FLORIDA DERBY DAY 2019
BetPTC.com Selections / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer
Gulfstream Park Race #8 – The G2 Gulfstream Oaks – 1 1/16 – 3:00 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Dunbar Road / #3 – Point of Honor / #5 – Champagne Anyone
#6 Dunbar Road is perfect for the Chad Brown barn with Irad Ortiz in the irons. She’s a daughter of Quality Road and snatched the lead strongly and never looked back. The one turn distance should allow Ortiz to stay outside and settle. I’m looking for another effort to keep her record intact and Ortiz rises to the occasion on big money days. #3 Point of Honor is a daughter of Curlin and is two for two for the George Weaver barn. Javier Castellano in the saddle and she exits an impressive win in the Suncoast at Tampa Bay. Look for the high percentage Castellano to come rolling around the far turn. She has four solid works at Palm Meadows and hasn’t done anything wrong. #5 Champagne Anyone is a daughter of Street Sense and Chris Landeros up for Ian Wilkes. This is her 3rd off the layoff where the barn wins 17% and adds blinkers today.
Race #13 – The G2 Pan American – 1 1/2 on the turf – 6:00 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Focus Group / #4 – Canessar / #2 – Melmich
#1 Focus Group has been away for five months for the Chad Brown barn and draws the rail with Irad Ortiz. This son of Kitten’s Joy is 2 for 2 ITM at the distance and drops down a notch from G1 company. Brown is winning 30% at the meet and his last effort has me looking for Ortiz to come flying late. #4 Canessar hails from the barn of Arnaud Delacour with Fergal Lynch in the saddle. He’s been off for two months and is 3 for 5 ITM going this far. He had a brutal trip last out and this closer may come rolling for a big piece of the pie. #2 Melmich is making a 3rd off the layoff move and came flying late in the G2 Mac Diamardia. Javier Castellano is attractive when thinking about your wagers and he makes very few mistakes when the money is on the line.
Race #14 – The G1 Florida Derby – 1 1/8 – 6:30 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Bourbon War / #3 – Harvey Wallbanger / #9 – Code of Honor
#4 Bourbon War comes in 3rd off a layoff and is lightly raced. I really liked his moves in the G2 FOY and Ortiz gets added distance which should play into his plans perfectly. Mark Hennig is the trainer and he may have a very nice runner who will be heading to Louisville after this race. #3 Harvey Wallbanger comes from the Kenny McPeek barn making his 2nd start of the year. He was very consistent at CD last year and his last work was a scorching bullet going 47 flat. B.J. Hernandez in the irons and rolls in 56 days later off a win in the G2 Holy Bull. Look for a long range launch at the top of the lane. #9 Code of Honor comes in off a win in the G2 FOY and should be a perfect stalker with the added ground. John Velasquez has the call and rolls in off three straight bullet works. Look for a top effort.
Race #9 – The G1 Dubai World Cup – 1 1/4 – 12:40 pm EDT
BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Yoshida / #12 – Thunder Snow / #5 – Seeking the Soul
A field of thirteen going to post in the “Duel in the Desert,” and the entire card should offer solid betting value. #12 Thunder Snow is going to take a great deal of money but will have to overcome the outside post. He is 7 for 7 ITM at Meydan. #3 North America is looking for three straight after having a slow start last year at the break. #5 Seeking the Soul comes in for Dallas Stewart and Mike Smith. He has two hot works at Fair Grounds and the connections aren’t making the trip for nothing.
#10 Yoshida hails from the Bill Mott barn with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. He was a beaten favorite in the G1 Pegasus World Cup Turf. Making the surface switch has Mott winning 13% and if you toss out the two lifetime turf efforts he always comes calling. Ortiz is an excellent reinsman and they won18% as a team last year.