Tag Archives: Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – July 4

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – July 4

by: Ed Meyer

Belmont Park

Race #9 – The G1 Metropolitan – 1 mile – 5:47 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2- Vekoma / #3 – McKinzie / #4 – Hog Creek Hustle

#2 Vekoma hails from the barn of George Weaver with Javier Castellano in the saddle. This is his 2nd off the layoff and the barn scores at a 22% win clip. A perfect stalker who is 2 for 2 at Belmont and fits the distance nicely. This son of Candy Ride looks the major danger and should give a top effort. #3 McKinzie comes from the barn of Bob Baffert and has the same style as Vekoma. He ships in from SA where the barn wins at a 32% clip. When Team Baffert comes to New York there is usually a good reason. This son of Street Sense is solid and brings his top game every time. These two should knock heads turning for home. #4 Hog Creek Hustle makes a 3rd off the shelf move for Vickie Foley. A solid closer who is 1 for 1 at Belmont and gets a rider change to Jose Ortiz. His last win came in the G1 Woody Stephens at Belmont last year at a big price.

Race #10 – The G1 Manhattan – 1 1/4 on the turf – 6:20 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Rockemporer / #1 – Instilled Regard / #4 Sadler’s Joy

#2 Rockemporer ships in from SA as a beaten chalk in the G2 Charlie Whittingham. This son of Holy Roman Emporer (IRE) is a solid closer who is 3 for 4 ITM at the distance. Johnny V in the saddle for Chad Brown and he came rolling on the inner turf last year at this time. #1 Instilled Regard hails from the Chad Brown barn with Irad Ortiz. They are winning at a 36% clip as a team. He is 1 for 1 at Belmont and appears to enjoy the inner turf and could be a player as they turn for home. #4 Sadler’s Joy makes a 2nd off the shelf move for Thom Albertrani. They cut back in distance and Javier Castellano knows this son of Kitten’s Joy, and will be moving at the right time. I love the bullet work coming in showing all systems go.

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Race #11 – The G2 Suburban – 1 1/4 – 6:51 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Tacitus / #6 – Sir Winston / #4 – Mr. Buff

#1 Tacitus ships in from Oaklawn Park off a troubled trip getting carried wide for trainer Bill Mott. He’s been off for 2 months and John Velasquez is the pilot. The last race looked like a perfect prep stretching back out to 9f. A stalker with a bullet work and getting blinkers today. #6 Sir Winston comes in for trainer Mark Casse and Joel Rosario. This son of Awesome Again is 3 for 3 ITM at Belmont and should come calling late. Has plenty of back class and can be dangerous. #4 Mr. Buff enters in for John Kimmel and has tons of early speed. Junior Alvarado in the irons who can shake loose and be dangerous if left alone. This New York bred is a solid and 9 for 13 ITM over the course. He was a beaten chalk last out and the barn comes back to score 16%.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – June 27

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Stephen Foster night at Churchill Downs

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – June 27

by: Ed Meyer

Belmont Park

Race #8 – The G2 New York – 1 1/4 on the turf – 5:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Mrs Sippy / #7 – Mean Mary / #1 – Call Me Love

#6 Mrs Sippy closing daughter of Blame for Graham Motion and Joel Rosario. She’s been off for 7 months and comes back with some solid works ready to fire. She drops in class and Rosario wins 17% with his turf runners. Look for her late in the lane running quick. #7 Mean Mary is  speedy gal who hails from the Motion barn as well. She may play the part of the rabbit, or just take them start to finish under Luis Saez who wins 19% with speedy runners. #1 Call Me Love is a closer for the Christopher Clement going 2nd start off the layoff where they score 20% off this move with Irad Ortiz in the irons.

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Race #9 – The G2 True North – 6 1/2f – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Firenze Fire / #7 – Promises Fulfilled / #3 – Wicked Trick

#8 Firenze Fire is a solid stalker for Kelly Breen and Irad Ortiz. This is 2nd off the shelf and the barn scores 18% coming back ready. That was a better race in the G1 Carter than appears and he got good work that day. Ortiz wins 25% with sprinters and is 4 for 6 ITM over the course. #7 Promises Fulfilled is a speed gunning type for Dale Romans and Luis Saez in the saddle. Saez wins 21% with early runners and has some good works over the deep CD track. #3 Wicked Trick is a long range closer for Linda Rice and Jose Lezcano who have done good work over the years.

