Tag Archives: France

Sunday’s Arc de Triomphe Horse-by-horse Analysis

We focus on the chances of each runner for the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, the feature race on 3 October.  Watch, wager and get instant rewards on the Arc with betptc.com

Persian King

Winner of the 2019 G1 Poule d’Essai des Poulains (1600m), Persian King has established himself as one of the leading milers in Europe this season with multiple Group One victories, including the G1 Prix Moulin (1600m) at Longchamp and the G1 Prix d’Ispahan (1600m).  Although breeding on his dam side would suggest stamina should not be an issue, Persian King is stepping out to 2400m for the first time in his career and has to prove his staying ability.

Royal Julius 

An experienced campaigner, Royal Julius has competed across Europe with some success. Highlights from this season include a third in the G3 Grand Prix de Chantilly (2500m) and a second in the G2 Premio Federico Tesio (2000m) at San Siro (Italy). It will be his first attempt in Group One company since 2018.

Way To Paris 

Way To Paris comes to the ‘Arc’ after a career-best season, with a Group One and Group Two victories amongst other black type placings. The seven-year-old achieved a first Group One success in the Grand Prix de Saint Cloud (2400m) in late June and was only beaten three lengths in the G2 Prix Foy (2000m) after a break.

Sovereign 

A long-priced winner of the G1 Irish Derby (2400m) during his Classic campaign, Sovereign has been lightly campaigned this season with only three runs. Following a third in the G3 Vintage Crop Stakes at the Curragh, he chased home Enable in the three-runner G1 King George and Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (2400m). The Galileo colt may appreciate the return to 2400m after a disappointing run in the G1 Irish St Leger (2800m).

Japan 

Half-brother to Group winners Sir Isaac Newton and MogulJapan has been inconsistent throughout his career. Talented on his best day, the Galileo colt achieved a career best when winning the G1 International Stakes (2100m) at York in August 2019. He’s hit the frame twice this season but would need to bounce back from a disappointing run in the G1 Irish Champion Stakes (2000m).

Stradivarius 

Champion stayer Stradivarius drops back in trips to have a tilt at Europe’s richest race following another successful season over long distances. A three-time winner of the G1 Ascot Gold Cup (4000m), he was narrowly denied victory in the G2 Prix Foy (2400m) in his trial for the ‘Arc’. Olivier Peslier picks up the ride with regular jockey Frankie Dettori favouring Enable.

Sottsass

2019 G1 Prix du Jockey Club (2100m) winner Sottsass catches the eye as a possible candidate for victory in the ‘Arc’, having placed third behind Waldgeist in the 2019 renewal. Winner of the G1 Prix Ganay (2100m) at Chantilly in June, he will be looking to recapture best form after a below-par effort in the G1 Irish Champion Stakes (2000m).

Enable 

‘Queen of the Turf’ Enable will be bidding – for the second time – for a historic third victory in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe. Second behind Waldgeist in the 2019 renewal, the champion race-mare has enjoyed a straightforward season with victories in the G1 King George and Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (2400m) and the G3 September Stakes (2400m AW). Her record over 2400m is exceptional and she may prove hard to beat.

Deirdre 

Japanese star Deirdre has been campaigned in the UK and Ireland over the last two years winning over two million pounds in prize money. Although her European form falls short of top-level, she demonstrated plenty of ability when scoring in the G1 Nassau Stakes (2000m) in 2019 and can’t be ignored if returning to that level.

Gold Trip 

Trained by Fabrice ChappetGold Trip has been lightly campaigned over the course of the season and caught the eye with a success in the G2 Prix Greffulhe (2200m). Although the colt struggled in the G1 Prix du Jockey Club (2100m), he showed better form when third in the G1 Grand Prix du Paris (2400m) behind Mogul seeming to enjoy the additional stamina test.

Chachnak  

One of five three-year-olds in the race, Chachnak looked to be a leading contender for the G1 Prix du Jockey Club (2100m) after a hard-fought success in the G2 Prix du Guiche (1800m). Although disappointing in the Classic itself, Chachnak bounced back to form with a victory in the G3 Prix du Prince d’Orange (2000m) and tries 2400m for the first time.

