Tag Archives: Dubawi

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – July 6th

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Belmont Park Race #7 – The G1 Belmont Oaks – 1 1/4 miles on turf – 4:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Newspaperofrecord / #4 – Concrete Rose / #5 – Cafe Americano

#2 Newspaperofrecord hails from the Chad Brown barn winning 30%. Irad Ortiz in the saddle of this daughter of Lope De Vega who has four starts and two turf winners to her credit. She is a pure speedster and is 3rd off the layoff and a beaten favorite last out. She should grab the lead and carry it from start to finish. #4 Concrete Rose is a daughter of Twirling Candy for trainer Rusty Arnold. Julien Leparoux in the irons as she comes off a two month layoff. She’s looking for three in a row and is a perfect stalker. She beat “Newspaper” last out in the G3 Edgewood impressively and is four for five with wins lifetime. She’ll be a little closer with added distance. #5 Cafe Americano is a daughter of Medaglia d’ Oro for Chad Brown. She is a perfect two for two and been working lights out in the morning. Javier Castellano in the saddle and he is winning 23% on the turf. Look for her to launch a strong rally as she gets the acid test.

Race #8 – The G2 John Nerud Stakes – 7f – 5:05 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Do Share / #9 – Promises Fulfilled / #4 – Nicodemus

#7 Do Share is a son of Candy Ride for trainer Mike Maker with Tyler Gafflione in the saddle. He was bumped soundly last out in the G1 Churchill and still finished a game fourth. He is three for six ITM at Belmont and with a sharp 4f work coming into the race is looking for a top effort. #9 Promises Fulfilled hails from the Dale Romans barn. This son of Shackleford has Luis Saez in the saddle exiting the G1 Metropolitan. He has plenty of speed and turns back to 7f. Going from a route to sprint to route they win 35%. #4 Nicodemus is a son of Candy Ride for trainer Linda Rice and Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. He is a late closer and gets an added half a furlong to come rolling. Ortiz wins 14% on closers and Rice excels with sprinters winning 25%.

Race #9 – The G1 Belmont Derby – 1 1/4 on turf – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Seismic Wave / #12 – Demarchelier / #8 – Social Paranoia

#3 Seismic Wave is a son of Tapit for trainer Bill Mott and Joel Rosario. He is a stone cold closer who is 2 for 2 ITM over the course. Rosario is winning 22% with closers and fits this colt like a glove. #12 Demarchelier is a son of Dubawi (IRE) for Chad Brown with Javier Castellano. This is his second off and is a perfect 3 for 3. He’s a strong late runner and look for him to come calling late in the lane. #8 Social Paranoia is a son of Street Boss for trainer Todd Pletcher and Manny Franco in the saddle. He’s been a beaten favorite in his last two trips and is looking to reward his backers. He should stalk mid flight and make a run at the pacesetters.

Race  #10 – The G2 Suburban – 1 1/4 miles dirt – 6:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Lone Sailor / #11 – Pavel / #3 – Rocketry

#5 Lone Sailor comes in for trainer Thom Amoss with Irad Ortiz aboard. He came flying in the G1 Gold Cup. A rider switch from Flavien Prat and Amoss adding blinkers where he wins 38% on the equipment change. Look for him late on the scene with a rider who wins 22% with closers. #11 Pavel hails from the Doug O’Neill barn with Mario Gutierrez in the saddle. 2nd off the layoff and shipping back from the Dubai World Cup as the barn wins 22% making the second time off the shelf. This son of Creative Cause will get a good stalking trip from the outside waiting from the rider to give the cue. #3 Rocketry is a son of Hard Spun for trainer James Jerkins with Joel Rosario. He can roll quickly in the lane and his last bullet work shows he is locked and loaded. Rosario wins 22% with stout closing types.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 10/6/18

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Keeneland

Race #8 – The G1 First Lady – 1 mile on the turf – 4:40 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – A Raving Beauty / #4 – Crown Walk / #10 – Off Limits

#2 A Raving Beauty is a daughter of Mastercraftsman for trainer Chad Brown. Brown has three entered and his eyes are set on the prize. She was a beaten favorite in the G2 Ballston Spa and has a solid closing kick. I’m dismissing her last effort as a bad day at the office and look forward to the cutback in distance where she is four for seven ITM. Brown wins 26% with turf runners and John Velasquez knows his way to the winner’s circle. #4 Crown Walk is a daughter of Dubawi for trainer Henri-Alex Pantall. She is 6 for 7 ITM on the turf and gets Lasix today. She exits the Gr1 Prix Rothschild and has the services of Mike Smith. She ships in from Deauville and is a solid filly looking to test the waters. #10 Off Limits comes to post for trainer Chad Brown with Julien Leparoux in the irons. She’s a half sister to A Raving Beauty and is an out of the clouds closing sort. She’ll need a quick pace to come calling late in the lane.