Race #10 – The G1 Just A Game – 1 mile on the turf – 6:08 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Uni / #4 – Newspaperofrecord / #1 – Beau Recall

#6 Uni hails from the Chad Brown barn and is a long range closer with Joel Rosario in the irons. Been off for 7 months and comes flying late in the lane every time. She is 4 for 4 ITM at Belmont and will be double dangerous today. #4 Newspaperofrecord is an early runner who can be a true monster when she brings her best game. Her last win was impressive going 7f and the added distance will be welcome as Irad Ortiz wins 36% with Brown and 26% with early runners. #1Beau Recall is a very impressive closer from the Brad Cox barn with Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. She loves to come calling late in the lane and has some solid works to have her ready. Ortiz teams up to win 20% with Cox and will be the major danger in the lane.

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Churchill Downs

Race #9 – The G2 Fleur de Lis – 1 1/8 – 5:15 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 -Midnight Bisou / #4 – Serengeti Empress / #7 – Motion Emotion

#5 Midnight Bisou is a late runner for Steve Asmussen and Mike Smith in the saddle. She is 2 for 2 ITM at CD and comes in with some good works. She loves the distance going 6 for 6 ITM  and will be a major factor when they turn for home. She is the one to beast and Smith in town is a positive sign. #4 Serengeti Empress is a speedy gal who exits the G1 Apple Blossom at OP. Thom Amoss is winning 20% at the meet, and Joe Talamo has the call. She will dictate the pace when the real running begins and may run into one tough gal with Midnight Bisou. If she doesn’t bring her best, Serengeti will take flight down the lane. #7 Motion Emotion is a mid pack stalker for Richard Baltas shipping in from OP. She’ll press the pace and try and play the spoiler role if all falls apart.

Race #10 – The G2 Stephen Foster – 1 1/8 – 5:47 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5- Tom’s d’ Etat / #6 – By My Standards / #2 – Pirate’s Punch

#5 Tom’s d’ Etat should lay just off the pace for Al Stall and Miguel Mena. He looks to go four in a row. He is 6 for 7 ITM at CD and will be double tough to beat. They move up in class and the trainer wins 25% off  a last race win. #6 By My Standards will be running right with Tom for Bret Calhoun and Gabe Saez. This son of Goldencents  exits off an impressive win at OP and seeks his fourth straight win as well. Been off for 56 days and has a few very nice works to prepare. #2 Pirate’s Punch is a stalker for Grant Foster looking to play the upset runner in here. Mike Smith aboard is interesting, and may be a little closer to the front right off the gate.

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Horse Racing Belmont Stakes Day Analysis – June 20

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – June 20 – Belmont Day

by: Ed Meyer

Belmont Park

Race #8 – The G1 Acorn Stakes – 1 mile – 4:15 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections: #4 – Casual / #1 – Gamine / #7 – Perfect Alibi

#4 Casual is a daughter of Curlin who’s a perfect 2 for 2 lifetime shipping in from CD. Steve Asmussen is the conditioner with his go-to rider, Ricardo Santana, in the saddle. She stretches out in distance from 7f and moves up in class getting the acid test. If her two races show anything she’ll be in mid flight ready to pounce. Her dam Lady Tak has 6 starters and 5 winners to her credit. #1 Gamine is also a perfect 2 for 2 coming in for Bob Baffert and John Velasquez in the irons. She’s a speedy type and has solid regular works. She’s been off 49 days and could be dangerous with the rail draw. #7 Perfect Alibi is a long range closer for Mark Casse and Irad Ortiz. She’s been off since the BC Juvenile Fillies and looks to relish the distance. Her dam No Use Denying has 5 starts and 5 wins to her credit. With a solid pace, she’ll come calling around the far turn under Ortiz.cash is king at betptc

Race #9 – The G1 Jaipur – 6f – Inner Turf – 4:53 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Pure Sensation / #5 – Stubbins / #3 – Texas Wedge

