Tag Archives: Brian Lynch

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – June 15

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Churchill Downs Race #6 – G2 Wise Dan – 1 1/16 on the turf – 8:37 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #12 – Admission Office / #6 – Siem Riep / #4 – Hot Springs

#12 Admission Office is a son of Point of Entry making his 3rd off the layoff move for the Brian Lynch barn. Exits the G2 Dixie at Pimlico and was beaten a half after being squeezed at the start. His dam Miss Chapin has 7 starters, 6 wins, and 6 turf wins to her credit. He is a deep closer under Joel Rosario who is a 16% turf winning rider. #6 Siem Riep is a son of Tapit for trainer Ben Colebrook with James Graham aboard. 2nd off the layoff and he is 2 for 2 with wins at CD. He has plenty of early speed and Graham returns off a win in the saddle a month ago. #4 Hot Springs is a son of Uncle Mo for Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santana in the driver’s seat. He is 3rd off the layoff and 4 for 5 with wins at CD. Toss out the last race and you have a solid stalker reuniting with the barn rider.

Race#7 – The G2 Fleur de Lis – 1 1/8 – 9:12 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Elate / #2 – She’s a Julie / #5 – Blue Prize

#3 Elate hails from the Bill Mott barn with Jose Ortiz in the irons. She’s been off for two months and exits the G1 Apple Blossom. She drops a notch in class and gets added distance. Elate should lay right off the pace and wait for the command of Ortiz to answer the question. #2 She’s a Julie comes in for trainer Steve Asmussen with Ricardo Santana in the saddle. She is 4 for 5 ITM at CD and makes her 2nd off the shelf move effort. This gal will be close to the pace and make a tactical move on the turn. #5 Blue Prize is a daughter of Pure Prize who is 6 for 7 ITM at CD. This is her 2nd start of 2019 and was the beaten chalk in the G1 La Troienne. She loves the oval and gets a top rider switch.

Race #8 – The G2 Stephen Foster – 1 1/8 – 9:47 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Gift Box / #4 – Seeking the Soul / #12 – Yoshida

#6 Gift Box is a son of Twirling Candy for trainer John Sadler and Joel Rosario. 2nd start off the layoff and was the beaten chalk in the G1 Gold Cup at SA. He cuts back in distance and been working lights out in the morning. He should get a perfect stalking trip under Rosario and battle down the lane. #4 Seeking the Soul hails from the barn of Dallas Stewart with John Velasquez in the irons. 3rd off the layoff and the barn wins 33% on this move. He is a stone cold closer who is 9 for 11 ITM at CD and owns a bullet coming into the race. #12 Yoshida comes in for Bill Mott with Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. He’s been off for two months since the Dubai World Cup. He cuts back in distance and has faced some of the best in the world. This son of Heart’s Cry (JPN) will come flying down the lane under Ortiz.

BetPTC.com Breeders’ Cup Preview – 11/3/18

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

The 35th edition of the Breeders’ Cup will take place this Friday and Saturday. There are fourteen Breeders’ Cup races with the best runners in the world converging on Louisville, Kentucky. We will cover races 8-11 which make up the $3 million dollar guaranteed late pick-four.

Churchill Downs

Race #8 – The Breeders’ Cup Mile – 1 mile on turf – 3:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Expert Eye / #5 – Oscar Performance / #2 – Next Shares

#7 Expert Eye is the son of Acclamation for Sir Michael Stoute. He gets first Lasix and has been a little short of getting the mile distance. Europeans have a way of getting added distance on these days and has the services of Frankie Dettori in irons. The 55 days away from the races may have him in top order and the connections like their chances. #5 Oscar Performance is a son of Kittens’ Joy for trainer Brian Lynch with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. He is a perfect 3 for 3 at the distance and exits the G1 Woodbine Mile which has served as a great prep for this affair. Ortiz is an excellent judge of pace and should try and wire the field. #2 Next Shares is a son of Archarcharch and exits the G1 Shadwell Mile at Keeneland. Also a key prep for this race and 6 for 9 ITM going the distance. Respected rider Tyler Gafflione in the saddle and trainer Richard Baltas wins 17% on the turf. This closer will come calling late.

