8 miles dirt – 7:00 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #2 – Royal Flag / #3 -Malathaat / #6 – Letruska
#2 Royal Flag comes in for Chad Brown and Joel Rosario. She is 5 for 5 ITM at the distance, and with all of the early speed it may set her up nicely. I’m looking for a mid pack stalking trip and poised to pounce around the far turn. Rosario wins 36% for Chad Brown. #3 Malathaat is a daughter of Curlin and only a head shy of being undefeated for Todd Pletcher and John Velasquez. She steps up to face older and Pletcher knows how to spot his runners well so she must be ready. She had a very nice win in the G1 Alabama and comes off a two month break with a bullet work to tighten down the screws. #6 Letruska is a speedy daughter of Super Saver for Fausto Gutierrez with Irad Ortiz in the irons. She seeks her 6th straight win and is making a 3rd off the layoff effort after scoring nicely in the G1 Spinster. There is plenty of speed in here and the bar wins 50% with graded stakes runners. She’ll be tough and loves the distance but I’m siding with runners who can stalk and close into solid fractions.
Race #11- The BC Turf – 1 1/2 on the turf – 7:40 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #13 – Tarnawa / #11 – Gufo / #10 – Yibir
#13 Tarnawa was last year’s winner and did it impressively for Dermot Weld and Colin Keane. She was a game 2nd in the G1 Arc, and that race has played a major prep moving forward. I’m looking for a ride where you’ll see her make a sweeping move and inhale the field down the stretch. #11 Gufo is a late runner that can really find an extra gear if the pace is solid. Comes in for Christophe Clement and Joel Rosario, and they’re winning at a 24% clip as a team. Two races back in the G1 Sword Dancer you saw a good prep, but his last start in the G1 Turf Classic he got run down in the final strides. Rosario fits well and will have him in rolling down the lane today. #10 Yibir was ultra impressive last out in the Jockey Club Invitational under Jamie Spencer. William Buick back in the saddle today for Charlie Appleby, and I’m looking for a square price on this son of Dubawi (IRE) as they launch a strong bid down the lane.
Race #12 – The BC Classic – 1 1/4 – 8:40 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #4 – Essential Quality / #6 – Art Collector / #5 – Knicks Go
#4 Essential Quality hails from the Brad Cox barn and has the services of Luis Saez as they seek their 4th straight win. This son of Tapit looks the major danger and Saez has been in the saddle for all but his maiden break at CD. His G1 Travers win was game and comes off a two month freshener with a bullet work to seal the deal. #6 Art Collector is a son of Bernardini for Bill Mott and Mike Smith in the driver’s seat. He should be forwardly placed under Smith as they seek their fourth straight win. Smith should have him close or just off depending on the tempo, and after shipping in from the Thomas Drury barn he’s been on a roll for Mott. Saez opts for Essential Quality but having Money Mike in the saddle is a plus. #5 Knicks Go tries 10 furlongs for the first time and will come out swinging for Brad Cox and Joel Rosario. He always sports good early foot and Rosario is a master at getting them to relax and carry their speed as he wins 25% with early runners.