Tag Archives: Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Jan. 30

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 1/30/2021

by: Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #9 – The G-3 Forward Gal – 7f – 3:46 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Zaajel / #6 – Lady Traveler / #2 – Three Tipsy Chix

#7 Zaajel is a daughter of Street Sense who is one for one impressive in victory. Luis Saez in the saddle for Todd Pletcher and they are winning at a 26% clip as a team. Her dam Asiya has 4 starters with 4 winners to her credit. Today she steps up in class and should take a stalking position in mid flight ready to pounce. Since her maiden win, she sports some sharp works moving forward. #6 Lady Traveler hails from the Dale Romans barn coming off a two month layoff. Corey Lanerie in the saddle as they turn back in distance and ready for a spring campaign. #2 Three Tipsy Chix is a long range closer for the Ian Wilkes barn with Julien Leparoux in the irons. She has been on the shelf for two months and sports some impressive works at Palm Meadows. The distance should fit her style and look for the jock to push the button around the far turn.

Race #10 – The G-3 Sweetest Chant – 1 mile on the turf – 4:18 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Honey Pants / #1 – Queen of the Green / #4 – Con Lima

#2 Honey Pants hails from the Christophe Clement barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. This is her 2nd start of the year and was beaten favorite last out. This daughter of Cairo Prince should break right off the leaders and toss her hat in the ring down the backstretch. #1 Queen of the Green is a solid closer in the hands of Corey Lanerie. She is 3 for 3 ITM on the green and exits an impressive maiden win. Look for continued improvement. #4 Con Lima is a speedy gal for Todd Pletcher and Paco Lopez in the saddle. She is a perfect 2 for 2 at GP with wins and will be the major danger on the front end.

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Race#11 – The G-3 Holy Bull – 1 1/16 miles dirt – 4:50 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Greatest Honor / #9 – Awesome Gerry / #8 – Sitting On Go

#7 Greatest Honor is a solid closer from the Shug McGaughey barn with Jose Ortiz aboard. Making 2nd start off the layoff and just won going this distance at GP. This son of Tapit is on the improving swing and I’m looking for bigger things to come. #9 Awesome Gerry should break right off the pace for the Saffie Joseph barn with Tyler Gaffalione in the irons. Going a 2nd time route race yields a 33% with clip for the barn. The rider and trainer are winning at a 19% win clip. #8 Sitting On Go is a solid closer from the Dale Romans barn. Corey Lanerie is the pilot and has some solid back class in 2020. He’s been off for two months and looks to come back fresh and ready.

Santa Anita

Race  #7 – The G-3 Robert B. Lewis – 1 1/16 miles dirt – 6:37 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Spielberg / #1 – Medina Spirit / #2 – Rombauer

#8 Spielberg hails from the Bob Baffert barn with Flavien Prat in the driver’s seat. A perfect stalker who drops back in class and owns some sharp works. Look for an up close break and Prat to push the button at the right time. #1 Medina Spirit is a speedster from the Bob Baffert barn with Abel Cedillo in the saddle. That was a very game effort in the G3 Sham and there are some nice works to move him forward on a positive note. Cedillo wins 21% teaming up with Baffert. #2 Rombauer is a long range closer for Mike McCarthy and Mike Smith in the saddle. He’s been off for 2 months and since shifting over from the turf there his promising efforts on the dirt. Smith wins 25% with route runners.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, Jan. 16

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, 1/16/2021

by: Ed Meyer

Fair Grounds Race #10 – The G-3 Louisiana – 1 1/16 – 5:23 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Wells Bayou / #6 -Title Ready / #3 – Silver Prospector

#8 Wells Bayou is a speedy son of Lookin At Lucky for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux in the saddle. He has been off for 8 months and 1 for 1 at FG. He sports a sharp work and has fired fresh off the bench. Geroux wins 24% with speed type runners.  The Cox runner is the horse to beat.  #6 Title Ready is a closing runner for Dallas Stewart with B.J. Hernandez in the irons. He’s been off for 50 days and exits the G1 Clark back in November. He is 5 for 10 ITM at the distance and should muster up a solid late effort.

