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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, May 30

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – May 30

by: Ed Meyer

 

Churchill Downs

Race #7 – The G3 Winning Colors – 6f – 4:08 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Mia Mischief / #7 – Special Perfection / #2 – Break Even

#8 Mia Mischief comes from the Steve Asmussen barn with his go to rider Ricardo Santana in the irons. This daughter of Into Mischief is 7 for 8 ITM at CD and is a horse for the course. This is her 3rd off the layoff move where the barn wins 21% seeking her fourth win in a row. Should be a closeup stalker for a barn who is winning 22% off the last race win. #7 Special Perfection hails from the Mark Casse barn with Javier Castellano getting the nod. This is her 2nd off a layoff effort and was a beaten favorite last out where Team Casse wins 24% looking for payback. A solid closer cutting back in distance and her last race shows plenty of promise. #2 Break Even comes from the Brad Cox barn with Joel Rosario in the saddle. This is her 2nd off the layoff move and is 1 for 1 at CD. Speed galore from this gal, and Rosario wins 27% with early speed. Moving up in class and has a solid morning work under her belt.

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Race #11 – The G3 Mint Julep – 1 1/16 on the turf – 6:16 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Nay Lady Nay / #13 – Elizabeth Way / #2 – Beau Recall

#6 Nay Lady Nay comes in for the Chad Brown barn with Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. She comes in off a 6 month layoff and the barn scores at a 30% win clip on this angle. She is 1 for 1 at CD and drops in class. She is bred for the greensward and Ortiz wins 21% with his late running turf closers. #13 Elizabeth Way is a daughter of Frankel (GB) for Roger Attfield and B.J. Hernandez gets the call. She’s been off two months and cuts back in distance today. Hernandez wins 18% with his turf mounts and we should look for her in the final furlong uncorking a rally. #2 Beau Recall hails from the barn of Brad Cox with Shaun Bridgmohan in the saddle. She is 1 for 1 at CD and was a beaten chalk last out in the G1 Rodeo Drive at SA. Look for her to come calling late for Slam Dunk Racing and Medallion Racing. She is a major danger.

 

Santa Anita

Race #7 – The G3 Honeymoon – 1 1/8 on the turf – 6:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Croughavouke / #9 – Stella Star / #5 – Laura’s Light

#4 Croughavouke comes from the Jeff Mullins barn with Umberto Rispoli getting the call. A daughter of Dandyman (IRE) coming off a two month layoff. She’s been traveling a mile and should relish the extra distance today. Rispoli wins 21% with his late runners and 23% with his overall turf mounts. #9 Stella Star enters for John Sadler with Flavien Prat aboard. 2nd off the layoff for Sadler where he wins 20%. She was off slow last out, and six wide turning for home. Prat is a turf master and will have her in high gear down the lane. #5 Laura’s Light hails for the Peter Miller barn with Abel Cedillo reuniting. A speedy daughter of Constitution who was a beaten favorite last out. She exits off the poly track at Turfway Park and is 2 for 2 at SA. She can be double trouble if left alone on the lead.

Horse Racing Analysis – Churchill Downs May 16th

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Horse Racing Analysis / Churchill Downs / 5-16-2020

by: Ed Meyer

 

Churchill Downs – Opening Day – Late Pick Four

Race #4 – O.C. $80,000 – 1 mile – 2:32 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Monomoy Girl / #7 – Lady Kate / #1 – MIss Bigly

#2 Monomoy Girl hails from the Brad Cox barn with Florent Geroux in the irons. She is 4 for 4 ITM at CD and been off for a year since winning the BC Distaff. She sports sharp works and the rider and trainer team up to win 28%. She is a perfect stalker and the barn scores 27% with long layoffs. She is 2 for 2 at the distance and loves CD. Look for a big coming out party! #7 Lady Kate comes in from the Eddie Kenneally barn with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. She’s been off two months and should be right off the pace. Add in she was a beaten favorite last out and the barn scores at a 28% win clip looking for payback. #1 Miss Bigly for Michelle Lovell with B.J. Hernandez in the driver’s seat. She is 2 for 2 ITM at CD, and 2 for 2 with wins at the distance. Been on the shelf for 2 months and ships in from FG. Her mid pack style may be effective today.

