Tag Archives: Chad Brown

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – May 11

BetPTC.com Horse Racing Analysis – by Ed Meyer

Belmont Park Race #4 – The G3 Peter Pan – 1 1/8 – 3:08 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Final Jeopardy / #1 – Intrepid Heart / #3 Global Campaign

#5 Final Jeopardy is a son of Street Sense for trainer Jason Servis. Irad Ortiz has the call and this is his third off the layoff exiting the G2 Wood Memorial. He was compromised and squeezed back at the start. He’s a solid stalker for Gary and Mary West and maybe this weekend will be a little kinder. #1 Intrepid Heart hails from the barn of Todd Pletcher with John Velasquez aboard. They are winning 28% as a team and this son of Tapit is 2/2. He’s a versatile runner seeking his third straight win moving up the ladder. #3 Global Campaign goes to post for trainer Stanley Hough with Luis saez in the saddle. He’s been on the shelf for 2 months exiting the G2 FOY at GP. His style is solid speed as this son of Curlin has been working over the deep CD course looking to fire with fresh legs.

Race  #7 – The G3 Beaugay Stakes – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:45 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Homerique / #6 – Binto Al Nar / #3 – Competitonofideas

#5 Homerique is a daughter of Exchange Rate for Chad Brown. She gets 1st time Lasix and the barn wins 27% with new runners in the barn. She ships in from Longchamp and is 5/6 ITM on the green. Irad Ortiz is winning 41% with Chad Brown when they team up. #6 Binto Al Nar hails from the Peter Schiergen yard. She’s been off for 6 months shipping in from Milan, Italy. John Velasquez has the call and he knows the course going 42% ITM on grass races. #3 Competitonofideas is a daughter of Speightstown for trainer Chad Brown. Joel Rosario in the driver’s seat as she comes off a string victory in the G1 American Oaks at SA. She is a strong closer and Brown is scoring at a 39% clip this meet.

Race #10 – The G3 Man O’ War – 1 3/8 on the turf – 6:24 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Magic Wand / #2 – Zulu Alpha / #6 – Focus Group

#5 Magic Wand is a daughter of Galileo for trainer Aidan O’Brien. Wayne Lordan gets the call and she gets 2nd time Lasix where the trainer wins 27%. Her last race was the G1 Dubai Sheema Classic back in March and ran a game second against the boys in the G1 Pegasus World Cup Turf. Lordan has a pair of seconds to his credit in the saddle looking to to seal the deal. #2 Zulu Alpha is a son of Street Cry for trainer Mike Maker. Javier Castellano aboard and makes a 2nd off the layoff move exiting the G2 Elkhorn at Keeneland. He is 14/20 ITM on the green and was a beaten favorite last out looking for payback. #6 Focus Group is a son of Kitten’s Joy for Chad Brown. Irad Ortiz in the irons making his second start of the year. He won with a strong closing effort in the G2 Pan American looking to make 2019 his year.

BetPTC.com KY Derby Weekend Stakes Preview

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer – 5/4

Churchill Downs

Race #9 – The G2 American Turf – 1 1/16 on the turf – 3:37 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Turf Selections / #1 – A Thread of Blue / #2 – Social Paranoia / #8 – Avie’s Flatter

#1 A Thread of Blue has been off two months for the Kiaran McLaughlin barn. Luis Saez in the saddle for this son of Hard Spun. He is a perfect stalker and can take over the lead if the fractions are slow. He is seeking his 4th win in a row and Saez opts for this mount over Social Paranoia. #2 Social Paranoia is a son of Street Boss for trainer Todd Pletcher. His first start of 2019 was super impressive and switches riders to Manny Franco. He is 6 for 6 ITM lifetime and a big effort may be on the agenda for this late running colt. #8 Avie’s Flatter is a son of Flatter for trainer Josie Carroll. He is looking for his fourth straight win exiting off an impressive win in the G3 Transylvania.