In Swoop

The least experienced runner in the field, In Swoop has achieved two victories and two placings from four career starts. Winner of the G1 Deutsches Derby (2400m) in July, the German-bred colt produced a big performance to place second behind Mogul in the G1 Grand Prix de Paris (2400m) and continues to improve.

Mogul 

Touted as a likely Epsom Derby winner at the end of his juvenile campaign, Mogul has improved with each run this season and achieved his first Group One victory when scoring comfortably in the G1 Grand Prix de Paris (2400m) at Longchamp in mid-September. The Galileo colt continues to make headway and should not be dismissed with the advantage of a three-year-old weight allowance.

Serpentine

A surprise winner of the G1 Epsom DerbySerpentine was given an enterprising ride by jockey Emmet McNamara to steal the Classic from the front, beating his nearest rival by five and a half lengths. The colt’s only subsequent start came in the Grand Prix de Paris where he finished fourth behind stablemate MogulSerpentine would need to step up again after that below-par performance.

Raabihah  

A close fourth behind Fancy Blue in the G1 Prix de Diane (2100m), Raabihah continues to improve with each outing and caught the eye with a useful second against older competition in the G1 Prix Vermeille (2400m). Her age and sex allowance will be helpful against experienced rivals and trainer Jean-Claude Rouget remains confident in her ability.

BetPTC.com Horses to Watch – 7/11/17

Horses to Watch – Ed Meyer

Most of the country had all eyes on Belmont with a spectacular day of racing on tap. They didn’t disappoint, and the track crew gets the big award having to deal with a deluge of rain the day prior.  There are plenty of runner’s we’ll be watching for months to come off this day of incredible action. – Here are some runners who may have flown under your radar, but they offer a good deal value if you follow them back to the races next out. – Best of luck from your friends at BetPTC.com !

7/8/17

Belmont

Race #3 – Maiden Sp Wt – 5 1/2f on the main track

#4 – Roaming Union = Mike Smith was aboard for Kelly Breen. He was forced to check up strongly at the break and fanned out 6 wide at the top of the lane. This race should be a great learning tool for races ahead.

Race #8 – G1 Belmont Oaks – 1 1/4 on the turf

#7 – Uni = Irad Ortiz in the saddle for Chad Brown making her first start in 58 days after shipping over from France. Brown has been winning at (27%) at the meet and she broke slow at the start and was in tight along the hedge. She was closing stoutly and will be fun to follow right back for good things to come.

Race #10 – G1 Belmont Derby – 1 1/4 on the turf

#1 – Good Samaritan = Joel Rosario for Bill Mott. 3rd off the layoff for this son of Harlan’s Holiday and hit the gate at the break. He was three-wide turning for home and dove to the rail trying to save ground. He opened at (12-1) and was bet down to ($5.60-1) as the public saw the value in this runner. He’ll bring plenty of good runs in days to come.

7/8/17

Belterra Park

Race  #5 – Claiming – 1 mile and 70 yards – (Originally scheduled for 1 mile on the turf )

#6 – Gem Digger = Odhair Mayta aboard for Stephanie Preston an (80%) winning trainer with only 5 starts this meet / 4 wins and 1 third place finish. This daughter of Tale of Ekati  was fresh off a maiden win and three off the shelf. She reared at the start and made a strong effort to get back in the game. With a little racing luck she’ll be a major player.

7/9/17

Belmont

Race #3 – Allowance – 7f on the turf

#3 – Rubilinda = Jose Ortiz in the irons for Chad Brown. This daughter of Frankel is bred to relish the turf and was taking the next step up the ladder. She broke inward at the break and steadied twice hard during the race. I would use this effort as a learning tool for the future. She’ll reward her backers next time out.

7/9/17

Belterra Park

Race #2 – Maiden Special Weight – 5f on the turf

#3 – As You Do = 1st time starter by Colonel John for the red-hot barn of Dane Kobiskie (43%) at the meet. He was working well and weaved through traffic like a professional. He’ll be effective sprinting or getting more ground adding to this win.

