Tag Archives: Graded Stakes Analysis

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Dec. 5

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 12/5/2020

by: Ed Meyer

Aqueduct Race #4 – The G2 Remsen – 1 1/8 miles dirt – 1:00 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Known Agenda / #5 – Ten for Ten / #3 – Brooklyn Strong

#2 Known Agenda is a son of Curlin and 1 for 1 at AQU. An impressive closer and Todd Pletcher is winning 31% with John Velasquez in the irons. He is 2 for 2 lifetime and should come rolling quick down the lane. #5 Ten for Ten is a speedy son of Frosted for Shug McGaughey and Jose Ortiz in the saddle. Look for Ortiz to send right from the break as he wins 19% with speedy runners. #3 Brooklyn Strong is a perfect stalker and has Joel Rosario in the driver’s seat. This gelded son of Wicked Strong should be sitting in the catbird seat turning for home.

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Race #9 – The G2 Demoiselle – 1 1/8 – 3:44 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Malathaat / #5 – Dollar Mountain / #6 – Cafe Society

#1 Malathaat is a daughter of Curlin and sports good early foot for the Pletcher barn. John Velasquez has the call and should come out swinging from the inside post. Johnny V wins 22% with early style runners. #5 Dollar Mountain is a stalker who moved off the turf last time for George Weaver. Jose Lezcano in the irons for the stalker and looks for a trip just off the speed. #6 Cafe Society hails from the Shug McGaughey barn with Jose Ortiz getting the nod. Speedy daughter of Empire Maker moving up the ladder and might be dangerous if able to find the front.

Race#10 – The G1 Cigar Mile – 1 mile – 4:13 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Performer / #4 – Firenze Fire / #5 – Mr. Buff

#1 Performer comes in for Shug McGaughey and Joel Rosario. Been away for 49 days and may fire fresh off the shelf as the barn wins 19% on this move. He is seeking his 6th straight and will be dangerous breaking from the rail where it wins 29%. #4 Firenze Fire goes to post for Kelly Breen with Jose Lezcano in the saddle. A solid stalker with a sharp late punch and 3 for 5 ITM at AQU. Should be in the second flight working out a good trip. #5 Mr. Buff is a speedster from the John Kimmel barn with Junior Alvarado between the ears. 2nd off the layoff moving up in class. Will be dangerous if left alone on the lead.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – July 11

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – July 11

by: Ed Meyer

Keeneland

Race #5 – The G1 Madison – 7f – 3:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Guarana / #4 – Princess Causeway / #7 – Mia Mischief

#5 Guarana is a daughter of Ghostzapper and makes her 2nd start of the year. She hails from the Chad Brown barn with Jose Ortiz in the irons. She is 1 for 1 at 7f, and a closeup stalker. Her last prep was perfect and the barn wins 28% off the last race win. #4 Princess Causeway enters for Ian Wilkes and Julien Leparoux in the saddle. She is perfect at the distance and over the KEE strip as a late runner. She goes from 6f to 7f and lightly raced. Toss out her last race and she’s a player today. I like the 2nd off the layoff move and sharp works coming into the race. #7 Mia Mischief is 2 for 2 ITM at KEE for Steve Asmussen and his go to rider Ricardo Santana in the saddle. She’s a stalker and should be just off the pace. The added distance should have her closer and Santana wins 17% with early runners.

Race #6 – The G2 Shakertown – 5 1/2 f on turf – 3:51 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 Texas Wedge / #2 – Wildman Jack / #10 – Totally Boss

#9 Texas Wedge comes from the barn of Peter Miller with Flavien Prat in the saddle. This is his 3rd off the layoff and was a fast closing 2nd at KEE in the past. He is a late runner and may relish the distance where he is 6 for 8 ITM. #2 Wildman Jack is a son of Goldencents and comes from the Doug O’Neill barn with Mike Smith in the irons. After coming back from Dubai he rallied just off the pace and won the G3 Daytona. He looks prepped and ready and 6 for 6 ITM at the distance. #10 Totally Boss comes in for Rusty Arnold off a troubled trip at CD. It was his first start since the BC Turf Sprint and had to be taken up after the break. His works are solid and the trainer wins 27% on a 2nd out effort.

Race #7 – The G1 Ashland – 1 1/16 – 4:24 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Venetian Harbor / #4 – Envoutante / #3 – Bonny South

#2 Venetian Harbor is a speedy filly for Richard Baltas and Joel Rosario in the saddle. She was a beaten chalk last out and the barn wins 29% getting payback. She is 4 for 4 ITM lifetime and should be the major danger on the lead. #4 Envoutante is a mid flight stalker for Kenny McPeek with Jose Ortiz aboard. Ortiz is an excellent speed rider and wins 20% with runners who break quickly. The daughter of Uncle Mo is coming off a good prep and has some sharp works. #3 Bonny South is a late runner from the Brad Cox barn. John Velasquez has the call and wins 20% with late runners. She exits off a win in the G2 FG Oaks and will come calling late in the lane.

Race #8 – The G1 Jenny Wiley – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:57 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Rushing Fall / #6 – Jolie Olimpica / #8 – Toinette

#4 Rushing Fall is a daughter of More Than Ready for Chad Brown and Javier Castellano in the irons. She loves KEE going 4 for 5 ITM lifetime and is 4 for 4 ITM at the distance. She should sit mid pack and takeoff quickly turning for home. #6 Jolie Olimpica hails from the Richard Baltas barn with Mike Smith aboard. She’s a stalker shipping in from California off a win in the G2 Monrovia. Her lifetime record is 6 for 6 ITM and should be right on the pace from the gate break. #8 Toinette is the daughter of Scat Daddy for Neil Drysdale. Flavien Prat in the driver’s seat, and should stalk the leaders and turn up the heat when they turn for home. Prat wins 28% with his turf runners.

Race #9 – The G2 Bluegrass – 1 1/8 – 5:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Swiss Skydiver / #3 – Art Collector / #8 – Basin

#3 Swiss Skydiver hails from the Ken McPeek barn with Mike Smith in the saddle. She has a sharp speed and Smith is an artist winning 25% with early style runners. She exits off a sharp win in the G2 SA Oaks and should be the pace danger. #3 Art Collector comes from the Thom Drury barn with B.J. Hernandez in the driver’s seat. This son of Bernardini is a mid pack closer and Hernandez wins 44% with Drury. Since shifting over from the turf he’s been a new runner. Drury is on the rise and is winning 19% on the year. #8 Basin is a son of Liam’s Map for Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santana aboard. He comes off a solid 2nd in the G1 Arkansas Derby and should chase the pace and pounce.

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