Race #11 – The G1 – Turf Classic – 1 1/8 on the turf – 5:25 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Raging Bull / #9 – Synchrony / #12 – Bricks and Mortar

#2 Raging Bull is a son of Dark Angel (IRE) for trainer Chad Brown with Joel Rosario in the irons. He is a late runner who will make his presence felt at the top of the lane while making his 2nd start of the year. Heavily backed last out, Bull gave a very good account of himself last time out. He has an explosive turn of foot. #9 Synchrony is a son of Tapit for trainer Mike Stidham. John Velasquez in the saddle and he is 1 for 1 ITM at CD. This is his 3rd start off the layoff where the barn wins 23%. Look for Johnny V to come rolling late in the stretch. #12 Bricks and Mortar hails from the Chad Brown barn with Irad Ortiz as the pilot. 2nd off the layoff seeking four straight wins. He is 3 for 3 going the distance and Ortiz is a strong finisher down the lane. The only knock is overcoming the #12 post.

Race #12 – The 145th running of the G1 Kentucky Derby – 1 1/4 – 6:50 pm EDT

*** Omaha Beach is a late scratch and #20 – Bodexpress draws into the race ***

BetPTC.com Selections / #17 – Roadster / #16 – Game Winner / #6 Vekoma

#17 Roadster is one of three runners for the Bob Baffert camp. He is a son of Quality Road and Florent Geroux is in the saddle. This is his 3rd start off the layoff, lightly raced, and if you watched the G1 Santa Anita Derby, you’ll see an incredible effort. He settled in, dropped back and made an explosive move around the bend. Geroux is an excellent reinsman and I’m looking for him to wear the roses this year. #16 Game Winner is a son of Candy Ride for trainer Bob Baffert. 1 for 1 at CD and 3rd off the layoff for this colt. Since winning the B/C Juvenile last year he owns a pair of 2nd place efforts in the G2 Rebel and G1 Santa Anita Derby. He’s a game runner and does very little wrong. I’m looking for a perfect stalking trip to make it a Baffert exacta. #6 Vekoma is a son of Candy Ride for trainer George Weaver. Javier Castellano in driver’s seat, and this guy has a wicked turn of foot. He should stalk just off the pace and make a move around the far turn. If Mother Nature gets ugly, he is bred well to love a wet surface.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 4/13/19

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Keeneland

Race #9 – The G3 Lexington – 1 1/16 – 5:34 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Zenden / #10 – Roiland / #2 – Hawaiian Noises

#9 Zenden is a lightly raced son of Fed Biz and has the services of Tyler Gaffalione. He is making a 3rd start off the layoff and owns a bullet work coming into the race.  He should be forwardly placed and his last two races were biased to closers. Look for TG to stay right on the hook and save enough gas down the short stretch. #10 Roiland hails from the Thomas Amoss barn and is a stone cold closer. James Grahm in the saddle and they team up to win 21%. Look for him to circle wide into the far turn. #2 Hawaiian Noises comes from the Wesley Ward barn with Johnny V in the irons. This son of Super Saver has rolled off three in a row and makes the poly to dirt switch winning the $50k Animal Kingdom at Turfway last out. He has worked three straight bullets in the morning and goes from Bejarano to John Velasquez. Go back three races and he broke his maiden going 6f at Keeneland and this will be his first time going two turns. He looks to be an up close sort with the added ground and should knock heads with plenty of early speed.

Race #10 -The G1 Jenny Wiley – 1 1/16 on the turf – 6:12 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Rushing Fall / #4 – Rymska / #8 – Onthemoonagain

#2 Rushing Fall is a daughter of More Than Ready and is 7 for 7 ITM and a perfect 3 for 3 over the Keeneland sod. She comes from the Chad Brown barn and he looks loaded for bear in this race. This is her first start of the year and comes off a 6 month layoff where Brown wins 29%. She is very versatile and can do about anything asked. She is a neck from a perfect record and Chad Brown has the hot stakes winning rider Javier Castellano in the irons for this effort. #4 Rymska is a French invader from the Chad Brown barn. This is her 3rd off the shelf and won her last where the barn scores at a 28% clip. She is a closer who turns back in distance with the hot hand of Irad Ortiz. He may be one of the best closing riders in the country and will make her appear at the top of the lane looking for the perfect trip. #8 Onthemoonagain is a daughter of Cape Cross for Chad Brown. This is her 2nd start of the year and was flat out rolling in the G2 Hillsborough at Tampa Bay. That looked like a perfect prep as they turn back in distance with a couple nice works under her belt. John Velasquez in the irons and he and Mr. Brown are winning 67% on the year as a team.