 

Race #11 – The $125,000 Colonel E.R. Bradley – 1 1/16 on the turf – 5:52 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #11- Mr. Misunderstood / #10 – Sailing Solo / #9 – Peace Achieved

#11 Mr. Misunderstood hails from the Brad Cox barn teaming up with Florent Geroux. He is 4 for 6 ITM at FG and exits an effort off the synthetic at TP. A late runner for Geroux who wins 17% on the turf. His dam Jodys Delight  has 10 starters and 4 turf winners to her credit. Look for a big run as they turn for home. #10 Sailing Solo is a speedy son of Smart Strike for Louis Roussel and Mitchell Murrill in the irons. This is his 2nd start off a layoff and should improve moving forward. Murrill wins 16% with early speed. #9 Peace Achieved is a stalker for Mark Casse and Declan Carroll. He exits KyD and cuts back to a better distance. Carroll will be looking to be mid pack and poised to pounce.

 

Race #12 – The $150,000 Silver Bullet Day – 1mile and 70 yards – 6:20 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Sunpath / #1- Souper Sensational / #3 – Charlie’s Penny

#9 Sunpath is a daughter of Munnings for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux in the saddle. She exits an impressive win in allowance company and looks to take the next step up the ladder moving forward. Add in a bullet work and this stalker looks like a major player. #1 Souper Sensational is a daughter of Curlin for Mark Casse and Declan Carroll. She is a lightly raced daughter of Curlin and exiting the synthetic at Woodbine. She appears ready for the next level and owns a sharp work in preparation off a three month layoff. #3 Charlie’s Penny is a stalker from the barn of Chris Block with B.J. Hernandez getting the call. She has never ran a route and I’m looking for a quick break from the gate.

 

Race #13 – The G-3 Lecomte – 1 1/16 – 6:49 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Arabian Princess / #1 – Midnight Bourbon / #10 – Mandaloun

#2 Arabian Princess is lightly raced for the Dallas Stewart barn and B. J. Hernandez in the irons. He’s been off 49 days and takes a drop down the class ladder. He has a solid late punch and will come calling under Hernandez who scores with 16% of his late runners. #1 Midnight Bourbon hails from the Steve Asmussen barn with Ricardo Santana aboard. He’s been off for three months and takes a plunge down the class ladder. He should be right on the pace, and with added ground may be right on the hook under Santana who wins 17% with early runners. #10 Mandaloun is a late runner who is a perfect 2 for 2 coming off a 49 day layoff. The Brad Cox trainee will come calling under Florent Geroux and they are winning at a 24% clip as a team. This is his 1st time at a route and should be a little closer than usual rounding the first turn.

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, Jan. 9

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, 1/9/2021

by: Ed Meyer

 

Santa Anita

Race #8 – The G-3 La Canada – 1 1/16 – 6:30 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Message / #3 – Fighting Mad / #2 – Hard Not to Love

#4 Message hails from the Bob Baffert barn with Flavien Prat in the irons. 2nd off the layoff yields a 27% win clip for Baffert, and teaming up with Prat wins 20%. She is 3 for 4 ITM over the course and a stalking sort who can be dangerous. Prat scores 28% with stalkers and should lay just off the pace. #3 Fighting Mad is a speedy mare for Bob Baffert with Abel Cedillo in the irons. She takes a class drop and failed as a beaten chalk last out. If left alone she can easily wire the field where Cedillo wins 19% with early type runners. #2 Hard Not to Love comes in for John Sheriffs going 9 for 9 ITM over the course. A deep closer who takes a drop in class coming off a  three month layoff.

Race #9 – The G-3 Las Cienegas – 6f on the turf – 7:00 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Oleksandra / # 5 – Superstitious / #4 – Lighthouse

#6 Oleksandra is a daughter of Animal Kingdom for Neil Drysdale and Joel Rosario. She is 3 for 4 ITM over the course and been off for two months. She drops down the class ladder against the boys in the G1 BC Turf Sprint. She’s a solid late runner with a good turn of foot down the lane. Rosario wins 18% with his closing turf runners. #5 Superstitious is an up close stalker for Richard Mandella and Flavien Prat. This daughter of Ghostzapper is 2 for 2 ITM over the course and exits a game win at DM. She gets the acid test moving up in class and brings her 4 for 4 ITM turf record to the table. #4 Lighthouse comes off a three month break for Simon Callaghan and 3 for 4 ITM at SA. Umberto Rispoli has the call and he wins 24% with his turf runners. Look for a an up close trip where Rispoli wins 20% of the time.