Late Pick Four

Race #8 – Alw $81,000 – 1 mile on the turf – 4:40 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Tankerville / #6 – Labeq / #1 – Bama Breeze

#4 Tankerville is a son of Kitten’s Joy for Bill Mott with John Velasquez getting the nod. First time Lasix shipping in from Ireland, and her dam Starformer has 2 starters, 2 winners, 2 turf winners to her credit. Johnny V is 34% ITM with turf runners and must be respected coming from the Mott barn. #6 Labeq is a son of Tapit for Mike Maker and Joe Talamo in the saddle. He’s a deep closer and enjoys turf with plenty of cut in the ground. He’s been off 7 months and bred to enjoy the greensward. He’s coming over from the Kiaran McLaughlin barn as he retired from training. Maker does well with new runners winning at a 15% clip. #1 Bama Breeze is a closer from the Rusty Arnold barn with Julien Leproux in the irons. He won at first asking eight months ago, and the barn wins 18% with allowance runners. He is bred to enjoy the sod.

Race #9 – Claiming $50,000 N2L – 7f – 5:12 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Patrol / #12 – Admire / #2 – Adhhar

#1 Patrol hails from the Mark Casse barn with B.J. Hernandez getting the call. 2nd time off the layoff where they win 18% and drop down in class with sharp morning works. They are shipping in from GP and draw the rail post today. He’s a major danger at a square price. #12 Admire is a son of Cairo Prince for Dale Romans and Ricardo Santana. A stalker shipping in from GP making a drop down the class ladder. He has faced much tougher in the past and goes from a route to a sprint where the barn wins 19%. #2 Adhhar comes in for Thom Amoss and Joe Talamo getting the nod. They win 21% when they team up, and making the 2nd off the claim move yields a 39% win clip. His 3rd place finish last out was a good building block moving forward for this late runner.

Race #10 – O.C. $75,000 – 7f – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Portrait / #8 – Four Games / #11 – Aurelia Garland

#2 Portrait is a daughter of Tapizar for Brad Cox and Javier Castellano in the irons. She’s been off for 3 months and shipping in from FG. She was a beaten favorite last out and sports some sharp works coming in the day. Brad Cox wins 30% with a beaten favorite coming back to win. #8 Four Games hails from the barn of Ian Wilkes and Julien Leparoux getting the nod. Goes from a sprint to a route and wins 17% on this angle. She’s a speedy gal and should be on or near the front. Ships in from GP as a beaten favorite cutting back to a sprint. #11 Aurelia Garland is a daughter of Constitution winning at first asking at Belmont a year ago. She has been working lights out at Palm Meadows for Rudy Brisset and Jose Ortiz in the irons. If she’s ready, her early foot will be dangerous on the lead.

Race #11 – Allowance – 5 1/2f on the turf – 6:16 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Karak / #8 – Fashionable Lady / #9 – Bredenbury

#4 Karak hails from the Wesley Ward barn with Gerardo Corrales in the saddle. Impressive winner at TP in the Cincinnati Trophy coming off a three month layoff. I like the poly to turf switch and Wesley Ward is sharp at spotting his runners in the perfect race. #8 Fashionable Lady is a daughter of Declaration of War from the barn of Michael Ewing and Florent Geroux. An off the pace filly getting first Lasix. She’s been off 11 months and owns a won a win over the track with a medication change. Dangerous runner at a price. #9 Bredenbury comes from the Graham Motion barn with John Velasquez in the driver’s seat. Been off for three months and cuts back to a sprint. The rider switch is a plus and shipping in from Tampa may be a nice change of scenery.