Oaklawn

Race #11 – The G1 Arkansas Derby – 1 1/8 – 7:43 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Improbable / #11 – Long Range Toddy / #7 – Galilean

#1 Improbable hails from the Bob Baffert barn and is a monster. He was bested by a neck last in the G2 Rebel. A rider change from Van Dyke to Jose Ortiz and adding blinkers may be the moves that seal the deal. This is his second start of the year and the works are red hot. Ortiz should have him in the perfect spot as a stalker and pounce with plenty of gas in the tank. #11 – Long Range Toddy comes from the Steve Asmussen barn and is three for three ITM over the Oaklawn surface. He takes to the oval and his last race rolling late to win the G2 Rebel was impressive. Distance should be no problem and Jon Court will get his best down the lane. #7 – Galilean is a speedy son of Uncle Mo and Flavien Prat in town to ride for the  Hollendorfer barn. He will be right on the engine and Prat is an excellent judge of pace. If he gets loose this California invader may enjoy his second trip over the track. Blinkers off show they are looking for answers today.

 

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 2/2/19

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #9 – The G3 Forward Gal – 7f – 4:07 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Feedback / #7 – Bye Bye J / #1 – Champagne Anyone

#4 Feedback is a daughter of Violence and she won impressively by eight lengths under Irad Ortiz. She did this well within herself and gets added distance which should offer no problem. She’s been away from the races for 5 months and has a regular work tab. Chad Brown is the conditioner and he is winning 21% and 28% with layoff runners coming back to the races. #7 Bye Bye J is a Ronald Spatz trainee and John Velasquez in the irons. She is a perfect 2 for 2 at GP and 2 for with wins. The only race she lost was facing the boys and been away for 56 days. Her dam Red Pine has 4 starts and 4 wins. #1 Champagne Anyone is a son of Street Sense with Chris Landeros in the saddle. She exits the G2 Golden Rod and ships in from CD after two months on the shelf.

Race #10 – The G3 Swale – 7f – 4:40 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Topper T / #5 – Call Paul / #9 – Zenden

#3 Topper T is a son of Bellamy Road for the red hot Bill Mott barn winning 28%. He is been off for two months shipping in from CD. He’s faced much tougher and should show very good early speed under Javier Castellano. #5 Call Paul is a speedy son of Friesen Fire for the red hot Jason Servis barn winning 43%. The move back to 7f should fit his liking as he won a stakes at Parx last out going the same distance. He should be a perfect stalking trip and pounce at the top of the lane. #9 Zenden is a colt by Fed Biz and is a perfect two for two lifetime. He’s been away for 56 days and his two wins have come over the GP surface.

Race #11 – The G2 Holy Bull – 1 1/16 – 5:13 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Maximus Mischief / #1 Garter and Tie / #6 – Mihos

#8 Maximus Mischief is a son of Into Mischief who is a perfect three for three winning the G2 Remsen. He grabbed the lead going 9f and cuts back to 8.5f. He has been off for two months and his works have been sharp. #1 Garter and Tie has Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle making his third off the layoff. He is 6 for 7 ITM over the GP strip. The rail post is winning at 27% and may be the place to be. #6 Mihos is a son of Cairo Prince and is making his third off the layoff. Ever since adding Lasix he’s been double tough. John Velasquez picks up the mount for James Jerkins and should be a major player when they turn for home.

 

 

BetPTC.com Weekend Stakes Preview – 12/29/18

BetPTC.com/ Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #8 – The Tropical Park Oaks – 1 1/16 on the turf – 3:39 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Too Cool to Dance / #6 – Proud O’ Paddy / #13 – Angel of Mischief

#1 Too Cool to Dance has Irad Ortiz in the saddle for Chad Brown. They are winning 18% on the year and bring a daughter of Kitten’s Joy who’s been off for three months. They are cutting back in distance and the connections win 29% with layoff runners. #6 Proud O’ Paddy is a daughter of Paddy O’Prado for Jane Cibelli. She is 4 for 5 ITM at GP and been off since October. She won her last start and the barn wins 23% with repeat runners. Nik Juarez is the reinsman and should have her close to the pace. #13 – Angel of Mischief hails from the Norm Casse barn with Julien Leparoux in the irons. Toss out her race in the G2 Mrs. Revere at CD and she is a perfect 2 for 2 on the sod. Casse is going to do big things in racing and the meet at Gulfstream may kick it off.

