Tag Archives: Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – February 22

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – February 22 for www.betptc.com

by: Ed Meyer

Aqueduct

Race #8 – The Haynesfield – 1 mile – 4:50 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Mr. Buff / #2 – Syndergaard / #4 – I Love Jaxson

#1 Mr. Buff comes from the barn of John Kimmel with Junior Alvarado in the irons. He sports good early foot and Alvarado wins 21% with speed runners. He cuts back from a 9f and is 5 for 8 ITM going this distance. The rail, the rider, and early speed make him dangerous. #2 Syndergaard hails from the barn of John Terranova with Jose Lezcano in the saddle. He’s coming off a 9 month layoff and the barn scores with 22% off a long rest. There should be a solid stalking trip in his future with a record of 3 for 4 ITM at AQU he should be right in the mix turning for home. #4 I Love Jaxson comes in for Linda Rice with Eric Cancel in the driver’s seat. Rice is winning 22% at the meet and coming off a last race win where the barn scores at a 26% clip. He’s a deep closer and be motoring at the top of the lane.

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Gulfstream Park

Race #9 – The G3 World of Trouble Sprint – 6f – 4:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Lasting Legacy / #4 – Admiral Lynch / #6 – Fast Pass

#2 Lasting Legacy is a son of Tapizar for trainer Jason Servis. He comes off a two month layoff and will come rolling quickly when the real running begins. The barn wins 31% with sprinters and cuts back to a kinder distance. #4 Admiral Lynch is a son of Super Saver for the Jason Servis barn. He is 3 for 3 ITM at GP and ships in from Penn National. The barn scores with 34% with new surroundings and this colt should press the early pace. #6 Fast Pass is long range closer for the Peter Walder barn. He is 10 for 11 ITM at GP and exits a fast closing effort over the course. He’ll get into the mix in the final furlong.

Santa Anita

Race #5 – The G2 Buena Vista – 1 mile on the turf – 5:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Jolie Olimpica / #4 -Mucho Unusual / #3 – Muchly

#1 Jolie Olimpica is a daughter of Drosselmeyer for Richard Mandella. This is her 2nd off the layoff and stretches out to a route of distance for the first time. She is 1 for 1 at SA and gets second time Lasix. Mike Smith will try and keep her perfect 4 for 4 intact right on the pace. #4 Mucho Unusual comes from the barn of Tim Yakteen and is 4 for 4 ITM at SA. She’s been off for 56 days and drops in class with a cut back in distance. Joel Rosario in the irons and he wins with 18% of his late runners. Look for her at the top of the lane. #3 Muchly has the services of Umberto Rispoli and he is winning with 26% of his turf runners. She ships over from Lingfield (GB) and gets first time Lasix. She is 4 for 7 ITM on the turf. She’ll be running late in the lane for trainer Simon Callaghan.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – February 15th

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis / February 15th

by: Ed Meyer

Race #9 – The G3 Mineshaft – 1 1/16 – 5:01 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Silver Dust / #6 – Hofburg / #9 – Captivating Moon

#4 Silver Dust is a son of Tapit for Bret Calhoun wining 26% with Brian Hernandez. He is 6 for 7 ITM at FG and is a perfect stalker type. This is his 2nd off the layoff where the barn wins 18%. This rider trainer team win 31% together. Look for an up close trip looking for two in a row. #6 Hofburg comes in for Bill Mott and Joel Rosario. Been off 7 months from Saratoga and has been working lights out in the morning. This son of Tapit has tons of back class and owns some sparkling works coming in today. He fires fresh off the layoff and will be closing quick in the lane. #9 Captivating Moon is a son of Malibu Moon for Chris Block and Julien Leparoux. Makes the turf to dirt switch winning 21% on this move and 1 for 1 over the course. Leparoux picks up the mount and will be rolling late to grab a piece of the pie.

Race #10 – The G3 Fair Grounds Stakes – 1 1/8 on the turf – 5:32 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Synchrony / #5 – Don’t Blame Rocket / #12 – Midnight Tea Time

#2 Synchrony comes off a 4 month layoff for Michael Stidham and Joe Bravo. He’s a deep closer with works over the track. He’s 6 for 7 ITM at the distance and fires fresh off the shelf. #5 Don’t Blame Rocket is a son of Blame for Norm Casse and Julien Leparoux. He moves up the class ladder and is 11 for 13 ITM on the sod. He loves FG going 7 for 8 ITM and looks to make it four in a row. #12 Midnight Tea Time comes in for Joe Sharp who is 4 for 4 ITM at FG. The rider switch to high percentage Joel Rosario helps moving up the class ladder.