Race #9 – The Breeders’ Cup Distaff – 1 1/8 – 4:16 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #11 – Monomoy Girl / #2 – Abel Tasman / #10 – Blue Prize

#11 Monomoy Girl is a daughter of Tapizar for trainer Brad Cox. She is 3 for 3 ITM at Churchill and was a beaten favorite in the G1 Cotillion at Parx.  She won and was disqualified but her works are showing readiness to roll. Florent Geroux in the irons and she is 2 for 2 at the distance. If she runs back to the G1 CCA Oaks she’s gonna be tough to handle. #2 Abel Tasman comes to post for Bob Baffert and Mike Smith in the saddle. Toss out the last race where she bobbled and came off slow. According to Baffert she spiked a fever and wasn’t feeling herself. 3rd start off the layoff, solid works and 4 for 4 ITM at the distance makes her a player. #10 Blue Prize is a daughter of Pure Prize for Ignacio Correas. “Jersey” Joe Bravo in the saddle and she is 5 for 5 ITM at CD. That was a nice win in the G1 Spinster and Correas is winning 44% looking for 4-in-a-row.

Race #10 – The G1 Breeders’ Cup Turf – 1 1/2 on the turf – 4:56 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #12 – Waldgeist / #2 – Enable / #1 – Talismanic

#12 Waldgeist is a son of Galileo for the Andre Fabre yard. This is his 3rd start off the layoff and ran a game 2nd in the Gr1 Arc de Triomphe. He looks to be sitting on a huge effort and the top shelf connections have been speaking good things all week. #2 Enable is an ultra talented filly for trainer John Gosden. She has rolled off eight straight wins and looks to be the one to beat. Frankie Dettori is the reinsman and she’s been training well at Churchill Downs applying the final touches. She is 3 for 3 at the distance and her only knock is that Arc winners are 0 for 8 winning this event. #1 Talismanic exits a key race in the Gr1 Arc and won this event last year paying a handsome price. Is a repeat in the cards? He has excellent breeding and will come calling late in the lane.

Race #11 – The G1 Breeders’ Cup Classic – 1 1/4 – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2- Thunder Snow / #14 – Accelerate / #6 – McKinzie

#2 Thunder Snow has been looking good in the morning works over the CD oval. This is his 3rd start off the layoff and ran a huge effort in the G1 Jockey Gold Cup getting bested by a neck at the wire. He is 3 for 4 ITM going 1 1/4 and should be in mid pack poised to pounce. #14 Accelerate is looking to go four in a row for trainer John Sadler. Joel Rosario is the reinsman and has been aboard his last two impressive wins. He loves the distance going 4 for 4 and won the G1 Pacific Classic by 12 lengths. Loves the distance, the rider fits like a glove, and he’s gonna be tough down the lane. #6 McKinzie is a son of Street Sense who won the Kentucky Derby. Bob Baffert and Mike Smith team up and they do every good work when the money is on the line. Should be forwardly placed with a rider who is an excellent judge of pace. Can be a major player today.

 

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 9/29/18

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Belmont Race #7 – The G1 Vosburgh – 6f – 4:09 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Imperial Hint / #5 – Silver Ride / #2 – Maniacal

#6 Imperial Hint has Javier Castellano in the saddle for Luis Carvajal. Tons of speed in here and this stalker may be the perfect answer. He’s been off for 2 months since Saratoga and been working bullets in the morning at Parx. He’s looking for three in a row and can lay just off the speed. This son of Imperialism is going to be tough to handle. #5 Silver Ride is a son of Candy Ride for trainer Brian Lynch. Jose Ortiz gets the call and been away for 50 days.  He is three for five ITM and has the look of a solid closer. Ortiz is a big plus and with a clean trip, he could be a major player. #2 Maniacal is a son of Kitten’s Joy making the turf to dirt switch for trainer Mike Maker where he wins 17% on this move. John Velasquez in the saddle and was a beaten favorite at Kentucky Downs. He comes back to the dirt and is one for one at Belmont.

Race #8 – The G1 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic – 1 1/2 on the turf – 4:42 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Channel Maker / #1 – Robert Bruce / #3 – Sadler’s Joy

#8 Channel Maker is a son of English Channel for trainer Bill Mott. Jose Ortiz is the reinsman and is making the third start off a layoff move. He should enjoy the distance going two for three ITM and Ortiz is an excellent judge of pace. He’s a strong closing sort and will come rolling at the top of the lane. His dam In Return has 4 starters, 3 winners, 2 stakes winners, and 2 turf winners to her credit. #1 Robert Bruce comes in for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz in the saddle. Brown is winning 26% at the meet and “Robert” exits an impressive win in the G1 Arlington Million. He’s been off for 49 days and is a stout closer. Irad Ortiz won on his birthday aboard Robert Bruce and looks to keep the party going on the stretch out in distance. #3 Sadler’s Joy is a son of Kitten’s Joy for trainer Thom Albertrani. This is his third off the layoff start and was a beaten favorite in the G1 Sword Dancer. He should come calling late in the lane and must be respected.