#4 Pure Sensation is a quick runner hailing from the Christophe Clement barn with Irad Ortiz. He ships in from SA from the BC Turf Sprint. He is 4 for 5 ITM at BEL and is 4 for 5 ITM at the distance. His style is pure speed getting added distance from 5f. Clement wins 19% with turf runners, and 15% with graded stakes. #5 Stubbins comes from the Doug O’Neill barn with Luis Saez getting the call. He’s been knocking on the door his last two efforts and gets six panels to come rolling. Saez wins 20% with his turf runners and 19% with closers. #3 Texas Wedge is a solid late runner from the Peter Miller barn with Javier Castellano in the driver’s seat. This son of Colonel John always comes running and the extra half furlong should help his causes greatly.

Race #10 – The G1 Belmont Stakes – 1 1/8 – 5:42 pm EDT 

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Tiz the Law / #2 – Solo Valante / #5 – Farmington Road

#8 Tiz the Law is a son of Constitution for Barclay Tagg and Manny Franco. His last win was the G1 Florida Derby two months ago and has been vacationing at Palm Meadows with a few works over the track. He has a stalking style and this could be Tagg’s next big horse. His record is 5 for 5 ITM lifetime and looks like a new penny. #2 Solo Valante hails from the Patrick Biancone barn. A strong closer with Luca Panici aboard had a solid prep at TBD winning easily. He comes from way back and the rider fits him like a glove. #5 Farmington Road is a son of Quality Road for the Todd Pletcher barn with Javier Castellano in the saddle. The Todd Squad is having a great meet winning 28%, and his runner comes off a 49 day layoff since the G1 Arkansas Derby. He will be a good price and will come running late in the lane. He may be the perfect complement to your exotics or be the one who could upset the apple cart and light up the tote board.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – June 13

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – June 13

by: Ed Meyer

Belmont Race #9 – The G-1 Ogden Phipps – 1 1/16 – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Point of Honor / #1 – Pink Sands / #5 – Ollie’s Candy

#2 Point of Honor comes from the George Weaver barn with Javier Castellano in the irons. The barn is winning 29% at the meet and exits the G1 Apple Blossom at OP where she was caught six wide in the stretch. Been off for 56 days and has faced tougher in the past. This daughter of Curlin is a strong closer and Javier wins 19% with this type of runner. #1 Pink Sands is a daughter of Tapit for the Shug McGaughey barn with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. Four months on the shelf and has a 5 for 5 ITM record over the track. Stretches out from 7f and looks for three straight wins. Should be sitting mid pack ready to pounce. #5 Ollie’s Candy is a daughter of Candy Ride who has been away for 56 days for trainer John Sadler and Joel Rosario. She is 4 for 4 ITM at the distance, and her style is right off the pace. Rosario wins 20% with pressing types.

Churchill Downs

Race #11 – The G3 Louisville Stakes – 1 1/2 on the turf – 6:28 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #12 – Admission Office / #5 – Arklow / #4 – He’s No Lemon

#12 Admission Office is a son of Point of Entry for Brian Lynch and Julien Leparoux. 2nd time off the layoff and 2 for 2 ITM at CD. Leparoux wins 14% with late runners and the barn wins 16% with graded stakes. Look for a strong late bid. #5 Arklow hails from the Brad Cox barn with Florent Geroux in the driver’s seat. This son of Arch ships in from GP and the barn wins 21% with new arrivals. Geroux wins 19% with closers and 22% teaming up with Brad Cox. The one to beat. #4 He’s No Lemon comes from Graham Motion barn with Rafael Bejarano in the saddle. He’s coming off an 8 month layoff from Laurel. Has a good late punch and a strong finisher.