Race #9 – The G1 Breeders’ Futurity – 1 1/16 – 5:14 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Tobacco Road / #5 – Dream Maker / #13 – Mind Control

#8 Tobacco Road has Corey Lanerie in the saddle for Steve Asmussen. Last out in the G3 Iroquois they were bumped around and forced wide. I like the distance progression and 8.5f should be no problem. His dam has 8 starters, 6 winners, 3 stakes winners, and is 75% with two year olds. He’s a closer and should relish the added ground and cleaner trip. #5 Dream Maker is a son of Tapit for trainer Mark Casse with Julien Leparoux in the driver’s seat. He owns a bullet work over the Keeneland oval in preparation. Leparoux knows the oval and Casse has always done well in Kentucky. The final work was the best of 113 runners and that is pretty impressive. I like his chances and the 2nd off the layoff move is a plus. #13 Mind Control is a son of Stay Thirsty with John Velasquez in the saddle. He exits off a win in the G1 Hopeful looking to make it three straight. He sports versatile speed and owns a bullet work at Monmouth coming into the race.

Only 4 Weeks Remain

Race #10 – The G1 Shadwell Turf Mile – 1 mile on the turf – 5:49 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Analyze It / #11 – Almanaar / #14 – Bound for Nowhere

#9 Analyze It is a son of Point of Entry for trainer Chad Brown. This three year old colt takes on older for the first time and has a solid resume. He is two for two going a mile and cuts back in distance from 9f. He is 1 for 1 at Keeneland and looks to get a perfect stalking trip. Beaten favorite last time out and been off for 56 days. Johnny V should have him in a good spot turning for home. #11 Almanaar is a son of Dubawi for Chad Brown and Javier Castellano. He’s a strong late closer who has been on the shelf for 56 days since running a 2nd place effort in the Arlington Million. Javier Castellano will push the button just at the right time and he’ll come running down the lane. Lightly raced, and his dam Baqah has 3 starters, 3 winners, 1 stakes winner, and 3 turf winners. #14 Bound for Nowhere comes in for trainer Wesley Ward with Julio Garcia aboard. They won the $750,000 Tourist Mile at Kentucky Downs, and those runners have done very well over the lush Keeneland turf. Look for a strong effort.

 

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 9/8/18

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Kentucky Downs

Race #6 – $500,000 Juvenile Turf Sprint – 6 1/2 on the turf – 4:55 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #11 Mae Never No / #10 Moonlight Romance / #2 Chattel

#11 Mae Never No is trained by Wesley Ward and making her 2nd start off the layoff. She is 2 for 2 facing the gals and ran a game 3rd in the Tremont as a beaten favorite. Ward wins 21% with his first time grass runners and been working around the dogs at Keeneland. Albin Jimenez in the saddle looking for a perfect stalking trip to make a run in the long home stretch. #10 Moonlight Romance comes from the barn of Wesley Ward and has Jose Ortiz in the irons. She comes back from Royal Ascot and a daughter of Liaison for Ken & Sarah Ramsey. Blinkers off today and she broke her maiden at Belmont last out on the turf. #2 Chattel has Kendrick Carmouche in the driver’s seat for this son of Giant Oak. He was impressive in the Skidmore Stakes at Saratoga and makes the trip to Kentucky to try the undulating course.

Race #7 – Ladies Turf – 1 mile on the turf – 5:26 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 Hallie Belle / #8 In the Lee / #10 Dubara

#7 Hallie Belle is a daughter of Medaglia d’ Oro for the Michael Stidham barn. This is her 3rd off the layoff and “Jersey” Joe Bravo comes down for the mount. She’s dropping down a notch from the G2 Yellow Ribbon Stakes and her dam Charity Belle has 4 starters / 2 winners / 1  stakes winner / 2 turf winners to her credit. #8 In the Lee comes from the stable of Shug McGaughey with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. She is 6 for 7 ITM on grass and been off for two months since Belmont. Shug wins 21% with layoff runners and Ortiz is 49% ITM on the sod. #10 Dubara has the services of Adam Beschizza for this daughter of Dubawi. Her dam Kibara has 6 starters / 6 winners / 6 turf winners to her credit. Since coming across the pond she seems to be enjoying Lasix and the grass racing. This course may be to her liking.

Race #8 – G3 Ladies Sprint – 6 1/2f on the turf – 5:57 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 Lull / #7 Originator / #1 Brielle’s Belle

#6 Lull is a daughter of War Front and 2 for 2 with wins over the KyD course. Christophe Clement is the conditioner and has B.J. Hernadez in the saddle. Runners that like the track usually come back and show a good effort. She comes in off a solid effort in the G2 Royal North at Woodbine. She’s in perfect shape heading back to Kentucky and was sprinting 6f last out and gets added distance this day. #7 Originator hails from the Ian Wilkes barn with Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. She is a daughter of Artie Schiller and is 5 for 6 ITM on the greensward. She’s a closer and Ortiz is an excellent judge of pace. I really like her chances today. #1 Brielle’s Appeal is a speedy filly by English Channel who’s going to grab the lead for trainer Al Stall. She has been away for 47 days at Saratoga and could be a handful if turned loose from the gate break.