Race #9 – The Via Borghese – 1 3/16 on the turf – 4:10 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Peru / #7 – Danceland / #2 – Silver Shaker

#5 Peru comes from the Mike Maker barn and is a daughter of Motivator. Jose Ortiz in the irons and she is 3 for 6 ITM at Gulfstream Park. She gets added distance and should be drafting right behind the top flight. Ortiz fits her like a glove and wins 21% with Maker runners. #7 Danceland is a daughter of Tapit for Shug McGaughey. John Velasquez is the rider and she’s making her 2nd start off a layoff. The barn wins 21% on this move and she takes a drop down from graded company and switches back to Johnny V. #2 Silver Shaker comes from the Chad Brown and is making her 2nd start off the layoff. The trainer wins 24% on this move and is 8 for 9 ITM on the green. Irad Ortiz in the irons, and just got bested at the wire last out. She will be forwardly placed in this group.

Race #11 – The Tropical Park Derby – 1 1/16 on the turf – 5:12 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Breaking the Rules / #12 – Rose’s Vision / #11 – Therapist

#4 Breaking the Rules is a son of War Front for the Shug McGaughey barn. Irad Ortiz has the call and was an impressive winner last time out. He’s been away for two months and ships in fresh from Belmont after some solid works at Payson Park. #12 Rose’s Vision is a son of Artie Schiller with Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. He’s been away from the races since August and working regular at Palm Meadows. Trainer Stuart Simon scores 25% off a last race win. #11 Therapist is a son of Freud for trainer Christophe Clement. He is 2 for 2 ITM at GP and 7 for 9 on the greensward. Tyler Gaffalione has the call and comes in fresh and ready to fire.

 

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 12/15/18

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #8 – The G3 Rampart – 1 mile – 3:34 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Electric Forest / #3 – Tapa Tapa Tapa / #2 – Tweeting

#1 Electric Forest is a daughter of Curlin for the Chad Brown barn.  Jose Ortiz has the call and they are winning 20% as a team. She draws the rail and goes from a sprint to a route as the barn scores 30% on the move. She goes from 7f to a mile and is a perfect stalker. Her two wins from three races are strong and her only loss was a troubled trip leaving the gate. She’ll get a good seat along the rail and get in the action around the far turn. #3 Tapa Tapa Tapa gets the services of Javier Castellano for trainer Tim Hamm. She’s been off for 7 months and has been working bullets in the morning. Her last effort in the G3 Doubledogdare at Keeneland may be a good prep. She has tactical speed and gets a rider change to the high percentage Castellano. #2 Tweeting is a daughter of Uncle Mo for trainer Jorge Navarro winning 18%. Albin Jimenez gets the nod and has tons of early foot. She’s been off for two months and may improve going back to a route from 7f. This is her third off the layoff and moves up in class. Catch her if you can.

Race #9 – The G3 My Charmer – 1 mile on the turf – 4:05 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – La Moneda / #8 – Capla Temptress / #7 – Cherry Lodge

#6 La Moneda is a New York bred looking town 5th race from 6 starts. John Velasquez has the call for Thomas Morley and she’s a stone cold closer. There’s a change of riders to Johnny V and she’s been on the shelf for 56 days. She cuts back from 8.5 f to a mile and this may be what the doctor ordered. #8 Capla Temptress is a long range closer for trainer Bill Mott and “Jersey” Joe Bravo in the irons. She has not raced for two months and drops in class from the G1 QEII at Keeneland. She’s going to need a solid pace and the players look to give her a holiday wish. #7 Cherry Lodge is a stalker for the Todd Pletcher barn with Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. She has been off for 58 days and should go right to the lead under Ortiz who is one of the best speed riders in the nation. She is bred to carry the distance and can be dangerous if left alone.