Golden Gate

Race #7 – The $75,000 Alcatraz Stakes – 1 mile on the turf – 6:15 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Indian Peak / #5 – Kanderal / #2 – Mylittlerunaway

#7 Indian Peak is a son of Comic Strip and his dam Ms. Booty has 7 starters, 7 winners, and 6 turf winners to her credit. 2nd off, and owns a sharp work for this closer. Looks ready to roll late in the lane. #5 Kanderal hails from the Richard Mandella barn with Juan Hernadez in the saddle. He wins 24% on the turf and Mandella brings this late runner to the race with a strong rider switch who is winning 30% at the meet. #2 Mylittlerunaway is a daughter of Run Away and Hide with Juan Espinoza in the driver’s seat. She is looking for three in a row and has blazing speed. Espinoza wins 14% with runners who sport early speed.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – June 6

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – June 6

by: Ed Meyer

Belmont Park

Race #6 – The G2 Fort Marcy – 1 1/8 on the turf – 3:59 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Flop Shot / #7 – Devamani / #8 – Social Paranoia

#4 Flop Shot hails from the barn of Chad Brown with Javier Castellano in the irons. He gets first time Lasix and comes in nine months off the shelf. He ships over from France where Brown wins 30% with overseas runners making the move, and 5 for 5 ITM on the sod. He cuts back in distance, and his dam Dancequest (IRE)  has 2 starters, 2 winners, and 2 turf winners to her credit. #7 Devamani comes from the Chad Brown barn with Joel Rosario in the saddle. He’s a strong closer and just missed at Tampa Bay getting added distance to run today. He’s had a three month layoff and the barn scores at a 30% win clip with rested runners. #8 Social Paranoia goes to post for Todd Pletcher and Manny Franco in the driver’s seat. 3rd off the shelf yields a 22% win rate and he’s 3 for 3 ITM at Belmont. Franco should have him in mid pack ready to strike. He is on an upward move and deserves a solid look.

Race #7 – The G3 Westchester – 1 1/16 – 4:32 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Code of Honor / #4 – Payne / #1 – Endorsed

#9 Code of Honor comes from the Shug McGaughey barn with John Velasquez getting the call. He’s been off 7 months since the Breeders’ Cup Classic and cuts back in distance on the drop down in class. He’s a mid pack closer with a solid work tab looking to fire fresh and ready. #4 Payne enters in for the Chad Brown barn and Kendrick Carmouche getting the nod. He’s been off for two months and looks for four in a row. An early style runner and Carmouche wins 17% with speedy type runners. He is 3 for 3 ITM at Belmont. #1 Endorsed hails from the Bill Mott barn with Joel Rosario in the saddle. They’re winning 30% as a team. 2nd time off the layoff and an impressive win shipping in from OP. He draws the golden rail where it wins 23%.

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Race  #8 – The G3 Intercontinental – 7f on the turf – 5:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Newspaperofrecord / #7 – Regal Glory / #9 – Rose Flower

#5 Newspaperofrecord enters from the Chad Brown barn with Irad Ortiz in the irons. They are winning at a staggering 29% as a team. An early speed style runner and Ortiz scores 23% with these types of runners. Her dam Sunny Times (GB) has 4 starters, 3 winners, and 2 turf winners to her credit. She’s been off 11 months since the G1 Belmont Oaks and may improve with a cut back in distance. #7 Regal Glory comes from the Chad Brown barn with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. A speedy sort who has been off for 7 months since the QE II at KEE. Been working well at Palm Meadows and could be dangerous on the pace. #9 Rose Flower comes in for Christophe Clement and Manny Franco gets the call. She is 1 for 1 at the distance and will come rolling late in the lane. Since shipping over from France she has been turning heads.

Race #9 – The G1 Carter – 7f – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Mind Control / #11 – Vekoma / #5 – Network Effect

#10 Mind Control is a son of Stay Thirsty with John  Velasquez in the irons. Looking for 4 in a row and been away from the races for three months. He stretches out to 7f and Johnny V fits like a glove for this mid pack stalker. #11 Vekoma is a son of Candy Ride with Javier Castellano in the driver’s seat. He’s a closer coming off a two month break where the barn scores 20% with freshened runners. His late punch is impressive down the lane. #5 Network Effect enters in for Chad Brown with Irad Ortiz getting the nod. This late runner is making the 3rd off the layoff run and Ortiz scores 23% with closers. When he and Brown team up good things happen as they win 29% together.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, May 30

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – May 30

by: Ed Meyer

 

Churchill Downs

Race #7 – The G3 Winning Colors – 6f – 4:08 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Mia Mischief / #7 – Special Perfection / #2 – Break Even