BetPTC.com Weekend Stakes Preview – Nov. 16

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BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview

by: Ed Meyer

Aqueduct

Race #8 – The Key Cents – 6f – 3:20 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Time Limit / #7 – Big Q / #2 – Playtone

#3 Time Limit is a daughter of Bustin Stones for trainer Mike Maker with Javier Castellano in the irons. They make the turf to dirt move and drop from graded company. She should dictate the pace under Castellano and he scores 24% with early runners. #7 Big Q is a daughter of Big Brown for the Gary Gullo barn. Jose Lezcano gets the nod and she’s been off for two months since Saratoga. She gets 2nd time Lasix and has regular works at Belmont. She should be in top form. #2 Playtone comes from the George Weaver barn with Manny Franco aboard. 3rd off the shelf and the barn scores 20% with two year old runners. This daughter of Tonalist is taking a step up in class and should be ready.

Churchill Downs

Race #10 – The G-3 River City – 1 1/8 on the turf – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Mr. Understood / #3 – Blue Sky Kowboy / #2 – Emmaus

#4 Mr. Understood is a son of Archarcharch for the Brad Cox barn who is winning 26% at the meet. Florent Geroux is back in action and they have been on the shelf for 48 days. They are seeking a repeat in this stake and are 5 for 5 ITM over the course. He comes in freshened and beaten chalk at Remington last out. Geroux will come rolling late in the final furlong. #3 Blue Sky Kowboy is a son of Kodiak Kowboy for the Michelle Boyce barn. Sophie Doyle gets the call and she’ll have this gelding flying late in the race. He’s 11 for 15 ITM on turf and exits a stake win at Hawthorne. #2 Emmaus hails from the Conor Murphy barn with Channing Hill in the saddle. This is his 3rd off the layoff and sitting on a huge effort. He’ll come calling late in the race and will need a solid pace to be a factor. Murphy wins 20% off a last race win.

Del Mar

Race  #8 – The G-3 Bob Hope  7f – 7:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3- Thousand Words / #6 – Strongconstitution / #5 – High Velocity

#3 Thousand Words is a son of Pioneer of the Nile for Bob Baffert with Flavien Prat in the saddle. He closed fast to win his opener and added distance should be welcome. Prat wins 23% with sprinters and Baffet wins 32% with his babies. #6 Strongconstitution comes from the barn of Doug O’Neill with Abel Cedillo in the irons. 2nd start off the layoff and owns a bullet work to prepare. This son of Constitution has plenty of speed and Cedillo wins 23% with speedy runners. #5 High Velocity enters in for Bob Baffert and Drayden Van Dyke. An impressive maiden win going five and a half and this son of Quality Road should break sharply. Van Dyke and Baffert win 38% as a team.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – Sept. 14

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BetPTC.com – Weekend Stakes Preview

By: Ed Meyer

Churchill Downs Race #8 – The G-3 Locust Grove – 1 1/16 – 4:21 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Go Google Yourself / #3 – Mylady Curlin / #2 – Moonlit Garden

 

#7 Go Google Yourself comes to post for Paul McGee and B.J. Hernandez in the irons. She is 2nd off the layoff and the filly loves the course going 5 for 7 ITM. That was a solid prep winning the Groupie Doll at Ellis and Hernandez is no stranger to the CD winner’s circle. Look for a solid stalking trip. #3 Mylady Curlin is a daughter of Curlin for trainer Brad Cox and Shaun Bridgmohan. 3rd off the layoff looking for her 6th straight win. The Cox barn wins 30% off a last race win and sports a nice morning workout. She’ll be on the hook or just off the leader. #2 Moonlit Garden is a daughter of Malibu Moon for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux. 3rd off the layoff where Cox wins 27% and was a beaten chalk in the Groupie Doll. Flo will have her in a good spot and hit the accelerator around the far turn.