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Race #11 – The G2 Rachel Alexandra – 1 1/16 – 6:05 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Swiss Skydiver / #6 – British Idiom / #7 – Finite

#3 Swiss Skydiver is a daughter of Daredevil for trainer Ken McPeek. She goes from a sprint to a route and wins 23% on this move as her last race looked like a solid prep. She can come rolling off the pace and B.J. Hernandez winning 15% with his distance runners. Solid works and 2nd off make her dangerous. #6 British Idiom is a daughter of Flashback who’s a perfect 3 for 3 at FG exiting a three month layoff. She will stalk the pace under Javier Castellano. Her win in the G1 B/C Juvenile Fillies was sharp and should be the major danger. #7 Finite is a Steve Asmussen trainee with Ricardo Santana in the irons. She is 1 for 1 at FG seeking her fifth straight win. She’s been game at every level and Santana fits her like a glove. Keep in your exotics as she’s 6 for 6 ITM lifetime.

Race #12 – The G2 Risen Star – 1 1/8 – 6:38 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Silver Slate / #9 – Mr. Monomoy / #11 – Scabbard

#2 Silver Slate is a lightly raced colt by Hard Spun. He’s 3 for 3 ITM lifetime and ran a game race last out in the G-3 Lecomte after bobbling and getting knocked around. A solid closer who fits the rider winning 20% with his late runners. His dam Supreme has 4 starters, and 4 winners to her credit. #9 Mr. Monomoy is a son of Palace Malice who is 2 for 2 at FG. Florent Geroux in the irons and  made a good run in the G3 Lecomte. Trainer Brad Cox is winning 22% and has been red hot 7 for 9 ITM the past weeks. #11 Scabbard comes from the barn of Eddie Kenneally with Joel Rosario in the saddle. 2nd off the layoff winning 21% off that move and was forced to steady in the G3 Lecomte. He’s a closer and should relish the added ground as a beaten chalk last out.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – February 8

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis for Tampa Bay Downs – February 8th

by: Ed Meyer

Tampa Bay Downs

Race #8 – The G-3 Lambholm South Endeavor – 1 1/16 on the turf – 3:59 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Andina Del Sur / #7 – Got Stormy / #8 – Phantom Opening

#4 Andina Del Sur is a daughter of Giant’s Causeway for Thom Albertrani. She was outkicked in the G3 Marshua’s River at Gulfstream. She’s a strong closer who is 1 for 1 at Tampa Bay Downs. Jose Ortiz wins 18% with his turf runners and must be respected when making your wagers. #7 Got Stormy comes in off a two month layoff for Mark Casse and Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle. She’s been facing the boys and exits a solid win in the G1 Matriarch. Casse and Tyler G win 18% as a team and she’ll be flying late in the lane. #8 Phantom Opening comes in for Blair Jordan who is winning 38% at the meet with Antonio Gallardo in the irons. This is her 2nd off the shelf and Gallardo wins 25% with his turf closers.

Race #10 – G-3 Tampa Bay Stakes – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:59 pm EDT  

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Caribou Club / #7 – Hembree / #6 – Halladay

#4 Caribou Club  comes in for Thom Proctor with Jose Ortiz in the irons. He’s been off for three months and Proctor wins 18% with his shippers. He moves up in class and should improve with high percentage rider Ortiz. He is a perfect 2 for 2 at the distance. #7 Hembree  is a son of Proud Citizen for trainer Mike Maker and Pablo Morales. He’s coming off a five month layoff as a beaten favorite. Morales wins 26% with his late runners. #6 Halladay is a son of War Front for Todd Pletcher who is winning 67% at the meet. John Velasquez in the irons and exits a solid win at GP. Look for Johnny V to have him in a perfect stalking position.