#8 Mia Mischief comes from the Steve Asmussen barn with his go to rider Ricardo Santana in the irons. This daughter of Into Mischief is 7 for 8 ITM at CD and is a horse for the course. This is her 3rd off the layoff move where the barn wins 21% seeking her fourth win in a row. Should be a closeup stalker for a barn who is winning 22% off the last race win. #7 Special Perfection hails from the Mark Casse barn with Javier Castellano getting the nod. This is her 2nd off a layoff effort and was a beaten favorite last out where Team Casse wins 24% looking for payback. A solid closer cutting back in distance and her last race shows plenty of promise. #2 Break Even comes from the Brad Cox barn with Joel Rosario in the saddle. This is her 2nd off the layoff move and is 1 for 1 at CD. Speed galore from this gal, and Rosario wins 27% with early speed. Moving up in class and has a solid morning work under her belt.

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Race #11 – The G3 Mint Julep – 1 1/16 on the turf – 6:16 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Nay Lady Nay / #13 – Elizabeth Way / #2 – Beau Recall

#6 Nay Lady Nay comes in for the Chad Brown barn with Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. She comes in off a 6 month layoff and the barn scores at a 30% win clip on this angle. She is 1 for 1 at CD and drops in class. She is bred for the greensward and Ortiz wins 21% with his late running turf closers. #13 Elizabeth Way is a daughter of Frankel (GB) for Roger Attfield and B.J. Hernandez gets the call. She’s been off two months and cuts back in distance today. Hernandez wins 18% with his turf mounts and we should look for her in the final furlong uncorking a rally. #2 Beau Recall hails from the barn of Brad Cox with Shaun Bridgmohan in the saddle. She is 1 for 1 at CD and was a beaten chalk last out in the G1 Rodeo Drive at SA. Look for her to come calling late for Slam Dunk Racing and Medallion Racing. She is a major danger.

 

Santa Anita

Race #7 – The G3 Honeymoon – 1 1/8 on the turf – 6:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Croughavouke / #9 – Stella Star / #5 – Laura’s Light

#4 Croughavouke comes from the Jeff Mullins barn with Umberto Rispoli getting the call. A daughter of Dandyman (IRE) coming off a two month layoff. She’s been traveling a mile and should relish the extra distance today. Rispoli wins 21% with his late runners and 23% with his overall turf mounts. #9 Stella Star enters for John Sadler with Flavien Prat aboard. 2nd off the layoff for Sadler where he wins 20%. She was off slow last out, and six wide turning for home. Prat is a turf master and will have her in high gear down the lane. #5 Laura’s Light hails for the Peter Miller barn with Abel Cedillo reuniting. A speedy daughter of Constitution who was a beaten favorite last out. She exits off the poly track at Turfway Park and is 2 for 2 at SA. She can be double trouble if left alone on the lead.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – May 23

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 5/23/20

by: Ed Meyer

Churchill Downs

Race #10 – The G3 Matt Winn – 1 1/16 miles – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Maxfield / #1 – Mystic Guide / #12 – Major Fed

#10 Maxfield is a son of Street Sense for Brendan Walsh and Jose Ortiz getting the call. He’s a deep closer who’s a perfect 2 for 2 ITM at CD. His last race was 7 months ago and that was an impressive win in the G1 Breeders’ Futurity at KEE. Look for a sharp effort today off some sparkling morning works. #1 Mystic Guide is a son of Ghostzapper for Mike Stidham and B.J. Hernandez getting the nod. His last race was a sharp maiden win two months ago. He draws the rail and should come calling late in the lane. Look for a solid effort. #12 Major Fed ships in from FG for Greg Foley and Joel Rosario in the irons. They exit the G2 Lousiana Derby and Rosario wins with 28% of his late running horses.