Graded Stakes Preview – Saturday, August, 12, 2017

Graded Stakes Preview / BetPTC.com / Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #4 – G2 Adirondack Stakes – 6 1/2 f – 2:44 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #1 – Pure Silver / #2 -Stainless / #3 – Sly Roxy

#1 – Pure Silver = John Velasquez aboard for Todd Pletcher and they are winning (30%) the past two months. 2-yr-old filly by Mission Impazible and she is a perfect 2/2. Her last effort at Belmont in the Lynbrook Stakes was ultra-impressive. The rider/trainer are 13/16 the last two weeks, and Pletcher wins (27%) with his babies. #2 – Stainless = Manny Franco for Todd Pletcher and they are rolling at a (38%) clip the last 60 days as a team. This daughter of Flatter was coming late in the G3 Schuylerville was very wide at the top of the lane. Pletcher wins (25%) with his sprinters and (45%) ITM with graded stakes. #3 – Sly Roxy = Javier Castellano for Mark Casse and she was impressive in her maiden debut at Saratoga. She was the odds-on favorite and exited off a blistering work prior to her coming out party.

Race #10 – G1 Fourstardave – 1 mile on the turf – 6:28 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #3 – Time Test / #5 – Sassy Little Lila / #6 – Disco Partner

#3 – Time Test = Son of Dubawi for the Chad Brown barn, and has been away from the races for two months. This is his 3rd start of the year, and he was a beaten favorite last out settling for 2nd money. He cuts back in distance and has some nice works over the course. His pattern points to a prime effort. #5 – Sassy Little Lila = Speedy filly by Artie Schiller. Luis Saez has the call for Brad Cox and comes off a loss in the G1 Just A Game. She is 2/2 at the Spa ITM and should be showing the way from the start. #6 – Disco Partner = Tyler Gafflione for Christophe Clement. This son of Disco Rico is 2/2 ITM over the course and is shooting for 4-in-a-row moving up the class ladder.

Arlington

Race #7 – G1 Secretariat – 1 1/4 on turf – 4:50 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #3 – Permian / #4 – Oscar Performance / #6 – Taj Mahal

#3 – Permian = William Buick for Mark Johnston as they bring a 3-yr-old son of Teofilo to post. He cuts back from 1 1/2 at Saint Cloud and is 2/2 ITM going this distance. He owns two impressive efforts going 1 1/4 at Newmarket and Epsom earlier this year. Buick fits the colt like a glove and I’m looking for a stalking effort right off the speed of “Oscar” and “Sonic.” #4 – Oscar Performance = Jose Ortiz aboard for Brian Lynch and this son of Kitten’s Joy was super in the G1 Belmont Derby. Plenty of early foot and has the services of one of the best speed riders in the country. He won the Breeders’ Cup Turf Juvenile last year and has the credentials to not look back with a (20%) winning turf rider in the driver’s seat. #6 – Taj Mahal = Ryan Moore for Aiden O’Brien and gets first-time Lasix (12%), and locked horns with some Euro tough guys. He should be up close, and with the addition of medication this son of Galileo could get the money.

Race #10 – G1 Beverly D – 1 3/16 on the turf – 6:35 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #5 – Grand Jete / #1 -Dacita / #4 – Dona Bruja

#5 – Grand Jete = 3/3 since shipping over from France for the Chad Brown barn. She looks to be getting better with every race, and her late punch can get the job done. Joel Rosario in the saddle and he is looking for his 3rd win in 4 starts. Brown comes loaded this day and her dam Modern Look has 3 starters; 3 winners, and 3 turf winners to her credit. #1 – Dacita = Irad Ortiz aboard for Chad Brown and they are winning (18%) the past two months. Brown wins (27%) with rested runners and she has been away for 60 days. She loves to fire fresh off the rest. #4 – Dona Bruja = Declan Cannon for Ignacio Correas (29%) and she is a perfect 2/2 over the AP turf. This is a very good test as she is stepping up in class today.