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Gulfstream Park

Race #10 – The G-3 Tropical Turf – 1 mile on the turf – 4:49 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Analyze It / #4 – Doctor Mounty / #3 – Ride a Comet

#6 Analyze It is a son of Point of Entry for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. He’s been away from the races for three months and Brown scores 29% off a 90 day or more layoff. A stalking sort who takes a big drop in class from the G1 Shadwell at KEE and should get a solid trip under Ortiz who wins 22% with stalkers. #4 Doctor Mounty is a late runner for Shug McCaughey and Jose Ortiz in the saddle. He’s been off 49 days and should fire fresh off the bench with a solid work under his belt. #3 Ride a Comet is a son of Candy Ride for Mark Casse and Tyler Gaffalione. The late runner has been off for 49 days and sports a couple of bullet works in preparation. He makes the synthetic to turf move and has fired fresh off the shelf in the past.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, Jan. 2

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Saturday, 1/2/2021

by: Ed Meyer

Santa Anita

Race #7 – The G2 San Gabriel – 1 1/8 miles turf – 6:30 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Count Again / #6 – Anothertwistafate / #7 – Bowie’s Hero

#5 Count Again is a son of Awesome Again who is 6 for 7 ITM on the turf for Phil D’Amato and Juan Hernandez who is winning 22% at the meet. He exits a win in the G2 Seabiscuit closing late going wide in the lane. The rider wins 19% with closers and should enjoy the distance today. #6 Anothertwistafate makes a 2nd off the layoff for Peter Miller and Joel Rosario. Look for a swift break from the gate. He adds blinkers and may improve as the barn scores at a 15% clip on this move. #7 Bowie’s Hero enters for Phil D’Amato and Flavien Prat. A late runner with a solid punch making a 2nd off the shelf. move. Prat wins 22% with closers on the sod. The barn scores 16% with turf runners and the distance should be welcome.

Race #8 – The G3 Sham – 1 mile – 7:00 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Life is Good / #4 – Uncle Boogie / #3 – Parnelli

#5 Life is Good is a speedy son of Into Mischief for Bob Baffert and Mike Smith. He should break sharp in the hands of Smith who wins 30% with quick runners and Baffert wins 26% with graded stakes runners. #4 Uncle Boogie is a son of Ride on Curlin coming off 48 day break. Flavien Part has the call and wins 29% with his stalker type runners. He gets added distance and should relish more ground. #3 Parnelli is a speedster for John Sheriffs and Drayden Van Dyke. The rider wins 23% going a route and takes a step up in class. He is 4 for 4 ITM lifetime.

Aqueduct

Race #8 – The $100,000 Gravesend – 6 1/2f – 3:50 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Happy Farm / #2 – Drafted / #5 – Stan the Man

#1 Happy Farm is a speedy son of Ghostzapper for Linda Rice and Jose Lezcano. He’s been off for 10 months and Rice wins 20% with layoff runners, and has plenty of early foot from the rail. He lost this race by a head last year and looks to turn the tables today. #2 Drafted is a stalker for David Duggan and Dylan Davis. 2nd off the layoff yields a 17% win clip for the barn. Look for a strong move around the far turn looking for the leaders. #5 Stan the Man is a late running sort for John Terranova and Eric Cancel aboard. He gets an extra half furlong to run and owns a bullet work in preparation. Dropping pounds from the G3 Fall Highweight should be another plus.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Dec. 26 Opening Day at Santa Anita

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 12/26/2020

by: Ed Meyer

Santa Anita Race #8 – The G1 La Brea – 7f – 5:43 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Finite / #8 – Motivated Seller / #2 – Merneith

#5 Finite is a daughter of Munnings for Steve Asmussen and his go to rider Ricardo Santana. They are cutting back from a mile and exit a strong win in the G2 Chilukki at CD. Look for a stalking trip today going from a route to a sprint yielding a 25% win clip for the barn. #8 Motivated Seller is a lightly raced filly for Chad Brown and Umberto Rispoli. His dam Coup has 4 starters and 4 winners to her credit.  Look for an up close break where Rispoli wins 20%. #2 Merneith is a stalker who has been on the shelf for 49 days since winning at KEE. Bob Baffert brings her to post with John Velasquez in the saddle. Look for a quick break off swift morning works.