Santa Anita

Race #5 – The G3 Daytona – 5 1/2f on the turf – 5:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Stubbins / #7 – Texas Wedge / #5 – Cistron

#2 Stubbins hails from the Doug O’Neill barn with Umberto Rispoli in the driver’s seat. He is 2 for 3 ITM at SA and 5 for 7 ITM on the greensward. He’s been away from the races for 6 months and owns some bullet works in the morning. Rispoli wins 25% with his late turf runners on the class drop. #7 Texas Wedge is a son of Colonel John who is 2 for 2 ITM at SA. Flavien Prat gets the call for Peter Miller and has a mid pack, late runner. Prat wins 25% with closers and should be a major factor. #5 Cistron comes from the John Sadler barn with Victor Espinoza in the saddle. He is 11 for 14 ITM at SA coming off a 2 month layoff. He seeks three in a row fresh and ready.

Race #8 – The G2 Charles Whittingham – 1 1/4 on the turf – 7:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – United / #7 – Rockemporer / #6 – Originaire

#5 United hails from the Richard Mandella barn with Flavien Prat in the driver’s seat. He has a 3 month layoff with an impressive effort in the G2 San Marcos. They have the hot hand of Prat who is 19 for 25 ITM the past week. He had six winners on the card last weekend and was one shy of joining Laffit Pincay’s mark of 7 wins on the card. This son of Giant’s Causeway will come calling late over his home surface. #7 Rockemporer is a son of Holy Roman Emporer (IRE) and is 6 for 8 ITM for Chad Brown. Irad Ortiz gets the call as they ship in from FG. He’s been away for 2 months and Brown scores 27% with his late runners. He has a strong late kick with one of the best finishing riders in the sport. #6 Originaire comes from the Jeff Mullins barn with Umberto Rispoli in the saddle. This son of Zoffany (IRE) has a good late punch and should enjoy the added distance moving forward.

 

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – May 2nd

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Oaklawn Park – 5/2/2020

by: Ed Meyer

 

Oaklawn Park / Arkansas Derby Day /Late Pick-Four

Race #11 – The G1 Arkansas Derby – 1 1/8 – 6:29 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Gouverneur Morris / #1 – Charlatan / #11- Basin

#4 Gouverneur Morris is a son of Constitution for Todd Pletcher with John Velasquez in the irons. They ship in from GP where the barn wins 23%, and they make a 3rd off the layoff start where the barn also scores at 23%. He appears poised to stalk off the leaders and nails down his Derby points at a square price. #1 Charlatan is a son of Speightstown for trainer Bob Baffert and Martin Garcia as the pilot. He’s been off for 49 days and owns some bullet works to prepare. He is a perfect 2 for 2 and gets the acid test against some seasoned runners. Garcia took over from Drayden Van Dyke and Garcia wins 21% with early speed type runners. #11 Basin hails from the Steve Asmussen barn with his go to rider Ricardo Santana aboard. 3rd off the layoff and he appears to like the OP strip. He hasn’t had a fast track since July 21, 2019, and the weather calls for sunny conditions. He will come running late, and if the pace is hot he may be the danger in the final furlong.

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Race #12 – The G2 Oaklawn Hcp – 1 1/8  7:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #12 – By My Standards / #9 – Tacitus / #7 – Combatant

#12 By My Standards comes from the barn of Bret Calhoun with Gabe Saez in the saddle. This son of Goldencents makes his 3rd off the layoff move where the barn scores 25%. He is 2 for 2 at the distance and this stalker owns some morning bullet works. Garcia fits like a glove, and since last year’s Kentucky Derby he has matured nicely. #9 Tacitus is a son of Tapit for trainer Bill Mott with John Velasquez in the irons. He’s been off for two months since the Saudi Cup in February. Mott has a perfect stalker type and this colt should relish the 9f. He fires well coming in fresh and switching to Johnny V is a plus. #7 Combatant is a son of Scat Daddy for the John Sadler barn with Joel Rosario in the driver’s seat. He’s been away for 56 days and will be rolling in the final furlong. If the pace is red hot he could be a major danger.