Race #10 – The G1 Jockey Gold Cup – 1 1/4 – 5:50 pm 

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Diversify / #8 – Thunder Snow / #4 – Patch

#6 Diversify is a son of Bellamy Road for trainer Richard Violette. This New York bred is eight for eight ITM at Belmont. He’s been off for 56 days and exits an impressive win in the G1 Whitney. This son of Bellamy Road is two for two at the distance and been working bullets in the morning. Irad Ortiz will him in high cruising speed turning for home. #8 Thunder Snow comes to post for Saeed bin Suroor with Christophe Soumillion in the irons. He exits the Gr1 Juddmonte International at York and was doing very well in Dubai. He cuts back in distance and is a closer in the hands of world class rider Soumillion. #4  Patch comes into the race for the Todd Pletcher barn and Calumet Farm. Luis Saez in the irons and is 3rd off the layoff. This son of Union Rags can come running late and light up the tote board.

Graded Stakes Preview – Saturday, August, 12, 2017

Graded Stakes Preview / BetPTC.com / Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #4 – G2 Adirondack Stakes – 6 1/2 f – 2:44 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #1 – Pure Silver / #2 -Stainless / #3 – Sly Roxy

#1 – Pure Silver = John Velasquez aboard for Todd Pletcher and they are winning (30%) the past two months. 2-yr-old filly by Mission Impazible and she is a perfect 2/2. Her last effort at Belmont in the Lynbrook Stakes was ultra-impressive. The rider/trainer are 13/16 the last two weeks, and Pletcher wins (27%) with his babies. #2 – Stainless = Manny Franco for Todd Pletcher and they are rolling at a (38%) clip the last 60 days as a team. This daughter of Flatter was coming late in the G3 Schuylerville was very wide at the top of the lane. Pletcher wins (25%) with his sprinters and (45%) ITM with graded stakes. #3 – Sly Roxy = Javier Castellano for Mark Casse and she was impressive in her maiden debut at Saratoga. She was the odds-on favorite and exited off a blistering work prior to her coming out party.

Race #10 – G1 Fourstardave – 1 mile on the turf – 6:28 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #3 – Time Test / #5 – Sassy Little Lila / #6 – Disco Partner

#3 – Time Test = Son of Dubawi for the Chad Brown barn, and has been away from the races for two months. This is his 3rd start of the year, and he was a beaten favorite last out settling for 2nd money. He cuts back in distance and has some nice works over the course. His pattern points to a prime effort. #5 – Sassy Little Lila = Speedy filly by Artie Schiller. Luis Saez has the call for Brad Cox and comes off a loss in the G1 Just A Game. She is 2/2 at the Spa ITM and should be showing the way from the start. #6 – Disco Partner = Tyler Gafflione for Christophe Clement. This son of Disco Rico is 2/2 ITM over the course and is shooting for 4-in-a-row moving up the class ladder.

Arlington

Race #7 – G1 Secretariat – 1 1/4 on turf – 4:50 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #3 – Permian / #4 – Oscar Performance / #6 – Taj Mahal

#3 – Permian = William Buick for Mark Johnston as they bring a 3-yr-old son of Teofilo to post. He cuts back from 1 1/2 at Saint Cloud and is 2/2 ITM going this distance. He owns two impressive efforts going 1 1/4 at Newmarket and Epsom earlier this year. Buick fits the colt like a glove and I’m looking for a stalking effort right off the speed of “Oscar” and “Sonic.” #4 – Oscar Performance = Jose Ortiz aboard for Brian Lynch and this son of Kitten’s Joy was super in the G1 Belmont Derby. Plenty of early foot and has the services of one of the best speed riders in the country. He won the Breeders’ Cup Turf Juvenile last year and has the credentials to not look back with a (20%) winning turf rider in the driver’s seat. #6 – Taj Mahal = Ryan Moore for Aiden O’Brien and gets first-time Lasix (12%), and locked horns with some Euro tough guys. He should be up close, and with the addition of medication this son of Galileo could get the money.

Race #10 – G1 Beverly D – 1 3/16 on the turf – 6:35 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #5 – Grand Jete / #1 -Dacita / #4 – Dona Bruja

#5 – Grand Jete = 3/3 since shipping over from France for the Chad Brown barn. She looks to be getting better with every race, and her late punch can get the job done. Joel Rosario in the saddle and he is looking for his 3rd win in 4 starts. Brown comes loaded this day and her dam Modern Look has 3 starters; 3 winners, and 3 turf winners to her credit. #1 – Dacita = Irad Ortiz aboard for Chad Brown and they are winning (18%) the past two months. Brown wins (27%) with rested runners and she has been away for 60 days. She loves to fire fresh off the rest. #4 – Dona Bruja = Declan Cannon for Ignacio Correas (29%) and she is a perfect 2/2 over the AP turf. This is a very good test as she is stepping up in class today.