Race #10 – The G3 Sugar Swirl – 6f – 4:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Dream Pauline / #4 – Stormy Embrace / #2- Awestruck

#7 Dream Pauline is a daughter of Tapit for trainer Kiaran McLaughlin. She is 2 for 3 ITM with wins and comes in from CD after being forced to steady down the backstretch. 2nd start off the layoff and loves the distance going 3 for 3 ITM. She should sit back and get a great ride from Castellano and come calling late. #4 Stormy Embrace is a solid filly in the hands of Tyler Gaffalione winning 22%. She exits the BC Filly and Mare Sprint and tossed in a clunker. The drop in class should help her causes and 2nd off the layoff yields the Kathleen O’Connell barn 19% with her sprinters. I like her chances and I’m sure we’ll see good things down the road from this young lady. #2 Awestruck is a Rusty Arnold trainee with B.J. Hernandez in the irons. This is her 3rd off the shelf and she is 2 for 2 ITM over the GP oval. Look for Hernandez to come rolling late in the final furlong. She has a sharp work to prepare and can be  a major player today.

BetPTC.com Weekend Stakes Preview – 12/8/18

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #4 – The $75,000 Smooth Air – 1 mile – 1:16 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Garter and Tie /#2 – Maddy’s Last Dance / #7 – Souper Jackpot

#5 Garter and Tie was a beaten chalk last out and turns back in distance for Ralph Nicks and Tyler Gaffalione. He is a solid closer and looks in top order with some sharp morning works. Look for Gaffalione to come rolling late in the lane. #2 Maddy’s Last Dance is 2 for 2 at GP ITM and has the services of high percentage rider Luis Saez. He’s on the stretch out in distance and should be a factor in the early fractions. #7 Souper Jackpot is a speedy son of Ghostzapper with Irad Ortiz in the irons. He’s coming in off a fresh maiden break at CD and will be a speed player in this one turn mile. That was a very game effort last out and fought every step of the way. Very nice morning works show promise.

Race#5 – The $75,000 Pulpit – 1 mile on the turf – 1:46 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Henley’s Joy / #1 – Life Mission / #9 – Louder Than Bombs

#2 Henley’s Joy is a son of Kitten’s Joy from the Mike Maker barn. Tyler Gaffalione in the irons and they exit the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf finishing a dismal 13th. It could have been the track condition or just a cut above his reach for now. He has looked very sharp on the turf and finished a brilliant 2nd in the G3 Bourbon at Keeneland. He takes a huge drop in class and this may be his coming out party for big things in 2019. #1 Life Mission is son of Noble Mission for trainer Ben Colebrook. He is 4 for 5 ITM on the green and yet to find the winner’s circle. He’s been on some soft courses and might relish a tighter turf. Luis Saez in the saddle and he scores 15% riding on the turf. Ever since shipping in from Ireland he’s looked better with each start. #9 Louder Than Bombs returns to the turf and is 2 for 3 with wins on the greensward. Javier Castellano has the call for David Fawkes and they have been working a regular clip in the morning with a sharp work to prepare. Castellano wins 20% with turf runners and he will come running down the pace in mid stretch.

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Race #6 – The $75,000 Wait a While – 1 mile on the turf – 2:16 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Queen Medb / #4 – A Bit Special / #9 – Red Hot Dame

#1 Queen Medb is a daughter of Kodiac shipping over from Ireland for the Chad Brown barn. He wins 23% getting first Lasix and 30% on the stretch out in distance. Javier Castellano aboard and they win 35% as team. She draws the rail and has the typical look of a Brown runner who could score at first asking in the states. #4 A Bit Special looks to relish the turf going 3 for 3 ITM. Patrick Biancone is the conditioner and is always dangerous with his turf runners. She’s been off for two months and Romero Maragh has been aboard all three times. I like her chances to come calling late to storm past in the stretch. #9 Red Hot Dame is a daughter of Violence who has sprinted her last two efforts. Todd Pletcher and John Velasquez team up and the added distance may fit her well. Pletcher wins 27% going a route for the first time and she can easily upset the apple cart.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 12/1/18

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Aqueduct

Race #4 – The G2 Demoiselle – 1 1/8 – 1:02 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Molto Bella / #1 – Enliven / #6 – Afleet Destiny

#7 Molto Bella is a daughter of Violence for the Ian Wilkes barn. Javier Castellano has the call and she can sport a good turn of early foot. Two back she went from a sprint to a one turn mile at CD in the Rags to Riches four wide gaining on the winner. She should benefit from the high percentage Castellano 25% at Aqueduct and be much closer to the action. 2nd route races yield a 21% win clip from the Wilkes barn. #1 Enliven comes from the Kiaran McLaughlin stable and is a stone cold closer. She ran a very game 3rd in the G3 Tempted and gets the services of Jersey Joe Bravo. The rail is winning 28% and she’ll come calling late in the lane. #6 Afleet Destiny comes off a quick closing effort at Parx for Uriah St. Lewis with strong closing rider Irad Ortiz in the irons. She’s been knocking on the door and received her diploma last out on the step up in class.