 

Remington Park september

Race #9 – The G-2 Pocahantas – 1 1/16 – 4:53 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Morning Gold / #3- Portrait / #1 – Shadilee

 

#6 Morning Gold is a daughter of Morning Line for Kenny McPeek and Jose Ortiz. She gets first Lasix and moves from the turf to the dirt. Look for Ortiz to come out swinging as he wins 19% with his early style runners. McPeek wins 19% with first time Lasix. Add them up and you may have a good plan for heading to the windows. #3 Portrait comes to post for Brad Cox and Shaun Bridgmohan. She had a commanding win at EP last out after coming off the turf prior. She has the look of a dangerous stalker moving up the ladder. Cox wins 28% of the time off a maiden win. #1 Shadilee goes postward for Mike Maker and Julien Leparoux. Impressive maiden victory at the Spa and was claimed for $75,000 for the Maker barn. They win 15% off a claim and she sports a smoking work in Louisville. You have to use in your exotics.

 

Race  #10 – The G-3 Iroquois – 1 1/16 – 5:26 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Flute Maker / #4 – Rowdy Yates / #2 – Letmeno

 

#6 Flute Maker is a son of Sky Mesa for Ken McPeek and Jose Ortiz. Ultra impressive closing win at Saratoga and looks to kick it up a notch moving up the ladder. If his last race is any indication he’ll fit in nicely with the field. #4 Rowdy Yates comes in for Steve Asmussen and Tyler Baze. A speedster who won the Ellis Juvenile and comes back to CD where he broke his maiden and 2nd in the Bashford Manor. Catch him if you want to beat him. #2 Letmeno comes from the Ian Wilkes barn with Calvin Borel in the irons. He’s a closer who got shuffled back a bit trying to catch Rowdy Yates last out. He has some nice works at CD and Borel knows his way to the winner’s circle for big races.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 8/17/19

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BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview

by: Ed Meyer

 

Del Mar

Race #7 – The G2 Del Mar Handicap – 1 3/8 on the turf – 8:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 -United / #6 – The Great Day / #4 – Marckie’s Water

#5 United is a son of Giant’s Causeway for Dick Mandella and Flavien Prat in the irons. This is his second off the layoff and looks for his 2nd win over the course. He’s a long range closer and the added ground should not hurt his chances. He does step up in class and Mandella does an excellent job at spotting his horses when they’re ready to climb the class ladder. His dam Indy Punch has 4 starters, 4 winners, and 2 turf winners to her credit. Prat is an excellent turf rider winning 27% on the greensward. #6 The Great Day makes his 3rd off the layoff shipping in from the G3 Arlington Handicap. He comes from the barn of Arnaud Delacour and he wins 29% 3rd time off the shelf. John Velasquez in town to ride and he’s been working bullets in the morning. #4 Marckie’s Water hails from the barn of Richard Baltas and Tiago Pereira in the irons. This is his 2nd off the layoff and ran a strong second in the G2 Eddie Read. His dam Russian River has 3 starters, 3 winners, and 3 turf winners. Look for a big late run at the top of the stretch.

Race #9 – The G1 Del Mar Oaks – 1 1/8 on the turf – 9:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Cambier Parc / #5 – Raymundos Secret / #14 – Hidden Message

#1 Cambier Parc is a daughter of Medaglia d’ Oro shipping in from Belmont Park. She comes from the Chad Brown barn with John Velasquez in the saddle. She cuts ack in distance and is 4 for 5 ITM on the sod. A perfect stalker draws the rail spot and owns a sharp work to prepare. #5 Raymundos Secret comes from the Richard Baltas barn making her second off the layoff move. Florent Geroux has the assignment and wins 21% with turf runners as she looks to be a perfect 3 for 3. Steps up in class and gets added distance. Look for an upclose stalking ride. #14 Hidden Message ships in from Sandown Park for trainer Simon Callaghan. She is a daughter of Scat Daddy with Flavien Prat in the driver’s seat. She gets first Lasix and the barn wins 30% on the medication change. Look for a mid pack stalking trip as Prat is an excellent judge of pace.