Race #11 – The G-3 Sam F. Davis – 1 1/16 – 5:29 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Independence Hall / #6 – Premier Star / #2 – Solo Valante

#4 Indepence Hall is a son of Constitution for Mike Trombetta and Jose Ortiz in the saddle. He’s a perfect 3 for 3 with a bullet work coming into the race. Look for Ortiz to have this colt stalking the leader ready to pounce. #6 Premier Star  comes in for Jorge Navarro with John Velasquez in the driver’s seat. He stretches out from 7f and owns a perfect 2 for 2. Navarro wins 31% with shippers and makes a jump up the class ladder for a red hot barn. #2 Solo Valante is a long range closer for Patrick Biancone and Luca Panici gets the nod. His works are sparkling and his return to the turf may what the doctor ordered. Look for him late in the lane.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – February 1

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis / February 1st

By: Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #8 – The G3 Sweetest Chant – 1 mile on turf – 3:34 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – She’s My Type / #7 – Moral Reasoning / #1 – Sunset Promise

#3 She’s My Type has Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle for Christophe Clement. She is 2 for 2 at GP and owns a sharp morning work coming into the races. She gets 2nd Lasix and the barn wins 18% on the medication move. She’ll come running late for Tyler G who looks to keep her record rolling. #7 Moral Reasoning is a daughter of More Than Ready for Chad Brown and Javier Castellano in the saddle. She’s a solid closer and gets added distance where Team Brown wins 32% moving to a route of ground. #1 Sunset Promise comes in for Mike Maker and Irad Ortiz. She is 3 for 4 ITM at GP and was bumped hard in her last effort managing a 4th place effort. The rider and trainer have been red hot the past couple of weeks.

 

Race #9 – The G3 Swale – 7f – 4:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Green Light Go / #2 – Untitled / #5 – Shivaree

#4 Green Light Go is a son of Hard Spun for James Jerkins and Javier Castellano. The barn comes in from Belmont running 2nd in the G1 Champagne. He cuts back in distance and drops down in class off a three month layoff. #2 Untitled comes in for Mark Casse off a 49 day layoff. He is 1 for 1 at GP and the Florida bred comes off an ultra impressive maiden win scoring by 11 lengths. He gets a rider change to Jose Ortiz who wins 19% with sprinters. #5 Shivaree comes in for Ralph Nicks winning 23% at the meet. Emisael Jaramillo in the irons seeking his 4th straight win looking for a stalking trip.

 

Race #11 – The G3 Holy Bull – 1 1/16 – 5:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Toledo / #3 – Tiz the Law / #4 – Ete Indian

#1 Toledo comes in for the always dangerous connections of Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. His last race was a solid prep encountering traffic and still managing a 2nd place finish. This is his 2nd route race and the barn scores 41% on the distance switch.  #3 Tiz the Law is a son of Constitution who is 3 for 3 lifetime for Barclay Tagg. Manny Franco in the irons and they exit the G2 Ky. Jockey Club at CD after getting bottled up in traffic. A two month layoff accompanied by a bullet work makes this New York bred attractive. #4 Ete Indian comes in for Patrick Biancone with Luca Panici in the saddle. Since moving from the turf he showed great interest in the main track. He moves up in class and owns a solid work in preparation.

 

Santa Anita

Race #7 – The G2 San Marcos – 1 1/4 on the turf – 6:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – United / #7 – Oscar Dominguez / #2 – Cleopatra’s Strike

#4 United goes to post for Richard Mandella and Flavien Prat. He comes off a two month layoff and is 4 for 6 ITM at SA. He sports some sparkling works and should be a strong closer in the lane. #7 Oscar Dominguez is a son of Zoffany (IRE) for Ricard Baltas and Joel Rosario. He’s returning off a two month layoff adding Blinkers today. Look for Rosario to come calling late in the lane. #2 Cleopatra’s Strike is in for Phillip D’Amato and Abel Cedillo. He is 3 for 3 ITM at SA and makes his 3rd off move where the barn wins 19%. He just missed last out and looks to turn the tables.

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Race #8 – The G2 San Pasqual – 1 1/8 – 7:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Roadster / #5 – Midcourt / #3 – Restrainedvengence

#1 Roadster is a son of Quality Road for the Bob Baffert barn with Joel Rosario in the irons. He is 5 for 5 ITM at SA and exits a good effort in the G1 Malibu. Look for a late move as they turn for home. #5 Midcourt is a son of Midnight Lute with Victor Espinoza aboard. He adds Blinkers and a sharp work. Espinoza had a tough race last out and looks to seal the deal today. #3 Restrainedvengence is a speedster shipping in from Zia Park. Abel Cedillo wins 24% with early speed runners.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – January 18th