Race #11 – G1 Arlington Million – 1 1/4 on the turf – 7:19 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #13 – Mekhtaal / #5 – Deauville / #9 – Scottish

#13 – Mekhtaal = Frankie Dettori in the saddle and exits the Gr.1 Prince of Wales at Ascot. This has been a key race sending out 2 from 6 runners to come right back and score. His dam Aiglonne has 9 starters; 9 turf winners, and 3 stakes winners. He’s been off for 52 days and runs well off a race break. This son of Sea of Stars rates a big chance and the connections like his chances. #5 – Deauville = Ryan Moore for Aidan O’Brien. They have a son of Galileo going to the gate who has solid tactical speed. 3/3 ITM at the distance, and was outkicked down the lane in last year’s edition of the Million. He gets Lasix and should get a perfect trip under Ryan Moore. Been training well and faced some classy runners in Europe. #9 – Scottish = William Buick for Charles Applebee bringing a son of Teofilo to post. Exits the Gr.1 Prince of Wales and is 4/5 ITM going this distance. O’Brien targets US races and this gelding is making his 2nd start of the year with a 52-day rest in between efforts for Team Godolphin.

Graded Stakes Preview – Saturday, July 22, 2017

BetPTC.com / Graded Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

 

Saratoga

Race #9 – G3 Sanford – 6f on the main – 5:40 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections = #5 – Admiral Jimmy (4-1) / #7 – Direct Dial (5-2) / #1 – Psychoanalyze (7-2)

#5 – Admiral Jimmy = 2-yr-old colt by Jimmy Creed and he wins (33%) with first-time starters, and lived up to his numbers as this colt romped his first time out at Gulfstream. He’s been in New York since 6/23 and has three works over the course. Javier Castellano in the irons for Todd Pletcher and he wins (27%) with his babies. I’m looking for a repeat getting better for his backers.  #7 – Direct Dial = Speedy son of Too Much Bling and his last race was an impressive run in the $150k Tremont. He has the services of one of the best speed riders in the country with Jose Ortiz who wins (24%) with early speed runners. This Texas-bred for the Steve Asmussen barn will be right there setting the fractions and his morning works have been sparkling. #1 – Psychoanalyze = He won at first asking for Brian Lynch and his sire Overanalyze wins (28%) with his first timers. He’ll battle it out with “Dial” and has every chance to improve with Luis Saez drawing the rail post.

Race #10 – G1 Diana Stakes – 1 1/8 on the turf – 6:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections = #3 – Lady Eli (4-5) / #6 – Dickinson (9-2) / #4 – Quidana (8-1)

#3 -Lady Eli = Irad Ortiz for Chad Brown ITM at the “Spa” and comes off a 56 day break off a win in the G1 Gamely at Santa Anita. Her work two back was very sharp and she’ll look to go a perfect 3/3 at Saratoga. – There will be many racing fans watching her every move as she has overcome much in her short time. If you see anywhere near (4-5) that may be solid value. #6 – Dickinson = Paco Lopez in the saddle for Kiaran McLaughlin and she is 6/7 ITM on the turf. That was a solid run 1st off and Lopez fits her like a glove. It was a perfect stepping stone to build a summer campaign. #4 – Quidana = Graham Motion has a nice filly by Dubawi. She is 5/6 ITM on the sod and makes her 2nd start off a two-month layoff. She’s locked horns with these fillies in the past and looks to bring her “A” game off a smart morning work.

 

Del Mar

Race #4 – G2 Eddie Read – 1 1/8 on the turf – 6:40 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections = #6 – Ashleyluvssugar (7-5) / #5 – Up With the Birds (15-1) / #2 – Hunt (3-1)

#6 – Ashelyluvssugar = Gary Stevens aboard for Peter Eurton. Stevens (22%) with turf runners and is 4/4 ITM at Del Mar. Exits off a win in the G2 Whittingham and been on the shelf for 55 days. Eurton wins (18%) with his layoff runners and cuts back 1 1/4 to 1 1/8. He is 12/16 ITM on the sod and looks to be a perfect stalking type. #5 – Up With the Birds = Jamie Theriot in the irons for Phil D’Amato who was last year’s winning trainer at the meet. He’s been off for 55 days and is a deep closing type. He ran a game 3rd against “Ashley” last out and makes the same trip back to the races. #2 – Hunt = Flavien Pratt for Phil D’Amato and he was 2nd in the standings for leading rider last year. This son of Dark Angel gets first-time blinkers (21%) and 2nd off the layoff (21%) for a very solid conditioner.