Race #10 – The G1 Pacific Classic – 1 1/4 – 9:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 -Seeking the Soul / #8 – Campaign / #3 – Pavel

#5 Seeking the Soul comes in for the Dallas Stewart barn with John Velasquez in the saddle. This son of Perfect Soul won the G2 Stephen Foster and Churchill runners have been doing very well on the west coast. He’s a long range closer as Velasquez looks for two in a row. He always brings a solid run and expect him to get in the mix as they turn for home. #8 Campaign is a son of Curlin for John Sadler and Rafael Bejarano. This is his second off the layoff and he’s 1 for 1 over the Del Mar strip. He turns back in distance and should be running late. #3 Pavel makes his 3rd off the shelf for trainer Doug O’Neill with Mario Gutierrez in the saddle. They ship in from Belmont and the barn wins 20% on making the trip. He is 3 for 8 ITM going the distance and was runner up in last year’s edition of this race. He’ll come calling around the far turn as they head for home.

 

 

BetPTC.com Weekend Stakes Preview 1-19-19

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BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Fair Grounds

Race #10 – The Colonel E.R. Bradley – 1 1/16 on the turf – 5:51 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – First Premio / #9 – Pioneer Spirit / #8 – Great Wide Open

#4 First Premio is a son of Pure Prize for Mark Casse. He is 1 for 1 at the distance and been off for six months. Casse is winning 28% and takes a huge drop in class shipping in from Woodbine. His works have been good and B.J. Hernandez gets the nod. #9 Pioneer Spirit is a Brad Cox trainee that is 4 for 5 ITM lifetime on the turf. Florent Geroux stays aboard and makes 2nd off the layoff move. This son of Malibu Moon is going to be close to the pace and will be forwardly placed. #8 Great Wide Open for the Conor Murphy barn winning 29%. 3rd off the layoff and will be the main speed. James Graham in the saddle and is a solid 4 for 6 ITM at FG. Don’t let him get loose or he may be tough.

Race #11 – The $150,000 Silverbulletday – 1 mile and 70 yards – 6:20 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Needs Supervision / #4 – Liora / #7 – Mandy Blue

#5 Needs Supervision is a daughter of Paynter getting first time Lasix. She’s been away for 56 days and makes the comeback of an impressive win at CD. Jeremiah O’Dwyer wins 24% with shippers and should be on the front end. Joe Rocco Jr. in the irons and can be dangerous with fresh legs. #4 Liora is a daughter of Candy Ride for trainer Wayne Catalano. She’s been off for 56 days and comes back dropping in class after winning the G2 Golden Rod at CD. Class relief and rest may be just what the doctor ordered as she looks for three in a row. #7 Mandy Blue daughter of Smart Strike for trainer Brad Cox. Florent Geroux stays aboard as she makes the turf to dirt switch. The connections win 17% as a team and she’ll have a target on the leaders to come running late.

Race #12 – G3 Lecomte Stakes – 1 mile and 70 yards – 6:49 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Hog Creek Hustle / #8- War of Will / #11 – Tight Ben

#6 Hog Creek Hustle is a son of Overanalyze for trainer Vickie Foley. 3rd off the layoff and was off a step slow last out. He has a late turn of foot and Florent Geroux picks up the call. His last works seal the deal for me and look for him to come calling late. #8 War of Will is a son of War Front for the Mark Casse barn winning 28% with Tyler Gaffalione in town. After moving for the turf this colt was ultra impressive breaking his maiden at CD. He may be getting geared up at the right time with solid works to show readiness. #11 Tight Ben is a son Tapit for trainer Steve Asmussen. He’s been away for 56 days and hit the rail in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. This distance should be no problem and will be a major player under Ricardo Santana. You’re gonna have to catch him this day.

 

BetPTC.com Weekend Stakes Preview – 12/22/18

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BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Fair Grounds

Race #3 – The $75,000 Bonapaw – 5 1/2f on the turf – 2:26 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Kid Perfect / #2 – Wynn Tale / #7 – Switzerland

#3 Kid Perfect has the services of Adam Beschizza making his 2nd start off the layoff from Churchill. The Angel Montano trainee is 6 for 11 ITM on the grass and has faced tougher. He gets blinkers off and the barn wins 26% on this equipment change. He has the look of a solid stalker who can stay out of trouble and come running on the turn. #2 Wynn Tale comes from the Hugh Robertson barn winning 27% and has Marcelino Pedroza in the saddle. He scored at first asking off a 7 month layoff at Oaklawn and gets a shot at the grass. He won the $75k Thanksgiving Stakes and may step right up and win again. #7 Switzerland is a son of Speightstown for trainer Steve Asmussen winning 29%. His go to rider Ricardo Santana is aboard this speedster and can turn out the lights of left along on the lead.