Race #8 – The G2 Remsen – 1 1/8 – 3:12 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Network Effect / #6 – Maximus Mischief / #3 -Bourbon War

#5 Network Effect is a solid closer in a race filled with speed. He hails from the Chad Brown barn with Javier Castellano in the driver’s seat. He had a very nice maiden break at Saratoga and came rolling 6 wide last out. He should relish the added distance and Brown wins 36% going second time at the route distance. #6 Maximus Mischief is a speedy colt who is seeking his third straight win coming in from Parx. Frankie Pennington comes in for the ride and will be sending this son of Into MIschief right to the lead. He has a bullet work on 11/16 at Parx and looks ready for the next step. #3 Bourbon War comes from the Mark Hennig barn with Irad Ortiz in the irons. He has a win at the “Big A” and appears to be a perfect stalking sort. Ortiz is an excellent closing rider and this son of Tapit may get right in the game at the top of the stretch.

Race #9 – The G1 Cigar Mile – 1 mile – 3:45 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Sunny Ridge / #8 – Pattern Recognition / #1 – Mendelssohn

#3 Sunny Ridge is a son of Holy Bull for the Jason Servis barn. Irad Ortiz has the call and they team up to win 34%. He exits the G2 Kelso going a mile and should enjoy the distance where he is 5 for 5 ITM. Manny Franco to Ortiz, and a solid stalker in the field. I’m looking for a big effort getting the job done around the far turn. #8 Pattern Recognition comes in off a win in the G2 Kelso and should be a major pace player for the Chad Brown barn. He is 2 for 2 at Aqueduct and looks for three in a row. I think Jose Ortiz will send and he’s one of the best speed riders in the nation. #1 Mendelssohn is a son of Scat Daddy for Aidan O’Brien with Ryan Moore in the saddle. He’ll show good speed, and Moore is always dangerous anytime he takes a mount. He’s cutting back from a mile and a quarter and may improve at the shorter distance.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 11/24/18

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Churchill Downs

Race #9 – The G2 Golden Rod – 1 1/16 – 4:57 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Restless Rider / #8 – Break Curfew / #1 – Gold Credit

#5 Restless Rider is a daughter of Distorted Humor exiting the BC Juvenile Fillies finishing a solid second. She is 3 for 3 ITM at CD and drops down from G1 company to face an impressive group of ladies. She’s a strong closer for trainer Ken McPeek, and he has said nothing but sweet things about this gal. There should be a solid pace and she’ll mow them down with B.J. Hernandez in the irons. #8 Break Curfew comes in for the Chad Brown barn under Javier Castellano. She wired the field in her debut and was very impressive. She stretches out to two turns and should show the way down the backstretch. If she duplicates her last effort she could be extremely dangerous. #1 Gold Credit is a daughter of Goldencents for Ignacio Correas winning 33%. She won going 7f at Keeneland and had an eventful trip. The rail has been winning 18% and John Velasquez has the call. Correas wins 18% with his graded stakes runners.

Race #11 – The G2 Kentucky Jockey Club – 1 1/16 – 5:56 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Signalman / #13 – Knicks Go / #7 – Limonite

#1 Signalman hails from the KenMcPeek barn with B.J. Hernadez in the irons. The rail has been the place to be and locks horns against Knicks Go once again. “Knicks” should be flying from the gate once again and Signalman is 2 for 2 ITM at CD and goes third time Lasix. I like his chances today as he looks to turn the tables. He will come calling late in the lane. #13 Knicks Go is a son of Paynter for trainer Ben Colebrook. Two back he shocked Keeneland winning the G1 Breeders’ Futurity at boxcar odds. He has a quick turn of foot and ever since he came off the synthetic in Chicago he has matured nicely. If left alone he could turn out the lights quickly. #7 Limonite is a son of Lemon Drop Kid and was a beaten chalk last out at CD. This is a jump up the class ladder and he looks to be a nice runner. He may be that perfect addition to your exotics.