Race #9 – The G-1 American Oaks – 1 1/4 on the turf – 6:17 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Luck Money /#9 – Sharing / #8 – Duopoly

#5 Luck Money is a daughter of Lookin At Lucky for Arnaud Delacour coming off a 56 day rest with Ricardo Santana in the irons. The barn wins 23% with long layoff runners returning and seeks her third straight win turning back in distance. Look for a solid late run around the far turn. #9 Sharing goes to post for Graham Motion and John Velasquez. She is 1 for 1 at SA and should lay just off the pace. She is 6 for 7 ITM on the greensward. #8 Duopoly is a speedy daughter of Animal Kingdom for Chad Brown and Flavien Prat. This is her 3rd start off the layoff shipping in from AQU where Brown wins 29% with a change of scenery.

Race #10 – The G-1 Malibu – 7f – 6:51 pm

BetPTC.com Selections/ #3 – Nashville / #4 – Charlatan / #6 – Independence Hall

#3 Nashville is a speedy son of Speightstown for Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santana. He exits a smoking hot win in the Perryville where he broke the teletimer. They seek their 4th straight win and Santana should be the one to beat from the gate break. #4 Charlatan turns back in distance off a 7 month layoff for Bob Baffert and Mike Smith. His record is perfect and cutting back may be just what the doctor ordered on his comeback effort. He should be right behind the pacesetters. #6 Independence Hall is a son of Constitution who enters in off a 48 day break for Mike McCarthy and Joel Rosario. His last race win was perfect and the morning works show a fresh and ready runner.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Dec. 12

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 12/12/2020

by: Ed Meyer

 

Gulfstream Park

Race #4 – The G-3 Rampart – 1 mile – 1:35 PM

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Letruska / #2 – Bajan Girl / #3 – Sally’s Curlin

#5 Letruska is a pure speedster in the hands of Emisael Jaramillo who wins 21% with quick runners from the break. This daughter of Super Saver is 2 for 2 at GP and been on the shelf for two months. She cuts back in distance and drops down in class. #2 Bajan Girl hails from the barn of Rohan Crichton under Edgar Prado. 3rd time off the layoff and has a stalker style to her resume. They win 12% 3rd time off the shelf and seek a third straight win. #3 Sally’s Curlin is a strong closer for the Dale Romans barn with Corey Lanerie aboard. This daughter of Curlin is 2 for 2 ITM at GP and exits the G1 BC Filly Mare Sprint. The drop in class and 2nd off the layoff may help her causes greatly.

 

Race #9 – The G3 Harlan Holiday – 1 1/16 – 4:09 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Phat Man / #1 – Tax / #6 – Math Wizard

#2 Phat Man is a strong closer for Kent Sweezey and Irad Ortiz in the irons. He is 3 for 3 ITM at GP and 9 for 12 ITM at the distance. 2nd start off the layoff with a sharp work to tighten down the screws for this affair. Ortiz fits well and wins 29% with route closers as the barn is winning 22% at the meet. #1 Tax has been off for 7 months and has run well freshened up in the past. Danny Gargan brings this this son of Arch to post with Luis Saez in the saddle. He turns back in distance and drops down a rung in class. A stalker who draws the rail and where the trainer wins 24% with route runners. #6 Math Wizard is a late runner for Saffie Joseph and Tyler Gaffalione in the driver’s seat. He’s been off for 3 months and takes a class drop today. Blinkers off today and the barn scores at a 27% clip with this equipment change. Ships in from Saratoga has works over the track.

Race #10 – The G-2 Ft. Lauderdale – 1 1/8 on the turf – 4:40 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Factor This / #10 – Halladay / #5 – Channel Cat

#9 Factor This is a blistering speedster for Brad Cox and Jose Ortiz. Ortiz wins 18% with early runners and been off since the BC Mile. He ships in from KEE and the barn scores at a 26% clip. Look for Ortiz to send immediately when the gates break. #10 Halladay is a speedy son of War Front for Todd Pletcher and Luis Saez.  He is 3 for 3 with wins at GP and should be right near the lead. If Factor This doesn’t have a stellar break he could be double dangerous. #5 Channel Cat is a late runner for Jack Sisterson and Corey Lanerie. He is 6 for 8 ITM at GP and been off 8 months since the G2 Pan American. He cuts back in distance and will come calling late in the lane.