Race #8 – The $75,000 Blushing K.D. – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:53 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Beau Recall / #7 -Take These Chains / #9 – Superiority Complex

#6 Beau Recall is a daughter of Sir Prancelot for the Brad Cox barn winning at a 28% clip. She’s been away for 48 days and switches to a high percentage rider in Shaun Bridgmohan winning 21%. She exits the G2 Goldikova and has faced much better. The drop in class combined with fresh legs make her dangerous today. #7 Take These Chains is a Brad Cox trainee and should show good speed to set up her entry mate. This is her 3rd off the layoff and exits off a win at Churchill Downs. She’ll be up close mixing it up with the pace setters. #9  Superiority Complex is a daughter of Hard Spun for trainer Michael Stidham. “Jersey” Joe Bravo stays aboard and won at Fair Grounds in November. She’s 5 for 7 ITM on the turf, and should get a good stalking trip looking for two in a row.

Race #11 – The $75,000 Sugar Bowl – 6f – 6:20 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Cajun Firecracker / #5 – Hog Wild / #9 – Super Steed

#4 Cajun Firecracker is a son of Cajun Breeze for the Steve Asmussen barn winning 29%. Santana is aboard and they’ve been away from the races for 50 days. He was a beaten chalk last out and the barn comes back to win 25% on this move. He cuts back in distance and should come from off the pace today. #5 Hog Wild comes in for trainer Vickie Foley with Corey Lanerie in the irons. 2nd start off the layoff and if you toss out the G3 Iroquois he is a perfect 2 for 2. Lanerie fits him well and will come rolling late in the stretch. #9 Super Steed is a son of Super Saver for Larry Jones. Gabriel Saez is the reinsman and exits off an impressive win at Churchill Downs. Jones is winning 33% and scores 25% with his shippers. The barn has been doing well the past two weeks going 3 for 5 ITM at FG.

 

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 11/17/18

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BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Churchill Downs

Race #10 – The G3 River City – 1 1/8 on the turf – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Mr. Misunderstood / #5 – Big Changes / #2 – Postulation

#3 Mr. Misunderstood has the services of Florent Geroux for trainer Brad Cox and they are winning at a 16% clip as a team. He is three for three at CD and exits the G1 Shadwell Turf at Keeneland. Drops down in class and gets added distance. If the sod comes up with plenty of moisture he should enjoy the soft going. #5 Big Changes is a son of Midshipman for the Brad Cox barn. They are looking for their 6th win in a row and three for three ITM over the CD strip. #2 Postulation is a son of Harlan’s Holiday for the Michael Matz barn. B.J. Hernadez in the irons as they are making a 3rd off the layoff move. He’ll be right with the leaders from the break and may be tough if left alone.

Mahoning Valley

Race #3 – The Glacial Princess – 6f – 1:10 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Hey Adrian / #4 – Radiant Bird / #6 – Show Me Some Sass

#2 Hey Adrian is a daughter of Twinspired and she’s been away from the races for 56 days. Juan Velez has the call and she has blistering speed. She’s looking for her 4th victory in a row and ships in from Cleveland. Catch her if you can. #4 Radiant Bird hails from the Robert Gorham barn winning 24%. She just broke her maiden and been beaten twice facing “Adrian.” T.D. Houghton has the call and this daughter of Birdrun will be picking up the leaders at the top of the lane. #6 Show Me Some Sass comes from the Danny Bird barn and is a solid closer. She’s been away from the races for 56 days and should come calling late in the action.