 

Race #13 – The G1 Arkansas Derby – 1 1/8 miles – 7:43 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Nadal / #3 – Storm the Court / #8 – Fast Enough

#5 Nadal is a son of Blame for the Bob Baffert barn with Joel Rosario getting the nod. He’s been away for 49 days after a well timed win in the G2 Rebel. He shows quick speed and should be right at the front of the pack. He is undefeated and his bullet works have Baffert looking to make his way to the winner’s circle. #3 Storm the Court is a son of Court Vision for trainer Peter Eurton with Flavien Prat in the irons. He was the winner of the BC Juvenile last year and comes in off a 56 day rest. Early in his career, Prat had him coming off the pace. He has faced Nadal before and finished a game 4th taking plenty of interest at the windows. Look for him to be up close and employ a stalking move as they turn for home. #8 Fast Enough comes from the Rafael Becerra barn with Tyler Baze in the saddle. A lightly raced son of Eddington who is a late runner. He sports a bullet work at SA and the trainer wins 27% off a 60 day layoff or more.

 

Race #14 – Starter Alw $50,000 – 1 3/4 miles – 8:14 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Carlos Sixes / #13 – Curlin Grey / #14 – River Echo

#5 Carlos Sixes is a son of Quality Road for the always danger trainer Karl Broberg. He is 4 for 4 ITM at OP and exits off a game win. This stalker has the services of Charles Roberts and the barn scores 27% off a last race win. He should be close to the leaders as he moves up a notch in class. #13 Curlin Grey is a son of Curlin for trainer Joe Sharp and Martin Garcia in the saddle. 2nd off the layoff and a solid 4th last out over the course. He’s a closer and Garcia wins 28% teaming up with Joe Sharp. #14 River Echo hails from the Cipriano Contreras barn with Ramon Vasquez as the pilot. This is his 2nd off the layoff and was claimed last time out. The barn scores at a 26% off a last race win. He’ll be a mid pack stalker waiting for the right time to strike.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – April 18

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – April 18, 2020

by: Ed Meyer

Oaklawn Park – Late Pick-Four

Race #8 – The G3 Count Fleet – 6f – 5:14 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Flagstaff / #7 – Hidden Scroll / #9 – Whitmore

#2 Flagstaff hails from the John Sadler barn with Joel Rosario in the saddle. This is his 3rd off the layoff and Sadler wins 19% on this move. He cuts back to six panels and drops down in class. This stalker worked a bullet his last effort and Rosario is 7 for 8 ITM the past week. Sadler wins 21% with graded stakes runners. #7 Hidden Scroll makes his 2nd start of 2020 for trainer Bill Mott with Martin Garcia getting the nod. He shows blistering speed and his last win was the perfect prep to pick up his action in 2020. Garcia wins 21% with early style runners. #9 Whitmore is the HFC going 13 for 13 ITM at OP. Ron Moquette brings him to post with Joe Talamo in the irons. He has faced some tough customers in the past and this solid closer takes a step up in class today.

Late Saturday night at BetPTC.com – Hong Kong Sha Tin racing

Race #9 – O.C. $50k – 6f – 5:45 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Meadow Dance / #6 – Break Even / #8 – Heaven’s Whisper

#5 Meadow Dance is a close stalker from the Brad Cox barn with the services of Florent Geroux. She’s been off for 4 months and fires fresh off the layoff. Her works have been sparkling and make a drop down the class ladder. #6 Break Even has red hot speed for the Brad Cox barn with Joel Rosario getting the assignment. This is her 2nd start off the shelf and been away for 49 days. She was a beaten favorite her last two efforts and looks for redemption today. #8 Heaven’s Whisper seeks her third straight win for Paul Holthus with Joe Talamo aboard. She is 5 for 5 ITM at OP and is a deep closing type. She’ll need plenty of speed and will come calling as they turn for home.

Race #10 – The G1 Apple Blossom – 1 1/16 – 6:16 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Come Dancing / #11 – Serengeti Empress / #5 – Point of Honor

#4 Come Dancing hails from the D Wayne Lukas barn and been away from the races for 5 months. Florent Geroux picks up the mount and she can fire right off the layoff. She has good speed and should be forwardly placed adding distance. Geroux wins 25% with early runners. #11 Serengeti Empress hails from the Thom Amoss barn flashing very quick speed. Joe Talamo has the call and her last win in the G2 Azeri was impressive. Look for a quick break and cross over the field heading into the first turn. #5 Point of Honor is a solid closer from the George Weaver barn. Drayden Van Dyke has the call and wins 18% with late runners. This is her 2nd start of 2020 and look for a solid turn of foot turning for home.