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Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Dec. 5

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 12/5/2020

by: Ed Meyer

Aqueduct Race #4 – The G2 Remsen – 1 1/8 miles dirt – 1:00 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Known Agenda / #5 – Ten for Ten / #3 – Brooklyn Strong

#2 Known Agenda is a son of Curlin and 1 for 1 at AQU. An impressive closer and Todd Pletcher is winning 31% with John Velasquez in the irons. He is 2 for 2 lifetime and should come rolling quick down the lane. #5 Ten for Ten is a speedy son of Frosted for Shug McGaughey and Jose Ortiz in the saddle. Look for Ortiz to send right from the break as he wins 19% with speedy runners. #3 Brooklyn Strong is a perfect stalker and has Joel Rosario in the driver’s seat. This gelded son of Wicked Strong should be sitting in the catbird seat turning for home.

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Race #9 – The G2 Demoiselle – 1 1/8 – 3:44 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Malathaat / #5 – Dollar Mountain / #6 – Cafe Society

#1 Malathaat is a daughter of Curlin and sports good early foot for the Pletcher barn. John Velasquez has the call and should come out swinging from the inside post. Johnny V wins 22% with early style runners. #5 Dollar Mountain is a stalker who moved off the turf last time for George Weaver. Jose Lezcano in the irons for the stalker and looks for a trip just off the speed. #6 Cafe Society hails from the Shug McGaughey barn with Jose Ortiz getting the nod. Speedy daughter of Empire Maker moving up the ladder and might be dangerous if able to find the front.

Race#10 – The G1 Cigar Mile – 1 mile – 4:13 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Performer / #4 – Firenze Fire / #5 – Mr. Buff

#1 Performer comes in for Shug McGaughey and Joel Rosario. Been away for 49 days and may fire fresh off the shelf as the barn wins 19% on this move. He is seeking his 6th straight and will be dangerous breaking from the rail where it wins 29%. #4 Firenze Fire goes to post for Kelly Breen with Jose Lezcano in the saddle. A solid stalker with a sharp late punch and 3 for 5 ITM at AQU. Should be in the second flight working out a good trip. #5 Mr. Buff is a speedster from the John Kimmel barn with Junior Alvarado between the ears. 2nd off the layoff moving up in class. Will be dangerous if left alone on the lead.

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Nov. 21

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 11/21/20

by: Ed Meyer

Aqueduct

Race #9 – The G-3 Red Smith – 1 3/8 miles turf – 3:45 – pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Ziyad / #10 – Red Knight / #5 – North Dakota

#8 Ziyad exits the G3 Sycamore at Keeneland and gets 2nd time Lasix since shipping in from Deauville (Fr). Graham Motion is the trainer with Manny Franco aboard this speedy son of Rock of Gibraltar (IRE). He may improve getting a shorter distance and Franco wins 17% with early running turf horses. #10 Red Knight is a long range closer who hails from the Bill Mott barn where he is 2 for 2 ITM at AQU. Jose Ortiz in the irons and returns from the G3 Sycamore win over Ziyad. Ortiz wins with 20% of his closing turf runners and should be a major player. #5 North Dakota also exits the G3 Sycamore as a fourth place finisher. Jose Lezcano in the irons for Shug McGaughey and they are making a 2nd off the layoff move and where the barn wins 18% and steps up in class. Use in your exotics.

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Churchill Downs

Race#9 – The G3 Chilukki – 1 mile dirt – 5:06 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Finite / #3 – Grand Clu Classe / #4 – Whoa Nellie

#2 Finite hails from the Steve Asmussen barn with Ricardo Santana in the saddle. She is 2 for 2 with wins at CD and exits a fast closing 2nd at Keeneland in the G2 Raven Run. Santana fits like a glove and she is making her 3rd off the layoff move where the barn wins 19%. #3 Grand Clu Classe is a speedy daughter of Bernardini for Bill Mott and Tyler Gaffalione. She exits a big effort in the G2 Raven Run at a price and should enjoy the one turn mile at CD. #4 Whoa Nellie is a daughter of Orb who is a solid stalker. Larry Jones gives a leg up to Joe Rocco Jr. and she is coming off a 9 month layoff since OP. She is 4 for 4 ITM at CD and Jones can get them ready to fire right off the shelf.