Race #6 – The Ruff / Kirchberg Memorial – 1 1/8 – 2:34 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Mobil Solution / #5 – Eightthehardway / #2 – Leona’s Reward

#6 Mobil Solution comes from the Jeffrey Radosevich barm with Luis Rivera in the irons. This son of Mobil is a perfect stalker in a field laden with speed and switches back from open company to face Ohio breds. #5 Eightthehardway has been away for two months and gets added ground exiting the Catlaunch Stakes. He is 13 for 19 ITM at Mahoning and T.D. Houghton will have him in high gear as they turn for the money. #2 Leona’s Reward comes from the high percentage Tim Hamm barn and she is one speedy gal. She’s fought the boys a few times this year and always gives a good account. She is 7 for 9 ITM with Luis Colon aboard.

 

 

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 11/10/18

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BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Churchill Downs

Race #10 – The G3 Commonwealth Turf – 1 1/16 on the turf – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Hot Springs / #4 – March to the Arch / #1 – Reride

#7 Hot Springs is a son of Uncle Mo for trainer Steve Asmussen with Ricardo Santana in the saddle. They are winning 21% as a team and make a 3rd off the layoff move. He exits a win in the Jefferson Cup bringing him to a perfect 3 for 3 under the Twin Spires. He turns back in distance from 1 1/8 and looks like a perfect stalker waiting to pounce. #4 March to the Arch ships in from Belmont for the Mark Casse barn. This son of Arch ran a solid 4th in the G2 Hill Prince last out and appears ready to roll. He cuts back in distance and should come rolling late in the lane. #1 Reride is a son of Candy Ride for the Asmussen barn. He is making his third off the layoff today and should be a major pace player. Florent Geroux in the irons and was a beaten favorite last out at Keeneland. His last race came off the turf and he returns to the sod for this event.

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Aqueduct

Race #6 – The Atlantic Beach – 6f on the turf – 2:47 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Absentee / #4 – Gins and Tins / #3 – Wallace

#7 Absentee is a son of Fed Biz for trainer Alan Goldberg. Irad Ortiz in the irons and his dam Truant has 5 starters, 4 wins, and 2 turf winners to her credit. He cuts back in distance and should come calling late in the lane under the strong hand of Ortiz. #4 Gins and Tins is a son of Scat Daddy for trainer Wesely Ward.  John Velasquez in the saddle and his dam High Walden has 7 winners, 5 winners, and 5 turf winners with her progeny. He’s been away from the races since Saratoga and working a regular clip over the Keeneland strip. Ward takes off the blinkers and wins 24% with this equipment change. #3 Wallace is a son of Run Away and Hide for trainer Kelsey Danner. He drops in class from the G1 Summer at Woodbine and should flash early speed. He can be a player if left alone on the front end.

Race #8 – The Artie Schiller – 1 mile on the turf – 3:47 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Qurbaan / #9 – Projected / #6 – Bricks and Mortar

#1 Qurbaan comes to post for Kiaran McLaughlin. Luis Saez in the irons and at the time of this entry was seeking his 2,000th career win. He ran a solid 3rd at Keeneland in the G1 Shadwell Mile facing Next Shares who ran last weekend in the Breeders’ Cup. Since shipping in from France and getting Lasix he has the look of a dangerous runner. #9 Projected is a son of Showcasing for the Chad Brown barn. Irad Ortiz in the saddle, and ships in from Laurel off a G2 event as a beaten favorite. The drop in class should help greatly and Ortiz loves to finish strong down the lane. He faced Qurbaan and looks to square the record today. #6 Bricks and Mortar comes in for the Chad Brown barn off a one year layoff. Brown wins 29% with well rested runners and this son of Giant’s Causeway was facing graded company before his layoff. He is bred to relish the greensward and may win first off the bench at a square price.

BetPTC.com Breeders’ Cup Preview – 11/3/18

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BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

The 35th edition of the Breeders’ Cup will take place this Friday and Saturday. There are fourteen Breeders’ Cup races with the best runners in the world converging on Louisville, Kentucky. We will cover races 8-11 which make up the $3 million dollar guaranteed late pick-four.