Race #11 – Claiming $50,000 – 1 1/16 – 5:47 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Matrooh / #2 – Kurilov / #1 – Timeline

#10 Matrooh hails from the Robertino Diodoro barn with David Cohen. The 10 year old is 7 for 10 ITM at OP. He ran into some trouble last out and looks for a cleaner trip getting Cohen back in the irons. A beaten favorite last out and looks to turn the tables today. #2 Kurilov is a son of Lookin At Lucky for Brad Cox barn. Joe Talamo in the irons and look for a stalking trip. The drop in class should help his cause today. #1 Timeline draws the rail for Steve Asmussen and his go to rider Ricardo Santana in the irons. 2nd off the layoff for this closer and Santana wins 21% with late runners.

Horse Racing Oaklawn Park Analysis – April 4th

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Horse Racing Pick-4 Analysis –  April 4, 2020

by: Ed Meyer for “Racing’s Best Kept Secret” BetPTC.com

Oaklawn Park – Late Pick Four

Race #7 – Alw $61,000 – 6f – 5:03 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Dulce Ride / #3 – Maryanorginger / #9 – Cardamon

#6 Dulce Ride is a daughter of Candy Ride for the Brad Cox barn with Joe Talamo in the saddle. She makes her 2nd start off a layoff where the barn wins 29%, She cuts back in distance from a mile as a beaten favorite. Talamo wins 20% with his early runners and should be right on the pace. #3 Maryanorginger hails from the Jeremiah Englehart barn with David Cohen in the irons. She’s been off for 10 months and ships in from Belmont. Cohen wins 22% with sprinters and she has been working regular clips over the OP surface. Look for a big move around the far turn.

Race #8 – O.C. $80,000 – 1 1/16 miles dirt – 5:38 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Finnick the Fierce / #5 – Answer In / #3 – General Trev

#1 Finnick the Fierce is a son of Dialed In for trainer Rey Hernandez with Martin Garcia aboard. He ships in from FG exiting the G2 Risen Star and G3 Lecomte. He cuts back in distance and will come rolling late. #5 Answer In hails from the Brad Cox barn with Joe Talamo getting the nod. They have been winning 28% as a team and exits the G3 Southwest stakes. He’ll come calling late in the lane. Talamo wins 22% with late closers. #3 General Trev is a son of Constitution who won at first asking for Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santanna in the driver’s seat. He’s a solid stalk and pounces sort who won his first effort over the track.

Race #9 – $100,000 Purple Martin – 6f – 6:09 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Kimmari / #8 – Frank’s Rockette / #4 – Edgeway

#1 Kimmari has the services of Mike Smith for trainer Wesley Ward. She has bullet works and been off 5 months since the BC Juvenile Turf. She won super impressive at KEE at first asking by 15 commanding lengths. She’ll break sharp and be a handful to catch. #8 Frank’s Rockette comes in for the Bill Mott barn with Martin Garcia aboard. She is 5 for 5 ITM lifetime and makes her second start of 2020. She’ll be forwardly faced and Garcia wins 19% with sprinters. #4 Edgeway goes to post for John Sadler and Tyler Baze in the irons. The barn wins 20% with nongraded stakes and she’ll come out winging looking for the lead.

Race #10 – Mdn Special Weight – 1 1/16 miles dirt – 6:38 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Wild Union / #7 – Copper King / #8 – Mo and Go

#5 Wild Union hails from the Brad Cox barn with Joe Talamo in the driver’s seat. They are winning 28% as a team with some sharp morning works. Talamo has been on fire going 5 for 7 ITM the past few weeks. #7 Copper King is a son of Medaglia d’ Oro for Steve Asmussen and Tyler Baze in the saddle. He was a beaten favorite last out and gets a new rider with Baze in the saddle. The barn scores 25% off the beaten favorite last out angle. #8 Mo and Go Is a son of Uncle Mo for trainer Jeremiah Englehart and David Cohen. This is 2nd off the layoff and the barn scores at a 24% clip on this move. I’m looking for a forward move today shipping in from New York and should be a major pace player.