Del Mar

Race #2 – The G3 Native Diver – 1 1/8 miles dirt – 4:00 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Royal Ship / #4 – Midcourt / #5 – Extra Hope

#3 Royal Ship is 3rd off the layoff since shipping in from Brazil for Richard Mandella who is winning 50% at the meet. This son of Midshipman is 8 for 9 ITM lifetime and takes a drop in class under the handling of Mike Smith coming off a 49 day rest. #4 Midcourt hails from the John Sheriffs’ barn with Victor Espinoza. He is 4 for 4 ITM over the course and comes off a 56 day break away from the races. Mandella wins 22% coming off a layoff. #5 Extra Hope is a speedy colt from Dick Mandella’s barn with Juan Hernandez in the saddle. He’s coming off a 56 day rest and takes a big step up in class. Look for a quick break from the gate.

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Friday Breeders’ Cup

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Friday – 11/6/2020 

Breeders’ Cup / Keeneland /Day #1

by: Ed Meyer

Race #6 – The BC Juvenile Turf Sprint – 5 1/2f on the turf – 2:30 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #14 – Golden Pal / #8 – Amanzi Yimpilo / #5 – Cowan

#14 Golden Pal hails from the Wesley Ward barn and does well with young turf runners from his barn. Two back was beaten a neck at Royal Ascot for all the marbles in the Gr2 Norfolk and came back two months later to go wire to wire in the Skidmore at Saratoga. Irad Ortiz in the irons and he wins 27% with turf sprinters. #8 Amanzi Yimpilo comes from the Wesley Ward barn with a daughter of No Nay Never. Luis Saez in the driver’s seat and she beat the boys last out. She has speed to burn and Ward wins 27% third off the layoff. #5 Cowan is a Steve Asmussen trainee with Ricardo Santana in the saddle. She has a wicked late punch and came up just a bit short last out in the Indian Summer at KEE. Runners who have a trip over the track fair well and she will come rolling late in the lane.

Race #7 – The BC Juvenile Turf – 1 mile turf – 3:10pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #6- Mustasaabeq / #9 Battleground /#2 – New Mandate

#6 Mustasaabeq goes postward for Todd Pletcher and Luis Saez who are winning 31% as a team in the last few months. He circled the field seeing every inch of the track with a wide closing effort to win the G2 Bourbon. He was 8 wide and had a super strong late kick. #8 Battleground comes in from the Aiden O’Brien yard with Ryan Moore in the driver’s seat. This son of War Front kicked out and circled the field quickly last out to win Gr2 Veuve Clicquot Vintage at Goodwood last out. Been off since July and that is his only drawback. The Euro trainers have done well in this race over the years. #2 New Mandate is a son of New Bay (GB) rolling off three straight wins. He stalked the pace last out for Ralph Beckett as Frankie Dettori looks for his 3rd win aboard this talented colt. Frankie always looks to shine like a new penny on the big money days.

Race #8 – The BC Juvenile Fillies – 1 1/16 – 3:50 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Vequist / #3 – Dayoutoftheoffice / #7 – Princess Noor

#2 Vequist is the daughter of Nyquist for Robert Reid and Joel Rosario. Exits the G1 Frizette as a beaten favorite. Prior to that, she rolled by 9 lengths in the G1 Spinaway. Since her last race, there are some red hot works to have her ready. An up close stalker who is going to very tough when they turn for home. #3 Dayoutoftheoffice is a perfect three for three and gets to try her hand at going two turns for the first time. Trainer Tim Hamm is new to the big scene, but a regular name on the cut below the top rung of conditioners. He brings them ready and you can bet dollars to donuts he’ll have her ready for a top effort. Junior Alvarado has the call. #7 Princess Noor is a perfect 3 for 3 Bob Baffert. She has a smooth way of moving and has impressed clockers and trainers alike. She’s had her two turn try last out drawing off for fun in the G2 Chandelier. Victor Espinoza is aboard this stalker and she’ll come calling when the real running begins.