Churchill Downs

Race #8 – The Breeders’ Cup Mile – 1 mile on turf – 3:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Expert Eye / #5 – Oscar Performance / #2 – Next Shares

#7 Expert Eye is the son of Acclamation for Sir Michael Stoute. He gets first Lasix and has been a little short of getting the mile distance. Europeans have a way of getting added distance on these days and has the services of Frankie Dettori in irons. The 55 days away from the races may have him in top order and the connections like their chances. #5 Oscar Performance is a son of Kittens’ Joy for trainer Brian Lynch with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. He is a perfect 3 for 3 at the distance and exits the G1 Woodbine Mile which has served as a great prep for this affair. Ortiz is an excellent judge of pace and should try and wire the field. #2 Next Shares is a son of Archarcharch and exits the G1 Shadwell Mile at Keeneland. Also a key prep for this race and 6 for 9 ITM going the distance. Respected rider Tyler Gafflione in the saddle and trainer Richard Baltas wins 17% on the turf. This closer will come calling late.

Race #9 – The Breeders’ Cup Distaff – 1 1/8 – 4:16 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #11 – Monomoy Girl / #2 – Abel Tasman / #10 – Blue Prize

#11 Monomoy Girl is a daughter of Tapizar for trainer Brad Cox. She is 3 for 3 ITM at Churchill and was a beaten favorite in the G1 Cotillion at Parx.  She won and was disqualified but her works are showing readiness to roll. Florent Geroux in the irons and she is 2 for 2 at the distance. If she runs back to the G1 CCA Oaks she’s gonna be tough to handle. #2 Abel Tasman comes to post for Bob Baffert and Mike Smith in the saddle. Toss out the last race where she bobbled and came off slow. According to Baffert she spiked a fever and wasn’t feeling herself. 3rd start off the layoff, solid works and 4 for 4 ITM at the distance makes her a player. #10 Blue Prize is a daughter of Pure Prize for Ignacio Correas. “Jersey” Joe Bravo in the saddle and she is 5 for 5 ITM at CD. That was a nice win in the G1 Spinster and Correas is winning 44% looking for 4-in-a-row.

Race #10 – The G1 Breeders’ Cup Turf – 1 1/2 on the turf – 4:56 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #12 – Waldgeist / #2 – Enable / #1 – Talismanic

#12 Waldgeist is a son of Galileo for the Andre Fabre yard. This is his 3rd start off the layoff and ran a game 2nd in the Gr1 Arc de Triomphe. He looks to be sitting on a huge effort and the top shelf connections have been speaking good things all week. #2 Enable is an ultra talented filly for trainer John Gosden. She has rolled off eight straight wins and looks to be the one to beat. Frankie Dettori is the reinsman and she’s been training well at Churchill Downs applying the final touches. She is 3 for 3 at the distance and her only knock is that Arc winners are 0 for 8 winning this event. #1 Talismanic exits a key race in the Gr1 Arc and won this event last year paying a handsome price. Is a repeat in the cards? He has excellent breeding and will come calling late in the lane.

Race #11 – The G1 Breeders’ Cup Classic – 1 1/4 – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2- Thunder Snow / #14 – Accelerate / #6 – McKinzie

#2 Thunder Snow has been looking good in the morning works over the CD oval. This is his 3rd start off the layoff and ran a huge effort in the G1 Jockey Gold Cup getting bested by a neck at the wire. He is 3 for 4 ITM going 1 1/4 and should be in mid pack poised to pounce. #14 Accelerate is looking to go four in a row for trainer John Sadler. Joel Rosario is the reinsman and has been aboard his last two impressive wins. He loves the distance going 4 for 4 and won the G1 Pacific Classic by 12 lengths. Loves the distance, the rider fits like a glove, and he’s gonna be tough down the lane. #6 McKinzie is a son of Street Sense who won the Kentucky Derby. Bob Baffert and Mike Smith team up and they do every good work when the money is on the line. Should be forwardly placed with a rider who is an excellent judge of pace. Can be a major player today.