Del Mar

Race #7 – The G2 Seabiscuit – 1 1/16 on the turf – 6:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Synchrony / #1- Caribou Club / #2 – Big Score

#7 Synchrony is a son of Tapit for the Michael Stidham barn. Joe Bravo reunites after the G1 Shadwell Mile at Keeneland. He’s been off for 49 days and gets a drop in class. His 9 for 10 ITM on the sod is impressive, and this horse is a deep closer. He is 2 for 2 ITM at the distance; look for Bravo rolling at the top of the lane. #1 Caribou Club hails from the Thom Proctor barn with Joe Talamo in the irons. He is 3 for 4 ITM at the distance and stretches out from 6 1/2f to 1 1/16. He’s been off for 57 days and Proctor wins 18% with his turf runners. He likes Del Mar and I’m looking for a big effort coming off the shelf. #2 Big Score is a son of Mr. Big for trainer Tim Yakteen. He’s been off for 49 days since the G1 Shadwell Mile and has a sharp work to prepare for the race.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 11/10/18

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Churchill Downs

Race #10 – The G3 Commonwealth Turf – 1 1/16 on the turf – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Hot Springs / #4 – March to the Arch / #1 – Reride

#7 Hot Springs is a son of Uncle Mo for trainer Steve Asmussen with Ricardo Santana in the saddle. They are winning 21% as a team and make a 3rd off the layoff move. He exits a win in the Jefferson Cup bringing him to a perfect 3 for 3 under the Twin Spires. He turns back in distance from 1 1/8 and looks like a perfect stalker waiting to pounce. #4 March to the Arch ships in from Belmont for the Mark Casse barn. This son of Arch ran a solid 4th in the G2 Hill Prince last out and appears ready to roll. He cuts back in distance and should come rolling late in the lane. #1 Reride is a son of Candy Ride for the Asmussen barn. He is making his third off the layoff today and should be a major pace player. Florent Geroux in the irons and was a beaten favorite last out at Keeneland. His last race came off the turf and he returns to the sod for this event.

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Aqueduct

Race #6 – The Atlantic Beach – 6f on the turf – 2:47 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Absentee / #4 – Gins and Tins / #3 – Wallace

#7 Absentee is a son of Fed Biz for trainer Alan Goldberg. Irad Ortiz in the irons and his dam Truant has 5 starters, 4 wins, and 2 turf winners to her credit. He cuts back in distance and should come calling late in the lane under the strong hand of Ortiz. #4 Gins and Tins is a son of Scat Daddy for trainer Wesely Ward.  John Velasquez in the saddle and his dam High Walden has 7 winners, 5 winners, and 5 turf winners with her progeny. He’s been away from the races since Saratoga and working a regular clip over the Keeneland strip. Ward takes off the blinkers and wins 24% with this equipment change. #3 Wallace is a son of Run Away and Hide for trainer Kelsey Danner. He drops in class from the G1 Summer at Woodbine and should flash early speed. He can be a player if left alone on the front end.

Race #8 – The Artie Schiller – 1 mile on the turf – 3:47 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Qurbaan / #9 – Projected / #6 – Bricks and Mortar

#1 Qurbaan comes to post for Kiaran McLaughlin. Luis Saez in the irons and at the time of this entry was seeking his 2,000th career win. He ran a solid 3rd at Keeneland in the G1 Shadwell Mile facing Next Shares who ran last weekend in the Breeders’ Cup. Since shipping in from France and getting Lasix he has the look of a dangerous runner. #9 Projected is a son of Showcasing for the Chad Brown barn. Irad Ortiz in the saddle, and ships in from Laurel off a G2 event as a beaten favorite. The drop in class should help greatly and Ortiz loves to finish strong down the lane. He faced Qurbaan and looks to square the record today. #6 Bricks and Mortar comes in for the Chad Brown barn off a one year layoff. Brown wins 29% with well rested runners and this son of Giant’s Causeway was facing graded company before his layoff. He is bred to relish the greensward and may win first off the bench at a square price.