Race #11 – G1 Arlington Million – 1 1/4 on the turf – 7:19 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #13 – Mekhtaal / #5 – Deauville / #9 – Scottish

#13 – Mekhtaal = Frankie Dettori in the saddle and exits the Gr.1 Prince of Wales at Ascot. This has been a key race sending out 2 from 6 runners to come right back and score. His dam Aiglonne has 9 starters; 9 turf winners, and 3 stakes winners. He’s been off for 52 days and runs well off a race break. This son of Sea of Stars rates a big chance and the connections like his chances. #5 – Deauville = Ryan Moore for Aidan O’Brien. They have a son of Galileo going to the gate who has solid tactical speed. 3/3 ITM at the distance, and was outkicked down the lane in last year’s edition of the Million. He gets Lasix and should get a perfect trip under Ryan Moore. Been training well and faced some classy runners in Europe. #9 – Scottish = William Buick for Charles Applebee bringing a son of Teofilo to post. Exits the Gr.1 Prince of Wales and is 4/5 ITM going this distance. O’Brien targets US races and this gelding is making his 2nd start of the year with a 52-day rest in between efforts for Team Godolphin.

Graded Stakes Preview – Saturday, July 22, 2017

BetPTC.com / Graded Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

 

Saratoga

Race #9 – G3 Sanford – 6f on the main – 5:40 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections = #5 – Admiral Jimmy (4-1) / #7 – Direct Dial (5-2) / #1 – Psychoanalyze (7-2)

#5 – Admiral Jimmy = 2-yr-old colt by Jimmy Creed and he wins (33%) with first-time starters, and lived up to his numbers as this colt romped his first time out at Gulfstream. He’s been in New York since 6/23 and has three works over the course. Javier Castellano in the irons for Todd Pletcher and he wins (27%) with his babies. I’m looking for a repeat getting better for his backers.  #7 – Direct Dial = Speedy son of Too Much Bling and his last race was an impressive run in the $150k Tremont. He has the services of one of the best speed riders in the country with Jose Ortiz who wins (24%) with early speed runners. This Texas-bred for the Steve Asmussen barn will be right there setting the fractions and his morning works have been sparkling. #1 – Psychoanalyze = He won at first asking for Brian Lynch and his sire Overanalyze wins (28%) with his first timers. He’ll battle it out with “Dial” and has every chance to improve with Luis Saez drawing the rail post.

Race #10 – G1 Diana Stakes – 1 1/8 on the turf – 6:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections = #3 – Lady Eli (4-5) / #6 – Dickinson (9-2) / #4 – Quidana (8-1)

#3 -Lady Eli = Irad Ortiz for Chad Brown ITM at the “Spa” and comes off a 56 day break off a win in the G1 Gamely at Santa Anita. Her work two back was very sharp and she’ll look to go a perfect 3/3 at Saratoga. – There will be many racing fans watching her every move as she has overcome much in her short time. If you see anywhere near (4-5) that may be solid value. #6 – Dickinson = Paco Lopez in the saddle for Kiaran McLaughlin and she is 6/7 ITM on the turf. That was a solid run 1st off and Lopez fits her like a glove. It was a perfect stepping stone to build a summer campaign. #4 – Quidana = Graham Motion has a nice filly by Dubawi. She is 5/6 ITM on the sod and makes her 2nd start off a two-month layoff. She’s locked horns with these fillies in the past and looks to bring her “A” game off a smart morning work.

 

Del Mar

Race #4 – G2 Eddie Read – 1 1/8 on the turf – 6:40 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections = #6 – Ashleyluvssugar (7-5) / #5 – Up With the Birds (15-1) / #2 – Hunt (3-1)

#6 – Ashelyluvssugar = Gary Stevens aboard for Peter Eurton. Stevens (22%) with turf runners and is 4/4 ITM at Del Mar. Exits off a win in the G2 Whittingham and been on the shelf for 55 days. Eurton wins (18%) with his layoff runners and cuts back 1 1/4 to 1 1/8. He is 12/16 ITM on the sod and looks to be a perfect stalking type. #5 – Up With the Birds = Jamie Theriot in the irons for Phil D’Amato who was last year’s winning trainer at the meet. He’s been off for 55 days and is a deep closing type. He ran a game 3rd against “Ashley” last out and makes the same trip back to the races. #2 – Hunt = Flavien Pratt for Phil D’Amato and he was 2nd in the standings for leading rider last year. This son of Dark Angel gets first-time blinkers (21%) and 2nd off the layoff (21%) for a very solid conditioner.

 

Race #9 – G2 San Diego Handicap – 1 1/16 on the main – 9:10 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections = #3 – Arrogate (1-5) / #2 – El Huerfano (12-1) / #1 – Accelerate (8-1)

#3 – Arrogate = Super colt coming off a 7 win streak and been off for 3 months after a sparkling win in the Dubai World Cup. Baffert know’s he has a special runner and he is skilled with layoff runners winning (27%) when they return to the races. The world’s highest rated horse will be exciting to watch on his return. #2 – El Huerfano = Speedster with the red-hot Evin Roman in the driver’s seat. He’ll jump out quickly and may have his hands full even with his best effort. #1 – Accelerate = Son of Looking At Lucky is 2/2 at Del Mar making his 2nd trip off of the layoff. His works are hot and the rider is off to a great start.