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Graded Stakes Preview – Saturday, July 8, 2017

BetPTC.com / Graded Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Belmont Race #6 – G3 Dwyer – 1 mile on the main- 4:38 pm

BetPTC.com Selections – #2 – (6-5) Battalion Runner / #3 – (7-5) Practical Joke / (#5 – (5-1) Giusseppe the Great

Battalion Runner is a good looking son of Unbridled’s Song who is 4/4 ITM lifetime. He ran a game effort in the G2 Wood Memorial finishing second to Irish War Cry. Cuts back from 1 1/8 to a mile, and makes his first start off the layoff for Todd Pletcher. The barn wins (29%) with rested runners and a couple bullet works over the course has everything looking good. Practical Joke comes in for Chad Brown exiting the Kentucky Derby. He’s been on a brief vacation for 2 months and may not have taken to the track in Louisville. Solid stalker type who plans to come calling down the lane. Giusseppe the Great is a lightly raced colt from the barn of Nick Zito. He is 4/4 ITM this year and was picking up the pieces in the G2 Woody Stephens finishing 2nd.

Race #8 – G1 Belmont Oaks – 1 1/4 on the main track – 5:46 pm

BetPTC.com Selections – #8 -(7-2) New Money Honey / #2 – (15-1) Beau Recall / #7 – (6-1) Uni / #12 – (5-2) Sistercharlie

New Money Honey is making her 2nd start off a two month layoff in the hands of Javier Castellano. Her last effort in the G3 Wonder Again showed good promise coming in fresh and ready. She showed a whole new dimesion grabbing the lead going wire-to-wire. Chad Brown is the trainer and comes back to score (27%) off a stakes win. She is 2/2 at Belmont, and you have to respect the barn on big race days. Beau Recall ships in from Santa Anita, and has the services of Flavien Prat who wins (21%) on the turf. She is conditoned by Simon Callaghan and looks to put away the bridesmaid dress and walk into the winner’s circle. By all accounts she looks to be sitting on a big effort. Uni is a daughter of More than Ready for Chad Brown / Irad Ortiz. She is coming over from France, and Brown wins (29%) with new runners in his barn. Sistercharlie has been a monster and her last race at Chantilly was a big effort in the Group 1 Prix de Diane.  I love the move to Chad Brown / John Velasquez , and there is not much you couldn’t like. Opening up at (5-2) and breaking from the #12 post is enough to send me looking for a better price. If she runs half of her last race she’ll be tough, but you’re not going to get the price you deserve. I’m leaning to the other Chad Brown runners who offer a better price.

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Race #9 – G2 Suburban Handicap – 1 1/4 – 6:18 pm

BetPTC.com Selections – #6 – (4-5) Shaman Ghost / #5 – (8-1) Follow Me Crev / #3 – (15-1) Sunny Ridge

Shaman Ghost is shooting for three straight wins. This son of Ghostzapper was closing stoutly in the G3 Pimlico Special. 2/3 ITM at Belmont and gets an added 1/16th of a mile to target. He appears to be hitting his gear at the right time and is 4/5 at the distance. Follow Me Crev exits the G1 Gold Cup at Santa Anita and has faced some real tough guys along his journey. He sports a bullet work going 1:13 flat at Santa Anita and ships to New York for trainer Vladimir Cerin. Sunny Ridge is a son of Holy Bull and 2/2 ITM over the Belmont surface. Manny Franco in the irons for Jason Servis (33%) and they could get a piece of the pie stalking just off the speed.

Race #10 – G1 Belmont Derby – 1 1/4 on the turf – 6:50 pm

BetPTC.com Selections – #1 – (12-1) Good Samaritan / #6 – (8-1) Arlow / #5 – (5-1) Called To The Bar

Good Samaritan exits the G3 Pennine Ridge at Belmont. This son of Harlan’s Holiday has returned to the races stronger than ever in 2017. The distance should not be a problem and draws the golden rail winning at a rate of (29%). Bill Mott  is the trainer and Joel Rosario has been the only rider aboard. You’ll  see him working up the rail looking for his path at the 1/4 pole.  Arklow was the longshot winner who beat Good Samaritan in the G2 American Turf at Churchill Downs. Mike Smith stays aboard, and this son of Arch is 2/2 on the greensward. Smith is winning at (42%) at Belmont and the “Money Man” cometh for a very good reason. I think we’ll be hearing good things from this guy in the future. Called To The Bar ships in from France and is 4/4 ITM on the turf. He has been away from the races for 46 days and the son of Henrythenavigator. He has won at this distance for rider Maxime Guyon at Chantilly.