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis / January 18

by: Ed Meyer

 

Aqueduct

Race #8 – The G-3 Toboggan – 7f – 3:55 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – American Anthem / #4 – Nicodemus / #3 – Arch Cat

#2 American Anthem has been away for three months and was a beaten chalk at KEE last out. This son of Bodemeister comes from the barn of Danny Gargan. He has a solid work tab and the services of Manny Franco today. Our horse racing analysis top pick.  #4 Nicodemus is a son of Candy Ride for trainer Linda Rice winning 26% at the meet. Huge class dropper today and makes his first start of the year. He’s a closer and cuts back in distance today. His bullet work shows all systems are go. #3 Arch Cat is a son of Arch for Daniel Velasquez. Ships in from Laurel and takes a hike up the class ladder. He rallied strong last out and has a new rider with Eric Cancel.

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Fair Grounds

Race #10 – The G3 Louisiana Stakes – 1 1/16 – 5:21 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1- My Boy Jack / #3 – Blended Citizen / #4 – Gun It

#1 My Boy Jack is a long range closer and been off three months. He switches from turf to dirt and has faced some tough guys in the past. The freshening and rail draw is a plus and Kent D should be motoring late in the lane. #3 Blended Citizen comes from the barn of Brad Cox who comes to post off as a beaten favorite in the $75,000 Tenacious. This son of Proud Citizen looks ready for a strong 2020 sporting a bullet work over the FG strip. #4 Gun It is 3rd off for trainer Steve Asmussen who wins 22% on this move. This son of Tapit is 3 for 4 ITM at FG and sports early speed. Santana wins 19% with his early runners.

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Race #13 – The G-3 Lecomte – 1 1/16 – 6:55 pm EDT

BetPTC.com / #4 – Scabbard / #9 – Silver Slate / #1 – Finnick the Fierce

#4 Scabbard is a son of More Than Ready for Eddie Kenneally with Corey Lanerie in the irons. Been off two months since the BC Juvenile and the rider is 9 for 14 ITM this past week. He’s a late runner who should benefit from an early pace. He had a brief layoff at Palm Meadows and may fire fresh off the rest. #9  Silver Slate comes in for Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santana. They are shipping in from CD and exits an impressive race coming off slow and missed by a nose. His dam Supreme has 4 starts, and 4 wins to her credit winning 100% with her babies. #1 Finnick the Fierce has been off 49 days for trainer Rey Hernandez. He’s been working well and draws the rail with Kentucky rider Sonny Leon. Look for him late in the lane at a big price.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – January 11th

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis for BetPTC.com / January 11th

by: Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #8 – Marshua’s River – 1 1/16 on the turf – 3:34 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Sweet Bye and Bye / #5 – Andina Del Sur / #3 – Magic Star

#4 Sweet Bye and Bye is a daughter of Sky Mesa for the Steve Klesaris barn. She is a beaten favorite and the barn comes back to score 19% on this move. Luis Saez has the call aboard a stalking type gal shipping in from AQU where the barn is 43% ITM. Look for a stout move rounding the far turn. #5 Andina Del Sur is a daughter of Giant’s Causeway with Javier Castellano in the irons for Thom Albertrani. She is 4 for 5 ITM over the course and her dam Andina (IRE) has 4 starters, 3 winners, and 3 turf winners to her credit. A late running sort who will fit nicely into Castellano’s hands where he wins 20% with closers. #3 Magic Star is a daughter of Scat Daddy for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. She’s been off for two months and Brown wins 28% with his shippers and 23% with graded stakes. She’s a long range closer stepping up in class and Ortiz scores at a 21% with late runners.

 

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Race #10 – The G3 Tropical Turf – 1 mile on the turf – 4:38 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections /#8 – A Thread of Blue / #6 – Tusk / #9 – Exulting

#8 A Thread of Blue is a speedy type for the Kiaran McLaughlin barn with Luis Saez in the saddle. He is 3 for 3 with wins over the course and Saez is an excellent speed rider winning 21% of his early running mounts. He was a beaten chalk last out and ships in from Belmont where the barn scores at a 20% win clip. #6 Tusk is a stalking sort from the Saffie Joseph barn with Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle. They are winning 33% as a team and 2nd off the layoff. Last out he was held up in traffic and gave a late sustained effort. #9 Exulting is a son of Tapit for the Mike Maker barn. Irad Ortiz gets the nod and is a late runner. He floated 6 wide last out and finished 5th. With a cleaner trip he can come rolling late in the lane.