 

Race #9 – G2 San Diego Handicap – 1 1/16 on the main – 9:10 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections = #3 – Arrogate (1-5) / #2 – El Huerfano (12-1) / #1 – Accelerate (8-1)

#3 – Arrogate = Super colt coming off a 7 win streak and been off for 3 months after a sparkling win in the Dubai World Cup. Baffert know’s he has a special runner and he is skilled with layoff runners winning (27%) when they return to the races. The world’s highest rated horse will be exciting to watch on his return. #2 – El Huerfano = Speedster with the red-hot Evin Roman in the driver’s seat. He’ll jump out quickly and may have his hands full even with his best effort. #1 – Accelerate = Son of Looking At Lucky is 2/2 at Del Mar making his 2nd trip off of the layoff. His works are hot and the rider is off to a great start.

 

 

BetPTC.com Horses to Watch – 8/8/16

Horses to Watch – Ed Meyer

Mother Nature is still blazing away in parts of the country, but on occasion still shows us a glimpse of all the beauty summer has to showcase. – Saratoga was the main focus this past weekend as Frosted put on a show that has us thinking bigger and bigger races down the road. By all accounts, Frosted returned from a hand-ride in the (G-1) Whitney in good order. He is the second runner in a row to sweep the Met Mile and The Whitney following Honor Code last year. – Here are some runners who had a bad day at the office, or deserve an immediate playback. Just keep your eyes peeled and your bankrolls handy. – Best of luck from your friends at BetPTC.com !

Saratoga

8/6/16

Race #1 – #1 – Brooklyn Bobby – 1 1/16 on the turf

This son of Frankel shied inward at the start and was checked up sharply. Good works and great connections with Joel Rosario and Brian Lynch have us looking forward. – This two-year-old has the makings of something very good as his sire wins 64% with his first time turfers. We’ll toss this one and file it under being a youngster. – This guy has something special and needs to be followed right back.

Race #5 – #5 – Sport – 1 1/16 on the turf

Irad Ortiz in the irons with a freshened son of Hard Spun. He had been away from the races for 55 days and has solid works to signal his readiness. – He bumped around leaving the gate and stuck behind a wall of horses under a hammer-lock waiting for room. He was full of run and had no place to go. He has the look of a runner who may wheel right back and score.

Race #10 – #2 – Comfort – (G-1) Whitney – 1 1/8

Johnny V and Pletcher brought this son of Indian Charlie to the paddock. He was facing a monster in Frosted but what he showed gives me great hope moving forward. He checked leaving the starting gate and while in the two path he showed great late acceleration. Maybe facing anyone but Frosted would be a blessing or could he be that upset runner in the wings ? – Time will tell and he’ll give em’ fits next with a clean trip.

Mountaineer

8/6/16

Race  #1 – #8 Moonshine Promise – 6f on the main track

DeShawn Parker had the Cleveland invader in the catbird seat and rated well. He fanned out six wide making a late bid and his late turn of foot is what caught my eye. – He may pop up at Thistledown, or right back Mountaineer. I’m looking for a mid-range stake that will have him in the right place ready to roll.

Belterra Park

8/7/16

Race #3 – #2B Include Love – 6f on the main

Ricardo Mejias in town and he was aboard a very fast filly who deserves respect. His mount was for the red-hot Shane Meyers barn and they won by a widening 9 3/4 going away easily. – This gal is a playback who will do well moving up the ladder.

Race #4 – #1 – Pepite – 1 1/16 on the turf

Fresh off the claim for “Chip” Brownfield, and for a turf course that plays kind to speed. This son of Pulpit was fanned eight wide at the top of the short stretch and got up in the shadow of the wire. They haven’t gotten to the bottom of this guy yet, and he looks like a turf runner that has the ability to move up in class. – For what its worth. The same winning connections claimed Aesop from the race who had a bad day and turned in a lackluster performance. His barn is on a mission and after talking with him last night there might be some more claims to come.

Race #7 – #6 – Hope’s Frog Song – 1 1/16 on the turf

This mare took a big step forward and grabbed the lead a jump or two as they entered the stretch. She looked as game as they come and was gunned down in a four horse blanket photo  by School Board Prez facing older for the first time and is a perfect 4/4 at BtP. – She is getting better with every effort, and is one to follow right back to the windows.