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Race #9 – The BC Juvenile Turf Fillies – 1 mile on the turf – 4:30 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Campanelle / #4 – Plum Ali / #14 – Editor At Large

#10 Campanelle is a perfect three for three shipping in from Deauville off a win. She’s been in the state’s training since July and Wesley Ward is the conditioner. She whipped the boys last out in Gr1 company and returns to face the ladies. The added ground should be no problem as Frankie Dettori looks to take them from gate to wire. #4 Plum Ali is a closer for the Christophe Clement barn with Joel Rosario in the irons. Her perfect 3 for 3 record is on the line and owns a sharp work coming into the race.

Race #10 – The BC Juvenile – 1 1/16 – 5:15 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Jackie’s Warrior / #5 – Essential Quality / #3 – Reinvestment Risk

#7 Jackie’s Warrior is a perfect 4 for 4 and owns a boatload of red hot speed. Steve Asmussen brings him to post with Joel Rosario in the saddle and looks to dictate the pace heading into the short stretch. There are some rabbits here who could pose a problem if he doesn’t make the front. Rosario wins 24% on speedy type runners. His win in the G1 Champagne is promising as this race has played a good prep in the past. Catch him if you can. #5 Essential Quality is a son of Tapit for Brad Cox and Luis Saez. His victory over the track in the G1 Breeders’ Futurity was very impressive and will be trying to wheel in the leaders in the far turn. His bullet work has me thinking good things can happen for the connections. #3 Reinvestment Risk has run 2nd twice against Jackie, and always seems to be playing second fiddle. If anything keeps the favorite from dictating the pace, this son of Upstart may have the best seat in the house turning for home for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz.

 

 

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – Sunday, Oct. 18th

Horse Racing Graded Stakes Analysis – 10/18/2020

by: Ed Meyer

Woodbine

Race #5 – The G1 Northern Dancer – 1 1/2 on the turf – 3:29 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Count Again / #7 – Admiralty Pier / #5 Nakamura

#8 Count Again is a strong closer from the Gail Cox barn with Luis Contreras in the saddle. This is his 3rd off the layoff where they win 18% of the time, and win 18% of graded stakes races. He’s 3 for 3 ITM at Woodbine and looks to be a major player today. #7 Admiralty Pier is a speedy son of English Channel. He gets blinkers off and the barn scores 33% on the equipment change. Steven Bahen has the call for Barbara Minshall. #5 Nakamura hails from the Graham Motion barn and is a stout late runner. Kazushi Kimura has the ride and is winning 13% at the meet.

Race #7 – The G1 E.P. Taylor – 1 1/4 on the turf – 4:37 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Etoile / #4 -Theodora B / #7 – Elizabeth Way

#3 Etoile comes to post for Chad Brown and Rafael Hernandez in the irons. This daughter of Siyouni (FR) is a late runner and can get in the game when the pace falls apart. The barn scores at a 26% win clip with turf races, and comes off a two month break as the beaten favorite. Chad Brown comes back to win 28% off the beaten chalk angle. #4 Theodora is a stalker for Michael Dickinson and Justin Stein. This daughter of Ghostzapper is seeking three straight coming off a win at KyD. She takes a step up the class ladder looking for the big score. #7 Elizabeth Way goes to post for Roger Attfield and Emma Jayne Wilson. This daughter of Frankel (GB) should be right on the pace to make her presence felt.

Race #9 – The G2  Neararctic – 6f on the turf – 5:45 pm

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Kanthanka / #5 – Silent Poet / #9 – Olympic Runner

#2 Kanthanka hails from the Graham Motion barn with Luis Contreras shipping in from KyD. He has a late punch and with a solid pace can be effective. He was 7 wide in Kentucky over the undulating course and may enjoy the long stretch run to the wire. #5 Silent Poet goes to post for Nicholas Gonzalez who is winning 21% at the meet. He should be right at the front from the break and is 12 for 13 ITM over the course. #9 Olympic Runner comes from the Mark Casse barn and has a solid late run. Emma Jayne Wilson in the irons and was off slow in the G1 Woodbine Mile still make a late bid. This son of Gio Ponti will be rolling late in the lane.