 

Santa Anita

Race #3 – The G-3 Las Cienegas – 5 1/2f on the turf – 4:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Storm the Hill / #4 – An Eddie Surprise / #5 – Free Cover

#1 Storm the Hill is a long range closer for Phil D’Amato and Flavien Prat in the irons. She is 2nd off the layoff and makes the route to a sprint move today where the barn wins 22%. This daughter of Get Stormy is a closer and Prat wins 23% with his turf runners. A drop in class and cutting back to a sprint may be what the doctor ordered. #4 An Eddie Surprise comes from the Doug O’Neill barn and Mario Gutierrez who is wining at 30%. She is 13 for 15 ITM over the course and 1 for 1 at the distance. She jumps up in class and can come rolling in the lane. #5 Free Cover makes the dirt to turf move today. This daughter of Congrats drops down the class ladder and may be in a perfect stalking position.

 

Race #8 – The G3 La Canada – 1 1/16 – 7:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Spiced Perfection / #4 – Message / #3 – Queen Bee to You

#7 Spiced Perfection comes from the barn of Peter Miller picking up Joel Rosario in the saddle. They won the G3 Go For Wand and the trainer wins 24% off a last race win. She’s a solid stalker who is 5 for 6 ITM over the course. #4 Message hails from the Bob Baffert barn with Mike Smith in the irons. She has plenty of early speed and 2 for 2 ITM over the strip. She makes a jump in class and may be tough to catch. #3 Queen Bee to You is 7 for 9 ITM over the course and exits an impressive win in the G-3 Bayakoa. She is looking for her third straight win and should get a stalking trip under Ruben Fuentes who wins 18% with this style of runner.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Jan. 4 – BetPTC.com

BetPTC.com / Graded Stakes Preview

by: Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #7 – The G-3 Kitten’s Joy – 7 1/2f on turf – 3:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Island Commish / #9 – Summer to Remember / #2- Irish Miss

#8 Island Commish comes from the barn of Joe Saffie and steps up in class after a 45 day layoff. He seeks his 3rd straight with Paco Lopez in the saddle. Lopez wins 27% of his turf mounts and is three for three ITM on the green. A stalker who should be in good hands as Lopez wins 27% of his stalkers just off the pace. #9 Summer to Remember is a son of Summer Front for Todd Pletcher and Luis Saez in the irons. He was impressive winning at GP and is 2 for 2 ITM on the turf. He should be close to pace and is 1 for 1 ITM over the course. #2 Irish Miss is a son of Sky Mesa for Graham Motion and Rajiv Maragh in the saddle. He cuts back in distance and should benefit on this move.

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Santa Anita

Race #5 – The G-3 Sham – 1 mile – 4:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Authentic / #4 – Azul Coast / #5 – Scoring

#1 Authentic comes from the barn of Bob Baffert. He was impressive wining at DM under Drayden Van Dyke coming off a 56 day layoff. The barn wins 28% off a brief layoff. He gets the acid test and should be close from the break. #4 Azul Coast comes from the Bob Baffert barn and is a son of Super Saver. Joel Rosario gets the call and the  barn wins 28% with dirt runners. He will be rolling late in the lane. #5 Scoring is a son of Justin Phillips who was put up in a DQ his first outing. Abel Cedillo gets the nod and wins 24% with route runners. He makes the jump from 4 1/2f to a mile and should be placed in mid pack. His dam High Heeled Hope has 12 starters, 10 winners, and 2 stakes winners to her credit.

 

Race #8 – The G-2 San Gabriel – 1 1/8 on turf – 6:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3- Cleopatra’s Strike / #4 – Overdue / #6 – Majestic Eagle

#3 Cleopatra’s Strike is a son of Smart Strike for Phil D’Amato. He is a long range closer who is 2 for 2 ITM over the course. The barn wins 21% 2nd time off the layoff. He faced some tough runners and should be making a solid run as they turn for home. #4 Overdue comes from the Phil D’Amato barn making his 2nd start off the layoff. Mike Smith gets the nod and and cuts back in distance today. #6 Majestic Eagle comes in for Neil Drysdale and is 8 for 10 ITM over the course. This son of Medaglia d’ Oro is a solid closer Rafael Bejarano in the irons is a plus.